Outcome
of Very
Low
Multiple
Gestation
Birth
Weight
Infants:
Versus
Singletons
Carol H. Leonard, PhD*; Robert E. Piecuch, MD*; Roberta A. Ballard, MD*; and Bruce A. B. Cooper, PhD
ABSTRACT. Objective. Multiple gestation infants are
overrepresented in intensive care nurseries, and have been reported to have greater morbidity than singletons. A cohort of very low birth weight infants was examined to determine outcome of premature infants based on ges-tation type (multiple or single) and hypothesized that at
this low birth weight, the outcome of the groups would be
similar.
Method. The sample was composed of all infants with
birth weights 125O g born in a 10-yearperiod (September
1977 through September 1987). Ninety-two percent (n = 364) of the infants discharged were seen at 1 year of age, and 73% (n = 249) were observed to school age.
Mor-bidity was assessed by neurodevelopmental
examina-lions and standard developmental tests.
Results. At 1 year of age and at school age, there were no differences in neurologic or neurosensory outcome
be-tween multiple gestation and single gestation infants.
Lo-gistic regression analyses were performed on the school
age data, using cognitive outcome as the dependent van-able and gestation type, birth weight, gestational age, in-tracranial hemorrhage, chronic lung disease, and a social
risk factor as predictor variables. Gestation type was not associated with cognitive outcome at school age. Social
risk factors and chronic lung disease showed an associa-Hon with cognitive outcome at school age.
Conclusions. Multiple gestation was not related to
in-creased morbidity in this very low birth weight group.
The developmental outcome of all infants with birth
weights 1250 g in this study was related to medical and
social risk factors. These findings were consistent for a
large group of infants over a 10-year period. Pediatrics
1994;93:611-615; multiple gestation, very low birth weight, development, outcome.
ABBREVIATIONS. MGI, multiple gestation infant; SES, socioeco-nomic status; ICN, intensive care nursery; SD, standard deviation; ICH, intracranial hemorrhage; CT, computed tomography; CLD, chronic lung disease; SOCR, social risk; CPS, Child Protective Ser-vices; McGCI McCarthy General Cognitive Index; WISC-R FSIQ, Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, Revised Full Scale IQ.
Historically, multiple gestation infants (MGI) have
been considered to be at increased risk for mortality
and morbidity in the neonatal period and for
subse-quent delayed growth and development.3 MGI have
From the *Depaj.fuflent of Pediatrics, University of California, San Francisco, CA; the Department of Pediatrics, Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, Philadelphia, PA; and the §California School of Professional Psychology, Alameda, CA.
Received for publication Apr 15, 1993; accepted Aug 31, 1993.
Reprint requests to (C.H.L.) Dept of Pediatrics, Nursery Follow-Up Pro-gram, Box 0748, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
94143.
PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1994 by the American Acad-emy of Pediatrics.
been studied primarily as twin pairs. Although MGIs
represent I to 2% of all births, they are
overrepre-sented in tertiary level nurseries because of the
in-creased incidence of obstetrical problems, premature
births, and congenital anomalies in multiple gestation
pregnancies. In addition to medical and
developmen-tal risks, families of twins have been identified as
hay-ing a higher rate of abuse/neglect.
During the past 25 years, studies have produced
conflicting findings about morbidity in multiple
ges-tation infants compared with singletons. Some
stud-ies have reported significant neurologic deficits, such
as cerebral palsy, in twins whereas others have
re-ported milder morbidity such as early language delay
and slightly lower IQ scores in twins than in
singletons.3’7 On the other hand, studies that have
carefully controlled for birth weight and/or
gesta-tional age in comparing twins with singletons
gen-erally find no differences in either neonatal morbidity
or subsequent neurologic and developmental
outcome.125 Recently one controlled study reported
increased periventricular leukomalacia in twins.16 In
addition to conflicting findings, some well-controlled
studies have had small samples, or only report
short-term follow-up (<24 months of age).
