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Modelling the species jump : towards assessing the risk of human infection from novel avian influenzas

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Figure

Table 1. Summary of parameter estimates
Figure 1. a Probability distributions forβ ˜(back) (Egypt, Thailand) andβ ˜(comm) (others), b Under reporting factordistributions for active and combined surveillance systems (both HPAI and LPAI) and passive (HPAI only) (Central redline - median, box approx 25/75th percentiles, whiskers approx 1st and 99th percentile), c and d Global domestic chickenpopulation densities, backyard and commercial production systems respectively [14].
Figure 2. Normalised contact intensity map for domestic chicken/human interaction across the globe
Figure 3. Exploded view of contact intensity map in South-East Asia region, overlaid with human isolations of HPAI H5N1in the 2003-2004 outbreak
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