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To analyze the effect of introduction of post-discharge follow-up phone calls and weekly educational group sessions policy for heart failure patients by Hahnemann University Hospital

on its 30-day re-hospitalization rates for these patients

by

Dheeraj Goyal, M.D.

M.P.H. Candidate, Drexel University – School of Public Health June, 2011

A Community Based Master’s Project presented to the faculty of Drexel University School of Public Health in partial fulfillment of the Requirement for the Degree of Master of Public Health.

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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

I will like to express my deepest gratitude to my faculty advisor, Prof. Mary G. Duden, my site preceptor, Ms. Stephanie D. Conners and Mr. Brian Hall for their valuable support and guidance throughout this project. Without their continual help and motivation, I would have never been able to complete this project.

I will also like to extend my sincere thanks to Dr. Marla J. Gold, Dean, Dr. John A. Rich, Chairman of Department of Health Management and Policy, Mr. Jonathan Cass, Director of Community Based Master’s Projects and the entire faculty and staff of Drexel University – School of Public Health for their extraordinary moral and administrative support.

I cannot find the right words to express my feelings of immense gratefulness and respect towards my beloved parents, who are the reason behind what I am now, or what I will ever be able to accomplish in the future. I am greatly indebted to my entire family who stood by me through every thick and thin, and especially to my little nephew and niece for all the love and happiness that they have brought to my life.

I think that this list can never be complete without me extending my sincere appreciation to all of my wonderful friends and classmates here at Drexel University. I have learned a lot from you about all aspects of life, and feel fortunate to have had the privilege of working with all of you!

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Section Titles Pages

Abstract ……….……… vi

Introduction and Problem Statement ……….…... 1

Background and Significance……….……….….. 2

Aims and Objectives………... 7

Materials and Methods ……….…. 8

The Subjects ………... 9

Institutional Review Board Considerations………... 11

Results and Data Analysis ……….…... 12

Limitations of the Study ………...…... 22

Discussion ………... 23

Conclusions and Recommendations……….. 25

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LIST OF TABLES

Table 1. International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9:

Codes ranging from 428.0 to 428.9... 10

LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS Figure 1. Number of index admissions per month for primary diagnosis of heart failure ... 13

Figure 2. Monthly 30-day readmission rates for heart failure patients (All-cause vs. Same-cause) ... 14

Figure 3. Average length of stay of patients in the hospital for each month (in days) ... 15

Figure 4. Monthly percentages of readmitted patients who had a follow-up clinic appointment in-hand before their index hospital discharge ... 17

Figure 5. Monthly percentages of readmitted patients who attended their pre-scheduled out-patient follow-up visits between their index hospital discharge and subsequent readmission ... 18

Figure 6. Monthly logs of follow-up telephone calls made to patients by the hospital after their initial discharge from the hospital ... 20

Figure 7. Health Belief Model ... 29

Figure 8. Stages of Change or Transtheoretical Model ... 30

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LIST OF EXHIBITS

Exhibit A. Script used by Hahnemann’s University Hospital’s case –

management staff while calling the heart failure patients ……… 36

Exhibit B. Project approval notice from the Institutional Review Board …………..…. 38

Exhibit C. Project activation notice from the Principal Investigator

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ABSTRACT

To analyze the effect of introduction of post-discharge follow-up phone calls and weekly educational group sessions policy for heart failure patients by Hahnemann University Hospital

on its 30-day re-hospitalization rates for these patients Dheeraj Goyal, M.D. (M.P.H. Candidate) Mary G. Duden, M.B.A. (Faculty advisor) Stephanie D. Conners, R.N., M.B.A. (Preceptor)

Background: Heart failure (HF) or inability of the heart to pump sufficient amount of blood to other organs of the body is a chronic progressive condition, whose rising prevalence among the American population has become a major public health concern. Although, our country spends nearly 40 billion dollars each year to manage this increasingly prevalent condition, the overall quality of such care remains questionable at best. Due to burgeoning costs of healthcare services amidst a struggling economy, development of valid and viable indicators to measure the quality and efficiency of healthcare services has become the need of the day. 30-day readmission rates of hospitals are now being widely used as one such indicator. Aims and Objectives: In an effort to improve net patient health outcomes, Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) adopted a new policy in September, 2010 to make follow-up telephone calls to all discharged HF patients. This study aims to measure the effectiveness of these calls in improving such outcomes, using 30-day readmission rates of HUH as a sole measure of its quality of care. Methods: We collected deidentified and/or publically available call log data from the nursing director of heart failure unit of HUH. We compared that data with monthly trends in the hospital’s 30-day readmission rates for HF patients to study the potential impact of follow-up telephone calls on such

readmission rates. Results: To our surprise, we found no specific or stable changes in monthly 30-day readmission rates of the hospital, after implementation of the new policy. In fact, the readmission rates either remained almost the same or increased further after this new

intervention. The average length of stay of HF patients in the hospital followed a similar trend, although an increase was noticed in the number of telephone calls attempted by the hospital staff during each month, after September, 2010. Conclusions: As there is no way quality of care can decline by the use of better follow-up procedures, the results of this study cast significant doubt on the ability of 30-day readmission rates of hospitals to serve as sole valid indicators of their quality of patient care.

