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I

T

h

e

In

flue

nce

o

f La

w o

n Sea Power Doctrine

s

:

The Ne

w

Maritime Strategy and the Future of

the Global Legal Order

Craig H. Allen

*

F

or much of the

2006-07

academic

year, elements

of the US

Naval

War

Col-lege

facilitated an

elaborate process designed to provide the intellectual

foun-dations for the

Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) and his

staff

t

o draw upon in

drafting

a

new maritime

strategy.l

The process brought together

experts

from

throughout

the world to take part in

workshops, strategic

foundation

"war"

games,

conferences and l

istening

sessions.

2 It

was my privilege

as

the

Charles

H.

Stockton

Chair

of International

Law

to

selVe

as

legal advisor

throughout

the process. This

article summarizes

the

contributions

of the

Naval War College

I

n

te

rnational L

aw

Departme

nt (ILD)

in the process to develop

and

define the relationship

between

maritime

strategy

and law

,

particularly internationa

l

law, and

provides the

au-thor's

thoughts on

what course

that

strategy should

take.

Three

decades have now

elapsed

since Danie

l

Patrick

O'Connell challenged our

thinking with his book

The Influence

of

Law on Sea

Power

}

I

n it, the

New Zealand

law

of

the

sea expert and Chichele

Professor

of

Public

I

nternational Law

argued,

shortly

before his death in 1979

,

that because

the law

of the

sea "has

become the

stimulus

to

sea

power, not its restraint,

"4

future

naval

operations planning

staffs

• Charles H. Stockton Professor of International

Law,

US Naval War College.

The opinions shared in this paper are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of the U.S. Naval War College, the Dept. of the Navy, or Dept. of Defense.

International Law Studies - Volume 84

International Law and Military Operations

(2)

The

Influence of Law

on Sea Power

Doctrines

must acquire a thorough

appreciatio

n

of

the law.

;

I

n

co

ntra

st

to

Admiral

Alfred

Thayer Mahan

an

d th

e

more rece

n

t naval historians who, while providi

ng

illumi

-nating analyses of the influence

o

f

sea

power on history,

6

mostly disregard the

in-fl

ue

n

ce of

international l

aw o

n

sea

power

,

Prof

essor O'Conne

ll

forceful

ly

argued

that

sea

power doctrines

can

no lon

ger

be

co

n

sidered

in

i

s

olation from the relevant

law. More importantl

y,

O'Connell recognized that int

ernatio

nal law

can

be a

pow-erful st

r

ategic

enabler. The question I

as

k

ed

m

yself

as I launched into my new task

last fall

was, "

Ha

s

the naval

stra

t

egy community

h

ee

d

ed

Professor

O'Connell's

ad-monition

?"

Let

me attempt to

answe

r th

at

question by taking the r

eader

on a brief

tour of our maritim

e strategy

d

eve

lopm

e

nt process and the role oflaw and legal

ad-visors in that process.

The Maritime

Strategy

Project

(3)

C

raig

H.

All

e

n

Sec

uri

ty S

trat

eg

i

es

i

n th

e U

nit

e

d

St

at

es

We were

n

ot asked

t

o

compose

the new

st

rategy on a

b

lank

canvas.

I

ndeed, we

worked on o

ne

that was

a

lr

eady suffused

with an

el

aborate landscape. The new

maritim

e st

ra

tegy

w

ill

be

nested

in

what has become a multiface

t

ed web of

secu

ri

ty

strateg

i

es

fo

r th

e n

at

i

o

n

,

all

of which ema

n

ate

f

ro

m

the Natio1lal Security S

t

rategy of

the

U1Iited States.

16

The Nation

al

Securi

ty Act of 1947, as

amend

ed

b

y the

Goldwater·Nichols

Ac

t

of

1

986, requires the President annually to

su

bmi

t

to the

Congress a

National Security Str

ategy (NSS) repo

r

t.

17

Th

e P

resi

d

e

n

t's

NSS visio

n

is

in

tu

rn

imp

l

eme

n

ted by the Natio1lal

Defeuse

Strategy promulga

ted

by the

Secre·

tary of Defense and the

Nati01laf

Military

Strategy issued by the

Chai

r

m

an of the

J

oint

C

hi

efs

ofStaff.18

Cl

os

ely

r

el

ated

t

o those

are the Nati01laf Strategy for

Mari-time Security, the Natio1lal Strategy for

H

omela1ld Securi

t

y, the Maritime Strategy for

Home/and

Security, the National Strategy for Combati1lg

Terrorism

and the Natio1lal

Strategy

to

Combat

Weapo1ls of Mass Destruction

.

Not

su

rprisi

n

gly, m

any

of the

strategy documents

h

ave

cl

assified versions.

I

sh

ould ad

d

that this was not the fi

rst

time the

US

Navy has

l

au

n

ched a gra

n

d

strategy

develo

p

me

n

t project.

I

ndeed,

research

b

y t

he

Center

for

Naval

Analyses

in

the fall o

f

2007

i

d

e

n

tified at

least seven

teen

Navy capston

e

pla

nnin

g docume

n

ts

since the 1970s.

