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(1)

8-11-2010

1

Scorebord van België

Prof. Dr. Ir. Joeri Van Mierlo

(2)

Pag.

Electric Vehicles beat the speed

limits

100 km/h

1899

Jenatzy - ”Jamais Contente”

2010

Venturi

495 km/h

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB
(3)

Pag.

BELGIUM WITHIN EUROPE

8-11-2010 3

(4)

Pag.

Overview in Europe

(some examples)

United Kingdom

450 milj £

100.000 EVs asap

25.000 charging stations in 2015

The Netherlands

65 milj euro

10k EVs in 2015, 200k EVs in 2040

200 charging points by 2010

France

1500 milj euro

2 milj EVs by 2020

4 milj charging points by 2020

Sweden

2030 Electric vehicle city

2050 Fossil free city

2010: 100 charging stations

(65% households

have engine heathers)

Germany

500 milj euro

1 milj. in 2020, 5 milj in 2030

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB Ref: MOBI; Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2010

Italy

10% EVs by 2020

Spain

590 milj euro

20k EVs in 2011, 50k in 2012, 250k in

2014

25000 charging points by 2020

Portugal

180k EVs in 2020

25000 charging points by 2020

(5)

Pag.

European Cities

(Some examples)

5

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

London

60m £, 100.000 EVs asap

25.000 charging stations in 2015

Paris

50m €

4.000 EVs in car rental system

8.000 parkings with charging station

Madrid, Sevilla, Barcelona

2010: 2.000 EVs

280 charging stations in Madrid

191 charging stations in Bacelona

Stockholm

2030 Electric vehicle city

2010: 100 charging stations

Berlin

500 charging stations in2010

Rome

2010: 100 electric busses, 100

e-car, 220 e-bike sharing system

Amsterdam

10k EVs by 2015, 0.2 milj by 2040

Ref: MOBI; Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2010

(6)

Pag.

In the pipeline

– Proeftuin (Minister Lieten)

– Actieplan EV (EWI)

– Masterplan EV (LNE)

– Platform EV (FOD Economie)

– Federale financiële incentives

– Watt roadshow (BBL en ASBE)

– Road map EV (BBL)

– Flanders Drive R&D projects

– VUB R&D projects

(7)

Pag.

Demo and collaboration in

Europe

7

United Kingdom

EDF-Toyota, Milton Keynes, Plugged-in

Places

The Netherlands

Essent (Project ZER-X)

France

Renault-Nissan-EDF (400 mio euro),

Toyota-EDF, Renault Trucks – Toyota-EDF, Autolib

autosharing (4,000 EVs, 50 mio euro)

Sweden

MOBILEL, Joint venture

Volvo, Saab, ETC,

Vattenfall

Germany

E-mobility Berlin, Vattenfall – Volvo,

Vattenfall - BMW

Italy

Renault-Nissan,

Enel-Daimler (in Milan, Pisa & Rome)

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

Ref: MOBI; Vrije Universiteit Brussel, 2010

Spain

Madrid airport

(8)

Pag.

EV financiële incentives

8

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo; MOBI-VUB, 2010

United Kingdom

Max £ 5,000 for EV, no

registration and ownership tax

The Netherlands

Max € 6,400 benefit on registration

tax for EV

Spain

€ 2,000 to € 6,000 for EV

Italy

Max € 3,500 for EV

Portugal

No registration tax

Ireland

Max € 2,000 benefit on registration tax

France

Max € 5,000 for EV

Belgium

30 % tax reduction on purchase price

of EV (max € 9,000)

Source: MOBI

Vrije Universiteit Brussel 2010

Sweden

Max € 1,600 for EV, no circulation tax

Greece

No registration and circulation tax

Austria

€ 500 for EV

No fuel consumption tax

& no road tax

Czech Republic

No road tax for EV

Denmark

No registration tax for EVs

(normallly between 105% and 180%)

Cyprus

€ 700 for EV

Romania

No registration tax

Germany

No circulation tax

Norway

No sales & no road tax

(normally 10-40%!)

(9)

Pag.

8-11-2010 9

Taxation for EVs in Belgium

Ref: http://www.minfin.fgov.be/portail2/nl/themes/transport/vehicles-purchase.htm#D1

http://www.mobimix.be/inhoud/2010/10/12/1970

Registration tax EV

€ 61,50

Ownership tax EV

€ 71,28

Lowest rates possible in Belgium

Reduction

Maximum

Quadricycle

15%

€ 4.540

EV

30%

€ 9.000

Charging point

40%

€ 250

2010 rates

(10)

Pag.

Life Cycle Cost of EVs

(11)

Pag.

Vehicle Cost structure

11

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

(12)

Pag.

Life Cycle Cost of EVs

ICE cars

EVs

EVs still higher LCC

BUT

Economies of scale

New contracts cfr leasing

(13)

Pag.

8-11-2010 13

Environmentally friendly vehicles research

(@ MOBI)

Policy

evaluation

Tax reform

analyses

Life cycle

cost

calculations

Vehicle choice

modelling

Travel

behaviour

assessment

Information

processing

experiments

Price sensitivity

measures

Purchase behaviour

assessment

(14)

Pag.

BELGIUM MARKET

(15)

Pag.

Today

15

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

Tazzari Zero

Newteon

Goupil

Smile

(16)

Pag.