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INTRODUCTION AND PROBLEM STATEMENT

With advances in medical science over the time, as our knowledge and understanding of the pathophysiology of various diseases has increased, so has our ability to manage and treat these diseases. The global eradication of small-pox and near successful elimination of various other infectious diseases from most of the developed world represent some of the major triumphs of past medical research and public health initiatives. As the burden of infectious diseases has started to decline and our general life expectancy has started increasing, the rising prevalence of chronic non-infectious diseases among our population has emerged as a major public health concern of the present time. The increasing prevalence of heart failure cases is a typical example of this increasingly worrisome trend in the United States (U.S.).

According to the American Heart Association (2010), the total prevalence of heart failure cases in the U.S. in year 2010 was estimated to be around 5.8 million among adults of age 20 years or older. After age of 40 years, the lifetime risk of developing HF has been found to reach up to 20 percent in both sexes (Lloyd-Jones et al., 2009). The total cost of HF management in the U.S. in year 2010 was estimated to be around 39.2 billion dollars, with number of total HF related hospital discharges rising from 0.88 million in 1996 to nearly 1.1 million in 2006 (American Heart Association, 2010).

The present study is a combined effort on the part of an academic public health institution and a tertiary level acute care hospital to devise better methodologies for improving

post-discharge follow-up care of heart failure patients. It specifically focuses on exploring the potential role of follow-up phone calls, made to the discharged patients by their principal care-provider hospitals, in improving overall quality of such care. During this project, 30-day readmission rates of the hospitals were used as major indicators of their quality of care.

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BACKGROUND AND SIGNIFICANCE

In recent years, many American hospitals have started using their 30-day readmission rates for heart failure patients as a measure of their overall quality of care (Baker, 1997).

Although a recent meta-analysis done by Ross et al. could not identify any formal model that can help various health care institutions to compare their readmission rates for these patients among one another, this indicator has gained increasing attention and acceptance from the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS), the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC), and the Institute of Medicine of the National Academies (IOM), as an effective measure of the quality of patient care provided by various healthcare institutions across the country to their patients (Centres for Medicare and Medicaid Services Hospital Pay-for-Performance Workgroup, 2007; Institute of Medicine of the National Academies, 2006; Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, 2007, 2008; Ross et al., 2008).

According to a recent study done by Jencks and colleagues (2009), about 19.6 percent of Medicare beneficiaries who were discharged from the U.S. hospitals in the year 2009, got readmitted within 30 days of their index hospital discharge. This percentage rises to nearly 34 percent when the time period used in this calculation is increased from 30 days to 90 days. The researchers of this study found heart failure to be the commonest cause of 30-day readmissions, with cumulative readmission rate of HF patients reaching up to nearly 26.9 percent in any given year (Jencks, Williams, & Coleman, 2009). Jencks et al. found only 10 percent of such

readmissions to be actually planned or expected by the respective healthcare providers. Medicare program incurred 17.4 billion dollars in cost to pay for unplanned re-hospitalizations in the year 2004 alone (Jencks, et al., 2009).

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In July 2009, CMS started reporting the 30-day all-cause Risk Standardized Readmission Rates (RSRRs) for Medicare’s fee-for-service beneficiaries of all non-federal acute care

hospitals to the general population (Ross et al., 2010). These rates are now published routinely on the ―Hospitalcompare‖ website of the CMS, as part of its ―Reporting Hospital Quality Data for Annual Payment Update‖ (RHQDAPU) program (Bhalla & Kalkut, 2010; Centres for Medicare and Medicaid Services, 2010). The ―Hospitalcompare‖ website compares different hospitals using 26 distinct quality measures and ten additional indicators of patients’ overall experiences with these hospitals (Centres for Medicare and Medicaid Services).

With increasing complexity in healthcare delivery procedures, lack of proper

coordination and poor discharge planning is becoming a common problem in most present-day hospitals and healthcare systems. It is estimated that more than 50% of the patients, who are discharged from the U.S. hospitals, do not see their physicians until the time they get readmitted to a hospital (Orszag & Emanuel, 2010). CMS believes that public reporting of quality data by hospitals will help in increasing their general accountability towards their patients (Centres for Medicare and Medicaid Services). Such reporting may also help to improve overall quality and efficacy of various services provided by the hospitals through increasing the transparency in distribution of hospital quality data. It will also create indirect financial and non-financial incentives for hospitals to provide high quality care. While indirect financial incentives include the choices that patients make while selecting a hospital, non-financial incentives include the potential influence of such data on overall reputation and market shares of the hospitals in their respective communities and patient populations.

In addition to the research done by Jencks and colleagues (2009) that estimated total costs of unplanned readmission payments for Medicare to be around 17.4 billion dollars in year

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2004, a recent report released by the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) estimated that avoidable hospital readmissions cost around 12 billion dollars to Medicare in annual payments (Miller, 2008). This figure represents 80% of Medicare’s total yearly spending to pay for the hospital readmissions. Hence, in its 2008 recommendations, MedPAC

recommended that Medicare payments to hospitals with relatively higher risk standardized readmission rates for certain clinical conditions including HF, need to be reduced (Medicare Payment Advisory Commission, 2008). It further recommended in favor of adopting a bundled payment policy by the Medicare program to pay for hospital admissions. It encouraged hospitals to allocate their resources more efficiently, so that they can decrease their overall readmission rates, at least for certain selected medical and surgical conditions.

