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Prevention of Traumatic Deaths to Children in the United States: How Far Have We Come and Where Do We Need to Go?

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Prevention

of Traumatic

Deaths

to Children

in the

United

States:

How

Far Have

We

Come

and

Where

Do

We

Need

to Go?

Frederick P. Rivara, MD, MPH and David C. Grossman, MD, MPH

ABSTRACT. Objective. To describe the changes in

in-jury mortality from 1978 to 1991 and determine the

num-ber of preventable deaths with currently available

inter-vention strategies.

Methods. Comparison of injury mortality data for

children and adolescents 0 to 19 years in 1978 and 1991.

Review of the literature to determine the effectiveness of

currently available prevention strategies and application

of these to deaths in 1991.

Results. The injury death rate declined by 26% over

the 14-year period. Death rates of unintentional injuries

decreased by 39%, with declines in all categories of

un-intentional injuries. Homicides increased by 67% and

suicides by 17%; nearly all of this increase was in deaths

from firearms. If currently available prevention

strate-gies were fully used, 6640 deaths could have been

pre-vented, a further 31% decrease.

Conclusions. Although great strides have been made

in preventing deaths from trauma, the application of

currently available prevention strategies could save a

large number of additional lives. However, the

increas-ing problem of intentional injury will partly

counterbal-ance the success in unintentional injury control.

Pediatrics 1996;97:791-797; injuries, mortality, homicide,

suicide.

A decade has passed since we published an

anal-ysis of trauma deaths to children in the United States

and estimated the number of deaths that could be

prevented with injury control strategies available at

that time.’ In the interval there has been a substantial

increase of interest in injury control. The National

Academy of Sciences commissioned the National

Re-search Council to conduct a study on the status of

injury control in the United States.2 The National

Center for Injury Prevention and Control has been

created as part of the Centers for Disease Control and

Prevention, centers of excellence have been initiated

in universities around the country, and much new

research has been conducted and published.3

Com-munity programs in injury control have been

devel-oped and have achieved some remarkable successes.

Nevertheless, injuries still remain as the most im-portant cause of mortality and disability to children

beyond the first few months of life. How far have we

come in our pursuit of decreasing the burden from

From the Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center and the

Departments of Pediatrics, Epidemiology and Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle.

Received for publication Feb 22, 1995; accepted Aug 9, 1995.

Reprint requests to (F.P.R.) Harborview Injury Prevention and Research Center, 325 Ninth Avenue, Seattle, WA 98104.

PEDIATRICS (ISSN 0031 4005). Copyright © 1996 by the American Acad-emy of Pediatrics.

both unintentional and intentional injuries? What

else can be done to decrease mortality and morbidity

even further with the information we now have

available to us? Where should our efforts be placed

in the future? This article provides an update on

injury mortality and attempts to answer these

ques-tions.

SOURCE OF DATA

Mortality data on children from birth to age 19

years were obtained from the National Center for

Health Statistics for the years 1978 and 1991.’

Deaths were included if the death certificate

in-cluded an external cause of injury (“E”) code of

E800-E999. Information from the Bureau of the

Cen-sus provided estimates of the population (in 1978

and 1991) used to calculate rates of injury and

death.6’7

The published literature was examined to identify

currently available realistic prevention and injury

control strategies for each major category of

uninten-tional and intentional trauma deaths. These were

then applied to the mortality data to derive estimates

of the number

of deaths

in each

category

that were

preventable. Assumptions used in these estimates

are described in the text.

OVERVIEW OF CHANGES

Deaths from all injuries decreased by 26.5% over

the 14-year period, from 40.22/100,000 in 1978 to

29.58/ 100,000 in 1991 (Table 1). Unintentional deaths

decreased by 38.9% compared with a 47.1% increase

in intentional injury deaths. The largest absolute

de-creases were in pedestrian (1325), occupant (1557),

and drowning (615) deaths, whereas the greatest

de-creases in rate of deaths were from poisoning due to

gases/vapors, motorcyclist, and pedestrian injuries.

Deaths from both homicide and suicide increased,

largely due to increases in firearm deaths from both

causes. Specific categories of trauma deaths are dis-cussed in more detail below.

