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(1)

The How and Why of International

Education Benchmarking

International Education

Study Group Kickoff

Anthony Mackay, President & CEO

Nathan Driskell, Associate Director,

Policy Analysis and Development

National Center on Education and the

Economy

(2)

In This Session We Will…

Discuss U.S.’s

education outcomes

and the need for

systemic redesign

01

Describe NCEE’s

methodology for

identifying high

performing systems to

study

02

Define high

performance and

explore what

excellence, equity,

and efficiency mean

for education systems

(3)

Education Attainment: No Longer the Key to Prosperity?

High school completion or higher

Bachelor's or higher degree

Less than high school completion 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2016 Percen t Year

% of 25-29yos by level of attainment: 1940-2016 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2017 2010 2005 2000 1995 1990 1985 1980 1975 1970

Mean (Average) Household Income by Quintile and Top 5% Bottom Quintile 4th Quintile MIddle Quintile 2nd Quintile Top Quintile Top 5%

(4)

Results of Our Current Approach to Education

Spending shown in constant 2013-2014 dollars Sources: The Nation's Report Card "NAEP 2012 Trends in Academic Progress”, NCES Digest of Education Statistics 2014

(5)

Similar Results on Global Measures: PISA 2018

450 470 490 510 530 550 570 590 610 United States Hungary Lithuania Spain Luxembourg Slovak Republic Italy Russia OECD Average Australia Portugal New Zealand Iceland France Latvia Austria Czech Republic Ireland Germany Norway United Kingdom Sweden Finland Belgium Slovenia Denmark Canada Switzerland Poland Netherlands Estonia Korea Japan Taiwan Hong Kong Maca Singapore China

Outperformed the U.S. in mathematics by a statistically significant margin

Difference from U.S. performance in mathematics not statistically significant

(6)

Increasing Urgency: Meeting Economic Challenges in an AI Age

In 2013, Frey and Osborne concluded that 47% of U.S. jobs could

be automated with existing equipment

Higher-paying jobs being rapidly automated along with

lower-paying ones

Entry level and routine work being eliminated for young people

Firms reducing permanent workforce; growth of gig economy

Global firms can staff low-wage workers from other countries

(7)

Increasing Urgency: Unforeseen Shocks

in a VUCA Environment

Unprecedented job

losses due to global

recession

Deepening divisions

based on race, class,

region, and political

party

Massive learning losses

related to school

closures

Concerns about civic

participation and

(8)

The Million Dollar Question

Clearly, the U.S. has to do a better job educating all of its

young people.

But…we know that world-class educational experiences for children exist all over the U.S.

Many of us have been fortunate enough to experience them firsthand.

So, if excellent education programs exist here — why are

we not seeing results, domestically or globally?

(9)

Finding the

Answer:

Studying the

Highest-Performing

Systems

For more than 30 years, we have

studied education systems all over

the world to find out what sets

them apart. How?

1. Define

metrics: Excellence;

Equity; Efficiency

2. Select

the strongest

jurisdictions on all three

metrics

3. Study

those countries in

(10)

Measuring Excellence: PISA

Assessment of how well 15-year-olds in 79

countries can apply what they know in:

Science

Explain phenomena

scientifically, evaluate and

design inquiry, interpret data

scientifically

Mathematics

Capacity to reason

mathematically, using

concepts, procedures, facts

and tools to describe, explain

and predict phenomena

Reading

Understand, use, evaluate,

reflect on and engage with

texts

(11)

Measuring Excellence:

PISA in Context

• Students in a group of high-performing systems graduate over

a year ahead

of U.S. students

• Over

80%

of U.S. students can: ID a main idea, recognize

cause and effect, say if conclusions are warranted

• …But only

60%

can compare distances on roads or convert

currencies

• …Only

14%

can distinguish between fact and opinion

• And only

9%

can apply scientific knowledge to unfamiliar

(12)

Measuring Equity

Gap in performance between highest and lowest achieving students

Performance of students who are from racial and

ethnic minorities relative to the majority

Resilience

Performance of students who are not native speakers of the language of instruction relative to

those who are % variance in

performance explained by socioeconomic status

Gap between the performance of girls and boys % of students who are low-performing Variation in performance within schools and between

schools

All education systems should ensure that all students

can succeed at high levels. But what does this actually

(13)

Measuring

Efficiency

World-class, equitable achievement

at a cost the system can bear

But that is not about spending as little as possible. It is

about spending money as effectively as possible, and

seeing returns on investment within the education

system and more broadly.

(14)

The High-Performing

Systems We Study

NCEE profiles systems that achieve

excellent results, equitably and efficiently.

• Canada

• China

– Beijing

– Shanghai

– Jiangsu

– Zhejiang

• Estonia

• Finland

• Hong Kong

• Japan

• Poland

• Singapore

• South Korea

• Taiwan

(15)

What Do We Study

What are the common policies and practices in these systems?

How and why did these systems develop to get where they are today?

How are they adapting in real time to meet the challenges of the

future – the changing nature of work, education, and life?

These questions are at the core of NCEE’s work and will

guide the work of this study group moving forward.

References

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