The Patient Protection and Affordable care Act (PPACA) which was signed into law by President Obama on March 23, 2010, is a significant step in this direction (Kocher, Emanuel, & DeParle, 2010). As amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act (HCERA) of 2010, PPACA or the Health Reform Law of 2010 as it is commonly known, lays increasing emphasis on improving overall quality of medical care in the U.S., while reducing total healthcare costs at the same time ("Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010," 2010; Kocher, et al., 2010; Merlis, 2010; "Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act," 2010). This law intends to decrease the federal budget deficit by more than one hundred billion dollars in the first decade after its implementation, and by about one trillion dollars between years 2020 and 2030 (Gorin, 2010; Orszag & Emanuel, 2010).

As hospital readmission rates are now considered to be one of the major quality of care indicators, they have received a great attention of lawmakers in this act, as reflected by the various provisions of the ―Affordable Care Act‖ of 2010. The new law has approved nearly 500

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million dollars in spending to improve the 30-day post-discharge follow-up care of hospitalized patients over the course of next 5 years. This law empowers Medicare to penalize the hospitals that have higher than standard RSRR’s through decreased Medicare reimbursements. Hence, it is expected that after October 1, 2012, Medicare will start imposing such reductions in its

payments, while reimbursing the hospitals for providing patient care. According to an analysis by Thorpe and Ogden (2010), Medicare may be able to save about 21 billion dollars through this initiative, in year 2013 alone. These savings are expected to rise up to 33 billion dollars an year, by 2019. Hence, between years 2013 and 2019, Medicare may be able to save about 188 billion dollars in total, through this initiative.

Some researchers have argued that while designing new reimbursement policies on the basis of differences in 30-day readmission rates among different hospitals, Medicare has failed to consider the role played by variations in patient demographics in influencing such rates (Bhalla & Kalkut, 2010). Also, as these readmission rates will not be adjusted for clinical variables like differences in organ functions or severity of disease among different patients, they may not be a true representative of the quality of care provided by various hospitals.

However, on the other hand, available scientific literature indicates that post-discharge follow-up care provided by most hospitals, is usually poorly coordinated (Bodenheimer, 2008). Suboptimal discharge planning, lack of adequate provider-provider or provider-patient

communication and absence of quality post-discharge follow-up care may all contribute in increasing overall readmission rates of various hospitals (Ashton, Kuykendall, Johnson, Wray, & Wu, 1995; Laniece et al., 2008; Luthi, Burnand, McClennan, Pitts, & Flanders, 2004; Mamon et al., 1992; Marcantonio et al., 1999; Philbin, 1999; Phillips et al., 2004). A meta-analysis of 18 studies that compared 3304 elderly heart failure patients across eight countries of the world

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showed that comprehensive discharge planning with good quality post-discharge follow-up care can not only help to reduce the readmission rates for heart failure cases, but can also help in improving overall health outcomes for such patients (Phillips, et al., 2004). Addressing the communication and coordination gaps in patient care, thoughtful discharge planning, and proper post-discharge follow-up may also help the hospitals to reduce their readmission rates (Konstam et al., 1995; McAlister, Lawson, Teo, & Armstrong, 2001; Phillips, et al., 2004).

In order to develop a better understanding about the potential role played by follow-up procedures in improving the quality of patient care, we conducted a study at Hahnemann University Hospital. During this study, we monitored the monthly readmission rates of this hospital for heart failure patients after the implementation of a new policy by the hospital to make post-discharge follow-up phone calls to all such patients, instead of just those who are relatively sicker. During this study, we tried to measure the impact of this new policy on 30-day readmission rates of Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) for heart failure patients. By comparing the data obtained from this study, with the previous 30-day readmission rates of hospital prior to the implementation of this new follow-up policy, we tried to ascertain if the phone calls were able to bring any favorable changes in such readmission rates of the hospital.

This study also provided us further insight regarding the role of providing telephonic reminders to patients about their scheduled follow-up outpatient clinic appointments in influencing their chances of actually attending such appointments. Although the hospital also deployed new group education session for heart failure patients, which was intended to provide further education and guidance to these patients about their pertinent clinical conditions, we could not study the effect of these sessions on each individual patient due to the Institutional Review Board (IRB) exempt nature of this project. However, we believe that as the hospital

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started conducting these group sessions for heart failure patients in the same month, in which they started making follow-up phone calls to all HF patients, the observed trends in monthly 30-day readmission rates before and after the introduction of these interventions can provide a fair idea about potential impact of both interventions on the hospital’s readmission rates.

During his project, we used 30-day readmission rates of the hospital as the only criterion, for assessing improvements in quality of follow-up care and patient health outcomes. Other clinical and non-clinical indicators of quality of care or health outcomes for the patients were not used in this study. We believe that the results of this pilot project will not only help the

policymakers to make more effective and well-informed health policy decisions, but will also act as a guide for the future researchers while designing subsequent studies.

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

1. To study monthly readmission rates of Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) for heart failure (HF) patients, within 30 days of their initial or index discharge from the hospital. 2. To study the effect of post-discharge follow-up phone call policy for HF patients on their

chances of getting readmitted at HUH.

3. To study the impact of scheduling a follow-up outpatient clinic appointment for HF patients before their planned discharge, on overall 30-day readmission rates for such patients.

4. To study any potential correlation between reminding the patients about their

prescheduled follow-up clinic appointments and their chances of actually attending such appointments.

