Dr Michael Ritzau
Increasing Power Flexibility
Berlin Energy Transition Dialogue 2016
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F I E L D S O F E X P E R T I S E
• Strategy and political advisory • Energy markets analysis
• Economic and technical feasibility of power plant projects (Due diligence)
• Integration of intermittent generation from renewables • Grid access concepts and Grid extension planning • Dispute reolution
• Counseling in strategic, energy-related matters for decision makers
B A C K G R O U N D
1976 Graduated in electrical engineering at the RWTH Aachen Doctorate in engineering (1989) at the Institute for Electrical Plant and Power Industry
1988 co-founder and managing director of
BET Büro für Energiewirtschaft und technische Planung GmbH in Aachen
Member of IAEE (International Association of Energy Economists)
Member of FGH (Forschungsgesellschaft Energie)
Member of working group fuel and water whithin VIK (Vereinigung industrielle Kraftwirtschaft)
Member in various panels of BMWi
P E R S O N A L D A T A Year 1956 Nationality german CV
Dr Michael Ritzau
Managing Director2 2 2
We accompany the energy industry as pioneers, experts and practical translators
WHAT DRIVES US
Hier: Veranstaltung, Ort Datum für alle Folien (Einfügen-Fußzeile-für alle übernehmen) Development of the
German gas network access model
Transaction projects & management consulting
Foundation of B E T Dynamo Suisse AG Assessing the development
of competition for the Federal Ministry of Economy Development of a
network access regulation
Foundation of B E T by Dr. Michael Ritzau & Dr. Wolfgang Zander Support of ministries on implementation of the energy concept 1988 1999-2000 1995 2003 Since 2007 SINCE 2011 2012 Conception of an energy market design for VKU
2013
Proposal for a new network charge system
2015
Thinking energy ahead– Utility company+
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We have aligned our structures to tackle the complex market requirements
HOW WE ARE ORGANISED
Hier: Veranstaltung, Ort Datum für alle Folien (Einfügen-Fußzeile-für alle übernehmen)
Grid Consulting
Management Consulting
Market Consulting
Transaction Advisory Services & Business Analysis Organisational & Personnel Development Decentralised Energy Systems Organisation & Data Management Regulation & Network Access Grid Evaluation & Grid Planning
Power Plants & Storage
Energy Systems & Fundamental Models Energy Markets, Sales & Portfolio Management Commercial Grid
Management
Coporate Strategy & Management GRIDS DATA MANAGEMENT REGULATION GRID MANAGEMENT STRATEGY & MANAGEMENT TRANS-ACTIONS ORGANISA-TIONS & PERSONNEL POWER PLANTS & STORAGE MARKETS & TRADE RENEWABLES SYSTEMS & MODELS
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The increasing share of renewable energy sources with intermittent generation has a
considerable impact on our present power system
WHAT WILL HAPPEN IF MORE RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES ARE INSTALLED?
BETD, Berlin, 17.03.2016 • Source Krzikalla et al (BET) 2013: „Möglichkeiten zum Ausgleich fluktuierender Einspeisungen aus Erneuerbaren Energien“, Studie im Auftrag des Bundesverbandes Erneuerbare Energie
Not taking into account bottlenecks in the grid
load renewable energy
generation residual load load renewable energy
generation
renewable energy
generation residual load
Residual load BEE-Scenario Scenario 55% RES
Scenario 40 % RES Actual (2014) 27 % RES
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There are o lot of options for increasing flexibility. The electricity market should
provide the appropriate price signal to trigger most efficient technologies
OPTIONS FOR INCREASING POWER FLEXIBILITY
BETD, Berlin, 17.03.2016
2015
2020
2030
2040
2050
Demand Site Management Industry
Power to heat, power to transport
Demand Site Management Domestic and commercial
New Hydro storage
Feed-in Management Wind & PV Reducing must-run operation
New flexible back-up plants
Power to Gas (H2) Battery storage as a game changer Increasing flexibility of thermal power plants by retrofit
Power to Gas (CH4)
32% 40% 45% 50% 70% > 80% Share of Renewables1)
1) % of power consumption
Grid extension
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Electric boilers replace the heat production in heating boilers; the electricity for this
will be purchased in the control energy market and the spot market
EXAMPLE 1: POWER-TO-HEAT
Innovationsforum Energie, Zürich, 10.03.2016
Heat generation is able to
compete with electricity
generation if
levies & network fees of
taxes are removed,
• expensive, alternative heat generation is replaced and / or
• simultaneously quality system service services are provided
Climate politically electric
boiler are only justified if
actually used with
Renewable energy overflow
Case Study
Stadtwerke
Lemgo
Bild- & Textquelle: Stadtwerke Lemgo GmbH
•
In 2012 Stadtwerke Lemgo took a 5 MW electric
boiler in operation
•
The boiler replaced heat from heating plants and
is marketed in the control energy markets
•
Because of the combination of CHP and electric
boiler SW Lemgo have a special regulatory
situation regarding EEG Umlage, electricity taxes
and network tariffs.
