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http://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/103695/

Version: Accepted Version

Article:

Lucek, K., Sivasundar, A., Kristjansson, B.K. et al. (2 more authors) (2014) Quick

divergence but slow convergence during ecotype formation in lake and stream stickleback

pairs of variable age. Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 27 (9). pp. 1878-1892. ISSN

1010-061X

https://doi.org/10.1111/jeb.12439

This is the peer reviewed version of the following article:Lucek, K., Sivasundar, A.,

Kristjánsson, B. K., Skúlason, S. and Seehausen, O. (2014), Quick divergence but slow

convergence during ecotype formation in lake and stream stickleback pairs of variable

age. Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 27: 1878–1892., which has been published in final

form at http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/jeb.12439. This article may be used for non-commercial

purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving

(http://olabout.wiley.com/WileyCDA/Section/id-828039.html)

[email protected] https://eprints.whiterose.ac.uk/

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Quick divergence but slow convergence during ecotype formation in lake

1

and stream stickleback pairs of variable age

2

3

Kay Lucek1,2, Arjun Sivasundar1,2, Bjarni K. Kristjánsson3, Skúli Skúlason3, Ole

4

Seehausen1,2

5

6

1 Aquatic Ecology and Evolution, Institute of Ecology & Evolution, University of

7

Bern, Baltzerstrasse 6, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland 8

2 Department of Fish Ecology and Evolution, EAWAG Swiss Federal Institute of

9

Aquatic Science and Technology, Center for Ecology, Evolution and 10

Biogeochemistry, CH-6047 Kastanienbaum, Switzerland 11

3 Department of Aquaculture and Fish Biology, Hólar University College, 550

12

Saudarkrokur, Iceland 13

14

15

Keywords 16

(3)

Abstract

18

When genetic constraints restrict phenotypic evolution, diversification can be 19

predicted to evolve along so-called lines of least resistance. To address the 20

importance of such constraints and their resolution, studies of parallel 21

phenotypic divergence that differ in their age are valuable. Here we investigate 22

the parapatric evolution of six lake and stream threespine stickleback systems 23

from Iceland and Switzerland, ranging in age from a few decades to several 24

millennia. Using phenotypic data, we test for parallelism in ecotypic divergence 25

between parapatric lake and stream populations and compare the observed 26

patterns to an ancestral-like marine population. We find strong and consistent 27

phenotypic divergence, both among lake and stream populations and between 28

our freshwater populations and the marine population. Interestingly, ecotypic 29

divergence in low dimensional phenotype space (i.e. single traits) is rapid and 30

seems to be often completed within 100 years. Yet, the dimensionality of 31

ecotypic divergence was highest in our oldest systems and only there parallel 32

evolution of unrelated ecotypes was strong enough to overwrite phylogenetic 33

contingency. Moreover, the dimensionality of divergence in different systems 34

varies between trait complexes, suggesting different constraints and 35

(4)

Introduction

37

38

If natural selection is the principal force governing evolutionary change, 39

divergence among populations can be considered as the tracking of alternative 40

adaptive peaks on the underlying fitness landscape (Wright 1932; Lande & 41

Arnold 1983; Steppan et al. 2002; Arnold et al. 2008). The degree of divergence is 42

then expected to depend on the time that has been available for selection to act, 43

the strength of selection, the topology of the fitness landscape and the amount of 44

adaptive standing genetic variation. All of these factors may affect both the rate 45

and the direction of evolution. Additionally, the strength of selection and/or the 46

fitness landscape itself may fluctuate through time due to environmental 47

variation (Jones et al. 2004; Arnold et al. 2008). Genetic drift and selection can 48

reduce standing genetic variation, which may lead to different evolutionary 49

outcomes across replicated cases of population divergence, even when selection 50

is acting in a parallel manner across replicated systems (Barrett & Schluter 51

2008).Consequently, strong parallel evolution is only expected if the selective 52

regime, the relative level of standing genetic variation and the segregating alleles 53

themselves are similar (Langerhans & DeWitt 2004; Kaeuffer et al. 2012) and if 54

selection has enough time to overcome potential historical contingencies (Young 55

et al. 2009). 56

57

Evolution towards adaptive peaks can be influenced by genetic “lines of least 58

resistance” or gmax, which can be quantified as the leading eigenvector of the 59

genetic variance-covariance matrix G (Lande & Arnold 1983; Schluter 1996; 60

(5)

largest proportion of genetic variance and is shaped by selection and drift, which 62

then influence genetic constraints within a population (Lande & Arnold 1983; 63

Steppan et al. 2002; Marroig & Cheverud 2005). Different G matrices can be 64

compared by calculating the angle θ between different gmax (Lande & Arnold 65

1983; Schluter 1996; Steppan et al. 2002). Whereas genetic constraints may 66

initially bias evolution towards gmax (Schluter 1996), selection may alter the 67

direction of gmax towards an existing or a new optimum on the adaptive 68

landscape (Lande & Arnold 1983; Jones et al. 2004; Arnold et al. 2008), e.g. 69

during the colonization of new environments (Bacigalupe 2009; Eroukhmanoff & 70

Svensson 2011). Similarly, genetic drift, bottlenecks or mutations may alter the G