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MATERIALS AND METHODS

In September, 2010, Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) adopted a new policy to make follow-up telephone calls to all heart failure (HF) patients after their initial or index discharge from the hospital, instead of just those who were relatively sicker. The script used by hospital’s case management personnel, who were responsible for actually making the telephone calls, is shown in Exhibit A at the end of this paper. As a part of this initiative, HUH also started conducting weekly group education sessions for such patients, in which nurses educated the patients about the nature of their underlying medical problems. Nurse educators also discussed the value of complying with prescribed medications and recommended dietary regimens with the patients for maintaining their overall health and well-being. They tried to remove any behavioral barriers that might be preventing those patients from complying with their medications.

Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) runs a full-time heart failure center, which among its other functions, is also responsible for monitoring and maintaining highest possible quality of care standards for the heart failure (HF) patients. The nursing director of this heart failure unit routinely collects 30-day readmission rate data for HUH’s heart failure ―in-patients‖ on a monthly basis. During our research, we analyzed this data to study the impact of new patient follow-up initiatives on 30-day readmission rates of Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH). All basic data was provided to us by the nursing director of heart failure unit of HUH. All data provided by the nursing director was de-identified and was always transmitted in strict

accordance with the guidelines and regulations established under the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA) and Drexel’s Institutional Review Board’s (IRB’s) policies. During this project, we tried to detect and study any potential correlation between the number of HF patients who received the follow-up telephone calls made by hospital’s case management

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staff and the monthly readmission rates of Hahnemann University Hospital for such patients. For the purpose of this study, we used and relied on only the data that was provided to us by the nursing director. We did not have any direct or indirect access to patient records, and did not access or utilize any personal identifiers of the patients anytime during this entire study.

THE SUBJECTS Inclusion Criteria:

1. All patients admitted to Hahnemann University Hospital whose primary or secondary diagnoses fell within one of the following Diagnosis Related Group (DRG) categories:

a) 404.91 (Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease; unspecified; with heart failure and with chronic kidney disease stage I through stage IV, or unspecified)

b) 404.11 (Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease; benign; with heart failure and with chronic kidney disease stage I through stage IV, or unspecified)

c) 404.01 (Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease; malignant; with heart failure and with chronic kidney disease stage I through stage IV, or unspecified)

d) 404.93 (Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease; unspecified; with heart failure and chronic kidney disease stage V or end stage renal disease)

e) 404.13 (Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease; benign; with heart failure and chronic kidney disease stage V or end stage renal disease)

f) 404.03 (Hypertensive heart and chronic kidney disease; malignant; with heart failure and chronic kidney disease stage V or end stage renal disease)

2. All patients admitted to Hahnemann University Hospital, whose primary or secondary diagnoses fell within International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9 Codes ranging from 428.0 to 428.9. The details of these codes are mentioned below in Table 1.

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Table 1. International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 9: Codes ranging from 428.0 to 428.9 (Source of original data: Findacode.com. Retrieved May 22, 2011 from

http://www.findacode.com/search/search.php)

ICD 9 Codes Corresponding disease / clinical condition

428.0 Congestive heart failure, unspecified, Congestive heart disease, Right heart failure (secondary to left heart failure)

428.1

Left heart failure, Acute edema of lung with heart disease NOS or heart failure, Acute pulmonary edema with heart disease NOS or heart failure, Cardiac asthma, Left ventricular failure

428.2 Systolic heart failure 428.20 Systolic heart failure; unspecified

428.21 Systolic heart failure; acute 428.22 Systolic heart failure; chronic

428.23 Systolic heart failure; acute on chronic 428.3 Diastolic heart failure 428.30 Diastolic heart failure; unspecified

428.31 Diastolic heart failure; acute 428.32 Diastolic heart failure; chronic

428.33 Diastolic heart failure; acute on chronic

428.4 Combined systolic and diastolic heart failure 428.40 Combined systolic and diastolic heart failure; unspecified 428.41 Combined systolic and diastolic heart failure; acute 428.42 Combined systolic and diastolic heart failure; chronic

428.43 Combined systolic and diastolic heart failure; acute on chronic 428.9 Heart failure, unspecified

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Exclusion Criteria:

As the present study was primarily a data analysis project in which we used only de-identified grouped data collected on a monthly basis or the data that was publically available, there were no specific exclusion criteria for the subjects, except that all patients included in this study were older than 18 years of age.

Recruitment procedures for the subjects:

As we used only de-identified collective data or publically available data for each month during the entire study, this project did not involve any active recruitment of the subjects. Hence, this project did not have any explicit or implicit subject recruitment procedures.

INSTITUTIONAL REVIEW BOARD CONSIDERATIONS All investigators who conducted this study are certified according to the current regulations and requirements established under the Human Portability and Accountability Act (HIPAA). The investigators neither contacted any study subject nor accessed his or her medical record(s) on their own at any point in time, throughout the period of this study. The investigators only used de-identified collective data provided by the nursing director of hospital’s heart failure unit or the data that is otherwise publically available.

All data collected during this study was stored in a secure location at all times. Any electronic transmission of the data was done over a secure server, and was always well encrypted and password protected. Investigators practiced utmost care to ensure the security and privacy of the collected data. In case of a suspicion of any inadvertent or unauthorized leakage or

dissemination of the collected data, the study would have been stopped immediately and the research compliance officials of the concerned institutions would have been informed at the earliest possible opportunity. However, such a situation never arose.

