A Glimpse at the Future of
Predictive Analytics
in Healthcare
Dr. Thomas Hill
Dell Executive Director, Analytics
Dell Software Group
[email protected]
www.linkedin.com/in/DrThomasHill
@DrTomHill
Dell - Restricted - Confidential
The promising future
• Machine learning, automation, and robotics for
faster, better health outcomes
• Personalized health, access to experts
through technology
• Wearable devices for efficient monitoring,
rehabilitation, diagnosis, risk management,
voice-of-patient
• Effective preventative intervention, care
• Better outcomes at lower cost
with lower risk
Opportunities – There are many
•
•
Product Details
File Size: 82042 KB
•
Print Length: 1110 pages
•
Publisher: Academic Press; 1 edition
(September 22, 2014)
•
Publication Date: September 22, 2014
•
Sold by: Amazon Digital Services, Inc.
•
Language: English
•
ASIN: B00OCG2R90
Opportunities – There are many
6
Confidential
University of Iowa transforms
the operating room with
real-time analytics
Goals:
•
Predict patients with the biggest risk of surgical site
infections
•
Reduce infection rate to improve patient care and
decrease costs
Solutions:
•
Merge historical EHR data and live patient vital signs to
predict infection likelihood
•
Provide doctors with real-time, predictive decisions, using
Dell Statistica, during surgical procedures so they can
create a plan to reduce risk
Results:
• 58% reduction in occurrence of surgical site infections
• Personalize healthcare based on patient’s own characteristics
• Reduce cost of patient care
7
Confidential
UPMC Health Plan reduces
readmission rates using text
mining of physician notes
Goals:
•
Identify patients at increased risk of being readmitted
within 30 days of discharge
•
Target those patients for extra personalized care transition
and follow-up programs
Solutions:
•
Analyze physician notes (unstructured data) using Dell
Statistica Data Miner predictive modeling to determine
patients' risk prior to hospital admissions
•
Feed readmission risk score for each patient into EMR
profiles for nurse/physician access
Results:
• Capture 64% of all 30-day readmissions with a true positive
rate of over 27%.
• 53% of the predicted 30-day readmissions are readmitted within
180 days.
8
Confidential
Shire combats rare diseases
with streamlined pharma
production
Goals:
•
Control and monitor production processes to reduce
operational risk and cost
•
Identify areas of improvement
Solutions:
•
Install Dell Statistica Enterprise Quality Control (QC) with
Web Data Entry on three environments (development,
validation, and production).
Results:
•
Enable immediate “Day 1” results with real-time data
capture and analysis platform by replacing an assortment of
tools
•
Seamless, unified data presentation, regardless of data
source
•
Greater predictability of production; fewer defects and lost
batches
•
Expedited root cause analysis reduces operational risk and
Dis
Disruptors
Disruptors:
Big Data changed how we think of data, what we collect
And how much data we collect
Challenges
and
solutions
Challenge #1:
From POCs to robust,
flexible, production-ready
architecture
Example:
Case
management
scoring and
optimization
Challenge #2:
Controlling cost,
avoiding vendor-lock
Technology company improves
analytics strategy using Dell
Statistica
Business need
To help its clients better understand their customers, improve their marketing and increase revenue, the Dell Global Analytics team needed an advanced analytics platform that is both
powerful and easy to use.
Benefits
● Improves efficiency with a menu-driven approach that requires no coding
● Delivers powerful analysis tools and a wide range of options
● Fosters creativity and encourages exploration of analysis
techniques
● Delivers better business value with easy-to-understand visualizations and other deliverables
Solution
By migrating from the incumbent mainframe era software to Dell Statistica, the team can now deliver better business value
quickly and easily. Menu-driven workflows replace complex
custom coding to improve efficiency, and exceptional power
and flexibility ensure quality results.
“
The mainframe era incumbent software required a
lot of complex coding. Dell Statistica provides the
results you need with a click of a button.”
Tejinder Kaur Bimbraw, Business Analysis Senior Advisor,
Dell Inc.
Challenge #3:
Resource constraints,
finding and retaining talent
Data scientists are hard to find, expensive, and difficult to keep
Automation, and designing for the business user
Automated
Analytics
Challenge #4:
Succeeding early and clearly,
finding high-ROI targets
What outcomes?
Annual avoidable readmission costs for Medicare patients
Annual healthcare spending with little or no effect on outcomes
Annual deaths as a result of “preventable harm” in hospitals
$17B
$840B
200K-400K
Asthma care with email notifications to emergency rooms, case managers and
asthma patients forecasting events likely to exacerbate symptoms
tests and overnight stays for ER patients by using analytics and
both historic data and real-time data in ER to more accurately
predict test outcomes and likelihood of impending cardiac events
UPMC Health Plan reduced
readmission rates
37%
by identifying at-risk patients and providing personalized
transition care and follow-up
58%
reduction in surgical site infections at University of Iowa Hospitals and Clinics by providing
real-time analytics during surgery
reduce
Optimize
ER doctors were
able to
23
Dell - Restricted - ConfidentialChallenge #5:
Security, compliance,
transparency,
fairness:
First, Do No Harm
25
Dell - Restricted - ConfidentialGovernance
Fraud
Algorithmic decision making
27
Dell - Restricted - ConfidentialBest practices
and
• Start at the end:
“How do I know I am done, how do I know I won?”
• Have a clear goal where/when/how ROI and value is realized
• Align all stakeholders and their interests with process goal;
Get everyone on board
• Plan for early and measureable success
• Think of how the solution will scale up, out
• Plan carefully and realistically for resources and how to embrace a
data-driven culture
• There are lots of resources, technologies are standardizing and
getting simpler, and conferences like the Big Data & Healthcare
Analytics Forum provide ample support
EMA
Radar Report Value Leader for Boomi
Cloud Integration
Software revenue
16
th
Largest
6,000+
Team members
Of Global 1000 are Dell Software
customers
90%
NSS Labs
Highest overall protection Next-Gen
Firewall
User community members
2,000,000+
1,000,000+
Customers
Getting to know Dell Software
9 Magic Quadrants
Gartner
2,000 +
Software
engineers
2,500 +
Software sales
Dell knows about
Big Data & analytics
in healthcare
#1
WW Healthcare IT Services Vendor for
6 consecutive years by Gartner*
FDA-approved
personalized medicine
clinical trial for
pediatric cancer
1
st
Medical images
managed and
secured in the
cloud
10.5B+
Leader
In 2 consecutive Gartner Magic
Quadrants for Enterprise Integration
Platform as a Service (iPaaS): Dell Boomi
Years of deep experience in healthcare
predictive analytics
30+
Reduction in surgical site infections at
University of Iowa Hospitals and clinics using
Dell Statistica
58%
Dell Statistica users worldwide
1,000,000
1,000+
Specialists with expertise on data
warehouse, BI and analytics
Largest pharma companies use Dell
Statistica validated analytics
7 of 10
Leader
And Star Performer for App Outsourcing
& IT Outsourcing by Everest Group
*Gartner, Inc., Market Share: IT Services, 2014, Kathryn Hale et al, March 31, 2015
Dell - Restricted - Confidential