A few investigators have examined socioeconomic
status (SES) and social risk factors in their studies of
twin populations. Wilson’s longitudinal study of
twins found prematurity to operate as a short-term
suppressor effect on the cognitive development of
twins <1750 g.17 At 6 years of age, twins from upper
SES families had overcome the initial effects of
pre-maturity to perform in a normal or average range on
standardized tests.
Twins
from lower SES familieshad lower IQ scores at age 6.
In the following study, medical and social risk
fac-tors were examined in relation to gestation type (MGI
versus singleton) in a group of infants weighing
1250 g at birth, born during a 10-year period
(Sep-tember 1, 1977 through September 1, 1987). It was
hy-pothesized that gestation type would not show
asso-ciation with neurologic, neurosensory, or cognitive
outcome when birth weight was restricted to very low
birth weight. At very low birth weight it was
hypoth-esized that medical and/or social risk factors were
more likely to be associated with poor outcome than
gestation type. The rate of major handicap at 1 year
and at school age for the MGI and singleton groups
was determined. Gestation type, medical risk factors,
and social risk factors were examined for their
rela-tionship to cognitive/developmental outcome at
preschool/school age. Within the multiple gestation
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group of infants, birth order, and survivorship were
examined for relation to long-term outcome.
Sample
METHODS
Four hundred thirteen infants weighing I 250 g were dis-charged from the Intensive Care Nursery (ICN) at Mount Zion Hospital between September 1, 1977 and September 1, 1987. This group was racially diverse: 52% white, 26% African-American, 13% Hispanic, and 8% other, primarily Asian-American. The families of the children in this study came from a range of SES levels but almost half the families (42%) were of low SES, as de-fined by criteria noted below. The infants were part of a longitu-dinal study of outcome of very low birth weight and informed consent for the study was obtained from parents at discharge or the first clinic visit.
Of the 413 infants, 82 were multiple gestation infants, and 329 were singletons. Two infants were excluded from the study for congenital anomalies (one MGI, one singleton). Because infants were selected by birth weight, members of a multiple gestation set
were included in the study only if their birth weight was 1250 g
Table I describes the characteristics of the multiple gestation in-fants. The MGI group was composed primarily of twin deliveries with a small number of triplet deliveries.
The MGI and singleton groups were similar in birth weight, gender distribution, percentage of infants appropriate for gesta-tional age, and percentage of infants admitted after neonatal trans-port (Table 2). Gestational age was determined by Dubowitz ex-amination at birth. The MGI group had a mean gestational age of 28.8weeks (standard deviation (SD) = 2.0) compared with a mean gestational age of 28.3 weeks (SD = 2.0) for the singleton group,
and a lesser degree of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH).
Seventeen infants who were discharged from the ICN to home died during the study. Fifteen infants died during the first year of life. Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome was diagnosed in one infant in the first year who ultimately died, and one infant had an accidental death at age 3.
At I year, 30 surviving infants had been lost to follow-up, leaving 364 infants for study (92%). For the school-age sample, 62 infants were lost, and 41 had not yet reached school age. Twelve infants were not included in the school-age logistic regression analysis because they did not have an early computed tomogra-phy (CT) scan or ultrasound examination. Therefore, 73% (249
infants) of the original surviving group were available for the
school age analysis. The characteristics of the infants in the study at 1 year and at school age did not differ from the characteristics of the infants at discharge.
Risk Factors
Medical and social risk factors were determined for each infant enrolled in the study.
Chronic Lung Disease (CLD). Infants were given a score for CLD
reflecting the number of days they required 02. The scores were determined as: 0 = <30 days of 02; 1= 30 to 60 days of 02, 2 = 61 to 90 days of 02; and 3 = >90 days of 02. Infants with a score of
2 or 3 (>60 days of 02) were designated as having significant CLD. Sixty days of 02 was chosen as a marker for CLD rather than
TABLE 1. Characteristics of Multiple Gestation Infants
Mode of delivery, No.
Vaginal vertex 45
Vaginal breech 13
Cesarean section 24
Birth weights in multiple gestation sets, %
Concordant 82
Discordant 13
. Unreported 5
Birth order, No.
