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ON A PARAMETER ADAPTIVE SELF-ORGANIZING SYSTEM WITH THE MINIMUM VARIANCE CONTROL LAW IN THE PRESENCE OF LARGE OUTLIERS IN OBSERVATIONS

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Rimantas Pupeikis

Department of Electronic Systems, Vilnius Gediminas Technical University Process Recognition Department, Institute of Mathematics and Informatics

Akademijos St. 4, LT-08663, Vilnius, Lithuania E-mail: [email protected]

Abstract. The aim of the given paper is development of a minimum variance control (MVC) approach for a

closed-loop discrete-time linear time-invariant (LTI) system when the parameters of a dynamic system as well as that of a controller are not known and ought to be estimated. The parametric identification of the open-loop LTI system and the determination of the coefficients of the MV controller are performed in each current operation by processing observations in the case of additive noise on the output with contaminating outliers uniformly spread in it. The robust recursive technique, based on the S-algorithm, with a version of Shweppe’s GM-estimator is applied here in the calculation of estimates of the parameters of a LTI system with one time-varying coefficient in the numerator of the system transfer function. Then, the recursive parameter estimates are used in each current iteration to determine unknown parameters of the MV controller. Afterwards, the current value of the control signal is found in each operation, and it is used to generate the output of the system, too. The results of numerical simulation by computer are presented and discussed.

Key words: Adaptive systems, closed-loop, self-tuning controller, the minimum variance control law, parametric

identification, observations, outliers.

1. Introduction It is known [1, 4, 9, 11–16] that, for parametric

To provide self-tuning control of a real tification of open-loop, as well as of closed-loop sys-plant several ordinary control approaches, such as, tems, robust recursive techniques ought to be applied

that are efficient in the case of nonnormal noise. To minimum-variance control MVC, generalized MVC

(GMVC), incremental GMVC, and so on, are fre- implement the self-tuning MV controller, it is neces-quently used that take into consideration random sary, firstly, to estimate LTI system’s model parame-disturbances affecting the process. The MVC and ters in such a noisy environment and, secondly, to de-GMVC algorithms, as noted in [17], were the first termine the controller coefficients in each current op-that were designed specially for self-tuning applica- eration (see Fig. 1,[2]). that are recalculated using the tions and are now considered ’classical’ formulations. values of abovementioned estimates. Then, the cur-The algorithms described there can be implemented rent value of the control signal, based on the values of as self-tuning controllers that underpin the design the reference signal and that of input-noisy output of and development of a modern model based predic- a system, multiplied by the respective weighting co-tive control approach. On the other hand, it has been efficients, is obtained according to Fig. 1. However, in emphasized in [10] that in designing a robust control such a case, the transfer of meanings of large outliers system, one ought to determine the type of uncertain- proceeds in random noise appearing in output obser-ties appearing in the system to be controlled. There vations. Therefore, in each current operation before are many types of uncertainties in system description calculating the value of the control signal it is impor-models. One of the main ones of them is the uncer- tant to find the values of the output that have not been tainty arising in the output disturbance description of harmed by outliers. To this end, we propose here to a plant model to be used. It is frequently assumed that generate an auxiliary output signal that will be with-system’s output is affected by Gaussian disturbance. out outliers.

However, nonnormal noise, and particularly the pres- In Section 2, a statement of the problem is pre-ence of outliers, degrades the performance of a sys- sented. In Section 3, the method for a design of a tem acting in a closed-loop. In such a case ordinary self-organizing system is given. In Section 4, an

or-ON A PARAMETER ADAPTIVE

SELF-ORGANIZING SYSTEM

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alyze a recursive parametric identification, based on GM- estimators in the presence of outliers in output observations, in Section 5. Section 6 presents the sim-ulation and parametric identification results. Section 7 contains conclusions.

