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Educational Efforts With

Educational Efforts With

FAST Tools

FAST Tools

By Paul N. Ellinger

2

FAST Tools

FAST Tools

farmdoc companion project initiated in 1999

farmdoc

• Development of spreadsheet-based tools to aid decisions for

producers, lenders, consultants and investors

• Facilitate use, access, distribution of tools and resources

through CD and internet distribution

– Quarterly subscription

farmdoc

farmdoc download

– via workshops

• Approximately, 23,000 CDs produced and another 25,000

downloads

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

FAST Tools

FAST Tools

-

-

Overview

Overview

farmdoc

farmdoc

materials

materials

Computerized

Computerized

Decision Aids

Decision Aids

Financial

Financial

Analysis

Analysis

Investment

Investment

Analysis

Analysis

Loan

Loan

Analysis

Analysis

Farm

Farm

Management

Management

Grain Marketing &

Grain Marketing &

Management

Management

Risk

Risk

Management

Management

Yield and Land

Yield and Land

Database Utilities

Database Utilities

AgMas

AgMas

Crop Insurance

Crop Insurance

Proceedings:

Proceedings:

Farm

Farm

Management

Management

Financial

Financial

Management

Management

Policy

Policy

Law and Taxation

Law and Taxation

Grain Marketing

Grain Marketing

Financial Analysis

Financial Analysis

™ Appraisal of current financial position

™ Balance sheet

™ Ratio calculator

™ Cash flow planning

™ Cash to accrual income approximation

™ Estimates of deferred taxes

™ Repayment capacity analysis

™ Net worth allocation

Assist in preparing and interpreting financial

Assist in preparing and interpreting financial

information and

information and

measuring financial health

measuring financial health

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Investment Analysis

Investment Analysis

Assist in measuring the economic returns and

Assist in measuring the economic returns and

performance

performance

of alternative types of investments.

of alternative types of investments.

™ Capital budgeting

™ Grain bin analysis

™ Land purchase analysis

™ Lease versus purchase

™ Machinery financing

™ MACRS calculator

™ Savings calculator

™ Time value of money calculator

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Loan Analysis

Loan Analysis

™ Loan amortization

™ Loan comparison

™ Revolving loan calculator

Assist in calculating loan payments and schedules;

Assist in calculating loan payments and schedules;

comparing alternative loans; and measuring the

comparing alternative loans; and measuring the

sensitivity of payments to changes in loan parameters

sensitivity of payments to changes in loan parameters

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Farm Management

Farm Management

Assist in developing enterprise budgets and

Assist in developing enterprise budgets and

breakeven levels; estimating costs of machinery

breakeven levels; estimating costs of machinery

operations; and comparing crop insurance and

operations; and comparing crop insurance and

farmland leasing alternatives

farmland leasing alternatives

™ Break even analysis

™ Crop budgeting tool

™ Crop insurance calculator

™ Enterprise allocation and analysis

™ Farmland lease analysis

™ Machinery lease analysis

Grain Marketing and Management

Grain Marketing and Management

Assist in tracking grain inventory and

Assist in tracking grain inventory and

estimating the costs and returns of grain

estimating the costs and returns of grain

storage and delivery

storage and delivery

™ Crop storage analysis

™ Grain delivery model

™ Grain pricing model

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Risk Management

Risk Management

Assist in evaluating the impact of farmland lease types

Assist in evaluating the impact of farmland lease types

as well as marketing and crop insurance strategies on

as well as marketing and crop insurance strategies on

revenue and income distributions.

revenue and income distributions.

™ Crop insurance historical evaluator

™ Farm rent evaluator

™ Marketing and crop insurance risk model

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Yield and Land Database Utilities

Yield and Land Database Utilities

Assist in analyzing county

Assist in analyzing county-

-level historical crop

level historical crop

yields and land prices and assist with common

yields and land prices and assist with common

computations related to soil productivity

computations related to soil productivity

measures and yield predictions

measures and yield predictions

™ Illinois, Indiana, Iowa crop yield database

™ Illinois farmland sales database

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

farmdoc

farmdoc

materials

materials

AgMas

AgMas

Crop Insurance

Crop Insurance

Proceedings:

Proceedings:

Dept. workshops

Dept. workshops

Farm

Farm

Management

Management

Financial

Financial

Management

Management

Policy

Policy

Law and Taxation

Law and Taxation

Grain Marketing

Grain Marketing

farmdoc

farmdoc

resources:

resources:

Farm Management

Farm Management

• Farm Economics: Facts and Opinions

• Costs of operating machinery

• Costs of production

• Crop budgets & Crop revenue less variable costs

• Hog budgets

• Farmland index numbers and Soil Productivity Ratings

• Leasing forms

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

farmdoc

farmdoc

resources:

resources:

Financial Management

Financial Management

• Farmers Guide to Agricultural Credit

• Producer preferences for lender attributes

• Getting ready to prepare a balance sheet

• Financial analysis primer

• Credit analysis reports

• Family living tables

• Financial characteristics of Illinois Farms:2002-03

• Financial Characteristics: historical tables

• Machinery Investment per acre

• Time value of money concepts & investment primer

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Current Resources and Activities