19

I

t

is

no

t

eworthy

for this observer that no

ne

of the ear

lier Navy

cap-sto

n

e strategies,

or

NavaJ D

octri

n

e P

ubl

ication I

on Naval Waifarel°-wh

i

ch

"intro·

d

uces who

weare, w

h

at we

do

,

how

we

fight, a

n

d whe

re

we must

go i

n the

future"-expressly

discusses the role of

l

aw and

l

egal i

n

s

titut

i

ons

in n

aval operations, other

tha

n t

o make a

p

assing

reference

to the fact that naval mo

bil

ity would be better as·

sured if the Uni

ted Sta

t

es

acceded

t

o the 1982 U

n

ited

Nati

o

n

s Conven

t

ion on the

Law of the

Sea

{

1

982

L

OS

Conventi

o

n

)

.

21

Strategy a

s a

C

ritical

C

ompon

e

nt o

f

th

e G

eo-

strategic Environment

Strategy

is

sai

d to be "a p

ruden

t

idea or

set

of

i

deas for

empl

oying

th

e

in

strume

n

ts of

national powe

r

in a

synchronized

a

n

d

in

tegra

ted fashion t

o ach

ieve theate

r,

na

t

ional,

an

d

/or

multinational ob;ectives.

"22

I

n

setti

n

g ou

t

to achieve those nat

i

o

nal

objec·

tives,

strategy

m

u

st be adap

ted

to the

st

r

ategic

enviro

n

me

n

t

i

n whic

h

i

t will oper·

ate.2J

Accor

dingly,

to provide the

d

evelop

me

n

t team

wi

th the foundatio

n

they

n

eeded

to prepa

r

e

maritime

stra

t

egy

o

p

tions

for

the

CNO, the Naval

War

College

began by

conveni

n

g a Geo·st

r

a

t

egic E

n

vironmen

t Wo

r

kshop. The worksho

p p

ar·

tici

p

ants drew

h

eavily

o

n

the Na

ti

onal In

t

e

llig

ence Council

assessment "Mapping

the G

l

obal Future.

"24

Later, a

B

rit

i

sh

per

spective

was provided by the UK Ministry

(4)

The

Influence

of

Law

on Sea Power

Doctrines

of De

f

ence Development and Co

n

ce

pt

s Doctrine Ce

ntr

e's "Strategic

Tr

ends

2007-2036."25 The experts' co

nclu

sions were sobering.

26

T

h

e reader is likely familiar with much

of

the

strategic enviro

nm

e

n

ta

l

picture,

so

I will on

l

y su

mm

ar

i

ze the most

sa

li

ent features. Geopo

li

tical entropy,

di

sorder

and

un

ce

rtain

ty are on the rise.2' The world is said

t

o

be

s

uf

fe

ring

from a g

lo

bal secu

ri

ty

deficit.

28

Unsustainable population growth

r

ates, the "youth bulge"

a

nd

ch

roni

c

unemployment are most pronounced in those

r

egio

n

s lying in the so-ca

ll

ed arc of

instability.

S

tat

e sove

r

eignty and territorial integrity are on

th

e

d

edine.

29

S

t

a

t

e

powers are

in

c

r

easi

n

gly

diffus

ed and devolved. Many

S

tat

es, even some

of

the most

developed States, are

besieged by an unrelenting flow of illicit

weapons,

drugs,

mon

ey and migrants across their

bord

e

r

s. A

t

the same

time, through w

h

at some

h

ave described as the democratization o

f

violence a

nd

oftechnology,30 States

have

lost their historical

monopol

y

on

the

l

arge-scale use offorce

an

d

on access to

weap-ons of

ma

ss destruction

(WMD) technologies.

3l

Indeed, the global picture looks

mu

ch the same as it did

i

n

1921, when William Butler Yeats penned his apocalyptic

poe

m

The

Second Coming:

Things fall apart;

th

e centre

ca

n

not hold

;

Mere anarchy is

lo

osed

up

on the wo

rld

,

The b

lood

-d

imm

e

d

tide is loosed, and everywhere

The ceremo

n

y of

innocence

i

s

drown

ed;

The bes

t

lack a

ll

convictio

n

, w

hil

e the worst

AIe full of

pa

ssio

nat

e intensity.

Grim verses, indeed, whose dark and disturbing images sti

ll

ring true.

Economic sec

uri

ty

i

s widely

r

ecognized as a vital interest of

th

e S

tat

e.

n Yet,

pres-ent efforts are not s

ufficient

to

m

eet basic security needs eve

n

within the borders of

m

any Sta

te

s,le

t

alone provide the kind of

stab

ilit

y needed by the globalized,

inter-dependent and

tigh

tl

y co

n

n

ected eco

no

m

y of

the tv.renty-fi

r

st century

.

Con

t

empo-r

ary sec

uri

ty stra

t

egies

must be designed

to

manage threats to the public order.

T

ho

se threats co

m

e from States and non

-S

tate actors

.

We are painfully aware

that

the threats know

no

geographical boundaries, particularly as globalization

in-c

r

eases

the porosity of borders. Accordingly, the threats must

b

e

detected and

mana

ged in the co

mmon

s,

at

bo

unda

ri

es betwee

n

the commons and Sta

te

s, and

along the borders of adjacent States.