71

matrix and hence gmax (Chapuis et al. 2008). 72

73

In the absence of quantitative genetic data, the G matrix might be approximated 74

by the P matrix, which is based on phenotypic data from wild populations 75

(Cheverud 1988), especially when phenotypic traits are highly heritable (Lande 76

1979), as has been suggested for several taxa (Cheverud 1988; Leinonen et al. 77

2011; Kolbe et al. 2011). P is defined as the combination of the genetic and 78

environmental covariance matrices, i.e. G + E (Lande 1979; Arnold & Phillips 79

1999), where both effects could also interact (G x E; Falconer 1989). 80

Consequently, P matrices include phenotypically plastic effects, that are 81

differentially expressed in distinct environments (Pigliucci et al. 1999). The 82

leading eigenvector of a P matrix (pmax) therefore serves as an overall measure of 83

phenotypic variation observed in the wild, combining both genetic and 84

environmental effects. The changes of P and pmax towards novel adaptive peaks 85

(6)

Whitlock 2012) or adaptation from standing genetic variation (Lande & Shannon 87

1996; Barrett & Schluter 2008). In either case, pmax of different replicated 88

systems that vary in age should align, i.e. show a small or zero angle θ between 89

them (Figure S1). Alternatively, θ between mainly genetically determined pmax

90

may evolve over time through selection and drift (Lande & Arnold 1983; Jones et

91

al. 2004; Arnold et al. 2008). θ is thus expected to subsequently increase over 92

time between an ancestral pmax and the pmax of a derived population that evolves 93

towards a new adaptive peak (Lande & Arnold 1983; Jones et al. 2004; Arnold et

94

al. 2008). 95

96

In threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus species complex), the ancestral 97

marine population repeatedly colonized freshwater throughout its distribution 98

mainly after the last glacial maximum and subsequently adapted to different 99

habitats such as streams and lakes. The result was a complex of phenotypically 100

and ecologically divergent populations and, in some cases, even sympatric or 101

parapatric species (Bell & Foster 1994; McKinnon & Rundle 2002). Alongside the 102

marine-freshwater transition, adaptive changes in both the G and the P matrix 103

have been recorded (Berner et al. 2010b; Leinonen et al. 2011), where gmax and 104

pmax are correlated (Leinonen et al. 2011). The parallel evolution of distinct 105

parapatric lake-stream pairs within freshwater has made this species complex an 106

excellent system to investigate the process of ecological speciation. However, on 107

an evolutionary timescale, most studies use relatively old systems and are often 108

limited one restricted geographical area (e.g. Reimchen et al. 1985; Hendry & 109

Taylor 2004; Berner et al. 2008; Kaeuffer et al. 2012; Ravinet et al. 2013, but see 110

(7)

contrast, some lake-stream systems became only recently available to 112

stickleback, e.g. due to contemporary translocations (Lucek et al. 2010; Berner et

113

al. 2010a; Moser et al. 2012; Lucek et al. 2012a) or the creation of artificial lakes 114

(Kristjánsson et al. 2002a; Hendry et al. 2013). Hence, stickleback provide a rare 115

opportunity to study the evolution of parapatric divergence along the lake-116

stream habitat axis and the corresponding changes in the P matrix and pmax over 117

a wide timescale, ranging from decades to millennia. 118

119

Here, we study replicated parapatric lake-stream stickleback from Switzerland 120

and Iceland that are between 50 and 10,000 years old in relation to their 121

putative ancestral marine population. Using this temporal gradient, we test if 122

phenotypic divergence emerges rapidly after the colonization of novel 123

environments and whether lines of least resistance (pmax) diverge over time as 124

suggested by several authors (Lande & Arnold 1983; Jones et al. 2004; Arnold et

125

al. 2008). Additionally, the large geographic scale coupled with the very different 126

colonization histories of Iceland and Switzerland (Ólafsdóttir et al. 2007a; Lucek 127

et al. 2010) allows us to test for parallel evolution. Specifically, we can test if 128

parapatric phenotypic divergence resulted in similar pmax and if the degree and 129

the direction of habitat dependent phenotypic divergence are similar among our 130

studied systems. We predict that habitat dependent phenotypic changes in 131

similar environments should result in similar pmax but that the degree of 132

phenotypic divergence may differ due to different historical contingencies, the 133

time for selection to act or differences in the selective regimes among our 134

studied systems. 135

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Material and Methods

137

Sample collection

138

We studied three Swiss lake-stream systems in the invasive range of stickleback 139

that differ in their ages of stickleback colonization (Bern (Wohlen): ~50 yrs, 140

Constance: 140 yrs, Geneva: 140 yrs) and represent either independent 141

introductions from different freshwater lineages (Constance, Geneva) or a case of 142

recent admixture of these lineages (Bern; see Lucek et al. 2010 for details). In 143

addition, we studied three Icelandic lake-stream systems that differ in their 144

geological age (Mývatn: 2500 yrs, Thingvallavatn: 8000-10’000 yrs; 145

Saemundsson 1992; Einarsson et al. 2004) or are man-made (Hraunsfjördur: 50 146

yrs; Kristjánsson et al. 2002b) and have been separately colonized by stickleback 147

from ancestral marine populations. We also sampled two Icelandic marine 148

populations (Table S1), presumably resembling the phenotypic marine ancestral 149

state to most European freshwater stickleback (Mäkinen et al. 2006; Jones et al. 150