MOTOR VEHICLE DEATHS

Motor vehicles (E810-E825) continue to be

respon-sible for the largest number of trauma deaths to

children, accounting for 8486 deaths in 1991, a 40%

decrease both in the absolute number of deaths and

in fatality rates since 1978. Motor vehicle traffic

deaths accounted for a smaller proportion of the total

deaths in 1990, 39.7% compared with 59.8% in 1978.

Three important categories of motor vehicle injuries

at Viet Nam:AAP Sponsored on September 1, 2020

www.aappublications.org/news

(2)

TABLE 1. Comparison of US Injury Counts and Rates Among 0 to 19-Year-Old Children and Adolescents by Type of Injury*

E Codes 1978

Count

1978 Rate per 100 000

1991 Count

1991 Rate per 100 000

Interval Change

All injuries E800-E999 28 905 40.22 21 367 29.58 -26.50%

All unintentional Injury deaths E800-E949 23 649 32.90 14 510 20.09 -38.90%

Motor vehicle deaths E810-E825

Occupant deaths Pedestrian deaths

E810-E825 (.0, .1) E810-E825 (0.7)

6 585 2 727

9.16 3.79

5 028 1 402

6.95 1.94

-24.10%

-48.80%

Motorcyclist driver deaths E810-E825 (.2) 841 1.17 352 .49 -58.10%

Pedalcyclist deaths E800-E807 (0.3)

E810-E825 (0.6) E826-E829 (0.1)

562 0.78 361 .50 -35.90%

Drowning deaths E830, E832, E910 2 610 3.63 1 595 2.21 -39.10%

Residential fire/burn deaths E890-E899 I 674 2.33 1 314 1.82 -21.90%

Fall deaths E880-E888 543 0.76 264 0.37 -51 .30%

Poisoning (solid/liquids) deaths Poisoning (gases/vapors) deaths

E850-E866 E867-E869

283 385

0.39 0.54

186 121

0.26 0.16

-33.55% -70.28%

All intentional injury deaths E950-E978 4 635 6.45 6 857 9.49 47.10%

Homicide and legal intervention E960-E978 2 796 3.89 4 692 6.49 66.80%

Firearm homicide E965.0-E965.4 I 517 2.11 3 274 4.53 114.70%

Suicide deaths E950-E959 I 839 2.56 2 165 3.00 17.10%

Firearm suicide deaths E955.0-E955.4 I 149 1.60 1 436 1.98 23.80%

* 1978 denominator used, 71 874 000; 199

1 denominator used, 7 2 335 000.

need to be considered: occupants of motor vehicle

collision, pedestrians, and motorcyclists.

MOTOR VEHICLE OCCUPANTS

The use of child restraint devices is the key to the

prevention of occupant deaths to children under the

age of 5 years. Available data indicates that

approx-imately 71% of these deaths can be prevented

through the use of an appropriate restraining

de-vice.8’#{176}In 1991, of the 529 deaths in this age group,

63% occurred among children who were

unre-strained)’ Thus, an estimated 237 deaths could have

been prevented in 1990 among children under the

age of 5 years involved in motor vehicle crashes.

As in 1985, there are no age-specific data on the

effectiveness of restraining devices or airbags in

older children and adolescents. The effectiveness of

these devices depends on both seating position and

direction of the force of the crash. Data from the

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration

in-dicate that 56% of 5- to 9-year olds, 66% of 10- to

14-year olds, and 90% of 15- to 19-year olds are

front-seat passengers in motor vehicles at the time of

a crash”2 Of these, 77%, 83%, and 83%,

respec-tively, can be expected to be unrestrained or improp-erly restrained.’2 The effectiveness of lap/ shoulder belts is 42% and airbags plus lap/shoulder harnesses approximately 47%#{149}1315 Use of the most effective means of protection available, ie, lap/shoulder belts

and airbags, would save 1480 lives of children and

adolescents 5 to 19 years of age who are improperly

restrained. An additional 33 lives would be saved

among those who currently die in motor vehicle

crashes in which they are protected with lap/shoul-der belts alone. This calculation discounts the effect

of airbags in cars on the road in 1991, because less

than 2% were equipped with airbags and these were

only in the driver position.

