Christian de Faria
MTN Group Chief Commercial Officer
Mobile and Convergence
– the future of communication is here?
Highway Africa Conference
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
2
Africa calling
- the early beginnings of mobile telephony
o Less than 1% of the continent’s
population was connected by landlines run by inefficient state-owned
monopolies
o Tele-density (Tel lines/100 people) was 1.4, compared to Asia’s 6.3 and the world’s 10.3
o Average waiting period for a line installation was 5 years
o Making call a phone call was almost a privilege
Africa before the 1990s Recent Africa
o The first calls were being made on SA’s network just as South Africans were voting in the first democratic elections
o Through sheer ingenuity, African
entrepreneurs( like Mo Ibrahim and Strive Masiyiwa) realized that erecting BTS was considerably cheaper than running cables
o Soon the novelty of mobile telephony caught on very rapidly in other African countries
o Now Africa’s mobile penetration is about 50%
o And 1 out 5 Africans has an MTN SIM card Africa’s mobile revolution took off in earnest in
SA 17 yrs ago, with two licences issued Conditions in the 90s were perfect for the
emergence of mobile telephony in Africa
A connected world
Close to 5 billion mobile subscribers by end of 2010 worldwide
Mobile cellular networks cover almost 90% of the world population – expected to reach 100% by 2015
Biggest ICT success story has been the spread of mobile networks into rural areas driven by:
o Liberalization of the telecoms sector worldwide
o Competition in the cellular market. All but 17 African countries* now have three or more mobile operators
Almost 2 billion people worldwide have access to the Internet
But the ‘broadband divide’ remains * Lesotho, Swaziland, Mozambique, Namibia, Angola, Malawi, Rwanda, Cameroon, Chad, Libya, Tunisia, Mali, Senegal, Western Sahara, Eritrea, Ethiopia and Equatorial Guinea
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
Battle for the pocket
Camcorder Digital Camera
Wrist
watch Compass GPS
Terminal Ultranotebook PC
PDA
Pocket Calculator
Dictation Machine
Portable Radio
Walkman MP3
Player i-Pod
Minidisk Player DVD
Player Pocket TV
Gameboy
Communicators Camera
phones
Gaming
phones Music
phones Smartphones
2nd battle for convergence
Watch
Internet Computers
Banking
Gaming
Music
Broadcast Print
Credit
Mobile
Mapping
Telecoms
Advertising Camera
The aggregate value of all these industries in 2009:
5 Trillion dollars
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
Segmented approach
Voice Data Devices Charging
MTN key priorities
Voice revenues declining world-wide, and are being substituted by data revenues
Over time revenue growth will slow down, but voice remains key MTN focus
Smartphone distribution challenges and poor banking infrastructure present opportunities
Partnerships with distribution companies and manufacturers remain a priority, and proving successful
MTN Mobile Money platform facilitates financial transactions through this novel payment gateway
Couple device with leading technologies to improve customer’s Internet experience, yet controlling their spend in emerging economies
Segmented value propositions and niche services are key, as consumer’s needs go beyond voice
MTN positioning itself as a dominant ICT player across our footprint and beyond
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved. 8
• Pipe model
• No ICT focus Mainly Connectivity
• Limited ICT offering (focus on Managed Network services and basic Data centre Services)
Managed Networks + DC+
Convergent
• Connectivity,
Managed Networks + DC + Convergent
• LAN Management
• System Integration if major player
Full ICT - Local
• Global ICT managed solutions
• Target Global MNC and top tier of local Corporate/Governme nt
Full ICT - Global
• Convergent services
• Lever local landline players or build their own fixed networks to deliver ICT services to SMB
Mobile Driven ICT
ICT PositioningExamples Why ICT?
• No ICT focus • Defend connectivity
revenues & margin leveraging own networks – focus on medium size business and above
• Grow top line and maximize market share in a strong local Corporate/
government market
• Niche global MNC business
• Defend own market fixed business (T- Systems) by following the key clients wherever they go!
• Drive mobile data / convergent services
• Lever ULL to address SMB (low margin)
• Lever DC/Fiber backbones in countries with poor fixed networks (high margin)
FIXED > 70% FIXED > 80% MOBILE > 50%
Key telecom service in target clients
> 35-45% 10% - 25% (ICT Unit, low if IT intensive)
+ 30-40% (Fixed Unit in home country) > 40% (Mobile) EBITDA Margin
Classic ICT
Source: Delta Partners
Why ICT?
MTN moving towards ICT to develop mobile data, deploy convergent services and leverage own fixed infrastructure
Where do we want to be?
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
To do nothing is not an option
Radical consumer empowerment
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
The rise of Google & Facebook
We need disruptive innovation models
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
The Google factor
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
Developers APIs
+ Channels + User Profile + CRM data + Presence + Charging
+ Hosting Environment + Location & movement Mobile Marketplace
Service Providers Enterprise
Developers Content Providers
= Bit Pipe
= Smart Pipe
End User
End User Network
Network Developers
APIs
Developers APIs
Bit pipe vs. Smart pipe
©2009 Mobile Telephone Networks. All rights reserved.
Digital Age of real time