2. Statement of the Problem

Assume that a system to be observed is a causal and LTI system with one output fy(k)g and one input fu(k)g, expressed by the equation

1 1

y(k)=q G

0

(q ; )u(k)+H

0

(q ;')(k) ;

| {z }

v(k )

(1) that consists of two parts (Fig. 2): a system model

1 1

G 0

(q ;) H

0

(q ; k

and a noise model '). Here is the current number of observations of a respec-tive signal, is an known time delay, ;' are

un-1 known parameter vectors to be estimated, q is the

1 backward time-shift operator such that q u(k) =

u(k 1);and H

0 (q

1

;')is an inversely stable monic filter [3]. Given the model (1) and measured data

N

Z =fu(1);u(2);:::;u(N);y(1);y(2);:::;y(N)g (2) and assuming that a noise f(k)g;k =1;2;:::is re-ally a sequence of independent identicre-ally distributed variables with an -contaminated distribution of the form

2 2

p((k))=(1 )N(0; )+N(0; ); (3)

&

and the variance

2 2 2

=(1 ) + ; (4)

&

let us suppose that f(k)g is used to generate unmea-surable noise fv(k)g. Here pf(k)g is the probabil-ity densprobabil-ity distribution of the sequence f(k)g; 1;2;:::;

k =

(k)=(1

k )

k

+

k &

k (5)

is the value of the sequence f(k)g;k=1;2;:::at a time moment k; is a random variable, taking values 0 or 1 with probabilities p(

k

1) = ;

k ;&

k are sequences of independent

Gaus-=0)=1 ;p(

; k

=

&

2 2

sian variables with zero means and variances , respectively; besides,

< ; 01is the unknown &

fraction of contamination;

The aim of the given paper is to design a parame-ter adaptive self-organizing system with the MV con-trol law, shown in Fig. 1, in the case of additive noise fv(k)g, that contains large outliers and corrupts the output fy(k)g of the LTI system (see Fig. 2).

noise

Control

System

Estimate model parameters

Control law Estimated parameter vector

System output y(t)

input u(t) Reference r(t)

Figure 1. Self-organizing system [2]

3. Design of a self-organizing system

The MVC controller seeks to design the required control signal

na nb

X X

1

u(k)= f a

l

y(k+ l) b

i

u(k i)+r(k)g

b 0

l=1 i=1

(6) by minimizing with respect to fu(k)g the quadratic performance function

N 1

X 1

2 J

MV

= lim Ef [r(k) y(k+)] g; (7)

N!1 N

k =0

that refers to the variance of the error between set-point r(k)and the controlled output -time steps in the future, y(k+ [17]. Here n

a

; are general

num-) n

b

bers of respective parameter sets of difference equa-tion (6).

To implement the self-tuning MVC controller, it is necessary, firstly, to estimate LTI system’s model unknown parameters in such a noisy environment using robust techniques [1, 4, 5, 8, 9, 11 – 14, 16]

r(k) e(k)

u(k)

v(k)

y(k) (k)

G R

G 0 H

0

Figure 2. The closed-loop system to be observed.

G 0

G

Here

0 (q

1 G

; R ), and

GR H

(q

0

1 ;

H )

0 ,

(q 1

; ') .

(3)

and, secondly, to determine the value of control sig- Here the output y(k)of the general model of the LTI nal u(k) in each current operation by substituting

in (6) the values of abovementioned estimates (

^ b 0

; ^ b 1

;:::; ^ b nb

);^a T

= ( ^a 1

;^a 2

;:::;^a na

). However, b ^T

=

in such a case, the transfer of meanings of large out-liers proceeds in random noise appearing in output observations. Therefore, in each current operation be-fore calculating the value of the control signal fu(k)g it is important to find the values of the output that have not been harmed by outliers. In such a case, we propose here to generate an auxiliary output signal ^

y(k+)that will be without outliers.

A self-organizing MVC strategy is achieved when estimation and control are carried out every cur-rent instant ksimultaneously.