Children disproportionately occupy the rear seat

of motor vehicles: 44% of 5 to 9 year olds and 34% of

10 to 14 year olds are rear-seat passengers at the time

of a crash compared with 10% of all occupants in

motor vehicle crashes.’2 Although the rear seat is

safer than the front seat, lap belts alone in the rear seat offer only limited protection in a crash; they are estimated to decrease fatal injury by approximately

18%, primarily through the prevention of ejection.’4

Lap belts for children in the rear seat, although

de-creasing the risk of death, may increase the chance of

certain types of nonfatal injury. They have been

as-sociated with severe flexion-distraction injuries of

the lumbar spine, occasionally with spinal cord

in-jury, and with perforation and degloving injuries of

the hollow V15CUS’6 Lap/shoulder belts present less

of a risk of such injuries as well as somewhat more

protective against fatal injury; 27% compared with a

19% decrease in fatalities in the rear seat from lap

belts only.’4 Thus, use of lap/shoulder belts would

save 184 lives among those 5 to 19 years old

pres-ently unrestrained in rear seats and an additional 11

lives among those restrained with lap belts alone.

Although airbags in the rear seat are not available,

there are no theoretical reasons why they cannot be

developed and combined with properly designed

lap/shoulder belts to offer children riding in the rear

seat protection equivalent to that of adults in the

front seat. However, because of the absence of any

data on rear-seat airbags, we have not included their potential protective effect in our calculations.

Approximately 25% of fatal crashes in 1991 were

due to side impact.” Motor vehicles currently on the

road offer little in the way of side-impact protection,

although this has been mandated in Federal Motor

Vehicle Safety Standard 214. Volvo currently offers a

side-impact airbag on some models. Although the

exact magnitude of the effect of side-impact

protec-tion is unknown, even a 10% effect on mortality on

side-impact crashes could save an additional 70 lives

of children and adolescents involved in crashes

while riding in the front and rear seats.

In summary, 2010 additional lives could be saved

of children now dying as motor vehicle occupants.

This represents 40% of all motor vehicle occupant

(3)

PEDESTRIAN INJURIES

Pedestrian injuries remain as an important cause

of motor vehicle fatalities among children and

ado-lescents. For children under 14 years in 1991, pedes-trian injuries accounted for 36.7% of all motor vehicle

fatalities compared with only 6.9% of motor vehicle

deaths in the 15- to 19-year old age group. Rates of

pedestrian fatalities among children under 15 years

have decreased by 49% in the United States since

1978. This is a fascinating finding given that

preven-tion of pedestrian injuries through education and

enforcement has proved frustratingly difficult. A

number of studies have documented similar changes

in child pedestrian mortality around the world.’719 One possible explanation is a reduction in exposure to traffic, ie, less walking by children than in the past.

A recent study in Great Britain found that the

pro-portion of 7- and 8-year old children walking to

school unaccompanied decreased from 80% in 1971

to 9% in 1990.20

Nevertheless, reduction in child pedestrian

inju-ries does seem feasible without decreasing the

amount of walking by children. Sweden has taken a

comprehensive community approach to pedestrian

safety and structured the environment in such a way

as to minimize the risk of child pedestrian injury. It

has accomplished this through environmental

mea-sures to slow the speed of traffic, decrease its

vol-ume, route it away from neighborhoods, and to place

major traffic thoroughfares around the periphery of

towns and neighborhoods rather than through

them.2’ If the United States rates of child pedestrian

fatalities were equivalent to those of Sweden’7 in

1987 of 0.3/100,000 for 0 to 4 year olds and 1.2/

100,000 for 5 to 14 year olds, 550 lives could be saved, a further 52.9% reduction in pedestrian fatalities. We

realize that these changes in roadway design are

major, if not radical. However, they do provide a

target for us to strive to achieve.

MOTORCYCLES

Motorcycle fatalities in the pediatric age group are

confined almost exclusively to adolescence. The

ma-jority of deaths in motorcycle crashes are a result of head trauma. From 1978 to 1991 the rate of motorcy-clist deaths among 15 to 19 year olds fell from 3.48/ 100,000 to 1.78/ 100,000, a 48.9% decrease. Although

there are no national data on helmet use by age in

fatal crashes, National Highway Traffic Safety

Ad-ministration Fatal Accident Reporting System data

indicate that overall 54% of fatally injured motorcy-clists in 1991 did not wear helmets. In careful studies

of helmet effectiveness,22 helmet use has been found

to reduce all motorcycle deaths by an average of

28%. Therefore, an estimated 53 of 190 motorcycle

deaths of children and adolescents not wearing

hel-mets could have been prevented through the use of

helmets.