Tomorrow

Nissan Leaf

Mitsubishi MiEV

Opel Ampera

Smart ED

(17)

Pag.

Tomorrow

17

e-Mini

Vovlo C30

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

Renault Fluence

(18)

Pag.

8-11-2010 18

Which EVs will you buy?

Ref:

Small car

Sports car

Medium

sized car

Citroën C-zero

Audi E-tron

Fisker Karma

Mercedes SLS AMG

Mitsubishi iMiEV

Pininfarina B zero

Renault Fluence

Ford Focus electric

BMW ActiveE

(19)

19

Already

available

Think City

Reva/G-Wizz

Tazzari Zero

Renault Kangoo ZE

S1 2011

Renault

Fluence

Daimler A EV

Peugeot iOn /

Citroën C-zero

Mitsu iMiev

Heuliez

Friendly

Renault Twizzy

Nissan Leaf

Pininfarina

B Zero

BMW Active E

BMW Mini E

Opel Ampera /

Chevy Volt

Renault Zoe ZE

Toyota Prius PHEV

Volvo PHEV

The EVs are coming…

Ford Transit Connect

summer 2011

8-11-2010

(20)

Pag.

Electric vehicles in Belgium

(21)

Pag.

Hybrid Vehicles in Belgium

–Around 6000 hybrid vehicles

–Important sales increase since

2007, due to climate change

awareness and financial

incentives, e.g.

–2004: 400 Prius II

–2009: 1400 Prius III

–Hybrid Auris: 1.200 in 3 months

8-11-2010 21

(22)

Pag.

Evolution of Passenger transport energy

sources and propulsion technology, towards

2050

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

Source: ERTRAC Strategic Research Agenda 2010: Towards a 50% more efficient road transport system by 2030

(23)

Pag.

8-11-2010 23

Policy measures for EVs

Ref: Development of policy recommendations to

harvest the potential of electric vehicles

(24)

Pag.

INFRASTRUCTURE

(25)

Pag.

1979 - Vrije Universiteit Brussel

25

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

(26)

Pag.

Share of parkings in houses

(Belgium, 2009)

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

Bron: Joeri Van Mierlo – VUB op basis van FOD Economie

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Huizen in gesloten bebouwing

Huizen in halfopen bebouwing

Huizen in open bebouwing, hoeven en kastelen

Buildings en flatgebouwen met appartementen

Totaal

% garages/woongelegenheid

% garages/gebouw

3.4 milj garages, parkings of overdekte staanplaatsen bij woningen

5.2 milj personenwagens en lichte bedrijfswagens

(27)

Pag.

Range anxiety

– 95 tot 99% ritten <100km

– 30% wagenpark nooit >100km

– Laadinfrastructuur

– Plug-in hybride (EV+range extender)

– Dynamisch inductief laden

– Betere batterijen: Specifieke energie (Wh/kg):

27 J. Van Mierlo - VUB

Lead

Nickel

Lithium

2020

2030

30 – 35

50 – 80

80 – 200

400 - 600

1000 - 2000?

(28)

Pag.

Charging infrastructure

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

Normal charging

95%

(overnight, cheap,

available everywhere, efficient)

Inductive charging

(29)

Pag.

8-11-2010 29

Charging points in Belgium

Ref: http://www.elektrischrijden.be/2010/08/ev-sector-vraagt-om-openbare-oplaadpunten/

Normal charge

In Belgium: installment of charging

points done by companies, parking

holders and private initiatives

Examples: Leaseplan, McDonalds,

Belgacom, Eandis, Interparking, Q8,

Brico, …

Est: >100 charging points in Belgium

Mostly on semi-private domain

Quick charge

PLUG TO DRIVE (Total Belgium)

12 quick chargers installed

around Brussels

(30)

Pag.

Infrastructure

Some examples:

ThePluginCompany

Becharged

Enovates

Ineltra Systems

Krautli

(31)

Pag.

Electricityproduction en distribution

10% EVs = > +1.375%

extra electricity production

But potential extra

demand for electricity after

working hours

“Smart battery charging”

during off peak hours

31

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB

– Battery as storage solution?

opportunity to give

electricity back to the grid?

Impact on life expectancy

of battery

2

nd

hand market for EV

batteries (still 80% original

capacity)

(32)

Pag.

BELGIAN ELECTRICITY

(33)

Pag.

Well-to-Wheel

Fuel production

ICE vehicle

Electricity production

Electric Vehicle

33

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

(34)

Pag.

Well-to-Wheel energy consumption

34

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

(35)

Pag.

LCA results small family car:

GHE (IPCC g CO2 eq/km)

Ref: Van Mierlo J., Macharis C., Boureima F., Messagie M., Turcksin L.; Vrije Universiteit Brussel; Clever project; 2010

35

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

(36)

Pag.

Influence of Power Plant

Boxplot: Range of GHE results for BEV

(ton CO2-eq)

Ref: Van Mierlo J., Macharis C., Boureima F., Messagie M., Turcksin L.; Vrije Universiteit Brussel;

36

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

(37)

Pag.

More info?

37

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo

Contact

– Joeri.van.mierlo@vub.ac.be

– +32 2 629 28 03

– http://mobi.vub.ac.be

– www.asbe.be

Prof. Joeri Van Mierlo - VUB 8-11-2010

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