In a

n

age when the

int

ernational s

upp

l

y chai

n

s that s

u

stain the global economy

an

d

the seas over which those chai

n

s are ca

rri

ed are the common co

n

cern of a

ll

(5)

Craig

H. Allen

in

competent

flag

Sta

t

es; failing an

d

failed

States; transna

tional

terrorist

organiza-tio

n

s; c

riminal

syndicates engaged

in trafficking in

weapons,

dru

gs

a

n

d

hwnan

s;

and illega

l,

unreported

and

unregulated fishing all undermine order in the

com·

mons

. Here

in

the global

commons,

where

th

e

pinch from

flag S

tat

es fall

in

g short

in

their responsibility to

"effectively" exercise j

urisdi

ction

and

co

n

trol

over

their

vessels

is

f

elt mo

st acutely,n

the

security

d

efici

t

is most urgent.

Th

e Stra

t

eg

i

c Fo

unda

t

i

ons G

am

es

Following

the August 2006

Geo-strategic

Environment

Workshop, a series

of

exec·

utive

group

meetings and

war

games we

re conducted

in

September a

nd

Oc

tob

er o

f

2006

to develop

strategic

foundation

s

for use in the Maritime

Strategy O

p

tions

De·

velopment Workshop

in December

. Those

options were later

vetted

through the

Options

Refinement Decision

Support

E

vent

in

February

of

2007.

The I

n

terna·

tiona

l

Law

Department

provided legal

advice

to

all

of the

war game

teams and

to

two of

the

executive gro

up

s. Early on

in

th

e

process, it also provided a

brief

to the

Red

Team

Executive

Group suggest

ing

possible

"

lawfare"

st

rategies

an

d

tactics

th

at

might

be

used against the Blue Team.).! During this

sa

m

e

period,

th

e Naval War

Co

ll

ege

hosted a

co

nf

erence on

the maritime implications of

China's energy stra

t

-egy,3)

an

I

ntercessional

Conference on

Maritime

Strategy

and

a

worksho

p

entitled

Economics and

Maritime Strategy:

Implications for the

2

1

st Century.

)6

ILD

attended

each

of the

even

ts and

an

IlD

m

ember (

th

e

author

)

part

icipated

in the Economics

and

Maritime

Strategy Workshop, submitted

a paper on

l

egal

int

eroperab

ili

ty c

hal

·

lenges and made a

pr

esentation

on international cooperation in

securing

the mario

time commons.

)7

Th

e Future G

l

oba

l

Leg

al

O

r

ders Worksho

p

let

me now turn to

so

m

ething

of greater interest to reade

rs

of this

volume, all

of

whom will

likely appreciate that law-that is

,

rule sets,

legal processes and

intern

at

ion

al

institutions

38

-is

as

much a part of the geo·strategic environment,

and therefore

t

h

e

plan

n

ing

"c

ontext

,"

as geography,

energy,

demographics,

orga·

ni

zatio

n

al c

ul

ture and

technology. The internationa

l

syste

m

consists

p

r

incipall

y o

f

sovereign States, w

h

o collectively com

pri

se

a horizontal, non-hierarchical global

orde

r

that

h

as

historically

been

desc

r

ibed

as one of

moderated a

narchy, a

t

least

by

the realists.

39

Conven

tion

al wisdom

posits tha

t within

that

system,

international

in

stitutions and o

rg

anizations

ameliorate the

a

n

archy, b

u

t with

few

exceptions

they do

so

without altering its horizontal

structure.

(6)

The Influ

ence of

Law on Sea Power Doctrines

T

h

e experts

who participated in the Geo-s

t

rat

egic

Environment

Worksho

p

ex-hib

i

ted little

fai

t

h in

exis

t

i

ng international

organizat

ions and in international

law.

Three sample

fin

d

ings demonstrate the

depth

of

their skep

ticism. First, they

con-duded t

hat "some

international organiza

ti

on

s

are lookin

g

long in th

e tooth

and

in-capable of coping

with

emerging cha

ll

enges." Next

th

ey cond

uded

that

"s

ome

o

f

the

instit

u

tions

t

hat are charged with

m

an

aging global

probl

ems

may be

over-whelmed

by

them

"

an

d "t

h

e

nwnber of bilateral

agreements will

rise as internatio

n

al

organizations co

n

tinue to fall

short

in

their ob

j

ectives.

"

Given

the

experts'

harsh

judgment

of inte

rn

atio

n

al organiza

ti

ons and regimes

,

their prescription,

"

Interna

-tio

n

al

Organi

zations: out

with

the old

,

in with the new

,"

should

n

ot

surprise you.

The Workshop

experts' conclusions

added

credence

to the

view

that i

n

te

rn

a-tiona

l

law is merely

"ep

ipheno

menaL"40

What

really

affects

State b

ehavior is

State

interests-that is,

the

un

de

rlyi

ng economic

and political factors

.4!