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RESULTS AND DATA ANALYSIS

Over the period of nine months starting from May 1, 2010 to January 31, 2011, 553 patients were admitted to Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) with a primary diagnosis of heart failure (HF). The monthly average of these index admissions of heart failure patients at HUH was 61.44 with a median of 64.0. The exact number of heart failure related index admissions at HUH is depicted in Figure 1. Out of these 553 patients, 135 were readmitted to HUH within 30 days of their initial discharge. The average monthly readmission rates for HF cases at HUH were 16 readmissions per month with a median of 15. Out of the total 135 HF related readmissions at HUH for the nine month period mentioned above, 59 were due to the same cause as for the index admission in each respective case. The average number of all-cause 30-day readmissions related to HF, was found to be 16 per month with a median of 15, whereas the similar values for same-cause 30-day readmissions were 7 per month with a median of 6.556.

As evident from Figure 1, the number of index admissions per month ranged from 50 to 72, with an average or mean of 61.4 admissions per month and a median of 64 admissions each month. No specific trends were noted in the number of monthly index admissions during the nine month period, for which the data was collected and analyzed.

The aggregate percentage of all-cause 30-day readmissions out of total HF-related index admissions for the nine months was 24.41%, whereas similar rate for same-cause 30-day

readmissions was 10.67 %. The exact values for each month are shown in Figure 2. The average length of stay of heart failure patients at HUH was 7.45 days with a median of 7.91 days. Actual collective values for average length of stay of the patients at the hospital for each month are represented by the length of each individual bar in Figure 3.

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Figure 1. 64 72 58 66 50 65 53 69 56

May, 2010 Jun, 2010 Jul, 2010 Aug, 2010 Sep, 2010 Oct, 2010 Nov, 2010 Dec, 2010 Jan, 2011

Number of index admissions per month for

primary diagnosis of heart failure

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Figure 2. 28.13% 19.44% 27.59% 21.21% 34.00% 15.38% 30.19% 18.84% 30.36% 14.06% 11.11% 8.62% 10.61% 18.00% 6.15% 11.32% 5.80% 12.50%

May, 2010 Jun, 2010 Jul, 2010 Aug, 2010 Sep, 2010 Oct, 2010 Nov, 2010 Dec, 2010 Jan,2011

Monthly 30-day readmission rates for heart

failure patients

(All-cause vs. Same-cause)

All-cause 30-day readmission rate

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Figure 3. 7.45 7.04 8.16 6.92 7.72 5.98 13.4 6.93 7.56 May, 2010 Jun, 2010 Jul, 2010 Aug, 2010 Sep, 2010 Oct, 2010 Nov, 2010 Dec, 2010 Jan, 2011

Average length of stay of patients in the

hospital for each month (in days)

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Starting from September 2010, Hahnemann University Hospital’s staff tried to schedule follow-up outpatient clinic appointment for each admitted HF patient before his or her planned discharge from the hospital. In an attempt to make sure that most HF patients had a follow-up clinic appointment in-hand at the time of their planned discharge from the hospital, the

corresponding hospital staff kept track of all these pre-scheduled appointments. In an attempt to maximize the number of patients who actually attended such appointments, the clinics affiliated with the hospital provided their attendance data for such patients to the hospital, on a regular basis. If any of those HF patients was readmitted to Hahnemann University hospital within 30-days of his initial or index discharge from the hospital, the admitting staff specifically asked that patient if he or she had a chance to attend a pre-scheduled out-patient clinic appointment. The bar-graph in Figure 4 shows monthly percentages for those readmitted patients who left the hospital with a follow-up appointment in-hand, and the monthly percentages of the ones who confirmed that they had actually attended such appointments before their subsequent

readmissions.

Although no more than 32 percent patients, who were readmitted to the hospital, had attended a follow-up clinic visit before their subsequent readmission, it was found that if a patient left with a follow-up appointment in-hand, his or her chances of attending such visit reached up to 80 percent during certain months. This trend is evident from Figure 5. It means that if the hospital staff did schedule a follow-up clinic appointment for each patient before his or her index discharge, there was a good chance that the patient actually made a visit to the

respective clinic. However, it is not yet clear from the observed trends, if attending such appointment made a significant difference in the patient’s chances of getting readmitted to the hospital, within 30 days of the date of his or her index discharge.

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Figure 4. 27.78% 42.86% 31.25% 50.00% 58.82% 50.00% 31.25% 53.85% 41.17% 22.22% 21.43% 18.75% 21.43% 23.53% 30.00% 25.00% 30.77% 5.88%

May, 2010 Jun, 2010 Jul, 2010 Aug, 2010 Sep, 2010 Oct, 2010 Nov, 2010 Dec, 2010 Jan, 2011

Monthly percentages of readmitted patients

who had a follow-up clinic appointment in hand

before their index hospital discharge

Percentages of total readmitted patients for whom hospital had scheduled a follow-up visit prior to their index discharge

Percentages of total number of readmitted patients who attended their follow-up clinic visit scheduled by the hospital prior to their readmission

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Figure 5. 80.00% 50.00% 60.00% 42.86% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 57.14% 14.29%

May, 2010 Jun, 2010 Jul, 2010 Aug, 2010 Sep, 2010 Oct, 2010 Nov, 2010 Dec, 2010 Jan, 2011

Monthly percentages of readmitted patients

who attended their pre-scheduled out-patient

follow-up visits between their index hospital

discharge and subsequent readmission

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Apart from studying the trends in monthly readmission rates, another primary goal of this study was to find out any possible association between the number of follow-up telephone calls made by the hospital to the discharged patients and the hospital’s readmission rates. Figure 6 shows the monthly percentages of readmitted patients, whom the hospital tried to contact through telephone, and the percentages of patients who actually answered these calls and talked to the hospital staff. As evident from this figure, number of attempted follow-up telephone calls started to increase after September, 2010, the month in which Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH) formally adopted a policy to make and track such calls. Interestingly however, monthly

percentages of patients who answered such calls, started to decrease with a few exceptions. While it is difficult to explain the exact reason behind the observed trend, there are several potential possibilities:

1. As this data is based on the call logs that were retrieved from hospital’s ―Ecare‖ and ―HPF‖ systems, it is possible that people who were making these telephone calls failed to properly document the results of their calls in those electronic record systems.

