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(1)

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION AND

DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPMENT

JOS JOS É É ANTONIO OCAMPO ANTONIO OCAMPO UNDER

UNDER - - SECRETARY SECRETARY - - GENERAL GENERAL

DESA DESA

UNITED NATIONS

UNITED NATIONS

(2)

¾

International migration is a key

component of the globalization process

¾

International migration is a positive force for development, both in

countries of origin and in countries of destination

¾

It is possible and advisable to

strengthen international cooperation on international migration

THREE

THREE CENTRAL CENTRAL MESSAGES OF MESSAGES OF THE REPORT OF THE

THE REPORT OF THE SECRETARY

SECRETARY - - GENERAL GENERAL

(3)

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION IS A INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION IS A

KEY COMPONENT OF THE

KEY COMPONENT OF THE

GLOBALIZATION PROCESS

GLOBALIZATION PROCESS

(4)

48 52 52 52

65 65

83 83

87 87

100

0 20 40 60 80 100 120

Netherlands France USA Angola Portugal Poland Australia Ghana Argentina Brazil Cote d'Ivoire

Percentage

PERCENTAGE OF PLAYERS FROM NATIONAL PERCENTAGE OF PLAYERS FROM NATIONAL

TEAMS WHO NORMALLY PLAY IN OTHER TEAMS WHO NORMALLY PLAY IN OTHER

COUNTRIES

COUNTRIES ( (“ “KICKER KICKER DRAIN DRAIN ) )

(5)

9 9 9 9

13 13

17

26

0 5 10 15 20 25 30

Portugal Spain Mexico Italy Cote d'Ivoire Australia Germany France

Percentage

PERCENTAGE OF PLAYERS FROM NATIONAL PERCENTAGE OF PLAYERS FROM NATIONAL

TEAMS WHO ARE FOREIGN

TEAMS WHO ARE FOREIGN - - BORN BORN

( ( IMPORT OF NEEDED SKILLS IMPORT OF NEEDED SKILLS ) )

(6)

¾

Since the late 1980s: migration has been rising rapidly…

¾

…but there is a freer flow of goods and capital than of persons

¾

Barriers to the movement of low- skilled workers persist

WE ARE IN A NEW MIGRATION WE ARE IN A NEW MIGRATION

ERA ERA

(7)

61

53 14

62

North-South North-North South-South South-North

THE NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS THE NUMBER OF INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS

IS ALMOST EQUALLY DIVIDED INTO THREE IS ALMOST EQUALLY DIVIDED INTO THREE

TYPES TYPES

(Cumulated migrant stock (Cumulated migrant stock ---- Millions of persons)Millions of persons)

(8)

2.0%

2.9% 3.0%

0.2%

2.6%

0.5%

0.0%

0.5%

1.0%

1.5%

2.0%

2.5%

3.0%

3.5%

1960- 1975 1975- 1990 1990- 2005

More developed regions without the former USSR Less developed regions

MIGRATION TO INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES IS MIGRATION TO INDUSTRIAL COUNTRIES IS MORE STEADY THAN THAT TO DEVELOPING MORE STEADY THAN THAT TO DEVELOPING

COUNTRIES COUNTRIES

((Rate of growth of the migrant stockRate of growth of the migrant stock))

(9)

MIGRANTS CONSTITUTE HIGH PROPORTIONS MIGRANTS CONSTITUTE HIGH PROPORTIONS

OF THE POPULATION IN FEW COUNTRIES OF THE POPULATION IN FEW COUNTRIES

(MIGRANTS AS PERCENTAGE OF THE POPULATION, 2005) (MIGRANTS AS PERCENTAGE OF THE POPULATION, 2005)

(10)

¾

Migration policies have become somewhat less restrictive

¾

There is great diversity of policy stances

9

Some countries allow permanent migration selected on the basis of skills or family ties

9

Many allow temporary admission often under work permits

¾

There is growing preference for temporary migration schemes

MIGRATION POLICIES

MIGRATION POLICIES

(11)

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION POLICIES HAVE INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION POLICIES HAVE

BECOME SOMEWHAT LESS RESTRICTIVE BECOME SOMEWHAT LESS RESTRICTIVE

(Percentage(Percentage ofof countries)countries)

0 10 20 30 40 50 60

1996 2001 2003 2005

Reduce

Maintain

No intervention Increase

(12)

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION IS A INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION IS A

POSITIVE FORCE FOR POSITIVE FORCE FOR DEVELOPMENT, BOTH IN DEVELOPMENT, BOTH IN

COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN AND IN COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN AND IN

COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION

COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION

(13)

¾

There are some adverse but small effects on low-skilled workers

¾

Most migrants complement local workers and therefore contribute to economic

growth

¾

Growing educational levels and population ageing increase the positive effects of

migration

¾

Migration has additional positive effects on economic growth: entrepreneurship, diverse supply of services, etc.