Lega

l

academics

have

expressed

related doub

ts

about i

n

ternational law. I

n

ternationa

l

lawyers

n

o

doubt recall Jo

h

n A

ustin's

ni

netee

n

th-cen

t

ury

con

cl

usi

on

t

ha

t in

ternational

l

aw

was

not positive la

w

at all, but

rather a body

tha

t

partakes more of a moral ob

li

ga-tion, violation of

wh

ich

may p

rovoke the hostility of other natio

ns

but

n

o

t

the ki

n

d

of

sa

nction

s

that atten

d violation

o

fl

aws promulgated bya

sove

r

eig

n

.

42

And

H

.L.A

.

H

art

fam

ous

ly

observed that

because

i

n

te

rn

ational la

w

l

acks

the formal

structure

of legis

l

at

ive co

ur

ts

wi

th comp

ul

sory

j

ur

isdiction

a

nd

official sanc

tio

ns

it is

far

m

ore primitive than th

e

m

u

nicipal law

en

acted by a

sovereign.

4

)

The

Wo

rkshop

report

l

eft some of

us wonde

r

ing whe

ther

th

eir

views were

sha

r

ed

by

i

nt

ernatio

nal law

experts.

Mindful that the

state

of the futur

e

global l

egal

order is

a

vi

tal

component

in

the

geo-strategic

environment,

the Presiden

t

of the

Naval

War College co

n

vene

d

a two

-

day workshop that brought forty

-tw

o legal

experts

toge

ther t

o

exami

ne the glo

b

a

l

l

egal

order i

n

2020.

44

Those

ex

p

erts

we

re

as

k

ed

t

o

provide the lega

l com

p

onen

t

that is

t

oo often

n

eglected in

strategy

documents

.

With few

excep

tions,

m

ilitary

strategists

have a long

hi

story of givin

g

short

shrift

to internationa

l

law in thei

r

wr

i

tings.

4S

The origin of the

probl

em can

be

traced back to

Ca

rl

von Clausewitz,

who dismissively re

f

erred to those

"certain

self-i

mposed,

i

mperceptible limi

t

a

t

ions ha

r

dly worth me

n

tio

n

ing

,

known as

in-ternationallaw and

custom."46 Geo

rg

e F.

Ken

nan,

th

e leadin

g arc

h

itect

of

Amer-ica's

Col

d War

cont

ainment

security

strategy

,

i

s also remembere

d

for his attack on

what

he

saw

as a

n excess

of

"legalism

and

m

oralism" i

n

American foreign

p

olicy

during t

h

e Wilson

pres

id

ency years.

47

Regrettably, in

ternatio

n

al lawyers have not

(7)

Cra

i

g

H.

A

ll

en

And what a disti

n

guished group they were. They

came to Newport from

Argen-tina and A

u

stralia, from Canada and Chile, a

n

d from

I

ndia, I

n

donesia and Italy. In

all, they represented eleven countries. They were law professors; international

l

aw

specialists

from the US Departments of

State,

J

ustice and

H

omela

n

d Secu

r

ity a

n

d

the Center fo

r

Naval Ana

l

yses; a Chi

n

ese law of the

sea scho

l

ar; se

n

ior legal advisors

to the I

n

dia

n

Coast Guard and the Italia

n

Navy Ge

n

eral Staff; the legal counsel to

the US Cha

i

rman of the Joint Chiefs of S

t

aff; senior

judge advocates for the US

Ma-rine Corps, Coast Guard, and several combatan

t

and fleet commands; and the

Di-rec

t

or of the UN Divisio

n

for Ocean Affairs and the Law of the Sea

.

They brought

backgrounds in i

n

te

rn

ational security law,

law of the sea, a

nn

s co

n

trol and

prolif-eration, the law of armed conflict, international tra

n

sportation law, in

t

ernational

crimina

l

law and international organizatio

n

s.

The Workshop began with a brief

discussion of some assumptio

n

s proposed by

the confere

n

ce chair concerning the ro

l

e and reach oflaw

.

48

The firs

t

was the

prag-matic observa

t

io

n

that the new marit

i

me strategy must be adapted to the global

le-gal order in w

h

ich it will function. The

second was that a robust an

d

respected legal

orde

r

has the potential to save

lives, by providing pred

i

ctability and

preve

n

ting

conflicts, and by

p

roviding effective and peaceful means to resolve co

nfli

cts that do

arise. The third assump

ti

on was that, whi

l

e the fu

t

ure s

t

ate o

f

the legal order is

un-certain, it can, to some deg

r

ee, be mapped and

shaped, and-as

Thomas Friedman

remi

n

ds us-"the

future belongs to the shapers and adapters

.

"<f9

To avoid

what

the influential British

strategist Coli

n

Gray labels the

"sin of

presentism,"SO

t

he legal experts attemp

t

ed to wide

n

their temporal le

n

s b

y

explor-ing seve

r

al "alternative future

s,"

u

sing

the sce

n

ario-pla

n

n

i

ng method championed

by futurists like Pete

r

Schwartz a

n

d

P

hilip Bobbitt.

51

They initially discussed six

strawman scenarios that would collective

l

y map the future global legal order,

be-fore

adopting an approach that focused o

n

twelve areas of

potentially s

i

g

n

ificant

changes in the

l

egal order. For each of the twe

l

ve a

r

eas,

the experts examined the

possib

l

e trends i

n

the rule

sets,

l

egal processes and institutions, and in compliance

levels

.

