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Travel time predictions: should one model speeds or travel times?

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Figure

Fig. 1 Location of the test sites.percentage of time intervals for which at least one observation is obtained (white=0%, orange = 50%, black = 100%)
Fig. 2 Empirical cumulative distribution functions (ECDF) for data availability forobservations
Fig. 3 a ECDF of average speed for all links (in m/s). Hietzing (blue), Westbahnhof (black, dotted), Ring (red, dashed), Südosttangente (green,dash-dotted)
Fig. 4 Kernel density estimate for residuals of link travel times (a, c, e, g) and link speeds (b, d, f, h) for all links, all time-of-day-intervals on thevalidation set for Hietzing (a, b), Westbahnhof (c, d), Ring (e, f) and Südosttangente (g, h)
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