BICYCLE INJURIES

A number of studies have indicated that 75% of

serious and fatal injuries to bicyclists involve the

head.23’24 A rigorous case-control study in which

col-lision with a motor vehicle was taken into account

demonstrated that currently designed helmets can

prevent 88% of brain injuries.25 Although there were

too few deaths in the study to determine the exact

protective effect against fatal head injuries, recent

data from an ongoing case-control study at our

in-stitution found no deaths among more than 1000

helmeted cyclists; 14 deaths occurred in this and the

previous study, all among unhelmeted cyclists. Thus, we estimate that at least 66% (0.75*0.88 = 0.66) of the

361 children and adolescents killed while cycling, or

238, could be prevented through helmet use.

DROWNING

Drowning continues to be second only to motor

vehicles as a cause of unintentional trauma deaths in

the overall pediatric age group, accounting for some 1595 deaths to children and adolescents in 1991. This

represents a 39% decrease in drowning deaths since

1978.

Swimming pool drowning is totally preventable

through the use of four-sided fencing and

self-latch-ing gates and adult supervision of children while

swimming. Estimates from population-based studies

are that 33% to 42% of children and adolescents 0 to

19 years of age drown in swimming pools, mostly in

the preschool age group.26’27 Using an average from

these studies of 37.5%, we estimate that 598

drown-ing in this age group occur in pools and that all or

nearly all could be prevented through adequate

fenc-ing and appropriate supervision. Although difficult

to achieve, it represents a goal for prevention

pro-grams.

Similarly, bathtub drowning should also be

viewed as completely preventable. This accounted

for 7% and 14% of submersions in two different

population-based studies.26’28 Thus, using an average of the two studies of 10.5%, an estimated 165 children

and adolescents drowned in the bathtub in 1991. The

groups at greatest risk are toddlers and those with

epilepsy; the latter condition increases the risk of

bathtub drowning 96-fold.28 Toddlers should never

be left alone or with nonadult supervision and

chil-dren with seizure disorders should shower rather

than use a bathtub.

According to one rigorously conducted

popula-tion-based study, 37% of drowning deaths among

adolescents are associated with alcohol, an associa-tion that is almost certainly causal.29 In contrast, only

1 of 111 drowning deaths of children under 15 years

involved alcohol. Alcohol use and boating should be

viewed as activities that do not mix, particularly

among adolescents. Thus, an additional 168

drown-ing deaths in adolescents 15 to 19 years should be

considered preventable (37% of the 453 drowning

deaths in this age group).

Drowning in other bodies of water are difficult to

prevent. The effect of the promotion of personal

fib-tation devices is currently unknown and certainly

deserves close evaluation. The effect of swimming

lessons in decreasing drowning deaths is also

(4)

FIRE AND FLAME

Fire and flame deaths continue to be a leading

cause of trauma deaths (1314 deaths in 1991) for

children and adolescents in the United States, with

children under the age of 5 years having the highest

death rate of any age group, except for those over 75

years. The majority (80%) of fire and burn deaths in

the Unites States are from residential fires.

Cigarettes are the leading preventable cause of

residential fires, accounting for 28% of fatal house fires.#{176}The technology for self-extinguishing

ciga-rettes is already available, and it appears we are

slowly moving in that direction in this country. If the self-extinguishing cigarette was fully effective in

pre-venting house fires and all cigarettes were of this

type, it could have prevented 294 fire deaths to

chil-dren and adolescents.

Many of the remaining 757 residential fire deaths

can be prevented through the use of smoke detectors.

Recent studies3’ indicate that smoke detectors

de-crease the risk of fatal injury by 71%. For less than the price of a fast food meal, a family can dramatically decrease its risk of fire and burn death. In the United

States this would save the lives of 537 children and

adolescents annually.

Ultimately, nearly all fire deaths and serious

inju-ries could be prevented through the use of

residen-tial sprinkler systems.32 These are now economically

feasible for newly constructed homes. With the

con-struction of 1.8 million new homes each year in this

country, 36 million homes could be protected by

sprinkler systems within 20 years.

