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(1)

The Business of Sports:

Where’s the Money?

Dr Justin Wolfers

Assistant Professor of Economics

www.stanford.edu/people/jwolfers

jwolfers@stanford.edu

(2)

Why the Business of Sports?

For all his brilliance, we’re going to have to replace Trewell. He

never quite seems able to reduce his ideas to football analogies.

(3)

Gross Domestic Sports Product

Output by Industry

GDP: Top 25 Industries

$-$250

$500

$750

$1,000

Real est ate Reta il Who lesa le Heal th Cons truct ion ness ser vice s Bank ing Utili ties her s ervi ces mm unic atio n Spor ts Chem ical s Elec troni cs Mach iner y Insu ranc e Food Truc king Lega l Prin ting Auto s Meta ls Farm s Fina nce Oil & gas Auto ser vice s O u tp ut m easur e d i n b il li o ns o f $U S p e

The Sports industry is the 11th

largest, reflecting around $152

billion of output, or just over

2% of GDP

(4)

Decomposing the Sports Industry

Entertainment

30%

Advertising

revenues

5%

Products &

Services

65%

(5)

Decomposing the Sports Industry

Publications

2%

Sports

equipment and

footwear

50%

Advertising

5%

Concessions

2%

Admissions

4%

Pari-mutuel

2%

Sports medicine

13%

Participation

fees

22%

(6)

Decomposing the Sports Industry

Sports Fans

16%

Participation

(7)

The Business of Pro Sports

Big Four Sports: Valuing the Leagues

(Approximate Values; $Million)

$0 $4,500 $9,000 $13,500 $18,000

Football

(NFL)

Baseball

(MLB)

Basketball

(NBA)

Hockey (NHL)

(8)

Attendance

Big Four Sports: Annual Attendance

(Total bums-on-seats; 2001)

0 20,000,000 40,000,000 60,000,000 80,000,000

Football

(NFL)

Baseball

(MLB)

Basketball

(NBA)

Hockey

(NHL)

(9)

TV Deals

‹

NFL: Deals with Fox, CBS, ABC, ESPN

worth $17.6 billion; with DirecTV worth $2

billion

‹

MLB: $2.5 billion contract with Fox; with

ESPN worth $800 million

‹

NBA: $4.6 billion with AOL Time Warner

and Disney

(10)

Economic Structure of Pro Sports

Revenues

56%

58%

73%

60%

Player salaries

Expenses

6%

9%

6%

4%

Miscellaneous

19%

13%

10%

19%

Venue revenues

15%

37%

55%

38%

Media Rights

60%

41%

29%

39%

Gate Receipts

NHL

NBA

NFL

MLB

(11)

Participation in Big 4 Sports

Participation in Sports: 2001

0

10

20

30

Football

(inc. Touch)

Baseball/Softball

Basketball

Hockey

(Ice/Roller)

M

illions

of

P

a

rt

ic

ipa

n

ts

(12)

Participation in Sports

Participation in Sports: 2001

0

20

40

60

80

100

Gy m Hi k in g W a lk in g C y c lin g Go lf immi n g S kat in g hoot in g Fi s h in g e robi c s B o wlin g Bo a ti n g rd s /P o o l S k iin g b a ll al l/so ft Joggi ng Foot ba ll Da rt s S o ccer o lle y b a ll Tenni s -d ef en se R idi ng es hoes e Tenni s Sc u b a d m in to n n a s tic s H o ckey re s tlin g leadi n tb a ll a ndba ll

M

illio

n

s

o

f P

a

rt

ic

ip

a

n

ts

(13)

The Future: Women in Sports

‹

In 1972 Congress passed Title IX of the Educational

Ammendments Act

– Schools required to provide equal access to sports for women as for men

– Currently under review by the Bush administration

– In 1972, 1-in-27 girls played sports; today 2 in 5.

‹

Consider the Title IX generation:

– World Cup soccer champions (Mia Hamm)

– WNBA has become a viable commercial league

– Fledgling WUSA soccer league shows early success

– Olympic gold medallists: Since 1984 US women have won 301 gold

medals (of a total of 1285 female golds = 25%)

– 80% of female CEO’s of Fortune 500 companies have sports

backgrounds

‹

Women’s apparel and athletic gear market yields revenues in

excess of $20 billion

(14)

High School Sports

High School Sports Participants

0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

1971

74

78

80

82

84

86

88

90

92

94

96

98

00

02

N u m b er o f co m p et i

(15)

Soccer: “The Big Five?

0 5,000,000 10,000,000 15,000,000 20,000,000 25,000,000 30,000,000 35,000,000 40,000,000

Tota l Unde r 18 Unde r 12

S po rts Partic ipatio n by Ag e

Ba s ke tba ll Socce r Footba ll Ba s e ba ll

(16)

Conclusions

‹

The sports industry is large

‹

It is growing

‹

While professional sports are only a segment of the

sports industry, the Big Four sports realize massive

revenues and huge mindshare

‹

The future:

– Participation numbers suggest that the mindshare of the

Big Four may decline

– Soccer may be the sleeping giant

– Massive transformations as women become more

important consumers of sports

(17)

Some Issues in Sports Economics

‹

Peculiar structure: Sports teams do well if their opponents do

well (“competitive balance”)

– Parity issues, revenue sharing, salary caps, luxury tax

‹

Labor relations: One of the most highly unionized industries in

the US

– Labor agreements, strikes, role of agents, arbitration

‹

Competitive threats: Rival leagues, rival sports, rival

entertainment (and antitrust)

‹

Market size: Small market and big market; national market and

international

‹

Politically salient industry

– Stadium agreements and public financing

‹

Competing objectives: Profit, public interest, owner’s whims

(18)
(19)

Scorecard: The Health of Pro Sports

Recommendation:

Buy/Sell/Hold???

Other?

Ownership Stability

League Leadership

TV and Media

Labor Relations

Market Growth

MLB

NBA

NHL

NFL

References

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