Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Nuno Lopes
, Sara Dionísio, Patrícia Silva & Catarina Freitas
Head of the Environmental Studies and Management Division
Sustainable Environmental Management and Planning Department
City Council of Almada, Portugal
Implementation of
Almada’s
Adaptation Strategy: a multi-level
approach.
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Topics
…
...
a glimpse of Almada
...
adaptation in Almada’s Strategy for
Climate Change
...
boosting resilience through ecosystem
based adaptation
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Lisboa
Almada
Tagus River
Atlantic
Ocean
Almada
Coastal southern
European city
1 of 18
municipalities in
Lisbon
Metropolitan Area
Area ~ 70 km
2
175 000
inhabitants
35 km Waterfront
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Topics
…
...
a glimpse of Almada
...
adaptation in Almada’s Strategy for
Climate Change
...
improving resilience through ecosystem
based adaptation
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Almada’s starting point on adaptation…
−
South bank of Tagus river across Lisbon
►
urban pressure
−
Highly populated and dense territory
−
Vulnerable coastal and riverfront areas to sea level rise, with
high tourist value
−
Abusive occupation of high value natural areas, rich
Mediterranean ecosystems at risk
−
Ageing society
Long term vision on sustainability from our political leadership
More informed community
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Mitigation
Agenda
energy consumption and GHGs emissions
Energy efficiency, renewables, smart mobility...
low carbon city
Adaptation
Agenda
Allowing the
resilience of our natural, social and
economic systems
, providing our communities an
healthy and safe environment to live and work.
... but even with drastic mitigation, accumulated CO
2
will
change the climate until 2040’ (climatic system inertia)
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Mitigation
Agenda
energy consumption and GHGs emissions
Energy efficiency, renewables, smart mobility...
low carbon city
Adaptation
Agenda
Means to allow the
resilience of our natural, social
and economic systems
, providing our communities an
healthy and safe environment to live and work.
... but even with drastic mitigation, accumulated CO
2
will
change the climate until 2040’ (climatic system inertia)
ECCA, European Climate Change Adaptation Conference 2013
Hamburg
|
18 – 20 March 2013
Conferência “Roteiro Local para as Alterações Climáticas: Mobilizar, Planear e Agir” Almada, Portugal | 28 - 29 Maio 2009
Methodology
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptation
Downscaling Climate Evolution Scenarios
Monitoring climate change impacts
(ex:,
floods, landslides, heat waves, oceanic
overwashes)
Vulnerability Diagnosis
(coast, riverfront,
ecosystems, urban water cycle, urban services),
existing and amplified…
Modeling Urban Heat Island Effect
Design Risk Maps
Definition of adaptation goals and
measures
Integrating adaptation goals and measures
in land use planning: Urban Plans and
Master Plan of Almada
(currently under
revision)
in Almada’s Strategy
for Climate Change
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Almada’s Climate Evolution
(2070-2100 scenarios)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Maior temp. máx. registada Média temp. máx. Verão Média temp. diária anual Média temp. mín. Inverno
T e m p e ra tu ra ( oC)
Anomalia das temperaturas para 2070 -2100 em Almada
2000-2006 2070 - 2100 ↑+4,25 oC ↑+5 oC ↑+2,5 oC ↑+4 oC
Variação dos modelos
0,0 1,0 2,0 3,0 4,0 5,0 6,0 7,0 8,0 9,0 10,0
Jan Fev Mar Abr Mai Jun Jul Ago Set Out Nov Dez
Pr e c ip ita ç ã o (m m )
Evolução da precipitação mensal com alterações climáticas
2000 - 2009 2070 - 2100
Temperature
-
Annual mean:
increases
2,5 ºC
-
T
máxSummer , Winter:
rises
4,0
to
5,0 ºC
-
Nº of Days/year with >35 ºC:
5-10
►
20-30
Precipitation
-
55%
reduction
in Summer precipitation
-
12,5%
increase
in Winter precipitation
-
Decrease
of
15
to
55%
in
Autumn and Spring
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Almada’s vulnerability to
Natural Hazards
Mass Wasting
(
rock falls, rock topple, landslides)
Sea Level Rise
(coastal erosion)
Storm Surges/overwash
Droughts
Flooding
Salinization of Coastal Aquifers
Forest Fires
Biodiversity loss
Heat waves
Mass Wasting
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
“Boost” resilience in land use planning
Multi-dimension, integrated and
multi-level
approach:
Detail scale
: integration of
specific adaptive solutions
(smart urban design)
in the development of
Local and
Urban Plans
(1:1.000)
Municipal scale
:
define a
global territorial adaptation
strategy
and establish
solutions + regulations
for
Almada’s
Master Plan
(1:10.000)
Improving resilience through
land use planning
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
F2 - New approaches to resilient
urban planning and design
3 levels of land use planning:
Master Plan
(1:10.000)
Urban Plans
(1:1.000)
+
Local Plans
(1:1.000)
Land use plans are
the most strategic
compulsory plans
that can be develop
at a local level !