POISONING

There were 62 poisoning deaths from solids and

liquids to children under the age of 5 years in 1991.

Most of these deaths should have been completely

preventable through the adequate application of the

Poison Packaging Prevention standards. Iron

supple-ments have emerged as the single most frequent

cause of pediatric unintentional ingestion fatalities.33

The reduction of iron poisoning fatalities will likely

involve regulatory restriction of iron to prescription

status and repackaging of iron supplements in child-proof containers.

The preventability of poisoning deaths among

older children and adolescents is more difficult to

interpret. Most of the 97 deaths in 15 to 19 year olds

probably represent either unintentional overdoses of

drugs of abuse or misclassified suiddes.” The

lead-ing cause of fatal unintentional drug poisonings are

opiates and related narcotics and cocaine.33 Most of

the fatal poisonings from other solids and liquids are

due to alcohol ingestion.33 Methods to prevent these

deaths probably should include programs beginning

in early childhood to prevent the onset of substance

abuse, as well as appropriate treatment programs for

substance abusing teens and adults. The

effective-ness of these programs is not clear, thus no estimate

of the number of deaths that might be preventable

through such programs has been made.

There were 121 deaths among persons under 19

years related to poisoning from gases and vapors in

1991. These are likely to be nearly all due to carbon

monoxide.35 Nationally, 57% are due to motor

vehi-cle exhaust gas,36 and as many as one third are due to

home heating devices.37 In one series of cases of

carbon monoxide poisoning, 29.4% of the pediatric

cases were associated with riding in the back of a

pick-up truck, usually under a closed canopy.38 All of

these deaths should be viewed as completely

pre-ventable with the use of smoke detectors, carbon

monoxide detectors, adequate ventilation of heating

equipment, inspection of motor vehicle exhaust

sys-tems,39 and not using the back of enclosed pick-up

trucks to transport children.

FALLS

Although most morbidity and mortality from falls

occurs in the elderly, 264 children and adolescents died from falls in 1991 . Forty percent of these

fatali-ties occurred to children under 5 years, with the

remainder occurring to adolescents 15 to 19 years.

Deaths to young children from falls usually involves falls from heights of more than three stories.”#{176} The

history must be closely examined in any young child

with serious or fatal injuries from a short fall, partic-ularly from furniture or while playing on one level.’#{176}

One program in New York City using window bars

virtually eliminated falls of young children from

windows.42 Thus, all 1 1 1 of the deaths from falls

among toddlers and preschool-age children should

be viewed as preventable.

There are no studies in the literature specifically on fatal fall injuries in older children and adolescents.

Thus, appropriate prevention strategies cannot be

suggested at this time.

FIREARMS

There were 5356 deaths to children and

adoles-cents in the United States in 1991 from firearms.

There are three categories of firearm deaths: uninten-tional shootings, homicides, and suicides. Homicides

have increased by 67% since 1978 and suicides by

17%; the vast majority of the increase for both has

been due to gun violence. The 551 deaths that

oc-curred unintentionally must be viewed as fully

pre-ventable. Safe storage of guns, safe design and use of

guns, and consideration given to the removal of guns

from the home can prevent access to guns and hence

eliminate the risk of unintentional deaths from this

vector. This follows from the general principles of

injury control laid down by Haddon43 many years

ago.

The deaths from suicide and homicide involving

guns may not all be preventable by decreasing access

to guns in the home environment of children and

adolescents. However, access to guns clearly does

increase the risk of these fatalities from occurring. Data from several rigorously conducted case-control

studies indicate that home ownership of guns

in-creases the risk of suicide among teens and young

adults 10.4-fold and the risk of homicide 3.4-fold.45

In these studies 70.4% of the suicides occurred in

the victim’s home. Applying this to the 2164 youth

suicides in 1991, an estimated 1523 occurred in the

(5)

58.8%. Thus, restriction of access to guns could po-tentially save 896 adolescents from suicide. Similarly,

23.9% of the homicides occurred in the victim’s

home. Because homicides of children under 10 years

are usually due to abuse and are different from those

in adolescents, we have chosen not to include them

in the following calculations. Applying the 23.9% to

the 3746 homicides to adolescents 10 to 19 years, an

estimated 895 occurred in the home. The attributable

proportion due to guns is 32%. This translates into

286 deaths that could be potentially saved by restrict-ing access to guns in the home.