Next, they were asked to consider the consequences of

those changes to the

mari

ti

me stra

t

egy m

i

ssion inventory and for the mea

n

s and me

t

hods for ca

r

rying

out those missions. Finally, they we

r

e asked what

the

n

ew mar

i

time st

r

ategy shou

l

d

say-and not say-about internatio

n

al law.

One wou

l

d expect that forty-two

l

awyers from eleve

n

different nations wou

l

d

find

li

ttle o

n

which to agree.

To some extent, that was

the case

with this group

.

There was,

however,

one question on which every expert agreed: the new

mari-time strategy should include a

n

exp

r

ess refere

n

ce to internationa

l

law

.

As

one

ex-pert

p

ut it, i

n

ternational

l

aw "is the foundation on which we operate;

i

t is why we

are there."

(8)

T

h

e

I

n

flu

e

n

ce of

La

w o

n

Se

a

Po

w

e

r Do

c

trin

es

Th

e

R

o

l

e

of

Law in

th

e New Mari

t

ime Str

at

egy

As

the lega

l

experts concluded,

there are

a

nwnber of

compelling

reasons to

em-brace

the r

ul

e

oflaw in the new maritime

strategy and

n

o s

u

fficie

n

t

r

eason

f

or

fa

il

-i

ng

t

o do

so

.

The new

strategy

m

u

st

be

co

n

sis

t

en

t

with

higher-

l

evel security

strateg

i

es.

The

2006

National Security Strategy

of

t

h

e

U

n

ited

Sta

t

es expressly

cites

the

i

mportance of

e

n

forcing the rule

oflaw.

52

Similarly,

the presi

d

e

n

tial

directive

on

natio

nal

ma

r

itime

secur

i

ty

made it clear that i

n

deve

l

oping the National Strategy

for

Maritime

Security

(NS

MS

)

the

Un

i

ted

States

will

ac

t

cons

i

sten

tl

y with

i

n

te

rn

a-tiona

l

a

n

d

US

law.

53

The

NSMS

ope

n

s

i

t

s chapter on "strategic o

b

jectives

"

by quot

-i

ng

t

he p

r

esidential

direct

i

ve

to

"take a

ll

necessary and approp

ri

ate actions,

consistent with

U

.S.

l

aw,

trea

t

ies,

and

othe

r

interna

t

ional

agreements

to which the

U

n

ited

States

is party ..

..

"$4

But

even

if the higher

-

l

evel s

t

rategy documents

we

r

e silen

t

on the role oflaw,

a

m

arit

i

me

st

r

a

t

egy

t

ha

t

acknowledges the

im

porta

n

ce

of law

as

a

n

ordering force

and a

unifying theme for the

cruci

b

le

of

international relations-i

n

short,

the

"ce

ntre

"

Yeats

l

o

n

ged

for-

will

be

far

mo

r

e compelling

and durab

l

e. Such a

docu-ment

wo

ul

d also be a

source

of pride a

n

d

i

ns

pi

ra

ti

o

n

for the members of our

armed

forces,

a co

n

fide

n

ce-bu

il

di

n

g measure

for

our

friends and

allies,

an

d

a key

e

n

abler

i

n o

u

r

ab

ili

ty

to

shape

the

fu

tur

e

global orde

r.

L

a

w

as

an

O

rd

eri

n

g F

o

rc

e

T

h

e

Uni

t

ed S

t

ates

has a long tradi

t

ion of calli

n

g upon i

n

terna

t

io

n

al

l

aw

when it

serves

the national

i

nterest.

55

I

n t

he

l

ate

e

i

gh

t

eenth a

n

d

ea

rl

y

n

i

neteen

th

centuries,

the infan

t

republic ra

i

sed

i

n

te

rn

a

t

ional

l

aw o

b

jections

to Great B

ri

tai

n

's

boa

r

ding

of US vessels

o

n

the high

seas

and impress

m

ent of

US sailors

i

nto the Roya

l

Navy,

an

d

aga

i

nst t

h

e

Ba

r

bary States

for p

ir

atical

attacks

o

n

US merchantme

n

i

n

the

Medite

rr

anean

Sea and

i

ts ap

pr

oaches. Two other disputes betwee

n

t

h

e Un

i

ted

S

t

ates

and Grea

t

Britai

n

-leading

r

espective1y

to the Caroline

exchange

of notes

an

d

the

Alabama arbit

r

a

ti

on awa

r

d-p

r

o

d

u

ced enduring

i

nternat

i

o

nal

princi

p

les

we

ll

know

n

to the reade

r

s o

f

this volu

m

e

.

56

Mo

r

e

rece

n

tly, the na

ti

o

n

in

voked

in-te

rn

a

ti

o

n

al

l

aw against I

ran for b

r

eaching

the inviola

b

ility of the US

e

m

bassy

in

Tehran

an

d

holding

US

d

i

ploma

t

ic perso

n

nel an

d

other citizens hostage, a

n

d

against

the

P

eo

pl

e's

Rep

u

blic o

f

China

for its

cond

u

ct

w

h

en a

US

Navy

E

P

-3

was forced to

land on

H

ainan Is

l

a

n

d fo

ll

owi

n

g a mida

i

r

collisio

n

with

a C

h

inese

fi

ghter.