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Examples Adaptative Measures
(Detail scale)
Smart urban design
to improve natural cooling and the use
of solar energy in buildings
Conservative average sea-level rise limits
incorporated in
urban design
Development of
urban green corridors
Coastal dune
restoration
Promotion of
water infiltration
and the use of permeable
pavements
Protection of people and property from flood risk with the
construction of terrace defenses and retention basins
Rehabilitation of
streams with riparian vegetation (green
and blue infrastructure)
boosting resilience through land
use planning
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
recover of the dune
ecosystems
dune reconstitution:
minimum level 12 m
sediment trapping
erosion and slope deposits
control with native plants
urban perimeter
reconfiguration
with retreat from
the risk areas
define a new
ground level: 11 m
(landfill)
building on stilts
elevated pathways
Example: Developing Local Plan of Fonte da Telha
Coastal Adaptation Measures incorporated in the Plan
PROTECT
ACCOMMODATE
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Topics
…
...
a glimpse of Almada
...
adaptation in Almada’s Strategy for
Climate Change
...
improving resilience through ecosystem
based adaptation
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
1º
Identify different types of hazards in Almada
2º
Evaluate how the current hazards will be amplified by
climate change impacts
3º
Assess how GI’s environmental services can respond
and mitigate to current and future hazardous/
vulnerabilities
4º
Spatial representation of GI’s environmental services
5º
Designed ecosystem based projects to address the
hazardous/vulnerabilities
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Types of
hazards in
Almada
GI’s
environmental
services
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
GI’s
environmental
services
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Nature
conservation
Food
Aquifer
recharge
Carbon
sequestration
(floods, marine
washover, land slides)
Erosion
control
Rain water
permeability
Microclimatic
regulation
)Disease
plagues
control, seed
dispersal
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Multifunctional Map of Green
Infrastructures Network
Environmental services
Multifunctionality
(nr. of services)
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Example of Almada’s GI application
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
High vulnerability to heat waves: evaluate mortality rate increased
in Lisbon Area for the period of the
heat wave in 2013 (June 23
rd
to
July 14
th
)
Example of GI application
Number of heat wave days for
June-July-August 2013 (NACLIM FP7 Project)
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Hazards
Heat island
Effect
Heat waves
Drought
Fires
…
Green Infrastructure
Major GI
Vegetation of conservative value
Water course (bed and banks)
Areas of highest infiltration
Cliffs (protection belts)
Soils of high ecological value
Areas at risk of erosion
Urban GI
Gardens and parks
Retention basins
Wooded areas and streets,
Vegetable gardens
…
c
Green
Infrastructure
services
Microclimatic regulation
and reduction of heat
island effects on cities
Flood mitigation during
rainfall peaks
Nutrient recycling and
groundwater supply
Erosion control
Food production
Recreation, Education,…
Example of GI application
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Boosting territorial resilience
Example
GI
+
BI
multifunctional project
Objectives
:
Mitigation of flood/erosion hazards; enhance
biodiversity; promotion of local food production
food,
biodiversity,
runoff water;
water infiltration
Present Problem
:
Erosion events caused by flooding
during heavy rain periods; soil and infrastructure losses;
biodiversity lost; demand for vegetable gardens
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Boosting territorial resilience
Example
GI
+
BI
multifunctional project
Hazards
GI
+
BI
How can
GI
+
BI
and their ecosystem services respond to current
and future hazards/vulnerabilities?
