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The Impact of Bias Correction and Model Selection on Passing Temperature Thresholds

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Figure

Figure 1. The impact of changing the time averaging period for calculatingthe specific warming level (SWL).
Figure 3. (top left) The model mean local passing of 2°C for RCP4.5 in all CMIP5 models in this study and (top right) the difference from these timings when modelsare selected by performance metric 1, (bottom left) selected by performance metric 2 and (bot
Figure 4. Timings of locally passing 4°C for CMIP5 simulations of RCP8.5 and the differences from applying metrics to sub-select CMIP5 models
Figure 6. The uncertainty in the CMIP5 global annual mean temperature times series for the raw (black) and bias-corrected simulations (red) for RCP4.5
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