4. The direct approach

The direct approach ignores the feedback and 1

identifies the system G 0

(q ;)using the measure-ments of the input u(k)and output y(k)8k=1;2;::: [3] assuming that the noise f(k)g;k=1;2;:::is sta-tistically independent and stationary with the follow-ing characteristics:

2

Ef(k)g=0;Ef(k)(k+)g= Æ(); (8)

2

where Ef(k)g is the mean value, is the variance, Æ()is the Kronecker delta function. Using the direct parameric identification method one has to estimate the prediction error value ^ of the vector of

N eters by

N ^

N

=arg min V

N

(;Z ): (9)

2DM

Here D is the set of allowable parameter values, M

which is assumed compact and connected [3],

N X 1

N T 1 T

V N

(;Z )= e (k;) e (k;); (10)

F F

N k =1

with

1 e

F

(k;)=L(q ;)(k;); (11) is a symmetric, positive definite weighting matrix,

1

and L(q ;)is a monic prefilter that can be used to enhance certain frequency regions [3]. The prediction error is calculated by

^

(k;)=y(k) y(k;^ )= (12)

1 1 1

^

H (q ;')[y(k)^ G(q ;)u(k)]:

1 1

system G(q ;)and noise filter H(q ;'), respec-tively, are of the form

1 1

y(k)=G(q ;)u(k)+H(q ;')(k) (13)

1

where G(q ;)corresponds to the first part of equa-1

tion (1) and H(q ;')to the second one. Then, the one-step-ahead predictor for the model structure (13) is

1 1 1

^ ^

^

y(k;)=H (q ;')G(q^ ;)u(k)+ (14)

1 1

[1 H (q ;' )]y(k):^

Here '^ is the estimate of the parameter vector '. The parameter vector can be determined by an ordi-nary prediction error method, based on the recursive LS (RLS) of the form

(k 1)z(k)

^ ^

(k)=(k 1)+ "(k);^

T

1+z (k) (k 1)z(k)

(15) T

(k 1)z(k)z (k) (k 1)

(k)= (k 1)

T

1+z (k) (k 1)z(k)

T

with the vector of observations z (k) = [ y(k 1);:::; y(k m);u(k 1);:::;u(k m)];and some initial values of the vector ^ and matrix

(0):Here (0)

T T T

^ ^

(k)=[^a (k);b (k)]= (16)

^ ^ ^

[ ^a 1

(k);:::;^a m

(k);b 0

(k);b 1

(k);:::;b m

(k)];

T T T

is the current estimate of the vector =(a ;b )= (a

1 ;:::;a

m ;b

0 ;b

1 ;:::;b

m ), and

T ^ ^

"(k)=y(k) z (k)(k 1) (17)

is the prediction error on the current k-th iteration, 1

respectively, where G 0

(q ;)is the system transfer function of the form

1

B(q ;b)

1 G

0

(q ;)= = (18)

1

A(q ;a)

1 2 m

b 0

+b

1

q +b

2

q +:::+b

m q

:

1 m

1+a

1

q +:::+a

m q

T T

Here b b

m ), and a

=(b

0 ;b

1

;:::; =(a

1 ;:::;a

m ) are vectors of the parameters to be estimated, m = n

b =na.

(4)

^

where in the vector form. Here is the robust estimate

N

1 1

H 0

(q ;')= = (19)

1

1+A(q ;a)

1

;' a:

1 m

1+a

1

q +:::+a

m q

It could be emphasized that, before the closed-loop direct parametric identification, the respective iden-tifiability conditions should be satisfied according to [7].

5. Parametric identification in the presence of large outliers

In what follows, we introduce the robust recur-sive generalized maximum likelihood (GM) for cal-culating robust estimates of the parameters of LTI dy-namic systems, acting in a closed-loop (Fig. 2) in the case of correlated noise of special form (19) with out-liers in it. A class of GM-estimators is defined implic-itly by the first order condition [6]

N X

T

x(t) fx(t) ;[y(t) x (t)]=g=0: (20)

t=1

Here x(t)is a set of regressors, denotes the scale of residuals n(t) of the linear regression model y(t) =

T

x (t) + Æ(t);t = 1;:::;N, where is a vector of unknown parameters. The function f;g in (20) depends on both the set of regressors x(t) and the standardized residual Æ(t)=. The conditions that ought to be satisfied by f;g in order that the GM-estimator have nice asymptotic properties are known in advance [8]. The ordinary least-squares estima-tor could be obtained as a special case of (20) by

2 setting in it the function (x(t);r) = r =2 with @(x(t);r)=@r=fx(t);rg, where ris a short form of the standardized residual. Thus, one can determine the prediction error estimate ^ of the parameter