Infant A (first born) 38
Infant B (second born) 42
Infant C (third born) 2
Survivorship in multiple gestation sets, No.
Single survivor in set 26
Survivor of complete set 56
30 days, because of the very low birth weight of this sample. With mean birth weight at approximately 1000 g and gestational age of 28 weeks, the median 02 requirement for the whole group was 30 days.
ICH. Infants had CT scans (1977 through 1980) or ultrasonog-raphy (1981 through 1987) within the first week after delivery, with studies repeated weekly if there were abnormalities. ICH were graded in the nursery according to the four-level grading system described by Papile et al)8 For statistical analyses, grades I and II were considered as one group and grades III and IV were considered as a second group. One infant with bilateral periven-tricular leukomalacia was placed with the group containing grades III and IV ICH for the purposes of this study.
SES. Families were considered to be of low SES if one or more of the following were present: maternal education <12 years, health insurance obtained from public assistance, or primary in-come earner in family was unemployed. Forty-two percent of families in the study were of low SES by this rating.
Social Risk (SOCR). Referral to the Department of Child
Protec-tive Services (CPS) of the Department of Social Services for abuse and/or neglect with resultant action (removal from home, remain in home with CPS supervision, remain in home with additional social services obtained) was considered a social risk factor. Re-ferrals were primarily for mild abuse or neglect; however, there were two cases of more significant abuse.
Outcome Measures
Infants were assessed according to a protocol for very low birth weight infants in the Follow-Up Clinic. Infants were seen fre-quently in the first year of life for neurodevelopmental examina-tions. They were assessed by a neonatologist with training in developmental and behavioral pediatrics. Formal developmental testing was conducted by a psychologist at adjusted age 2 months, 18 months, 2#{189}years, and chronologic age 4#{189}years and 7 years. School age outcome was considered the last formal devel-opmental test completed by the child (4#{189}year examination or 7 year examination). Neurologic, neurosensory, and cognitive out-come were considered as follows:
Neurologic Outcome. Cerebral palsy or significant abnormalities in muscle strength, tone, reflexes, or movement patterns causing ftmctional impairment were classified as “abnormal” outcome. These included such diagnoses as hemiplegia, spastic diplegia, quadriplegia, and ataxia. Infants with abnormalities in tone, strength, or reflexes who did not have a clear diagnosis were given a suspect classification. Mild neuromotor abnormalities such as tremors or clumsiness were not included as abnormal outcome.
Neurosensory Outcome. Bilateral blindness or hearing loss re-quiring hearing aids or other communication aids were consid-ered as abnormal neurosensory outcome.
Cognitive Outcome. The McCarthy Scales of Children’s Abilities was administered at age 4#{189};and the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, Revised was administered at age 7. Children were assessed with these instruments if they had the functional ability to complete the assessment. Children with hemiplegias, for ex-ample, were able to routinely participate in assessments. Eight children with severe motor limitations and severely limited
corn-munication abilities were not administered the cognitive assess-ment but were placed in a priori abnormal category for cognitive outcome. All follow-up studies must deal with severely disabled infants and decide how to include or exclude them for long-term follow-up. It has been decided to include them in this abnormal outcome category although they were generally not fully exam-med on cognitive scales after preschool because of their untestable status on standard tests. Reports of functional skills were obtained from their special education programs where possible.
Scores on the McCarthy General Cognitive Index (MCGCI) and the Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children, Revised Full Scale IQ (WISC-R FSIQ) that were between one and two standard devia-tions below the mean were considered mildly abnormal; scores more than two standard deviations below the mean were consid-ered moderately to severely abnormal. Children with severe mo-tor impairment were placed in this category because of their significant special educational requirements.