2012a). In Icelandic lakes, stickleback have been described to diverge in relation 151

to benthic substrate (Kristjánsson et al. 2002b). We thus sampled the largest 152

potential habitats in each lake (see Figure 1 and Table S1 for sampling locations). 153

154

Icelandic samples were obtained between August and September 2010 using 155

minnow traps and by hand netting. Samples from Switzerland were similarly 156

collected in 2007 and 2008 (Lucek et al. 2010). In all cases, stream stickleback 157

were obtained from inflowing streams (Table S1). All fish were sacrificed with an 158

overdose of clove oil and stored in 70% ethanol. A fin clip was additionally taken 159

for genetic analysis and preserved in absolute ethanol. Sample size per site 160

(9)

sites (Figure 1, Table S1). Altitudinal difference and pairwise waterway distance 162

between each stream site and the inflow of the stream into the lake were 163

measured using GOOGLEEARTH (Google, USA). 164

165

Genetic analysis

166

We extracted DNA for individuals from the Marine 1 site and all freshwater sites, 167

except for Mývatn, where only one of the three stream sites (MS1) was available 168

for genetic analysis (NTotal = 727, Table S1). DNA was extracted using a 10%

169

Chelex solution, following the manufacturer’s protocol (Biorad, California, USA). 170

In some cases, additional individuals were included for which no phenotypic data 171

was collected (Table S1). We amplified ten microsatellite markers in one 172

multiplex set following the protocols of Raeymaekers et al. (2007). Three of 173

these markers (Stn26, Stn96 and Stn130) have been shown to be associated with 174

known QTLs for spine lengths (Peichel et al. 2001). Detailed information on 175

marker identity, the multiplexing setup, and the PCR protocol are provided as 176

supplementary methods. We visualized alleles on an ABI 3130XL and scored 177

them with GENEMAPPER 4.0 (Applied Biosystems, Switzerland). We generated a

178

genetic tree-like relationship among sampling sites based on their Cavalli-Sforza 179

distances of allelic frequencies using a neighbour-joining algorithm implemented 180

in PHYLIP 3.69 (Felsenstein 2012). Significance was estimated using 1000

181

bootstrapped resampling replicates. To test if our markers conformed to neutral 182

expectations, we conducted an FST based outlier test using the software LOSITAN

183

1.0(Antao et al. 2008) separately for each lake-stream system. Using GENODIVE

184

2.0 (Meirmans & Van Tienderen 2004), we calculated pairwise FST between 185

(10)

within a lake. We estimated significances using 1000 bootstrapped replicates as 187

implemented in GENODIVE. Finally, we tested for a correlation of the obtained

188

pairwise parapatric FST values with either the altitudinal difference or the 189

geographical distance between a parapatric stream site and the lake using linear 190

models. Models were compared using the Akaike information criterion corrected 191

for small sample sizes (AICc). 192

193

Morphological data collection & analysis

194

We measured sixteen linear morphological traits (see Figure S2 for details), 195

many of which are known to be associated with ecological diversification in 196

stickleback (see Kristjánsson et al. 2002a; Mori & Takamura 2004; Berner et al. 197

2008; Leinonen et al. 2011 and references therein), on the left side of each fish to 198

the nearest 0.01 mm using a digital caliper. These traits were related to either 199

anti-predator defense (FSL - length of the first dorsal spine; DSL - length of the 200

second dorsal spine; PSL - length of the pelvic spine; PGL - length of the pelvic 201

girdle), feeding (HL - head length; UJL - upper jaw length; SnL - snout length; 202

SnW - snout width; ED - eye diameter), or body shape and swimming 203

performance (SL - standard length; PGW - width of the pelvic girdle; BD1 -body 204

depth measured after the first dorsal spine; BD2 - body depth measured after the 205

second dorsal spine; CPL - caudal peduncle length; BLA - basal length of the anal 206

fin; BLD - basal length of the dorsal fin; TLP - total length of the pelvic fin). We 207

measured two additional feeding related traits: the length of the lower gill arch 208

(AL) and the length of the second gill raker (GRL2), as counted from the joint of 209

the dorsal arch bone on the first lower gill arch (Berner et al. 2008). Both 210

(11)

dissection microscope. Because all traits were significantly correlated with SL 212

(results not shown), we size-corrected the data by using the residuals from a 213

regression of each trait against SL. This regression was either performed pooling 214

all individuals for the overall comparison of populations or separately (i.e. for 215

each lake-stream system and for the marine population) for pairwise 216

comparisons. By pooling all systems and populations, allometric information in 217

some populations may be retained if the allometric trajectories differ among 218

them. This allows, however, to estimate system and population specific 219

components of phenotypic variation, which can be explained by different 220

historical contingencies or differences in the selective regimes. 221

222

To estimate the relative contributions of country (Iceland or Switzerland), lake-223

stream system (Bern, Constance, Geneva, Hraunsfjördur, Mývatn, 224

Thingvallavatn), habitat (lake or stream) and the interaction of system x habitat

225

on diversification within freshwater, we calculated the percentage of non-error 226

variance based on the respective sums of squares using a sequential ANOVA 227

model (Langerhans & DeWitt 2004; Eroukhmanoff et al. 2009; Lucek et al. 2013). 228

