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Decoding solar wind–magnetosphere coupling

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Figure

Figure 1. BIC derived relative likelihood of each NAR-MAX result, using data set 2A, as a function of the costfunction α.
Table 1. Results from run 1A of the NARMAX code. The 11-term model has the highest likelihood, calculatedby comparing the model results at each stage against a separate data set, using the Bayesian Information Criterion.
Table 3. Traditionally referred to as coupling functions, these terms in the NARMAX model runs are associatedwith the merging of the IMF and geomagnetic field (part c of equation 6)
Table 2 gives the model terms identified with currents
+6

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