corn-TABLE 2. Sample Characteristics of Multiple Gestation Infants and Singletons at Discharge
Multiple Gestation Infant Singleton P
No. 82 329
Birth weight, g 1015 ± 162 998 ± 165 NS
Gestational age, wk 28.85 ± 2.07 28.33 ± 2.05+ < .05
SGA*, n (%) 8 (10) 26 (8) NS
Inborn 38 (51) 147 (52) NS
Male 39 (52) 135 (48) NS
Chronic lung disease
02 > 60 d 13 (15.9) 77 (23.4) NS
No intracranial hemorrhage 63 (81) 212 (664 < .05
Low SES 29 (39) 134 (48) NS
*SGA, small for gestational age; SES, socioeconomic status; NS, not significant; df, degrees of freedom. t t = 2.08, 409 df p = .04.
t6.92,2dfP= .04.
pleted both assessments, not all children did. Correlations were obtained for children who did complete both assessments. The correlation coefficient between the MCCCI and the WISC-R FSIQ was .90 for the MGI sample, and .80 for the singleton sample. Where both assessments had been obtained, WISC-R FSIQ was used in analyses.
Statistical Analyses
Bivariate analyses (pooled variance t tests or x tests) were performed on the two groups for the variables of birth weight, gestational age, inborn/outborn status, gender, and appropriate weight for gestational age variables. These analyses of the MGI and singleton groups were performed for three time periods: dis-charge, 1-year follow-up, and school-age follow-up to assure that the groups remained representative of the original sample and that obtained differences were not due to sample attrition.
x2analyses were used to examine differences in neurologic and neurosensory outcome at I and 5 years. For the school age sample, logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the best predictors of school age cognitive outcome. Outcome within the multiple gestation group was examined by x analyses for differ-ences related to birth order and survivorship.
Because this hypothesis predicted no differences in develop-mental outcome between MGI and singleton groups, appropriate sample size to detect a difference, if one existed, was of concern. The sample size for analyses of sample characteristics at three time periods (discharge, I year, 5 years) and neurologic outcome at I and 5 years (t tests, analyses) was large enough to yield a power level >80. A standard power analysis for logistic regression has not yet been developed. At this point statisticians estimate what the power would be based on analogous statistical methods, for example, if instead of a logistic regression model, a multiple re-gression model with five predictors was used to examine cognitive
outcome at 5 years, the power of the analysis would be 1 .0. A categorical analysis of the 5-year data (2 x 2 tables) would yield a power level of .96.
RESULTS
Discharge
Medical and social risk factors at discharge are
pre-sented in Table 2. There was no significant difference
in the incidence of CLD (02 >60 days). There was a
significant difference in the presence of ICH between
groups. The MGI group had significantly less ICH
than the singleton group. This difference,
accumu-lated over a 10-year period, was not explainable by
significantly different rates of ICH in infants who died
in the ICN. A subanalysis of the rate of ICH in infants
who died before discharge showed that ICH occurred
at similar rates in both multiple and single gestation
infants who lived longer than 1 day but who did not
survive to discharge. Infants surviving <24 hours
were generally critically ill or extremely immature
and not likely to have received scans or ultrasounds.
Of the infants who survived >24 hours, and received
scans or ultrasounds before expiration, 7/10 (70%) of
MGI and 55/72 (76%) of singletons had some grade
of ICH.
The MGI group had a slight but significant
differ-ence in gestational age (MGI = 28.85 weeks
gesta-tional age, singletons - 28.33 weeks gestational age)
at similar mean birth weights. The gestational age
variable was entered into a logistic regression to
de-termine if this small difference had an effect on
out-come. Further analyses of the distribution of birth
weight and gestational age for AGA MGI and
single-tons and SGA MGI and singletons were conducted
using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov 2 sample test for
equality of distributions. There were no differences in
the distributions of the variables birth weight and
ges-tational age in the MGI and singleton AGA and SGA
groups. This indicates that at similar birth weights,
MGI infants were judged by the Dubowitz
examina-tion to be slightly older than singleton infants. This
may reflect placental factors that led to accelerated
maturation of the multiple gestation fetus, and/or
smaller weight gain for age in the multiple gestation
fetus.
One-Year Outcome
One-year outcome data were examined for
signifi-cant neurologic or neurosensory handicap.