2. It is also possible that most patients were called by the hospital personnel at timings when they were not physically available near their telephone sets.

3. In many cases, when the hospital’s case management personnel tried to make the telephone calls, they found that the telephone numbers originally provided to the hospital by the patients, were either no longer active or had changed. This factor might also have made some contribution in limiting the overall rates of success of attempted telephone calls.

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Figure 6. 11.11% 28.57% 25.00% 14.29% 17.65% 30.00% 37.50% 46.15% 41.18% 11.11% 14.29% 25.00% 14.29% 11.76% 10.00% 6.25% 0.00% 23.53%

May, 2010 Jun, 2010 Jul, 2010 Aug, 2010 Sep, 2010 Oct, 2010 Nov, 2010 Dec, 2010 Jan, 2011

Monthly logs of follow-up telephone calls made

to patients by the hospital after their initial

discharge from the hospital

Percentage of total readmitted patients whom the hospital attempted to contact through telephone for follow-up after their intial hospital discharge

Percentage of total readmitted patients with whom a post-discharge follow-up phone call was successfully completed

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Regarding all-cause and same-cause readmission rates of HF patients for each month, we did not find any specific or stable changes/trends during our study, as evident from Figure 2. In fact, in contrast to our expectations, all-cause monthly readmission rates for the first two months, when HUH formally adopted the policy to make follow-up telephone calls to all HF patients, were higher than the all-cause 30-day readmission rates for the previous months. This may suggest that number of all-cause 30-day readmissions tended to increase, as more number of patients received a follow-up telephone call from the hospital staff. As we tried to explore the likely reasons behind this observation, we reached at the following potential explanations:

1. One possible underlying cause for such trend can be that as worsening conditions of the patients were now getting detected earlier by the hospital staff as a result of the follow-up telephone calls, the hospital became more likely to readmit such patients for conditions that would have otherwise remained undiagnosed for longer times.

2. It is also possible that once a patient received a follow-up telephone call from the hospital, perhaps he or she became more concerned about his or her health, hence lowering his or her overall threshold to demand an early readmission.

However, given the limited amount of data and the short duration of this study compared to similar studies that were conducted in the past by other researchers, and the fact that majority of attempted follow-up telephone calls actually remained unanswered; it is very difficult to determine the validity and generalizability of observed trends for other similar situations with absolute certainty.

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LIMIATIONS OF THE STUDY

Despite our best efforts to incorporate well-established and widely acceptable research principles to maintain strict scientific robustness in this entire study, it was not free from all limitation and drawbacks.

1. To maintain the exempt status of this study as per Institutional Review Board’s guidelines, all data used in this study was either de-identified and/or publically available. We did not have any direct or indirect access to patient records, and all data was provided to us by the nursing director of the hospital’s heart failure unit. However, as the nursing director took utmost care to make sure that all data provided by him was accurate to the best of his

knowledge, we are quite confident about the correctness and reliability of all data used in this study.

2. All follow-up telephone calls were made by the case management personnel of the hospital. These individuals were not trained medical professionals. Hence, they did not have too much personal knowledge or preexisting rapport with the patients they were calling. This factor might have had some impact on patients’ perceptions about callers’ overall skills and level of understanding.

3. The data used in this study was originally derived from the call logs maintained by the hospital’s case management department. Hence, the possibility of some subjective variations in our data depending on the data entry skills of individual callers cannot be completely over-ruled.

4. The phone numbers used by the callers to contact the patients were derived from the hospital’s patient registration system. Some of those numbers were found to be either incorrect or no longer active, at the times when the follow-up telephone calls were made.

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DISCUSSION

Though the aforementioned results of this study suggest that early follow-up of

discharged heart failure (HF) patients may increase their overall chances of getting readmitted to the hospital within 30-days of their index discharge, it is important to realize that such increase in 30-day readmission rates does not necessarily suggest deterioration in overall quality of care of the hospital. It is quite obvious that quality of patient care can either increase or remain the same with better follow-up procedures, but can never decline further. In fact, we believe that the results of this study shun two major beliefs that have become increasingly popular among present day health policymakers despite lack of much convincing evidence in their favor:

1. This study suggests that the policies aimed to improve follow-up care of chronically ill patients may not necessarily be able to improve net short-term patient health outcomes, especially if implemented in isolation. This study asseverates the need for present day healthcare provider organizations to adopt more integrated approaches to patient care. Such approached should involve joint efforts on the part of physicians, nurses, paramedical and non-clinical hospital personnel and the patients themselves. Only then, we might be able to improve net health outcomes of chronically ill patients.