Here, country should reflect variation due to different historical contingencies, 229

which include differences in past selection regimes, or differences between the 230

current selective regimes between Switzerland and Iceland. Similarly, system

231

accounts for the variation among isolated lake-stream systems. The habitat term 232

reflects the component of parapatric phenotypic divergence that is replicated 233

among systems, i.e. parallel. Finally, the system x habitat interaction accounts for 234

interactions between system differences (colonization history and 235

(12)

systems (Langerhans & DeWitt 2004; Eroukhmanoff et al. 2009). To further 237

compare the overall phenotypic divergence among all sampled sites, we 238

constructed a tree like relationship using pairwise Mahalanobis distances based 239

on the overall size-corrected phenotypic measurements. 240

241

Because local adaptation can lead to phenotypic differentiation between 242

populations of the same ecotype (i.e. within one habitat type; Hendry & Taylor 243

2004; Kaeuffer et al. 2012; Ravinet et al. 2013), all individuals from the same 244

habitat were pooled if more than one site was sampled in a given lake or in a 245

given stream system to estimate the overall degree of habitat dependent 246

phenotypic divergence. We estimated the parapatric phenotypic divergence 247

using PST, an analog to QST (Spitze 1993) based on phenotypic measurements 248

from wild individuals, which serves as a unit-less proportional measure of 249

pairwise phenotypic divergence and is analogous to our measure of pairwise 250

genetic divergence (FST). Following Leinonen et al. (2006), we estimated PST as 251

PST = δ2

GB/(δ2GB + 2*( h2*δ2GW)), where δ2GB and δ2GW are the between population

252

and within population variance components for a specific trait and h2 is

253

heritability. For stickleback, only few heritability estimates are available, which 254

differ among the studied populations (e.g. Baumgartner 1995; Leinonen et al. 255

2011). We thus assumed a full trait heritability (h2=1), which provides a

256

conservative estimate for PST (Leinonen et al. 2006). For each PST, the 95% 257

confidence interval was established using a resampling approach of 1000 258

replicates. PSTs were either based on the residuals of the leading principal 259

component (PC) axis, combining all traits or a combination of traits, related to 260

(13)

performance) as well as separately for each trait. For cases where the 95% 262

confidence interval exceeded zero, the directionality of a PST was further 263

assessed by comparing the mean trait values between the different ecotypes. 264

265

We calculated the leading eigenvector (pmax) of the phenotypic

variance-266

covariance matrix P based on a PC analysis for each habitat and freshwater 267

system using traits that were separately size corrected for each system and the 268

marine population. For the marine populations, we pooled both sites to obtain a 269

better estimate of the putative ancestral state of stickleback. In addition, we 270

calculated the overall pmax for each freshwater system, where we pooled fish

271

from lake and stream sites. By pooling individuals from distinct populations and 272

habitats, the calculated P matrix may differ from the P matrices of each habitat 273

population as traits may covary between populations from different habitats 274

even if they do not covary within either of the populations. pmax of such overall P

275

matrices may however be compared among each other to test if parapatric 276

phenotypic divergence results in similar and hence predictable patterns. We 277

compared pmax of two P matrices by calculating the angle θ between them

278

following Schluter (1996), where θ is the inversed cosine of the dot product of 279

two leading eigenvectors that is divided by the summed length of both 280

eigenvectors. We estimated θ between parapatric lake and stream ecotypes for 281

all ecotype pairs, between the freshwater ecotypes and our marine populations, 282

as well as between our lake-stream systems. In the latter case, we pooled all 283

populations (lake and stream) from each lake-stream system. The significance of 284

θ between pmax of all comparisons was estimated using a bootstrap procedure

285

(14)

then correlated with the time since stickleback colonized each system using 287

linear models. All statistical analyses were performed in R 2.15.1 (R Core Team, 288

2012). 289

290

Results

291

Genetic divergence

292

The genetic tree indicates differentiation among our studied freshwater systems, 293

where Iceland and Switzerland form distinct clades (Figure 2a). In the Icelandic 294

clade, the Marine 1 population falls next to the Hraunsfjördur branch, which is 295

consistent with the very recent origin of this system (Kristjánsson et al. 2002b; 296

Ólafsdóttir et al. 2007b), whereas both Mývatn and Thingvallavatn form distinct 297

branches. Genetic substructure among the different sampling sites was 298

furthermore indicated in all Icelandic systems. In the Swiss clade, the Bern 299

system falls next to the Constance system, which are both distinct from the 300

Geneva system, reflecting their introduction and admixture history (Lucek et al. 301

2010). 302

303

The outlier tests performed separately for each lake-stream system suggested 304

that none of the markers deviated from neutral expectations (results not shown). 305

Therefore all markers were retained for the population genetic analyses. Habitat 306

dependent parapatric genetic differentiation was highest in the Lake Geneva 307

system in Switzerland (FST = 0.053, p < 0.001), which also showed the greatest 308

differences in altitude (∆Altitude: 108 m) and distance to the lake (61 km). All

309

parapatric ecotypes except Bern (FST = 0.000, n.s.) showed genetic differentiation 310

(15)

FST = 0.028, p < 0.001; Thingvallavatn: FST = 0.018, p = 0.009). Pairwise FST

312

between parapatric lake and stream populations was significantly correlated 313

with both altitudinal differences between sites (R2 = 0.823, F1,4= 18.6, p = 0.013)