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How does the installation of a battery storage improve the profitability of a PV self
consumption system for a supermarket in Germany?
EXAMPLAE 2: BATTERY STORAGE FOR IMPROVING THE SELF-CONSUMPTION RATE OF A PV-SYSTEM
I N I T I A L S I T U A T I O N W I T H O U T S T O R A G E
Hier: Veranstaltung, Ort Datum für alle Folien (Einfügen-Fußzeile-für alle übernehmen) 100 200 300 400 500 1 1001 2001 3001 4001 5001 6001 7001 8001
kW/h
storage capacity utilization in 2015
filling level storage [kWh] loadt segment I [kW] power adapetd Et location II [kW]
• Assumption for modeling lithium-ion battery: • storage efficiency: 85%
• self-discharge rate: 0,05%/yr (0,001 %/h) • max. depth of discharge: 70%
• Modelling was carried out on a high temporally basis
• supermarket uses PV plant (95 kWp) for self consumption • electricity demand of supermarket: 254 GWh/a
(Pmin: 9 kW/a; Pmax: 60 kW/a)
• self consumption rate of the generated electricity at 80% • still high economical attractiveness for the use of a PV
system for self consumption, although the„EEG-Umlage“ has to be paid proportionally since 2015
M O D E L L I N G B A T T E R Y S T O R A G E
Without battery storage the electricity surplus
will be feed in
Does the profitabilityof the PV self consumption system can be further increased by the installation of a battery storageto enhance the self-consumption rate to 100%?
Electricity generation of the PV plant exceeds only in a few hours of a year the load of the supermarket
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the full battery capacity (516 kWh) is used only a few hours per year; the utilization of
the (expensive) battery is relatively low
results of storage modelling
BATTERY STORAGE FOR IMPROVING THE SELF-CONSUMPTION RATE OF A PV-SYSTEM
• Does a battery storage with less capacity and a higher utilization is economically attractive?
What critical costs per kWh capacity a lithium-ion battery need to have to be cost-effective?
• What further deployment and optimization possibilities arise when installing a battery storage? What monetary value does have an advanced storage utilization to optimize electricity procurement?
• What storage capacity lead to a maximum NPV? What influence does have the consideration of a battery storage on the optimal size of the PV system?
N E E D S F O R F U R T H E R M O D E L L I N G
Hier: Veranstaltung, Ort Datum für alle Folien (Einfügen-Fußzeile-für alle übernehmen)
in order to achieve a self-consumption rate of 100% (no feed in), a relatively high
storage capacity (about 500 kWh) need to be installed
I
the full battery capacity is used only a few hours per year; over 20 years the lithium-ion battery
run-through 632 (theoretical) full charge cycles; the battery buffers primarily peaks
II
with the installation of the battery storage, the NPV of the PV self consumption system
can be improved bynearly
40,000 € to 81,160 € (discounted over 20 years)
III
battery storage capacity is up to date still cost
expensive; for 40,000 €a commercial lithium-ion battery system with 40 kWh is available
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The integration of renewable energy can be supported by virtual power plants.