Although n

a

tional

in

terest

i

s s

u

rely the

m

idwife of

secur

i

ty

p

o

li

cy

and s

tr

ategy

,51

at the

same

t

ime

S

t

ates have repeatedly demonst

r

ated their willingness to

(9)

Craig

H

.

Allen

G

l

obalization and its

ju

st-in-time and just-enough

lo

gis

ti

cs

imperatives have

fun

·

damentally

a

lt

ered

the

strategic calcu

lus

,

vi

rtuall

y

mandating

a cooperative

ap·

proach to maritime

secu

ri

ty

.

Accordingly,

the new maritime

strategy

must be

mind

ful

of nationa

l

interests while remaining

ever

alert to

shared

interests.

A

strat-egy

that narrow

l

y

focuses on national interests

will surely

reinforce

existing

per·

ce

pti

o

n

s o

f

the United

S

t

ates and

driv

e

away

potential partners. By

contrast,

it takes

but

little imagination to

see

that a new

maritim

e st

rat

egy

th

at

defines and articu·

lates in

compell

in

g

terms a

framework for achieving s

har

ed goals

and joint

so

l

tio

n

s

to

commo

n

problems is m

u

c

h mor

e

likely to

m

ake other States

want to flock

to the

na

sce

n

t

I

,OOO·ship

multinational navy.5

8

Finding

commo

n

ground

among

n

ational

i

n

terests

should

not

be

difficult.

For

some,

the need to promote and protect the international trade

and

transportation

system on which

th

e

globalized and

energy·hungry

world depends is a

vi

tal

n

tional

interest.

59

It is

a

l

so a shared

interest. In

th

e

word

s of so

m

e, "co

mmerce

c

ra

ves

sec

uri

ty

.

"

For

other States,

particular

l

y

those in

West

Africa,

South

America a

n

d

Sout

h

eas

t

Asia

,

prot

ecting

offshore fisheries

from poache

r

s

is not mere

l

y a pursuit

of

profit; it is

a survival

imperative.

Still

other

States co

n

sider

threats to the

envi·

ronment

as

national

"sec

urity" issues.

Consi

d

e

r

,

for

example, small·

island devel

-oping States,

for

w

hom

global

warming

and its

at

t

endant

rise in the

sea

level

present

an existe

n

tial

threat. A

strategy

that promotes

sustainable

and

equitab

l

e

ac·

cess

to marine living

r

esou

r

ces

and protection

of

the marine

environme

nt

is

sure

to

h

ave

b

r

oad

appeal. At

the

same t

im

e,

however

,

none

of

these interests

can

be

ob·

tai

n

ed

if the

l

arger system

is

fraught with

disorder

and violence.

I

n Abraham

Maslow's hierarchy

of

human needs, the

n

eed for secur

i

ty

is

exceeded only

by

basic

n

eeds, e

.g.

, food

.

60

Professor

Coli

n

G

r

ay asserts

that

"order

is the prime

virtue;

it

is the

esse

n

tial

prerequisite for

security,

peace

,

and possibly

justice.

Disorder

i

s

the

wors

t

condi·

tio

n.

"61

T

h

ere

i

s,

in the minds of many, no

l

onger

a "

war" to

be

won,

only

secu

ri

ty

to

be

secured, extended and

maintained,

so

that

war can be

preve

n

ted.

The

sp

r

ead

of te

rrori

sm

and

weapons o

f m

ass

destruction threatens

chaos,

as

effec

ti

ve

power

shifts away from States

to

non

·S

t

ate acto

r

s and super·empowe

r

ed

individuals.

To

the

extent

that civilization

r

ests

in part

on

th

e co

ntr

ol of vio

l

ence,

and the

growing

capacity

of non·State actors to inflict

such

violence

no

w casts a

menacing

shadow

over the p

l

anet, the role of

l

aw

as

th

e

deep

stra

tum

undergirding international

se·

curity becomes

more apparent

and

more urgent. Law has the potential to

serve as

the indispensable

binding force

to

check

and perhaps reverse our

social

and

in

sti-tutional entropy.

If the

States'

grip on

l

aw

l

essens,

and

Sta

t

es become

in

c

r

easingly

prone to use military force,

the

bindin

g

force

so vital

to

civilization may be

fatally

weakened.

(10)

The

Influ

ence of Law

o

n

Sea Power Doctrines

In a geo-strategic

e

n

vironme

nt

everywhere characterized

b

y

growing

uncer-tai

n

ty,

rapid

c

h

ange and

instability, rule

sets can

promote greater

pr

ed

ictabili

ty

and stability. At the same time, rule

sets

are not legal pixie dust that miraculously

brings

order

where

ther

e

was once

chaos.

They mu

s

t be given the l

evel

of

r

espect

and

enforcement

n

ecessary

for

c

r

edibility

or no

State w

ill

be willing to rely on

them. Rule

se

t

s

like the

UN Charter,

the

1982

LOS

Conven

tion

, a

nti

-

terrorism

treaties and the non

-

proliferation regime

can

increase order,

but

only if they are

com

plied with.