314

and distance to the lake (R2 = 0.784, F

1,4= 14.5, p = 0.019). These explanatory

315

factors were significantly correlated with each other (R2 = 0.922, F

1,4= 47.2, p =

316

0.002) and fitted the linear model equally well (∆AICc = 1.22). 317

318

Historical contingency and divergence in freshwater

319

The trait based ANOVA models all explained a significant amount of phenotypic 320

variation (all p < 0.001, results not shown; Table 1). The highest proportion of 321

non-error variation was explained by historical contingency or differences in the 322

current selective regimes between Iceland and Switzerland (country: 37.4% ± 323

23.0%; system: 35.1% ± 18.4; Table 1), where Swiss and Icelandic stickleback 324

differed most strongly in defense related traits and to a lesser extent in feeding 325

related traits. Variation explained by system was highest for body shape related 326

traits. System specific components of parapatric lake-stream divergence 327

occurred especially for feeding and to a lesser extent for body shape related 328

traits as indicated by the system x habitat interaction. Habitat alone explained 329

only a small fraction of the variance (4.4% ± 5.4%), where the traits TLP and BLA 330

had the largest amount of variance explained. 331

332

The occurrence of individual trait based parapatric phenotypic divergence (PST) 333

and the overall dimensionality of parapatric divergence, measured as the 334

number of traits with significant parapatric PST, differed among systems and 335

(16)

stream differed among Swiss and Icelandic ecotype pairs, and to a lesser extent 337

also between ecotype pairs in different lake-stream systems within either 338

country (Figure 3). In the two oldest Icelandic lakes, PST exceededzero for 14 339

(Thingvallavatn) and 16 (Mývatn) out of 18 traits. However, even in the 50 year 340

old Hraunsfjördur system, this was true for 6 traits. In Switzerland, significant 341

trait specific PSTs were observed only in the slightly older Constance and Geneva 342

systems, especially for defense traits (4 and 7 traits respectively), whereas PST

343

did not exceed zero for any of the traits in the Bern system which stickleback 344

colonized 50 years ago. The PC based PST combining either all traits or only 345

defense related traits, exceeded zero in all but the two youngest systems (Figure 346

3). In contrast, PST exceeded zero only in Mývatn for feeding related morphology 347

and in the Icelandic systems for body shape and swimming performance related 348

traits. The magnitude of PST among parapatric ecotypes was not statistically 349

associated with the altitudinal difference, with the waterway distance between 350

sites, or with the age of a system for any trait combinations (all p > 0.1, results 351

not shown). 352

353

The angle θ between pmax from parapatric lake and stream populations based on

354

all phenotypic traits differed from zero in all cases except Thingvallavatn (Figure 355

4, Table 2), whereas it was greatest in the two other Icelandic systems (Table 2), 356

whose pmax were significantly differentiated from all other freshwater systems in

357

the pairwise comparisons (Table 3). In the Swiss systems, the parapatric θs were 358

significantly different from zero (Table 2), whereas pmax did not differ among the

359

systems (Table 3). When traits were analyzed by functional categories, the angle 360

θ between parapatric lake-stream pmax differed across traits and systems (Figure

(17)

4, Table 2). θ between parapatric ecotypes differed especially for feeding related 362

traits, albeit to a small degree (average θ: 9.3° ± 2.3° SD), whereas parapatric pmax

363

differed less commonly for defense, body depth and swimming performance 364

related traits (Table 2). pmax were furthermore comparable among lake-stream

365

systems for feeding and defense related traits as suggested by the non-significant 366

angle θ between them (Table 3). None of the angles between parapatric ecotypes 367

were statistically correlated with the time since stickleback colonization, the 368

altitudinal difference or the geographical distance between the lake and the 369

stream populations (all p > 0.1, results not shown). 370

371

Parallel adaptation trumps historical contingency late but not early in ecotype

372

formation

373

374

Mahalanobis distances showed overall consistent morphological differentiation 375

between Swiss and Icelandic freshwater stickleback populations (Figure 2b). 376

Despite the aforementioned evidence for consistent parapatric divergence, all 377

populations of young lake-stream pairs, i.e. Hraunsfjördur in Iceland and all the 378

Swiss systems, clustered by historical lineage rather than by ecotype. In contrast, 379

the populations from the two oldest lake systems, i.e. Mývatn and Thingvallavatn, 380

clustered strongly by ecotype despite being genetically more strongly 381

differentiated than the lineages with young lake-stream pairs (Figure 2a). 382

383

Phenotypic divergence during the marine-freshwater transition

384

The angle θ between pmaxof the different freshwater lake populations differed

385

(18)

Figure 5, Table 2), which was not true for stream populations (average θ: 29.7° ± 387

21.0° SD). Using only feeding related traits, the freshwater pmax differs commonly

388

from the marine one with relatively low angles θ (lake vs. marine: average θ = 389

9.2° ± 3.3° SD; stream vs. marine: average θ = 7.8° ± 2.0° SD)). In contrast, the 390

freshwater pmax based on defense or body shape and swimming performance

391

related traits differed less commonly from the marine pmax (Figure 5, Table 2). In