These are very conservative estimates because

they do not take into consideration the effects of

restricted gun access on suicides and particularly

homicides occurring outside the home. However,

because of the dearth of data on this by which we can

calculate an estimated protective effect, we have

cho-sen to focus only on deaths in the home.

Neverthe-less, this would eliminate 1733 deaths or 32.3% of the

gun deaths experienced by youth in 1991.

SUMMARY

The data presented here indicate that 6640 lives of

children and adolescents could be saved per year

through the application of currently available

strat-egies to prevent death from injury (Table 2). This

represents 31% of current deaths from injury and

amounts to more deaths than are now lost from heart

disease, cancer, and infections in this age group. There has been a substantial (34% overall) decrease

in deaths from all causes of unintentional trauma

during the period 1978 and 1991 . Deaths to motor

vehicle occupants are due to improvements in

vehi-cle design and occupant packaging, as well as

de-creases in drunk driving. The rate of death for all

ages per 100 million vehicle miles traveled has fallen from 3.3 in 1978 to 1.9 in 1991, a decline of 67%.” The

number of deaths in which alcohol was involved

have also declined to a low of 48% in 1991. The

importance of alcohol should not be underestimated.

As discussed above, seat belts and airbags are far

from 100% protective; although improvements are

possible, decreases in the number of crashes is clearly

important. Numerous studies of adolescents

admit-ted for trauma have documented positive blood

al-cohol levels and problem drinking in a sizable

por-tion of the population. Loiselle et al47 found that 34%

of 13 to 19 year olds admitted to a level 1 pediatric

trauma center were positive for alcohol or drugs on

admission. Alcohol can markedly impair driving

performance by teens.48 Teenagers are not only the

least experienced drivers, they are also the least ex-perienced drinkers. As a result, impairment of

driv-ing performance for younger drivers begins at a far

lower blood alcohol level than 100 mg/dL, the level

most commonly used in the United States for the

legal definition of intoxication. This has precipitated some states to lower this level to 80 mg/ dL or even lower for teenage drivers.

The decrease in injuries from bicycling probably

do not reflect the impact of helmet use, because the

rate of use in 1991 was still low nationally. The

reasons for the decline are unknown, but may be due

to a combination of better trauma care (see below)

and decreased exposure to traffic. Bike helmet

cam-paigns can certainly impact on this further; our cam-paign in Seattle has resulted in a reduction of head injuries in child cyclists by more than two thirds.49

The large reduction in pedestrian fatalities is

al-most certainly due to decreased exposure to traffic.

The limited data available indicate that far fewer

children walk today than 20 years ago.2#{176}The

de-crease in pedestrian fatalities has clearly come at a

price.

Reduction in motor vehicle-related and other

trauma deaths is probably, at least in part, due to

improved trauma care. Numerous studies have

doc-umented the decrease in trauma fatalities and

pre-ventable deaths through the institutionalization of

regionalized trauma systems.#{176} The further

regional-ization of trauma care will continue to have an

im-pact on pediatric trauma deaths nationally.

How-ever, the limits of this may soon be reached because

most pediatric trauma deaths are due to severe head

injuries for which medical and surgical care at the

present time have limited ability to further decrease mortality.5’

The role of improved medical care in the 39%

reduction of drowning deaths is less clear. Most sub-mersion incidents in children fall into two relatively

distinct groups: children who are awake and

breath-ing on arrival in the emergency department and

children who require ongoing CPR.27 The former do

well; the latter die or survive with serious neurolog-ical disability.27 Although prehospital care may have

contributed to some of the decline in mortality over

time, the impact of such care is likely to have been

TABLE 2. Injury Prevention Strategies and Lives Saved

Injury Strategy Potential Lives

Saved

Percent Decrease

Motor vehicle occupants Airbags, lap/shoulder harness 2010 40.0

Pedestrian injuries Community approach 550 39.2

Motorcycle crashes Helmets 53 15.1

Bicycle injuries Helmets 238 65.9

Drowning Pool fencing, prevention of bathtub drowning,

prevention of alcohol use in adolescents

931 58.4

Fire/burns Fire-safe cigarette, smoke detectors 831 63.2

Poisoning Poison packaging, elimination of carbon monoxide deaths 183 59.6

Falls Window bars 111 42.1

Firearm violence Elimination or secure storage of handguns in the home 1733 36.8

(6)

small. Recent studies on out of hospital cardiac arrest

underscore the poor survival rate in the pediatric age

group.52 The reductions in drowning deaths may

thus be due to better pool fencing and better

aware-ness by parents of the hazards of water to young

children.