We recognize that not all

Sta

t

es a

nd n

o

n

-S

tat

e

actors will voluntarily

comp

l

y

with

the rule

sets,

whether the rules under

co

n

sideratio

n are those relating to non

-aggression

and

non

-prolife

ration or to traffickin

g

for profit.

If

vo

luntary

compli-ance falls

short,

we mu

s

t of

course

redouble

our efforts

t

o

rebuild it

to

the level

necessary for pu

blic

orde

r. That may

co

m

e

through

educatio

n

,

inducement,

de-terrence, or

capacity

building of

States,

or

of global or regional int

erna

tional

orga-nizations.

62

But mak

e

no mistake, while

each

of these app

roaches

will be vital

to

long-term

success,

they will likely n

ever

be

sufficie

nt unto th

e

m

selves

to provide

the

n

eeded

level of

securi

ty in

th

e co

ming

years.

For that, we

must

a

dd

en

for

cemen

t.

Because law is not

se

lf

-executing,

no

security s

trategy

should

be founded

on

un-r

ealistic expectat

i

o

n

s

r

egardi

ng the influ

ence

of l

aw o

n

Sta

te

s

(let

alon

e

on

non-S

tat

e

actors) in the conduct of their foreign and military

affairs-particularly

when

sUlVival

or vital

State

interests,

or "fun

dam

en

tal

"

religious beli

efs,

are at

stake. Nor

sho

uld

we delud

e

ourselves about th

e effectiveness

of in

t

ernational

organizations

in

preselVing or

r

esto

ring

peace

a

nd

security

. Yet,

eve

n

if, as Thomas

Ho

bbes

warned,

"covenants, w

ithout the

sword,

are but words and of

no

stre

n

gth

to

secu

r

e

a man at all,"

6)

even

the most

committed contra

ri

an

would not

counsel

us to turn

our backs on

covenants

. Int

e

rnational la

w and

int

ernatio

nal organizations like the

United Nations will

n

ever

be more

effective

or influential than the leading

S

tates

allow them to be.

64

If the new US maritim

e strategy

ignores the rol

e

of

e

ither,

we

di-mini

s

h

the import

a

n

ce

of

both

an

d

undermine their effectiveness.

The result will

be a less ordered and less

secure

world. For that r

eason,

it is

vita

l that th

e

maritime

strategy provide

a

rule-based approach for

enforcing

the global legal order.

In

consi

d

e

rin

g

e

nforcem

ent

approaches I

suggest

that

effect

i

ve enforceme

nt of

global

rul

e se

t

s

will

r

e

quir

e

a new

way of

thinking that

tran

scends

the so-called

"

DIME"

constr

u

c

t. The DIME

app

roa

ch, whic

h looks to the

S

t

ate's

diplomatic,

in-formation

,

milit

ary

and

economic

"

in

struments of

national power,

"

i

s

too narrow

for a global

e

n

viro

nm

e

nt in which non-State actors pose

sign

ificant, even

cataclys-mic, risks to

States.os

This

Co

ld

War

artifact, which is

currently

taught at US war

(11)

Cra

i

g

H

.

A

ll

en

will be

used against

States.

66

I

n the post-Co

l

d War

,

post-9I

I

I

,

post-Bali, Madrid,

London

subway and Lebanon 2006-2007 world,

i

t

is dear that instrume

n

ts of

na-tional power

will

increasingly

be

used against non

-S

tate actors, like AI Qaeda,

H

ezbollah

and tra

n

snatio

n

al

criminal syndicates, a

n

d

that

the

DIME approach

is

n

ot always well

suited

to t

h

em.

The United

States

already reaches

well

beyond the

DIME framework, using a

variety

ofleadership, ma

n

agerial,

institutiona

l

, cultural,

technological

,

law

enforceme

n

t, judicial

and fina

n

cial measures,

such

as freezing

assets.

67

Some of

the rule

violations

that threaten pub

l

ic

order

are

and will

remain

"

M

" (

military

)

issues. But many

are "enhanced

L

"

(law e

n

forcemen

t

)

issues,

call-ing for

enhanced

law

enforcement

measures.

68

This

broader, "DIME-p

l

us

"

frame-work

wil

l

be

vi

t

al

to

any

maritime

strategy--certai

n

ly for the

Coast Guard

a

n

d

other

in

t

e

r

age

n

cy

players

with

maritime

safety and security

missio

n

s.

The new

strategy

must

also

acknowledge tha

t

without

the

Coast

Guard, US maritime forces

will

not have a

seamless approach

to maritime

security,

for without it the

strategy

will

lack the

only

alternat

i

ve

"e

n

d game" to killing

your adversaries o

r

detaining

them on remote is

l

ands:

arresting

and prosecuting

them.

The

Coast Guard

puts the

"

L

"

factor in what is otherwise

a

limited DIME too

l

kit for

addressing

ma

n

y

of our

maritime

security

problems. The

n

ext strategy

must adapt itself

accordingly.