392

all but one case (marine vs. lake populations using all traits combined: F1,4 = 15.9, 393

p = 0.016), the observed angle θ between a freshwater derived pmax and the

394

marine pmax were not statistically correlated with the relative age of each

395

freshwater system (all p > 0.1, results not shown). 396

397

Discussion

398

399

The extent of parallel evolution of phenotypically similar ecotypes depends on 400

the genetic constraints, the selective environment and the time for evolution to 401

act (Schluter & Nagel 1995; Langerhans & DeWitt 2004; Nosil et al. 2009; 402

Kaeuffer et al. 2012; Nosil 2012). Nonparallel phenotypic features may thus 403

occur between independently evolved yet ecologically similar ecotypes. The 404

extent of convergent evolution and hence the degree to which two independent 405

populations become more similar may further depend on the dimensionality 406

with which ecotypic divergence is being measured. Rapid evolution may be 407

inferred to be parallel when only few traits are being measured (e.g. Schluter et

408

al. 2004), whereas parallel divergence in the multivariate phenotype, leading to 409

overall phenotypic convergence of parallel evolved ecotypes, may need much 410

(19)

412

Comparing the phenotypic variance-covariance (P) matrices of different 413

stickleback freshwater ecotypes and their marine ancestors, we find that 414

phenotypic divergence can result in parallel lines of least resistance (pmax) both 415

for the marine-freshwater transition (Figure 5, Table 2) and the subsequent 416

ecotype formation within freshwater (Figure 4, Table 3). The extent and 417

parallelism of parapatric ecotype formation within freshwaters seems to be 418

driven by historical contingency, potential differences in the divergent selective 419

regimes between lake and streams and the time available for evolution, where 420

much of the phenotypic variation is explained by differences between Icelandic 421

and Swiss sticklebacks (Figure 2, Table 1). Parallel ecotypic divergence may 422

trump historical contingency only in the oldest lakes, where the divergent 423

selective regimes may moreover be strongest, an increased dimensionality of 424

ecotypic differentiation and a clustering of ecotypes despite being genetically 425

very distinct (Figure 2 & 3). 426

427

The evolution of freshwater stickleback

428

The evolutionary transition between the marine and freshwater environment 429

has been repeatedly studied in stickleback (e.g. Kristjánsson 2005; Leinonen et

430

al. 2006; Wund et al. 2008; Berner et al. 2010b; Leinonen et al. 2011; Jones et al. 431

2012a; Voje et al. 2013). Colonizing freshwater habitats requires adaptation to 432

new selective regimes, which may differ between distinct freshwater habitats 433

(Gross 1978; Gross & Anderson 1984; Reimchen 1994; Berner et al. 2009; 2010b, 434

Lucek et al. 2014). The degree of phenotypic divergence from an ancestral-like 435

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traits due to differences in the selective regime and the colonization history. In 437

concordance, we find that the degree of phenotypic and genetic differentiation 438

differs among systems (Figure 2). In the genetic tree, the two oldest lakes Mývatn 439

and Thingvallavatn form distinct genetic clusters with the longest branch 440

lengths, whereas the Swiss populations, albeit being genetically distinct from 441

each other, form a separate branch. Conversely, ecotype specific clusters occur 442

for the old lakes in the phenotypic tree, whereas all populations of young ecotype 443

pairs cluster in concordance with their genetic lineage. Lineage dependent 444

phenotypic constraints may have consequently been retained in Switzerland as 445

the Constance and Geneva systems were colonized about 140 years ago by 446

genetically distinct freshwater lineages and the Bern system lies in a hybrid zone 447

between different lineages (Lucek et al. 2010). In contrast, Icelandic freshwater 448

populations likely derive from a common marine population, where in some 449

cases gene flow from the ancestral marine population may still be possible 450

(Ólafsdóttir et al. 2007c, Figure 2a). 451

452

Historical contingency or potential differences in current selective regimes for 453

different trait categories are further indicated by the changes in the P matrices 454

among the different marine-freshwater comparisons. Here, patterns for the pmax

455

of freshwater stickleback vary generally among all comparisons (Table 2, Figure 456

5). Whereas pmax of freshwater populations differ commonly from the marine 457

pmax when all phenotypic traits were combined, they are similar to the marine 458

one in all comparisons for anti-predator related traits. Predator communities are 459

thought to differ though, where marine and freshwater lake populations 460

(21)

birds and piscivorous fish (Gross 1978; Reimchen 1992), which shifts to 462

increased insect predation in freshwater streams (Reimchen 1994; Marchinko 463

2009). Invertebrate predation may however be negligible in Iceland (Lucek et al. 464

2012b) and empirical evidence for the role of invertebrate predators as a source 465

of selection is mixed for Swiss populations (Zeller et al. 2012a,b). 466

467

For trophic morphology on the other hand, freshwater pmax differ commonly 468

from the marine one with small but significant angles θ, suggesting that the 469

marine-freshwater transition may be generally associated with a change in the P

470

matrix (Figure 5). Habitat dependent ecotypic differentiation in stickleback is 471

indeed thought to be coupled with a change in diet and trophic morphology, 472

where marine and some freshwater lake populations forage commonly on 473

zooplankton in contrast to stream fish and some lake populations that feed on 474

benthic prey (Gross & Anderson 1984; Berner et al. 2009; Kaeuffer et al. 2012; 475

