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Current State and Trends in

Learning Analytics

Dragan Gašević

@dgasevic

January 22, 2016

Open University of Hong Kong

Hong Hong

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Educational Landscape Today

“Non-traditional” students

Redefining the role of universities

Changing labor market

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Freeman, S., Eddy, S. L., McDonough, M., Smith, M. K., Okoroafor, N., Jordt, H., & Wenderoth, M. P. (2014). Active learning increases student performance in science, engineering, and mathematics. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 201319030.

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Feedback loops between

students and instructors

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Learning

environment

Educators

Learners

Student

Information

Systems

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Blogs

Videos/slides

Mobile

Search

Educators

Learners

Networks

Student

Information

Systems

Learning

environment

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Blogs

Mobile

Search

Networks

Educators

Learners

Student

Information

Systems

Learning

environment

Videos/slides

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Learning Analytics – What?

Measurement, collection,

analysis, and reporting of data about

learners and their contexts

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Learning Analytics – Why?

Understanding and optimising

learning and the environments

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Pass/Fail, Retention

Concept understanding

Learning motivation/engagement

Learning strategy and metacognition

Learning dispositions

Graduate qualities

Learning experience

Satisfaction, community

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Student retention

0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00%

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4

Course Signals No Course Signals

Arnold, K. E., & Pistilli, M. D. (2012, April). Course Signals at Purdue: Using learning analytics to increase student success. In Proceedings of the 2nd International Conference on Learning Analytics and Knowledge (pp. 267-270).

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Tanes, Z., Arnold, K. E., King, A. S., & Remnet, M. A. (2011). Using Signals for appropriate feedback: Perceptions and practices. Computers & Education, 57(4), 2414-2422.

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Patel, M. S., Asch, D. A., & Volpp, K. G. (2015). Wearable devices as facilitators, not drivers, of health behavior change. The Journal of the American Medical Association, 313(5), 459-460.

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Wright, M. C., McKay, T., Hershock, C., Miller, K., & Tritz, J. (2014). Better Than Expected: Using Learning Analytics to Promote Student Success in Gateway Science. Change: The Magazine of Higher Learning, 46(1), 28-34.

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Wright, M. C., McKay, T., Hershock, C., Miller, K., & Tritz, J. (2014). Better Than Expected: Using Learning Analytics to Promote Student Success in Gateway Science. Change: The Magazine of Higher Learning, 46(1), 28-34.

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INSTITUTIONAL ADOPTION:

CURRENT STATE

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Very few institution-wide

examples of adoption

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Stage 1: Extraction and reporting of transaction-level data

Stage 2: Analysis and monitoring of operational performance

Stage 3: “What-if” decision support (such as scenario building)

Stage 4: Predictive modeling & simulation

Stage 5: Automatic triggers and alerts (interventions)

Goldstein, P. J., & Katz, R. N. (2005). Academic analytics: The uses of management information and technology in higher education (Vol. 8). Educause.

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~70% institutions in phase 1

305 institutions, 58% at stage 1, 20% at stage 2

Yanosky, R. (2009). Institutional data management in higher education. ECAR, EDUCAUSE Center for Applied Research.

Goldstein, P. J., & Katz, R. N. (2005). Academic analytics: The uses of management information and technology in higher education (Vol. 8). Educause.

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Interest in analytics is high, but

many institutions had yet to make progress

beyond basic reporting

Bichsel, J. (2012). Analytics in higher education: Benefits, barriers, progress, and recommendations. EDUCAUSE Center for Applied Research.

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Sophistication model

Siemens, G., Dawson, S., & Lynch, G. (2014). Improving the Quality and Productivity of the Higher Education Sector - Policy and Strategy for Systems-Level Deployment of Learning Analytics. Canberra, Australia: Office of Learning and Teaching, Australian Government. Retrieved from http://solaresearch.org/Policy_Strategy_Analytics.pdf

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Sophistication model

Siemens, G., Dawson, S., & Lynch, G. (2014). Improving the Quality and Productivity of the Higher Education Sector - Policy and Strategy for Systems-Level Deployment of Learning Analytics. Canberra, Australia: Office of Learning and Teaching, Australian Government. Retrieved from http://solaresearch.org/Policy_Strategy_Analytics.pdf

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Current state

Benchmarking learning analytics status, policy and

practices for Australian universities

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Solution-driven approach

Bought an analytics product.

Analytics box ticked!

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Lack of data-informed

decision making culture

Macfadyen, L., & Dawson, S. (2012). Numbers Are Not Enough. Why e-Learning Analytics Failed to Inform an Institutional Strategic Plan. Educational Technology & Society, 15(3), 149-163.

