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(1)

Networks and applications:

From value disruption to value co-creation

Arab Regional Forum on

"Future Networks: Regulatory and Policy Aspects in

Converged Networks”.

(Rabat, Morocco, 19-20 May 2015)

(2)

Industry Shift

Towards Value

Co-creation

The Investment

Dilemma

How the industry is being transformed ?

What are the impacts on the networks of the future

Scenarios & tactics : is it really a battle ?

How to achieve a ‘win-win scenario’ for all players ?

Who invests in what ?

What business model ?

(3)

Industry

Shift

(4)

Disruptive

scaling

in usage

Mobility

Video

Devices

Things

Massive move

to the cloud

@ Enterprise

@ Home

@ Providers

Highest performance

Lowest cost per bit

Most personalized

Resulting market forces

The network:

An essential resource

VALUE

VALUE

(5)

THE NETWORK

NEEDS TO

ADAPT TO THE

USER

(6)

Network

The essential bridge

SERVING A VIDEO

AND CLOUD-ENABLED

WORLD

All

IP-Networking

Gaming

Streaming

Storing

Communicating

Computing

FTTx &

BACKHAUL

MACRO

CELL

INSIDE

OUT

Small Cells

Bandwidth

Latency

Security

Reliability

Multi-Tenants

Multi-Services

(7)

IT and the network meet

Virtualized

data

centers

All-IP

networking

MANAGED

INTERCONNECTION

INTERSECTIO

N OF I.T. AND

IP RIPE FOR

INNOVATION

STRONGER

FOCUS ON

CLOUD IP

NETWORKING

Virtualize

d data

centers

Cloud IP

networking

AUTOMATE

Match data centers’ dynamic and agile allocation of compute and

storage with an equally automated ‘Cloud IP network’

FROM WEBSCALE TO

TELCOs AND ENTERPRISES

(8)

SDN

VNF

VNF

CORE

CLOUD

CLOUD FUNCTION

DISTRIBUTION

DISTRIBUTED

CLOUD

SMALLER CELLS

FTTx

DEVICE VIRTUALIZATION AND

HOSTING

FTTx

NF

(9)

ROGUE

ENTITY

CONSUMER

ENTERPRISE

CRITICAL/

GOVERNMENT

GLOBAL THREAT—MULTIPLE COORDINATED ATTACK

END-TO-END

NETWORK-ENABLED

SECURITY

DYNAMIC

SCALABLE

SECURITY

FUNCTIONS

HOSTED

SECURITY

ANALYTICS &

INTELLIGENCE

CROSS-SECTOR

COLLABORATION

(10)

Network of 2020

IP network re-partitioned,

dynamic and programmable

Access faster and

converged with IP

Home functions and

devices virtualized

(11)

Towards

value

(12)

What is happening really ?

CONSUMERS AND

BUSINESSES

Services, Content & Apps

(mobile, residential, business, cloud,...)

Services, Content & Apps

(mobile, residential, business, cloud,...)

Active Infrastructure

( Active equipments)

Active Infrastructure

( Active equipments)

Passive Infrastructure

(Trenches, Ducts, fibre, towers, ..)

Passive Infrastructure

(Trenches, Ducts, fibre, towers, ..)

TELCO

Cloud

(13)

There are fundamental differences between Telco and OTT players

Certified devices

QoS

Managed services

Controlled ecosystem

Geofenced

Regulated

Any combinantion of

devices, network, and

services

Best effort QoS

Defacto multiple ecosystems

(iOS, Android, Windows, ..)

Global

Not regulated

TELECO WORLD

OTT WORLD

(14)

There are fundamental differences between Telco and OTT players

TELECO WORLD

OTT WORLD

Business Model:

Triple justification upfront,

Little room for error

Pricing: metered, bundles, flat,..

Business Model:

Low upfront investment,

low entry barrier

Trial and error,

Incremental improvements

Pricing: Free to use (ad based),

pay-to-use, Freemium (hybrid)

(15)

How do the telcos respond ?

1. Block/Prohibit

OTT traffic

2. Charge the OTT

players for terminating traffic to the

consumers through their networks,

3. Charge consumers

an extra or “premium” to use some

OTT services,

4. Apply

differentiated quality of service

treatment to

the Internet traffic that is delivered through their

network,

5. Compete

with Internet OTT players.

(16)
(17)
(18)

The

Investment

Dilemma

(19)
(20)

It is not only about business models and a Telco-OTT debate

When more people get connected and

contribute to the digital economy, the

GDP GROWS

F

IX

E

D

M

O

B

IL

E

IN

T

E

R

N

E

T

B

R

O

A

D

B

A

N

D

(21)

Rethinking the investment models

Services, Content & Apps

(mobile, residential, business, cloud,...)

Services, Content & Apps

(mobile, residential, business, cloud,...)

Active Infrastructure

( Active equipments)

Active Infrastructure

( Active equipments)

Passive Infrastructure

(Trenches, Ducts, fibre, towers, ..)

Passive Infrastructure

(Trenches, Ducts, fibre, towers, ..)

End Users

End Users

<3y

5-7y

15-20y

20%

80%

Investment

needed

Payback

(22)

Identifying the right regulatory and market structure

Network

Operator

Infrastructure

Owner

Full separation

Vertically

Integrated

Service

Active

Passive

Re ta il S erv ice

Prov

ide

r

Re ta il S erv ice

Prov

ider

Re ta il S erv ice

Prov

ide

r

Infrastructure

Owner

Passive

Sharing

Active/Passive

Sharing

Re ta il S erv ice

Prov

ide

r

Re ta il S erv ice

Prov

ide

r

Re ta il S erv ice

Prov

ide

r

Vertical

Infrastructure

Provider

Vertic

al

ly

Int

eg

rate

d

O

pe

rato

r

Verti

ca

lly

Int

eg

rate

d

O

pe

rato

r

Vertic

al

ly

Int

eg

rate

d

O

pe

rato

r

Ve

rt

ic

al Servic

e

Prov

ide

r

Ve

rt

ic

al Servic

e

Prov

ide

r

Ve

rt

ic

al Servic

e

Prov

ide

r

Competition

Infrastructure Competition

Service Competition

Regulated passive

wholesale

Regulated active

wholesale

Regulated passive &

active wholesale

Access to public

infrastructure

(23)

Partnerships between the public and private

sectors are essential

The sector development spans across all other

vital sectors of the economy

To deliver innovative services and respond

to consumer deman and changing behaviour,

Telcos, vendors, and OTTs have no choice

but to collaborate and co-create value

goals

Grow business by combining forces

Bring joint innovative solutions to the market that can

manage complexity, connectivity and commercialization issues

Transform the consumers and nations challenges into

solutions and opportunities for development for them

In conclusion: Partnerships and alliances

will help all stakeholders build the future

(24)

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