Water course
Water course margins
High permeability areas
Soils of high ecological
value
Vegetation with
conservative value
Vegetable gardens
Wooded areas
Gardens and parks …
Flooding
Erosion
Soil loss
Biodiversity
loss
…
GI
+
BI
Ecosystem Services
Erosion control
Flood mitigation during
rainfall peaks
Food production
Adaptation water cycle
and other urban services
Microclimatic mitigation
and reduction of heat
island effect
Improve air and water
quality …
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Solution
:
Natural stream
restoration (riparian
vegetation)
+
Retention basin
(accommodate
stormwater)
+
Vegetable garden
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Fruit farm
Fruit farmPicnic Park
Stream
Stream
Riparian vegetationHydraulic surface
discharger
Meadow Vegetable plots
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
75,00 m
31.152,55 m
33.460,55 m
3Volume Water
capacity
Flooding area
Bacia de retenção Bacia de retenção Área inundável
Nível 1 Nível 2 Nível 3 Nível 4
Level 2
Level 3
Level 4
Water Retention
Retain basin
Retain basin
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Boosting territorial resilience
Objectives
:
Mitigation of coastal erosion, restore
dune ecosystems and enhance biodiversity
biodiversity,
sediment loss;
sedimentary balance
Present Problem
: H
igh coast line regression;
degradated dunes; no vegetation; beach sand
nourishment required for inland protection;
biodiversity loss
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Boosting territorial resilience
Hazards
GI
+
BI
How can
GI
+
BI
and their ecosystem services respond to current
and future hazards/vulnerabilities?
Dune relief (beaches, sand
dunes)
Vegetation of conservative
value
Areas of highest infiltration
…
Adverse weather
conditions
(storms,
strong winds)
Storm surge
Shoreline retreat
Coastal flood
Overwash
Loss of
Biodiversity
Saline intrusion
…
GI
+
BI
Ecosystem Services
Flood mitigation during
storms
Resilience to disasters
Erosion control
Nature conservation
Genetic resources
Water availability/quality
Tourism
Cultural inheritage …
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Seoul, South Korea
|
11
thApril 2015
Boosting territorial resilience
Solution
: ReDuna Project
Soft measures
(ecological restoration of coastal
sand dunes)
+
Heavy coastal protection measures
(beach sand
nourishment)
ICLEI World Congress 2015
|
Urban Nature: Provisioning Services - Water for life
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
ReDuna
→
Erosion control
→
Resilience to disasters
→
Nature conservation
→
Tourism
→
…
sand fences made of
dry willow branches or wicker
permanent fences to regulate the pedestrian access to the dune
elevated pathways for dune protection
plantation of native species on mobile dunes
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Topics
…
...
a glimpse of Almada
...
adaptation in Almada’s Strategy for
Climate Change
...
improving resilience through ecosystem
based adaptation
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Final remarks …
Conclusions
Climate Change
is a
Global phenomena
with
Local impacts:
adaptation must be addressed at a City level
Adapt Cities to climate change
, means addressing the
uncertainty of its impacts
(different nature, type, magnitude)
and
take decisions, act now
But… Cities are
extremely complex systems
(mass, energy,
momentum
flows…), difficult to manage
So,
flexibility
and
creativity
are required in any adaptation
strategy (local management with a global knowledge…)
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Final remarks …
Final Remarks
Green Infrastructure as a planning tool
is an effective
way to build natural and urban resilience, with short term
benefits with a lower cost than grey infrastructure.
Private engagement should be promoted
e.g.
economic
valuation of environmental services
.
Multi-dimension provision of ecosystem services
can
tackle different hazards, with several benefits from win-win
solutions
However, ecosystem based adaptation implies
a deep
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Future challenges…
Future challenges
It is important for
Cities to rely on robust
(“translated”)
data
to useful information, benchmarking studies
and
practical
solutions. (R&D)
−
more regional
data
about the economic value of
environmental services provided by ecosystems
−
evaluate the limits for adaptation (what is the tolerable
risk?)
−
more comparative studies on investement and cost
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015
Adaptación a los efectos del cambio climático: Marco europeo, sectores estratégicos y políticas municipales Bilbao | 15 September 2015