N

T T T

tor = (a ;b ) = (a 1

;:::;a m

;b 0

;b 1

;:::;b m

) by minimizing

N ^

N

=arg minfV

N

(;Z ): (21)

2DM

with

N X 1 N fV

N

(;Z )= (e

F

(k;=s)); (22)

N k =1

or by solving the equation

N X

T

z(t)f [y(t) z (t)]g=0; (23)

t=1

of the parameter vector , established by process-ing N pairs of input-output samples; s is the scale of residuals (examples of the scale are the standard deviation, the median, absolute deviation from the median, etc.,); () is a real-valued function that is even and nondecreasing for positive residuals, and

0

(0)=0; =.

For the Huber M-estimator, the -function is given by [6]

(

2 c

H

jxj c =2 j>c

H ; if jx H

(x)= (24)

2

x =2 otherwise;

where c

H is a cutoff value. The most often used func-tion is:

( c

H

sign(x) j>c

H ; if jx

(x)= (25)

x otherwise

with given c H

0. To get a better performance of >

^ in the case of very long-tailed distributions, the function (25), satisfying 0, if

N

> 0

(x) = j x j> c

H , for some c

H could be selected. It is known [9] that, in both such cases, i.e., = and H

0 (q

1 ')

6 0 ;

of the form (19), the current M- estimates of an un-known vector of the parameters of LTI system (1)

1

with G(q ;)of form (18) can be calculated using three techniques: the S-algorithm, the H-algorithm, and the W-one. All the three of them could be writ-ten in the general form:

(k 1)z(k)

^ ^

(k)=(k 1)+ (k)

T

(k)+z (k) (k 1)z(k)

(26) T

(k 1)z(k)z (k) (k 1)

(k)= (k 1)

T

(k)+z (k) (k 1)z(k)

Here

(k)=s [(k)]^ (27)

with

(k)="(k)=^^ s (28)

for the S- and H-algorithms, and

(k)=s^^"(k) (29)

for the W-algorithm; T

^ ^

"(k)=^s=fy(k) z (k)(k 1)g=^s (30)

is the same for all the three algorithms, while

(k)=1 (31)

(5)

for the H-algorithm, (

1

f^s [(k)]="(k)g^ for "^(k)6=0;

(k)=

1 for "^(k)=0;

(32) for the W-algorithm, and

0

1

(k)= [(k)] (33)

for the S-algorithm. Here ^sis the robust estimate of the scale sof residuals.

In [4] it has been proposed to use

(k)=s^

z1

[(k)= z2

]; (34)

and (

z

z 1

1

[(k)= z2

]=[(k)= z2

] for (k)=

(k)=

for (k)

6

= 0

0 ;

; (35) respectively, instead of (27) and (32). Here

z1

=

z2

=1 (36)

for Huber’s M-estimator;

z1

=

z

[h(k)];

z2

=1 (37)

for Mallow’s, and

z1

=

z2

=

z

[h(k)]; (38)

for Shweppe’s GM-estimators [8], respectively, where p

z

[h(k)]= 1 h(k) (39)

with

T

h(k)=z (k) (k)z(k): (40)

The S-algorithm represents a version of the algorithm proposed by [9] for an on-line robust identification of parameters of a linear dynamic model of an LTI system. The ordinary RLS (15) is modified by substi-tuting the “winsorization” step of the residuals in the first equation and changing the second equation in the system of equations (15). The recursive H-algorithm is obtained only by inserting the “winsorization” step into the first equation of (15). The W- algorithm is worked out by inserting different weights in respect to the function fg into the already existing ordinary RLS.