Lucek et al. 2012a). The small but significant angles θ, which we observe 476

especially for lake populations are consistent with prior findings in Canadian 477

stickleback, where freshwater lake populations have been shown to have a pmax

478

that has diverged from the marine one, involving a shift in gill raker lengths 479

(Berner et al. 2010b). Lastly, differences in the selective regimes between our 480

studied systems and countries may account for the observed changes in pmax for 481

body shape and swimming related traits that are linked to different foraging 482

strategies in lakes and streams (Hendry & Taylor 2004; Reid & Peichel 2010; 483

Hendry et al. 2011). The wide range for θ for both the overall system and stream 484

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to environmental differences such as differences in flow regimes (Steppan et al. 486

2002; Ravinet et al. 2013). 487

488

Contingency, selection and parallelism during lake-stream divergence

489

Both the occurrence and the extent of parapatric divergence depend mainly on 490

the underlying environmental and selective gradient and the time for evolution 491

to act (Endler 1977; Doebeli & Dieckmann 2003; Nosil etal. 2009). Parallel 492

parapatric divergence is consequently only expected under comparable selective 493

regimes (Kaeuffer et al. 2012) where selection is acting on a similar gene pool 494

(Barrett & Schluter 2008). The repeated formation of parapatric lake-stream 495

freshwater stickleback systems has been proposed to provide such a case 496

(Reimchen et al. 1985; Thompson et al. 1997; Hendry & Taylor 2004; Berner et

497

al. 2009; Lucek et al. 2013). However, recent studies find non-parallelisms in the 498

realized divergence that occur both on smaller geographical scales (Kaeuffer et

499

al. 2012; Hendry et al. 2013; Ravinet et al. 2013; Lucek et al. 2013) as well as 500

between continents (Berner et al. 2010a). In the latter case, the authors 501

suggested that genomic constraints could be responsible for the observed lower 502

degree of divergence among Swiss populations and the evolutionary younger 503

Atlantic stickleback lineage in general, where only the Constance system showed 504

a level of divergence that is comparable to older Canadian systems (Berner et al. 505

2010a; Ravinet et al. 2013, but see Lucek et al. 2013). However, the respective P

506

matrices have not been compared. 507

508

Our results suggest that the evolution of parapatric lake-stream populations in 509

(23)

age of a system as it is indicated by the non-significant angles between the 511

overall pmax of different lake-stream systems for defense and feeding related 512

traits (Table 3). Thus ecotype formation along parallel axes may start quickly. 513

However, although parapatric lake-stream systems share similar pmax, only a 514

relatively small fraction of the overall phenotypic variation can be attributed to 515

parallel habitat dependent differentiation (Table 1), where the directionality of 516

parapatric divergence often differs between ecotype pairs in Switzerland and 517

Iceland and sometimes also between pairs from different lake-stream systems 518

within each country (Figure 3). In contrast, a much larger fraction is explained by 519

the system and habitat interaction and thus the combined effect of system-520

related historical contingency and/or system-related selection with ecotypic 521

divergence (Langerhans & DeWitt 2004; Eroukhmanoff et al. 2009; Kaeuffer et al. 522

2012). The increased dimensionality of parapatric differentiation in the two 523

oldest lake systems, Mývatn and Thingvallavatn (Figure 3), may either reflect 524

stronger habitat dependent divergent selection or that longer time is needed for 525

a parallel evolutionary response to similar divergent selection during ecotype 526

formation to trump historical contingency (Nosil et al. 2009; Young et al. 2009; 527

Nosil 2012). The increase in dimensionality further suggests that parallel 528

phenotypic divergence is associated with increased phenotypic integration 529

(Figure 3), which is consistent with studies on older adaptive radiations that 530

show increased convergence in multivariate trait dimensions in comparison to 531

younger radiations (Young et al. 2009; Kolbe et al. 2011). 532

533

In contrast to the observed phenotypic divergence and convergence, the degree 534

(24)

environmental gradient rather than the evolutionary age of the system. 536

Altitudinal gradients have similarly been found to explain the degree of 537

parapatric genetic divergence in other freshwater systems (Caldera & Bolnick 538

2008; Ravinet et al. 2013) as well as during the marine and freshwater transition 539

(Deagle et al. 2013, Lucek et al. unpublished data) and may be linked to physical 540

barriers restricting the potential for gene flow. 541

542

Rapid evolution versus plasticity

543

Although phenotypic divergence was greatest in the oldest lakes, the observed 544

differentiation in pmax was not associated with our studied temporal gradient. 545

Hence, plasticity could have initially promoted the colonization of freshwater 546

habitats (Smith & Skúlason 1996) by rapidly shifting pmax (Lande 2009; Draghi & 547

Whitlock 2012). Marine stickleback are known to be phenotypically plastic, 548

allowing them to respond to different diets readily when colonizing new 549

freshwater environments (Wund et al. 2008). Plasticity can furthermore evolve 550

in freshwater to initially promote a generalist life style where divergent selection 551

may then lead to canalization and a reduction in plasticity (Svanbäck & Schluter 552

2012), matching theoretical predictions (Lande 2009; Thibert-Plante & Hendry 553

2011). In theory, however, phenotypic plasticity and thus pmax may evolve quite 554

fast, i.e. over fewer generations than those separating the lake and stream 555

populations in our youngest system (Lande 2009; Draghi & Whitlock 2012). pmax

556

based on phenotypically plastic traits may thus align if populations experience a 557

comparable selective regime as we observe for defense and feeding related traits. 558