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Researchers not focused on

scalability

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Learning from

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An institutional learning analytics vision

Tynan, B. & Buckingham Shum, S. (2013). Designing Systemic Learning Analytics at the Open University. SoLAR Open Symposium – Strategy & Policy for Systemic Learning Analytics.

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What’s necessary to

move forward?

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Data – Model – Transform

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Data

– Model – Transform

Creative data sourcing

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Social networks are everywhere

Gašević, D., Zouaq, A., Jenzen, R. (2013). ‘Choose your Classmates, your GPA is at Stake!’ The Association of Cross-Class Social Ties and Academic Performance. American Behavioral Scientist, 57(10), 1459–1478.

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Data

– Model – Transform

Creative data sourcing

Necessary IT support

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Awareness of limitations and

challenging assumptions

Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Joksimović, S., Baker, R. (in press). Does Time-on-task Estimation Matter? Implications on Validity of Learning Analytics Findings. Journal of Learning Analytics, 2(3).

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Data –

Model

– Transform

Question-driven, not data-driven

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Learning analytics is about

learning

Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Siemens, G. (2015). Let’s not forget: Learning analytics are about learning. TechTrends, 59(1), 64-71.

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Once size fits all does not work

in learning analytics

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Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Rogers, T., Gašević, D. (2016). Learning analytics should not promote one size fits all: The effects of course-specific technology use in predicting academic success. The Internet and Higher Education, 28, 68–84.

Learning context

Instructional conditions shape

learning analytics results

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Learner agency

Kovanović, V., Gašević, D., Joksimović, S., Hatala, M., Adesope, S. (2015). Analytics of Communities of Inquiry: Effects of Learning Technology Use on Cognitive Presence in Asynchronous Online Discussions. The Internet and Higher Education, 27, 74–89.

More time online does not

always mean better learning

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Data – Model

Transform

Participatory design of analytics tools

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Data – Model

Transform

Participatory design of analytics tools

Analytics tools for non-statistics experts

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Visualizations can be harmful

Corrin, L., & de Barba, P. (2014). Exploring students’ interpretation of feedback delivered through learning analytics dashboards. In Proceedings of the ascilite 2014 conference (pp. 629-633). ascilite.

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Data – Model

Transform

Participatory design of analytics tools

Analytics tools for non-statistics experts

Develop capabilities to exploit (big) data

Barton, D., & Court, D. (Oct 2012). Making Advanced Analytics Work for You. Harvard Business Review, 79-83,

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Marr, B. (Oct 2015). Forget Data Scientists - Make Everyone Data Savvy,

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What to do if we detect

deficit models in our practice?

Are we ready to act on analytics?

Joksimović, S., Gašević, D., Loughin, T. M., Kovanović, V., Hatala, M. (2015). Learning at distance: Effects of interaction traces on academic achievement. Computers & Education, 87, 204–217.

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How do we deal with

performance-oriented culture?

Are we ready to act on analytics?

Jovanović, J., Pardo, A., Gašević, D., Dawson, S., Mirriahi, N. (2015). Dynamic analytics of learning in flipped classrooms. Manuscript in preparation.

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LA idealized systems model

Colvin, C., Rogers, T., Wade, A., Dawson, S., Gasevic, D., Buckingham Shum, S., Nelson, K., Alexander, S., Lockyer, L., Kennedy, G., Corrin, L., Fisher, J. (2015). Student retention and learning analytics: A snapshot of Australian practices and a framework for advancement. Australian Goverement’s Office for Learning and Teaching.

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Macfadyen, L. P., Dawson, S., Pardo, A., & Gasevic, D. (2014). Embracing big data in complex educational systems: The learning analytics imperative and the policy challenge. Research & Practice in Assessment, 9(2), 17-28.

Rapid Outcome Mapping Approach

(ROMA)

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Embracing complexity of

educational systems

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Capacity development

Multidisciplinary teams in

institutions critical

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Ethical and privacy consideration

Development of data privacy agency

Prinsloo, P., & Slade, S. (2015). Student privacy self-management: implications for learning analytics. In Proceedings of the Fifth International Conference on Learning Analytics And Knowledge (pp. 83-92). ACM.

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Sclater, N. (2014). Code of practice for learning analytics: A literature review of the ethical and legal issues. http://repository.jisc.ac.uk/5661/1/Learning_Analytics_A-_Literature_Review.pdf

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Development of

analytics culture

Manyika, J. et al. (2011). Big Data: The Next Frontier for Innovation, Competition, and Productivity. McKinsey Global Institute, http://goo.gl/Lue3qs

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References

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