6. Simulation example

A closed-loop system to be simulated is shown in Fig. 2 and described by a linear difference equation of the form

1 2 1 1

(1+a

1

q +a

2

q )y(k)=q (b

0

+b

1

q )u(k)+

(41)

1 2 1

(1+a

1

q +a

2

q ) (k);

while the GMV controller design equation is [2, 17]

P(a 1

y(k)+a 2

y(k 1) b

1

u(k 1)+R r(k))

u(k)= :

Pb 0

+Q

(42) Here a

1 and the value of

= 1:5;a

2

= 0:7;b 0

=1

coefficient b

1varries from 0.5 to 0.6 over 400 obser-vations, P, Q, and R are tuning parameters. Thus,

1 2

q (0:5+0:1k=400)q

G 0

= ; (43)

1 2

1 1:5q +0:7q

1 H

0

= (44)

1 2

1 1:5q +0:7q

in Fig. 2. If P=R=1 and Q=0 the controller becomes a MV controller that will be used in our paper. The value of control signal u(k) in each current opera-tion khas been determined by substituting in (42) the

^

values of estimates ^ of the

b 0

(k);b 1

(k);a^ 1

(k);a^ 2

(k) true parameters, respectively. The output fy(k)g;k= 0;1;2;:::;400of the closed-loop system will be ob-served under the additive noise fv(k)g in the pres-ence of large outliers according to (3)–(5) (see Fig. 3a – 3c). Note that all the three noise realizations given there are the same except that their amplitudes are artificially increased from one realization to the other by ten times. In such a case, the meanings of rare outliers have especially grown in any realiza-tion of fv(k)g. The reference signal fr(k)g;k = 0;1;2;:::;400is given in Fig. 3d.

The parameter adaptive self-organizing system has been implemented here according to the structure shown in Fig. 1. Firstly, the initial values of estimates ^ ^ of the true parameters of equation (41) were calculated by the ordinary LS with Mallow’s estimator using 23 pairs of observa-^

a 1

;^a 2

;b 0

;b 1

a 1

;a 2

;b 0

;b 1

tions of u(k);y(k). Secondly, we recursively

calcu-^ ^

late the estimates ^a of the same parame-1

;^a 2

;b 0

;b 1 ters a

1

;a by processing k 2

;b 0

;b 1

(6)

by both algorithms were different and generated in two ways:

1 2 1

y(k)=y

(k)+(1+a

1

q +a

2

q ) (k); (45)

1 1 1 2

y

(k)=q (b

0 +b

1

q )u(k) (a

1

q +a

2

q )y

(k); (46) with

^ ^

a 1

y(k)+a^ 2

y(k 1) b

1

u(k 1)+r(k)

u(k)= ;

^ b 0

(47) and with

^ ^

a 1

^ y(k)+a^

2 ^

y(k 1) b

1

u(k 1)+r(k)

u(k)= ;

^ b 0

(48) where

1 1 1 2

^ ^

^

y(k)=q (b

0 +b

1

q )u(k) ( ^a

1

q +^a

2

q )^y(k); (49) respectively, because in each recursive iteration k = 24;25;:::;400the current value of the control signal fu(k)g is generated according to (47) (here the ob-served noisy values of fy(k)g are substituted), and according to (48) (here the values of the noiseless auxiliary signal f^y(k)g are applied). In both cases

^ ^

the current estimates ^a are used. After-1

;a^ 2

;b 0

;b 1

wards, two different current values of the output sig-nal fy(k)g are calculated by formulas (45), where dif-ferent current values of fu(k)g are used. Then, dif-ferent values of u(k);y(k)are processed separately,

^ ^

in calculating the estimates a^ 1

;^a of true val-2

;b 0

;b 1 ues of the parameters a

1

;a , respectively, us-2

;b 0

;b 1

ing two recursive procedures (26) with the same versions of Shweppe’s GM-estimator (38)–(40) (see Fig.’s 4 – 6).

^ ^

It follows that the accuracy of estimates ^a 1

;a^ 2

;b 0

;b 1 of the parameters a

1

;a , obtained by two sepa-2

;b 0

;b 1

rate acting recursive procedures (26) with the version of Shweppe’s GM-estimator (38)–(40) (see Fig.’s 4c, d – 6 c, d), decreases when the amplitudes of values of the additive noise fv(k)g with outliers in it are in-creasing (see Fig. 3a – 3c). In such a case, the true output signal fy

(k)g (46) does not track the refer-ence one (Fig. 3d), if the control signal fu(k)g is cal-culated according to (47) (see Fig.’s 4e – 6 e). There-fore it is important for calculating current values of the control signal fu(k)g to use formulas (48)–(49) because, in such a case, the output signal fy