Law IU

a

Un

i

fying

Theme

Severa

l

o

f

the

outside experts engaged

in the mar

i

time

strategy

development

pro-cess

hosted

by

the

Naval

War

College

highlighted the

n

eed

for the new document

to include

a "compelli

n

g

narrative" that

will ensure

i

t is read,

studied

and

imple-mented. How do

you

s

elect a

theme

that will

counter

the

scores

of

centrifugal

forces

,

u

n

ify the

elements

of the

strategy,

a

n

d

serve as

the leadership

spark and

cat-alyst to bri

n

g

together the three maritime

services

with

overlapping yet

unique

iden

t

ities

,

the other i

n

teragency

p

l

ayers so essential

to

the

mission, and i

n

terna-tional friends

and allies, while at the

same time winning

over or

at

least muting

inter-governmental and

no

n

-governmental organizations?

I

sugges

t

that

l

aw and

i

ts

prove

n

, albeit

imperfect,

capability

to p

r

omote order

,

security and

prosperity

can

be

a powerful unifying theme and force

in

the new maritime

stra

t

egy

in the globalized,

media-sensitive world

in

which

we

find

ourselves.

I

n

fact,

the new

strategy

has the

po-tential to go

a long way

toward

rehabilitating the reputatio

n

of the

United S

t

at

es

as

an

ovelWeening

hegemo

n

that has

become

tone deaf to the

concerns

of its allies.

69

Global security

requires global

cooperation

and, for many

,

law provides the

logic and language of

cooperatio

n

. Adherence

t

o shared rule

sets ca

n

b

e

an effective

unifying force.

Some would

go

so

far as

t

o

say

it is now

embedded

in the

cosmopol-i

ta

n

DNA. For that reason

,

an

explici

t

emb

r

ace of the rule oflaw

could

prove to be

(12)

The

In

fluence of Law

o

n

Sea Power Doctrines

one of

the most attractive

features

of the new maritime

strategy

for the

Navy's

in-teragency and international partners

.

Pr

o

motion

a

nd impl

ementation of

rule

sets

would

give the

strategy

internal

cohere

n

ce and

broad

external a

pp

eal.

Any

strategy

that

downplays, or

still worse

denigrates, international

l

aw

and international

orga-ni

za

tion

s,

as does the

current National

Defense Strategy

of

th

e United States,

ill

serves

the nation

'

s long-term interest

.

Much of the world

still

considers the United

Nat

ion

s

the primary if not

sole source

of legitimacy for the use of force. A

strategy

that

sugges

t

s

that military force

w

ill

be

deployed in

a

manner that

some

will

con-clude

violates

the

UN Charter,

which

prohibit

s

th

e

use of force or

even

the threat to

u

se

force against the political independence or

t

e

rrit

o

ri

a

l

integrity

of

a

State,

will

further isolate the nation.

The importance

o

f

co

mmon

rule

sets,

based on international

l

aw

as

a

unifying

force

in

combined operations, will

not

be

lo

st

on those who observed the

evol

u

-tion of the

Prolif

e

ration

Security

Initiative

(

PSI)

and

the recent

UN Security

Counc

il

resolutions on proliferation threats to international peace and

sec

uri

ty.

Both make clear that

mo

st

of the world

will

insist on

an a

ppr

oach

that respects

in-ternationallaw.

Early positio

n

s

taken by

th

e

n

-U

nd

er Secretary

of

Sta

t

e

John Bolton at the

J

uly

2003

PSI

-

participating

S

tat

es'

meeting

in

Brisbane

sugges

t

e

d

that with

r

espect

to

legal

ju

stifications

for PSI

boardings

,

th

e

United

S

tat

es

was

"

taking

nothin

g off

the

table," including the Article

5

1

right of

self-defe

n

se

.

That

was

understood

b

y

some

as

advocating

a

position on boarding foreign flag vessels believed to

be

transporting

weapons of mass destruction

that

might go beyond what

c

urr

ent

int

e

rn

atio

nal

law

pennits. At their meeting

in

Paris three months later

,

several

of the PSI-participating

S

tat

es

responded to the

US opening

position

with

a

ca

ll

for

all

participating

States

to

subsc

rib

e

to

a commo

n

Stateme

nt

of

Int

e

rdi

ction

Prin

ci

pl

es.

The two-page

statement

even

tuall

y

adopted at that meeting, and

still

in force, twice

ex

pr

esses

the

participating

Sta

t

es' co

mmitm

en

t

that

P

S

I

activities will be carried out in a manner

consistent

with international law.

Sim

ilarl

y, Sec

urity

Council

Resolutions

1

540,

condemning

prolif

erat

ion

of weapons of mass destruction to or by non

-S

tate

ac-tors, and

1

718,

applying

simila

r

prohibitions to

North

Korea, both

ti

e

any

enfo

r

ce-m

ent

m

eas

ur

es

to the

app

li

cab

l

e

rules of

int

ernatio

nal

law.

Law

and the Expec

t

ations of Our Partners

Admiral

Har

ry

Ulrich,

Comma

nd

er,

US

Nava

l

Forces Europe

,

espouses

a relatively

simple

formula for the global war on terrorism: have

mor

e

partners

th

a

n

your

ad-versar

i

es

have. The reasons

are

elementary. The struggle against disorder knows no

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