¾

Main drawbacks: achieving the mutual

adaptation of migrants and host societies is not easy…

¾

… and irregular migration is not desirable

FOR COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION

FOR COUNTRIES OF DESTINATION

(14)

Projected population aged 15-64 with and without migration (medium variant)

500 600 700 800 900

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Millions

With migration Without migration

WITHOUT MIGRATION, THE LABOUR FORCE WITHOUT MIGRATION, THE LABOUR FORCE

WOULD DECLINE DRASTICALLY IN WOULD DECLINE DRASTICALLY IN

DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DEVELOPED COUNTRIES

100

(15)

Projections of population aged 15-64 with and without international migration (medium variant)

10 20 30 40 50 60

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Millions

With migration Without migration

IN SOME COUNTRIES, THIS EFFECT WOULD IN SOME COUNTRIES, THIS EFFECT WOULD

BE CATASTROPHIC: GERMANY BE CATASTROPHIC: GERMANY

10

(16)

¾

International migrants are usually not among the poorest persons in communities o origin

¾

The development of migrant networks lower the risks of migration and may enable poorer persons to migrate

¾

Remittances increase family welfare but their macroeconomic effects are less clear-cut

¾

Many benefits stem from a close relation

between communities of origin and migrant communities abroad

¾

Return migration and circulation permit

countries of origin to reap greater benefits from migration

¾

Main costs: “brain drain”, which may not be necessarily compensated by higher incentives to acquire training in order to migrate

FOR COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN

FOR COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN

(17)

0 40 80 120 160 200

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005

Billions of dollars

REMITTANCES RECEIVED BY DEVELOPING REMITTANCES RECEIVED BY DEVELOPING

COUNTRIES

COUNTRIES

(18)

46 47

91

47

80

100

30

54

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

OCDE USA Canada EU-15 UK France Germany Australia

MIGRANTS WITH TERTIARY EDUCATION AS MIGRANTS WITH TERTIARY EDUCATION AS

PERCENTAGE OF THE INCREASE IN ALL PERCENTAGE OF THE INCREASE IN ALL MIGRANTS AGED 25 OR OVER, 1990

MIGRANTS AGED 25 OR OVER, 1990 - - 2000 2000

(19)

IT IS POSSIBLE AND ADVISABLE IT IS POSSIBLE AND ADVISABLE

TO STRENGTHEN TO STRENGTHEN

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

ON INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

ON INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

(20)

¾

The outcome documents of United Nations conferences and summits

¾

United Nations Conventions, with varying degree of coverage

¾

International organizations / Global Migration Group

¾

Global initiatives

¾

Regional processes

¾

Bilateral agreements

MODES OF INTERNATIONAL MODES OF INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION REGARDING COOPERATION REGARDING

MIGRATION

MIGRATION

(21)

45 19

34

97 89

143 143

0 50 100 150 200

ILO Convention on migrant workers ILO Convention on migration in

abusive conditions

International Convention on the rights of all migrants

Protocol against trafficking in persons Protocol against smuggling of persons Convention on the status of refugees Protocol on the status of refugees

Number of countries

STATUS OF RATIFICATION OF STATUS OF RATIFICATION OF

INTERNATIONAL INSTRUMENTS RELATIVE TO INTERNATIONAL INSTRUMENTS RELATIVE TO

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

(22)

¾

Ensure the protection of the rights of all migrants and prevent their abuse or exploitation

¾

Co-development as the framework to realize the potential of migration as a force for development:

9

Leveraging the use of remittances

9

Strengthen ties with migrant communities

¾

Global concerted approach to the formation of human capital

COMMON INTERESTS ON MIGRATION COMMON INTERESTS ON MIGRATION

AND AN AGENDA FOR AND AN AGENDA FOR

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

(23)

¾

Mutual adaptation of migrants and host societies

¾

To combat racism and xenophobia in all their forms

¾

To channel migration through regular streams on the basis of realistic

policies to shape those flows

¾

Combat crimes of trafficking and smuggling

¾

To improve the information and evidence base.

COMMON INTERESTS ON MIGRATION COMMON INTERESTS ON MIGRATION

AND AN AGENDA FOR AND AN AGENDA FOR

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

(24)

¾

To consider all dimensions of the migration process

¾

To promote coherence in terms of migration and development policies

¾

It would have a consultative character, with voluntary participation of Member States and room for innovation

¾

It would respect the right of sovereign States to shape their own migration

policies

A CONSULTATIVE MIGRATION

A CONSULTATIVE MIGRATION

FORUM IN THE UNITED NATIONS

FORUM IN THE UNITED NATIONS

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