Together with large-scale integrated district heating systems, CHP can contribute
significantly
HOW CAN VIRTUAL POWER PLANTS CONTRIBUTE?
A
virtual power
plant is the combination of
measures to increase flexibility in all
components
of the electricity network
(generation, grid, consumers).
Virtual power plants
enable the combination
and control of generation and demand to an
optimized overall system
.
Various control concepts:
• Decentralized control of virtual power plants
according to market signals considering local
restrictions (thermal load for CHP, electrical load)
• Control by a central instance (control room)
BETD, Berlin, 17.03.2016 CHP DSM Heat
Virtual
power plant
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Is the future energy supplier a big supervisor of various flexibilities?
STATUS QUO AND TARGETS
Innovationsforum Energie, Zürich, 10.03.2016 Utility+supports
households in implementing their own
supplies and uses the storage for system
optimization Utility+ supportes
households in decentralised heat supply as contractor and uses the flexibility to optimize the system"
Utility+operates its own power generation equipment and uses the
transformation of other energy forms for energy
storage “
„Versorger+supports
industry and trade in the uplift of flexibility
options“ „Versorger+gaines
access to public transport to use the flexibility in the schedule
management
Utility+needs access
to electric mobility to time to stagger load
operations
?
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The alternate tariffs offers the possibility to adapt their consumption and injection
behavior flexibly to market and network situation
MAIN FEATURES OFF THE NETWORKS TARIFFS
Innovationsforum Energie, Zürich, 10.03.2016 Differentiation of network tariff according to
self-consumption and energy output
Network tariff scale according to spot price
(1) Netzbetreiber, die keine direkte Kopplung an den Spotpreis vornehmen wollen, können in begründeten Fällen ein eigenes Netzsignal verwenden.
•
No general punishment for
self-consumption
•
Incentive for
network-relevan
t behavior
•
Maintenance of the energy price (kWh)
•
Strengthening market signal via network
charges
•
Network tariff scale stimulates
market-relevant behavior
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Analog to this an adaption of
„
EEG-Umlage“
is advisably
Spot price Energy price consumption <1 ct/kWh 2.5 ct/kWh Extra charge Energy output 1 bis 8 ct/kWh +3.5 ct/kWh 2.5 ct/kWh >8 ct/kWh +6.5 ct/kWh 2.5 ct/kWh Base tariff Alternate tariff Total consumption Self-consumption Energy output 6 ct/kWh 5 ct/kWh Level of energy price 2.5 ct/kWh13 13 13
Next to base tariffs and alternate tariffs, additional tariffs give the consumer the
possibility to save costs by load control through the network
MAIN FEATURES OFF THE NETWORKS TARIFFS
Innovationsforum Energie, Zürich, 10.03.2016 Additional tariff 1: load shifting
Additional tariff 2: unsecured load
(1) Analoge Systematik zu den bisher abschaltbaren Tarifen nach §14a EnWG. Nutzer, die keine steuerbaren Tarife möchten, können (ggf. mit Beteiligung an den Ausbaukosten durch Einmalzahlungen) auch reguläre Kapazität erhalten.
•
Networks operator
shifts the electricity
output
(e.g. loading over night)
•
Controlable tariffs
prevent
disproportionate network expansion
through
Gleichzeitigkei
t
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Expansion of the available capacity by
(n-0)-secure network operation
•
Analog to gas supply
(n-0) loa d (kW /h) (n-1) 18:00 20:00 22:00 24:00 00:00 02:00 loa d (kW )
E N E R G I E .
W E I T E R
D E N K E N
B E T Büro für Energiewirtschaft und technische Planung GmbH
Aachen, Leipzig, Hamm (D) | Zofingen (CH) Alfonsstraße 44, D-52070 Aachen, Telefon +49 241 47062-0 Telefax +49 241 47062-600 www.bet-aachen.de
E N E R G I E .
W E I T E R
D E N K E N
Dr. Michael Ritzau Telefon +49 241 47062-420 Fax +49 241 47062-600 E-Mail [email protected] K O N T A K T P E R S O N