Current Resources and Activities

• 40 laptop computer lab

• New FAST educator / coordinator

• CD duplication

• 70+ meetings in past 12 months that have

addressed / integrated FAST

Theme & Focus

Theme & Focus

Teach Decision Making

Teach Decision Making

Integrate and utilize FAST

Integrate and utilize FAST

Not just computer training

Not just computer training

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Educational Efforts

Educational Efforts

3 Dimensions

3 Dimensions

Content/

Meeting Type

In

te

nd

ed

Au

di

en

ce

Host(s)

Content: Modules

Content: Modules

• Crop insurance

• Financial management

• Grain inventory pricing and

management

• Machinery management

• Land investment and lease analysis

• Enterprise analysis

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Audiences

Audiences

Targeted and General

Targeted and General

• Lenders

• FSA

• Farmers

• Farm bureau managers

• College and High School Students

• Educators (train the trainer programs)

– College and Jr College instructors

– Vo-Ag Teachers

– Extension Educators

– State record fieldstaff (Iowa, KY, Illinois and Alabama)

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Hosts

Hosts

Getting the right people at the table

Getting the right people at the table

• Typical Extension Channels

• Farm Bureau

• Farm Credit System

• Commercial Banks

• Growmark

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Meeting Examples

Meeting Examples

Train

Train

-

-

the

the

-

-

Trainer

Trainer

• 2 separate, 2-day workshops

• Each tool is taught from a teacher

perspective

– Cases and teacher guides available for each tool

– Teacher guides

• quick cases

• In-depth cases

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Meeting Examples

Meeting Examples

• Financial Management

• Crop Insurance

– Schnitkey-Show Them the Data

• Lender sponsored meetings/appreciation

events

• Annie’s Project

– Ruth Hambleton

• Integration into annual lender school

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Meeting Examples

Meeting Examples

• Break-out sessions at annual

farmdoc

meeting

• Farm Bureau sponsored meetings

• Integration w/Growmark

• Undergraduate Classroom

• FSA Lender training

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

What is ahead?

What is ahead?

• Developing a longer-term risk management

tool

• Partner with other states to deliver and

develop programs

• Develop livestock tools

Demo of Tools

Demo of Tools

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

FAST Tools

FAST Tools

--

--

Demo

Demo

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Trend Analysis

Trend Analysis

Trend Analysis

Joe and Elise Farmer 2000 2001 2002 2003 High Performance Health Include in Liquidity Benchmark Index Ratio Report R

Current Ratio 0.832 0.584 0.646 0.751 1.500 1.0 3.0 TRUE C

Working Capital to VFP (gross revenue) (0.05) (0.20) (0.14) (0.09) 0.50 1.2 4.0 TRUE W

Working Capital $ (24,743)$ (76,824)$ (67,968)$ (39,415) $220,742 1.2 NA TRUE W

Trend Index 2000 2001 2002 2003 Working Capital -136,000.00 -67,000.00 2,000.00 71,000.00 140,000.00 209,000.00 2000 2001 2002 2003

Joe and Elise Farmer Earned Net Worth Trend

-0.20 -0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 2000 2001 2002 2003

Operating Profit Margin Ratio

-0.10 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 2000 2001 2002 2003

Net Farm Income from Operations

-12,000.00 13,000.00 38,000.00 63,000.00 88,000.00 113,000.00 138,000.00 2000 2001 2002 2003

Term Debt and Capital Debt Margin

-61,000.00 -33,000.00 -5,000.00 23,000.00 51,000.00 79,000.00 2000 2001 2002 2003

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RME Kansas City April 2005 RME Kansas City April 2005

Monthly Cash Flow Sources and Uses

Loan and Savings Balances

-- -- - -- -- -- -- - - -- -- -216,490 -12000 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000

Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Operating Loan Savings Balance Total Loans Max Operating Max Savings

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Cash Flow Sensitivity

Cash Flow Sensitivity

Sensitivity analysis 1Sensitivity analysis 2Sensitivity analysis 3

Baseline

Sensitivity Report

Yield Drop Yield and Price Drop Yield, Price and Cost

Net farm income before taxes $ (2,461) $ (22,288) $ (26,774) $ 19,845 Net income before taxes $ 29,783 $ 9,955 $ 5,470 $ 52,089 Net cash income after depreciation $ (6,927) $ (26,580) $ (30,762) $ 10,900 Capital debt replacement capacity $ 9,075 $ (10,753) $ (15,238) $ 31,381 Capital debt replacement margin $ (15,120) $ (34,947) $ (39,433) $ 7,186 Term debt coverage ratio 0.643 0.174 0.068 1.170 Maximum operating loan balance $ 216,490 $ 220,099 $ 223,767 $ 216,490 Ending operating loan balance $ 91,066 $ 110,719 $ 114,901 $ 73,239 Net cash from operating activities $ 4,589 $ (15,064) $ (19,246) $ 22,416 Net cash from investing activities $ - $ - $ - $ -Net cash from financing activities $ (4,589) $ 15,064 $ 19,246 $ (22,416) Corn yield 147 147 147 163 Soybean yield 46 46 46 51 Wheat yield - - - -Other Crop 1 yield - - - -Other Crop 2 yield - - - -Other Crop 3 yield - - -

-Corn price $2.30 $2.07 $2.07 $2.30

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