2. This study particularly highlights the limitations of using 30-day readmission rates of hospitals as sole indicators of their quality of care. Hence, the efforts of lawmakers in health reform law of 2010 to make hospitals improve their quality of care, by reducing Medicare reimbursement rates for hospitals with relatively higher Risk Standardized Readmission rates (RSRR’s), may not really be able to achieve this underlying purpose. In fact, the adoption of such policies by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) may have opposite effects, as they may create a ―push‖ for the hospitals to try keeping their discharged patients

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out of the hospital, at least for a period of 30 days after their initial discharge dates. This means that hospitals may not be willing to adopt better out-patient follow-up procedures, as they may cause the RSRR’s of hospitals to go up (as suggested by the present study), thus potentially depriving them of their regular Medicare reimbursement rates.

It is important to clarify here that the above statement does not completely undermine the role of RSRR’s of hospitals as a measure of their quality of care. Despite the results of this study, readmission rates of hospitals still remain an important measure of quality of their services. It is however important for the policy makers to realize that these rates are just one of the several indicators of quality of care. Their use as a sole quality of care indicator has several limitations of its own. These rates depend not only on the type of care provided by the hospital, but also on the severity of the patient’s condition, patient’s perception of his or her own health, the risk averseness of the patient, compliance of the patient to recommended medication and dietary regimens, overall availability and accessibility of health care resources, and patient’s socio-cultural, behavioral and financial conditions.

Although many of these factors can be addressed by the hospitals and health care providers by holding themselves accountable for patient health outcomes and by removing the communication and coordination barriers that exist at almost every level in our present

healthcare system, some factors remain beyond the control of provider institutions. Patients’ socio-cultural beliefs and values, financial limitations and severity of their underlying conditions are some of the factors that can perhaps never be completely addressed by any hospital.

However, every health care provider institution should still try its best to provide the highest possible quality of care to its patients. Improving the quality and efficiency of its follow-up care is one possible way for a hospital to achieve such goal.

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In the above study, no steady trends or changes were found in readmission rates of Hahnemann University Hospital (HUH), after the time the hospital started keeping track of its follow-up phone calls and started scheduling clinic appointments for patients before their planned discharge. However, as described above, there are several factors that may have impacted the preliminary trends observed in this study. Perhaps, the most important factor among all is that only a few months have passed since the time, when the hospital actually implemented the new policy. As depicted in figure 6, out of total number of patients who were readmitted each month, less than 50 percent were ever called by the hospital’s staff. Majority of these telephone calls were never answered by the patients according to available call logs. It is quite possible that hospital staff is still trying to adapt to the new policies. Perhaps, the

percentages of successful follow-up telephone calls will increase, as more time will pass. The proportion of patients who are discharged with a follow-up appointment in-hand is also likely to increase, as hospital staff becomes more accustomed to the new policies.

Clearly, the trends depicted in this paper are preliminary. Nonetheless, these preliminary results cast doubt on the role of follow-up telephone calls and scheduling of clinic visits by the hospital prior to patient’s discharge, in improving 30-day readmission rates of the hospital.

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS

The present research was a short-term pilot study through which we tried to gain further insight about the applicability of Risk Standardized Readmission Rates (RSRRs) of hospitals as valid indicators of their quality of care. By monitoring the monthly trends in 30-redamisison rates of Hahnemann University Hospital for heart failure patients before and after the

implementation of a formal universal follow-up phone call and group education sessions policy, we tried to find out if improving follow-up procedures for such patients actually result in

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decreased RSRRs, and hence better quality of patient care. To our surprise, we found that the RSRRs either remained at par with their previous levels or increased further from the baseline levels instead of decreasing, an expectation that was based on our knowledge of growing popularity of usage of lower RSRRs as an indicator of a hospital’s better quality of care. The results of this study suggest that the knowledge and understanding of current lawmakers and health policy leaders about quality of care of the hospitals, is still limited. There is a high need to develop and test alternative methodologies and techniques to measure this quality, instead of relying merely on RSRRs of the hospitals as major indicators of quality of care.

On the basis of the results of this study and the knowledge that we gained while conducting this study, we will like to make the following suggestions and recommendations regarding follow-up care of chronically ill patients –

1. Adopting more integrated approaches to patient care: This study highlights the need for present healthcare provider organizations to develop and adopt better and more integrated approaches to patient care. Absence of adequate discharge planning and lack of shared responsibility and accountability for patient health outcomes on the part of physicians, nurses, hospital administrators, non-clinical hospital personnel and the patients themselves, appears to be a major contributor to many of the existing problems of our current healthcare system. There is a need to develop and implement service blueprints and checklists that can help the hospitals and healthcare providers to better understand all processes involved in patient care, so that they can come-up with more efficient plans and procedures to rectify the existing problems.

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2. Understanding the existing gaps in patient care: To address the existing gaps that hinder the ability of present healthcare organizations to deliver high quality of care to all of their patients, it is vital for such organizations to clearly understand those gaps. To explore such existing deficiencies in delivery of health care services between the provider and patient ends, ―Gaps model of Service Quality‖ can be used as an effective tool. This concept, which originally derives its roots from ―services marketing‖, can act as a useful framework for studying the existing gaps in delivery of healthcare services at the provider end.

a) Gap 1: Gaps in provider’s knowledge about the actual expectations of their patients.