(k)g of form (46) tracks the reference one (Fig.’s 4f – 6f). 7. Conclusions

Despite that the MV approach has been worked out for a random disturbance generated from the

sta-tistically independent and stationary sequence with (8), it appears to be also applicable in the presence of large, but rare outliers in output observations (see Fig.’s 3a – 3c) in case the robust recursive paramet-ric identification algorithms are used. If the amplitude values of outliers are increasing, then the recursive estimates, obtained by the S-algorithm (26) with the version of Shweppe’s GM-estimator (38)–(40), and the auxiliary signal of form (49) used to calculate the current values of the control signal fu(k)g, approach the respective true values of parameters more rapidly (Fig.’s 4d – 6d) than that calculated by the same pro-cedure without determining such a signal (Fig.’s 4c – 6c). In such a case, the true output fy

(k)g of the LTI system tracks the reference signal (Fig. 3d) much more accurately ( Fig.’s 4f – 6f) for relatively large, in the sense of amplitudes, outliers in the additive noise fv(k)g (see Fig.’s 3a – 3c) in comparison with (Fig.’s 4e – 6e), respectively. Thus, one can state that the use of auxiliary signal f^y(k)g (49) allowed us to increase the efficiency of an parameter adaptive LTI system with a self-tuning MV controller.

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a

20 0 −20 −40 −60

0 100 200 300 400

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2000 0 −2000 −4000 −6000

0 100 200 300 400 400

b

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Observations

−600

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Figure 4. The signals and parametric identification the indirect approach. Informatica, 2000, 11(3),

297-results in the presence of additive noise 310.

given in Fig.3a depending on the number [14] R. Pupeikis. Closed-loop robust identification using of recursive iterations: x-axis – numbers of

the direct approach. Informatica, 2000, 11(2), 163-178. iterations, y-axis – meanings of the signals

[15] R. Pupeikis. On system identification using closed-(a; b; e;f ) and estimates (c; d); a; b; e;f

loop observations Informatica, 2001. 12(3), 439-454. are signals: the reference signal fr(k)g - 1,

[16] R. Pupeikis. On calculation of recursive M- and GM-output signals: fy(k)g - 2 (a; b), fy

(k)g

-estimates in LQG control systems. Lietuvos matem-2 (e; f ), the control signal fu(k)g - 3,

atikos rinkinys, spec.nr., 2008, T.48/49, 222-227.

respectively, the current values of which [17] M. T. Tham. Minimum variance and general-have been determined as follows: by ized minimum variance control algorithms. Univer-substituting the observed noisy values of sity of Newcastle upon Tyne: Set of notes, 1999,

fy(k)g in formula (47) (a, c, e), and by

http://lorien.ncl.ac.uk/ming/digicont/mbpc/gmv.pdf. substituting noiseless values of the

auxiliary signal f^y(k)g in formula (48) (b; d;f ); in c; d:

^ b0;

^

b1; a1; ^ ^a2- 1, 3, 4, 2.

400 500

b 1

2

3

4000 5000

a a

1 2 3

2000 200

1 2

3

0

0 0

0 −5000

b 1

2 3

−2000

−200 −500 −4000 −10000

0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400

1

c 1

2

2

1 2

2 c d

1 1

1

1

d 1

3 2

0 3 0

0

2

0 −1

3 3

−1

−1 −1

4 4

4

4

−2 −2 −2 −2

0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400

1000 200 10000 200

e

e

1 1

2 2

f f

1 1

2 2

150 150

500 5000

100

1 1

2 2

100

0 0

50 50

−500 0 −5000 0

0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400 0 100 200 300 400

1 1

2 2

Figure 5. The signals and parametric identification Figure 6. The signals and parametric identification

results in the presence of additive noise results in the presence of additive noise (see, Fig. 3b). Other values and notation (see Fig. 3c). Other values and notation are

are the same as in Fig.4. the same as in Fig.4.

0 200 400

0 100 200

a 1

2

3

−1 0

−1 0

c

d 1 1

1 1

2 2

2

3 3

4

−100 0 100 200

0 50 100 150 200

e

1 1

2 2

References

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