Medical care has probably been responsible for a

significant part of the reduction in burn mortality.

The size of a burn wound in which one half of

children die, the LD,, has increased dramatically

over time and is now a total body surface area of

more than 80% in children beyond infancy.55 In

ad-dition, the large number of smoke detectors in

Amer-ican homes is probably responsible for much of the

remaining decline.

The remarkable decrease in poisoning deaths since

1960 should rightly be viewed as one of the success

stories in pediatrics and injury control. The use of

child-resistant packaging is a clear example of the

effectiveness of passive strategies.

The decline in deaths from unintentional trauma

contrasts dramatically with the rise in deaths from

intentional trauma. Intentional injuries are almost

unique in that they are one of the few health

prob-lems in the United States to increase in incidence in

the last few decades.57 As discussed above, nearly all

of this increase has been due to guns. We as

pedia-tricians must acknowledge the impact of guns on the

lives of America’s children and become involved in

various ways to address

the problem.

The American

Academy of Pediatrics and the Center for the

Pre-vention of Handgun Violence have developed the

STOP (Steps to Prevent Firearm Injury) educational

program for pediatricians to help make them more

effective in educating parents about the risks of guns

in the home. This is an important step in beginning to

address this problem. Perhaps the largest step has been taken already, realizing that guns are one of the most

pressing public health problems in America today.

The proportion of deaths from injury calculated as

preventable with currently available strategies is

similar to that in our previous article: 31% compared

with 29%. Even given the dramatic reductions in

trauma deaths over the last 14 years, nearly one third

of injuries can still be prevented. We realize that this

may be an optimistic estimate. However, our

previ-ous estimate of a 29% reduction in 1978 deaths as

being preventable was more than surpassed by the

34% actual decrease in trauma deaths by 1991. The

lesson of this article thus remains the same as the

prior report. The means are available and within our

grasp to have a significant impact on the health and

welfare of children in this country. It is up to us to

make it happen.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This work was supported by Centers for Disease Control and Prevention grant #CCR002570.

We greatly appreciate the assistance ofJeffrey Saks, MD, MPH.

REFERENCES

1. Rivara FP. Traumatic deaths of children in the United States: currently available prevention strategies. Pediatrics. 1985;75:456-462

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MULTIPLE BIRTHS: A WAKE-UP CALL

Miss Helen can recall when the Dionne quints were born in 1934, an event as rare

and heralded as the birth of a white buffalo. But today, in the United States alone, there are 42 sets of quintuplets with all members living, including the three little

girls and two boys born recently at Long Island Jewish Medical Center to Pnina and

Shmuel Klaver of Flatbush. Triplets are more plentiful still. About 2500 sets are

born annually.

Twins and other multiples often delight their families, but they also present

challenges for them and society as a whole.

Multiples are much more prone to premature birth, a situation that can produce

a whopping first-year health care tab-more than $1 billion for all low birth weight

multiples, 35% of it borne by Medicare and Medicaid. Birth defect rates are also

elevated in multiples. The rate of cerebral palsy, for example, is six times that for

singletons, according to one study. And financial and child care burdens are

heavier. One side effect: studies show child abuse is more common in families of

multiples.

. . .There is no data about how many multiple births are the result of fertility

treatment. But it is estimated that 25% of pregnancies resulting from fertility

treatment are multiple pregnancies.

Martin A. New York Times. February 8, 1996.

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1996;97;791

Pediatrics

Frederick P. Rivara and David C. Grossman

Come and Where Do We Need to Go?

Prevention of Traumatic Deaths to Children in the United States: How Far Have We

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1996;97;791

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Frederick P. Rivara and David C. Grossman

Come and Where Do We Need to Go?

Prevention of Traumatic Deaths to Children in the United States: How Far Have We

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