Neurologic Outcome. Table 3 presents the
neuro-logic outcome at I year adjusted age. There were no
significant differences between MGI and singleton
groups for neurologic deficit. In the MGI group, 5%
had a diagnosis of cerebral palsy, compared with 6%
in the singleton group. Three percent in the MGI
group and 2% in the singleton group had a suspect
neurologic examination.
Neurosensory Outcome. One percent of infants in
each group experienced significant neurosensory
deficits (Table 3). These infants had bilateral blindness
or severe hearing loss.
School Age Outcome
School age cognitive assessments and
neurodevel-opmental assessments were performed at 4#{189}years of
age or 7 years of age. The later examination was used
where available. The mean age of the sample was 77
months (SD, 18.7 months).
Neurologic Outcome. At school age, the incidence of
abnormal neurologic outcome was similar for the
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TABLE 3. Neurologic and Neurosensory Morbidity at One Year and Five Years
One Year Five Years
MGI Singleton
MGI* Singleton
No.
Cerebralpalsy Suspect neurologic
Examination
Blind/deaf
75 4(5%)
2(3%)
I (1%)
289 17(6%)
6(2%)
4 (1%)
52 4(8%)
0(0%)
1 (2%)
197 17(8.6%)
2 (1%)
4 (2%)
*MGI, multiple gestation infant.
MGI and singleton groups. In the MGI group, 8% of
the infants had cerebral palsy or other functional
mo-tor deficit. In the singleton group, 8.6% of the children
had abnormal examinations (Table 3). There were no
new abnormal neurologic cases found in the MGI
group after the 1-year examination. Two singleton
children with abnormal neurologic outcome at 1
year were lost at school age; but two children with
normal examinations at I year of age, had late
pres-entations of spastic diplegia. Two singleton children
had increased tone or reflexes at school age, but did
not have a diagnosis of cerebral palsy, and were
quite functional.
Neurosensory Outcome. The significant
neurosen-sory deficits seen at I year of age were static and
ob-viously remained the same at school age. No new
cases of severe neurosensory deficit were discovered.
Cognitive Outcome. A logistic regression analysis
was performed using cognitive outcome at the 4#{189}or
7 year examination, as the dependent variable. The
later examination was used where available. Five
variables were selected for simultaneous regression.
The predictors entered were: birth weight, ICH, CLD,
gestation type and SOCR. The predictor birth weight
had no unique predictive power and was removed
from the regression. The predictor gestation type was
not significant but it was left in for subsequent
analysis as it was the parameter of interest in this
study. Subsequent analysis using the remaining
pre-dictors showed strong unique relationships for CLD
(P < .002) and SOCR (P < .001). There were weaker
unique associations noted for ICH (P = .127). There
was no association found for the predictor gestation
type (P = .539) (Table 4). A second logistic
regres-sion analysis was performed with the same outcome
variable and predictor variables, but gestational age
was substituted for birth weight. As with birth
weight, gestational age had no unique predictive
power and was removed from the regression.
Outcome Within the Multiple Gestation Infants Group.
In the school age sample of multiple gestation infants,
49% were first born and 51 % were later born.
analy-TABLE 4. Cognitive Outcome at School Age Related to Medi-cal Risk Factors, Social Risk Factor, and Gestation Type
Parameter Standard P Value
Estimate Error
Gestation type -0.20 0.33 .539 NS
ICH* -0.27 0.18 .127t
CLD -0.48 0.13 .002
50CR -1.79 0.42 .001
* ICH, intracranial hemorrhage; CLD, chronic lung disease; 50CR,
social risk.
t In logistic regression models, a probability level of .25 is gener-ally used as a criterion for retaining the variable in the model.’9
ses of the outcome at this age related to birth order
showed no differences between groups (first born
versus later born 2 = 0.03, 1 df, P = .86).
At school age, 64% of the MGI were multiple
sur-vivors and 36% were single survivors (other
mem-bers of the multiple gestation set having expired).
The deaths ranged from the neonatal period to
within the first year of life. There were no
differ-ences in cognitive outcome at school age between
the single survivors and the multiple survivors
(single survivor versus multiple survivor = 0.08,
I df, P = .98).