For example: Do physicians have a good insight about their patients’ expectations, whenever the latter come to see their physicians? (Do patients just want to be cured, or they expect their physician to take time to listen to their concerns and provide them with adequate motivation for maintaining and/or restoring a healthy behavior?)

b) Gap 2: Gaps in selecting and adopting correct service designs and standards

For example: Are the existing models or standards of care adequate to deliver the results that are at par with patients’ expectations and/or health needs?

c) Gap 3: Gaps in delivering to the set standards and designs of service, due to lack of

adequate systems, processes and trained people.

For example: Do health care providers and non-clinical staff always perform at the levels mentioned above?

d) Gap 4: Gaps between the promised level of quality, and the level at which a health

care service is actually provided.

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patients? Do they take enough time to effectively discuss the proposed treatment plans with their patients?

3. Bridging the existing communication and coordination gaps: In addition to bridging the service quality gaps that may exist at the provider end, it is also important for hospitals to identify and eliminate the existing gaps in overall communication and coordination that may exist at one or more of the following levels:

a) Between specialists, hospitalists and primary care physicians. b) Between physicians and nursing staff/ paramedical personnel

c) Between healthcare providers and hospital managers/ administrators d) Between patients and healthcare providers

4. Addressing the behavioral factors that affect patients’ decisions: In order to improve the net health outcomes for all patients including those who suffer from chronic health

conditions like heart failure (HF), it is important for us to recognize and address the various behavioral barriers that may be keeping these patients from adopting and maintaining healthy behaviors. Clearly, all patient health outcomes are a result of two-way interaction and efforts on part of both healthcare providers and their patients. Hence, in addition to removing the gaps in provision of care at the provider end, it is also important for providers to address the behavioral gaps or barriers at the patient end, for improving the net results of attempted healthcare activities. Wide usage of behavioral models like Health Belief Model (HBM) (Rosenstock, Becker, Kirscht, et al.), Stages of Change or Transtheoretical Model (Prochaska and DiClemente) and Theory of Reasoned Action (Fishbein and Ajzen) can act as an

effective strategy in this regard. The basic framework of each of these models is described below in Figures 7, 8 and 9.

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Figure 7: Health Belief Model

(Original Source: Eastern Michigan University. Introduction to Wellness: Promoting Healthy Behaviors. Retrieved May 24, 2011 fromhttp://www.emunix.emich.edu/~bogle/HBM.jpg)

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Figure 8: Stages of Change or Transtheoretical Model

(Original Source: University of Southern California. Tobacco Education and Materials Lab. Learn How: Step 3: Knowing Your Audience. Retrieved May 24, 2011 from

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Figure 9: Theory of Reasoned Action

(Original Source: Munro et al.BMC Public Health 2007 7:104 doi:10.1186/1471-2458-7-104. Retrieved may 24, 2011 from

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5. Developing new measures of quality of patient care: The results of this study cast

significant doubt on the validity of 30-day readmission rates of hospitals as sole indicators of their quality of care. As evident from the results of this study, such rates may not essentially decrease, after the adoption of improved patient follow-up procedures by current hospitals. In fact, such hospitals may experience a paradoxical rise in their total number of monthly 30-day readmission rates.

Hence to summarize, this study, in essence, warrants the need for present-day

healthcare leaders and policymakers to develop more accurate indicators of quality of patient care. These indicators should not only be easily measurable, but should also be flexible enough to allow easy calibration in expected standards or benchmarks, depending on the multiple variations in disease severity and demographics of different patient populations.

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Bhalla, R., & Kalkut, G. (2010). Could Medicare Readmission Policy Exacerbate Health Care System Inequity? Ann Intern Med, 152(2), 114-117.

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Jencks, S. F., Williams, M. V., & Coleman, E. A. (2009). Rehospitalizations among Patients in the Medicare Fee-for-Service Program. N Engl J Med, 360, 1418-1428.

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Exhibit A: Script used by Hahnemann’s University Hospital’s case - management staff while calling the heart failure patients

1. Good Morning/Afternoon my name is _________, and I am calling from Hahnemann University hospital.

2. May I please speak to (patient name)?

3. I was wondering if this is a good time to speak with you about how you are feeling. 4. If the answer is ―no‖, obtain another call back time/date when it will be more

convenient.

_____________________________________________________________________ If “yes” proceed:

5. How have you been feeling?

_____________________________________________________________________ _____________________________________________________________________

48 Hour post discharge follow-up questions:

6. Were you able to get your prescription(s) filled?

a. _______________________________________________________________ Escalated if patient has not filled prescriptions (depending on circumstances) b. If No, reason not able to fill prescriptions.

i. ___________________________________________________ ii. ___________________________________________________

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7. Did you make your follow up appointment with your primary care doctor? a. Yes ____________Escalated if No__________

b. If yes, when was/is your follow up appointment with your primary care doctor? ______________________________________________

c. If no, why was it not scheduled?

_____________________________________________________

8. Do you have a scale to weigh yourself? _____________

9. If answer to Q. 9 is Yes, What is your weight today? __________

10.What was your weight yesterday? __________

a. Escalated if patient doesn’t weigh themselves, or if 3lb or more weight gain/loss___

11.IF Home Health arranged ( Review eCare) ask

a. Did Home Health come out to visit you? ____________

b. If No, Have HH called to arranged a time for a visit________________ c. If No, Call Home Health to follow up. ___________________________

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Exhibit C. Project activation notice from the Principal Investigator to the Institutional Review Board

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