(25)

Phenotypic shifts during the marine-freshwater transition as well as between 560

distinct freshwater habitats in stickleback have similarly been suggested to occur 561

through recurrent selection on standing genetic variation in the marine 562

population (Deagle et al. 2012; Jones et al. 2012b). This is especially true for anti-563

predator related phenotypic shifts, where selection drives phenotypic 564

divergence over only a few generations (Bell et al. 2004; Barrett et al. 2008; 565

Schluter & Conte 2009) and may similarly account for phenotypic divergence in 566

other genetically determined traits such as gill rakers (Hermida etal. 2002). Our 567

observed parapatric divergence as well as the changes in the P matrix for these 568

traits may therefore be a combined result of both plasticity and adaptation from 569

standing genetic variation (Wund et al. 2008; Eroukhmanoff & Svensson 2011, 570

Lucek et al. 2014). Indeed, empirical evidence suggests that although pmax and 571

gmax are correlated in stickleback, pmax can only approximate gmax and hence the 572

underlying evolutionary constraints (Leinonen et al. 2011). 573

574

Conclusions

575

Our results suggest that parapatric ecotype formation can result in parallel and 576

hence predictable pmax for some trait combinations, i.e. trophic morphology, but 577

that the directionality of change may differ for others due to historical 578

contingency or environmental effects. Whereas changes in the P matrix during 579

the marine-freshwater transition seem to evolve independently of our studied 580

temporal axis, both the extent and the dimensionality of parapatric ecotype 581

formation depend on the available time for evolution to occur. Thus evolutionary 582

(26)

formation and may be aided by phenotypic plasticity, yet convergent phenotypic 584

evolution needs time to overcome contingency. 585

586

Acknowledgment

587

This research was supported by an European Science Foundation Exchange 588

Grant in the FroSpects program (grant number 2912) to KL and a Swiss National 589

Science Foundation Grant 31003A-118293 to OS. We thank Mélissa Lemoine, 590

Fabrice Eroukhmanoff and Pamela Woods for constructive feedback and 591

suggestions. Andrew Hendry, Catherine E. Wagner, Julia Schwarzer and one 592

anonymous reviewer provided valuable comments on earlier versions of the 593

(27)

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(38)

Figure Legends: 828

Figure 1: Overview of the studied systems: a) Sampled lakes and corresponding 829

sampling sites (squares: lake populations; diamonds: stream populations; circles: 830

marine populations) for both Iceland (top) and Switzerland (bottom). b) 831

Representative examples of each sex for the different stickleback ecotypes of 832

each lake-stream system. 833

834

Figure 2: Genetic and phenotypic relationship among sampling sites. Shape of tip 835

labels indicates habitat (square: lake; diamond: stream; circle: marine) and 836

colors represent different lake-stream systems. a) Genetic differentiation among 837

populations based on a neighbour-joining tree using Cavalli-Sforza distances 838

amongst sampling sites included in this study (see Figure 1), calculated from 839

allele frequencies at 10 microsatellite loci. The tree is midpoint rooted. Numbers 840

beside nodes indicate percent bootstrap support based on 1000 resampling 841

replicates. Bootstrap values below 50% are not shown. b) Dendrogram of 842

phenotypic Mahalanobis distances among all sampling sites. 843

844

Figure 3: Pairwise phenotypic divergence between lake and stream ecotype (PST

845

± 95% CI) for each system, calculated for each trait separately, for all traits 846

combined and for functionally distinct trait groups. PST for trait groups is based 847

on scores of the first principal component axis for either all traits combined, 848

defense related traits, feeding related traits, body shape related traits (see text 849

for details). Asterisks indicate cases where the 95% confidence interval for PST

(39)

exceeds 0. For the latter traits, triangles indicate the directionality of the 851

pairwise divergence, where a trait is larger (pointing right) or smaller (pointing 852

left) in lake fish in comparison to stream fish. For a description of each trait and 853

its abbreviation see the main text and Figure S1. 854

855

Figure 4: Angles between the major axis of phenotypic variation (pmax) in 856

parapatric lake versus stream populations. Angles were calculated including 857

either all phenotypic traits (a) or a subset of defense (b), feeding (c) or body 858

shape / swimming performance (d) related traits. Letters indicate the respective 859

system: B – Bern (red), C – Constance (black), G – Geneva (green), H – 860

Hraunsfjördur (blue), M – Mývatn (dark blue), T – Thingvallavatn (pink). Dashed 861

lines denote lake-stream systems from Iceland, solid lines systems from 862

Switzerland. 863

864

Figure 5: Angles between the major axis of phenotypic variation (pmax) between 865

the marine population and either the freshwater stream populations or the lake 866

populations. Angles were calculated using (from top to bottom): all phenotypic 867

traits or a subset of defense, feeding or body shape / swimming performance 868

related traits. For the overall divergence, indicated vectors are scaled according 869

to the eigenvalue of the leading axis. Letters indicate the respective system: B – 870

Bern (red), C – Constance (black), G – Geneva (green), H – Hraunsfjördur (blue), 871

M – Mývatn (dark blue), T – Thingvallavatn (pink). Dashed lines denote lake-872

References

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