DISCUSSION
In this study, infants were followed up until school
age with a modest rate (27%) of attrition. The size and
scope of the study reduce the chance fluctuations
pos-sible in short-term follow-up studies with small
sample size. Infants were selected on the basis of very
low birth weight. By restricting the range of birth
weights to 1250 g, it was found that the variable
gestation type was not related to neurologic or
cog-nitive outcome at school age. Although gestation type
was not related to outcome, other risk factors were.
The medical risk factor CLD was related to
long-term cognitive outcome. The criteria of at least 60
days of supplemental 02 appears to have been a
meaningful marker of infants who were more
chronically ill. Some infants in this group were
dis-charged home on 02 and required 02 throughout
the first year of life. Other considerations for
long-term oxygen-dependent infants, such as nutritional
needs, and their effect on cognitive development
were not addressed in this study.
ICH did not show a highly significant relationship
to long-term cognitive outcome, however it fell within
a predetermined range (0 through 25%) of probability
for retention in the logistic regression model.19
Al-though ICH is related to presence of neurologic
defi-cit, in some cases this is primarily a motor dysfunction
that leaves cognitive functions relatively intact. One
child with a hemiplegia, for example, had an IQ in the
superior range at school age.
Children in this study, whether of multiple
gesta-tion or single gestation, had poorer outcome at school
age if they had a CPS referral, a finding consistent
with previous research.2#{176} MGI and singleton infants
had similar rates of referral, which was increased over
that in the general population. The enrollment period
of this study ended coincidentally with the
begin-nings of the epidemic of crack cocaine and multiple
substance abuse. SOCR factors will continue to be
very important in the consideration of factors
ARTICLES 615
This study found no differences in cognitive
out-come at school age between first born and later born
multiple gestation infants. This constituted a
cross-sectional analysis comparing birth order, not matched
twin pairs, or triplet groups. Comparing
develop-ment of the individuals within pairs or triads would
necessitate a different study, as some infants in sets
were excluded by birth weight >1250 g in this study.
Additionally at this low birth weight, there were
many single survivors of sets, the other set members
having died.
Although a question was posed whether single
sur-vivors of multiple gestation groups might fare better
than multiple survivors, this was not found to be the
case. There were no significant differences in outcome
at school age between single survivors and multiple
survivors. There are many clinical factors that are
in-volved in this question. It has been found, for
ex-ample, that there is wide variation in how families
treat dead infants, depending not only on age of death
(stillborn versus sudden infant death syndrome at 8
months, for example) but also on family dynamics in
the treatment of the memory of the dead infants. Some
families have adaptively integrated the memory of
the dead infant into the fabric of ongoing family life
although other families appear to have a pathological
focus on the dead infant at the expense of surviving
infant(s).
This study addressed outcome of very low birth
weight multiple gestation infants born in a time
period (September 1, 1977 through September 1, 1987)
where multiple births were likely to be naturally
oc-curring, or to be related to maternal drugs to enhance
fertilization. It would not be appropriate to generalize
the results of this study to more recent multiple
ges-tation births where other factors such as in vitro
fertilization with multiple ovum implantation and
possibly fetal reduction surgery may influence the
occurrence or outcome of multiple births.
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
Support for the statistical analyses in this study was provided by a grant from Perinatal Associates, Inc.
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COMPREHENSIVE
COHORT
FOLLOW-UP
IS IMPORTANT
. . . an analysis of the external validity of a trial [generalizability of results] is only
possible if all eligible patients are followed regardless of their randomization
status.
Olschewski M, et at. Analysis of randomized and nonrandomized patients in clinical trials using comprehensive cohort follow-up study design. Controlled C/in Trials. 1992;13:226-239.
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1994;93;611
Pediatrics
Carol H. Leonard, Robert E. Piecuch, Roberta A. Ballard and Bruce A. B. Cooper
Outcome of Very Low Birth Weight Infants: Multiple Gestation Versus Singletons
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Outcome of Very Low Birth Weight Infants: Multiple Gestation Versus Singletons
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