Does
Voluntary Disclosure of Medical Errors Prompt or Prevent
Medical Malpractice Suits?
Lorens A. Helmchen
School of Public Health
University of Illinois at Chicago
Institute of Government and Public Affairs
University of Illinois
Patient Safety:
Too Little Compensation, Too Little Deterrence
Medical errors are costly – mostly for patients
Preventing medical errors is costly – mostly for providers
For compensation, patient must prove provider’s negligence:
(1) they suffered an injury
(2) that was caused by the provider’s (3) substandard care.
Results in:
long time to reach trial verdict
uncertainty about trial verdict
very high overhead: “For every dollar spent on
compensation, 54 cents went to administrative expenses (lawyers, experts, and courts).” (Studdert et al 2006)
too few lawsuits, most cases settle
too little compensation (especially for small cases)
too little deterrence: providers do not bear full cost of error
University of Illinois Medical Center at Chicago
large, urban, tertiary-care academic medical center
~ 20,000 patients discharged per year
> 40% admitted via Emergency Department
about half either uninsured or on Public Aid
quarter of patients seek care related to pregnancy, childbirth, and neonatal care
ca. 100 kidney transplants annually
self-insured against professional liability
located in “judicial hellhole”
old risk management strategy: “deny and defend”
catalyst for change: missed leukemia diagnosis
What do patients want after event?
Five "R"s of Apology (Woods 2007)
Remain Engaged
honest, frequent, consistent communication
Recognition
that an unexpected adverse outcome has arisen
Regret
express empathy for the patient’s loss and harm
Responsibility
accept fact that provider’s action caused harm
admit negligence (if harm indeed due to negligence) apologize
Remediation medical
financial
learn from incident to prevent recurrence
Voluntary Disclosure of Medical Error at the U of Illinois Medical Center
1. Patient Safety Incident Reporting 2. Investigation
3. Communication and Disclosure 4. Apology and Remediation
5. System Improvement
6. Data Tracking and Performance Evaluation
7. Education and Training
Why (Not) Disclose Errors?
pro
ethical imperative
learn about “system failures” and prevent recurrence
personnel retention
avoid claims, reduce legal costs contra
fear that botched disclosure will only compound the error:
frustrate frontline practitioners
ruin reputation of organization and individual practitioners
alienate patient, friends and family
trigger costly wave of payments pragmatism
existing programs at Lexington VA, U Michigan Health System seem to work, provide template
legislative initiatives at state and federal levels, e.g.
National Medical Error Disclosure and Compensation (MEDiC) Act of 2005 [introduced by Clinton and Obama; did not pass]
Bargaining with Private Information
both sides observe severity of injury, W
defendant knows better than the plaintiff the degree of liability q that the court will assign if trial (asymmetric information):
defendant knows realization of q
plaintiff only knows distribution of q ~ U
[0,1] parties can settle: defendant pays S to plaintiff
or parties can proceed to trial:
defendant pays qW to plaintiff
each party pays its litigation costs C
dand C
p assume case has merit:
E[q]W – C
p= W/2 – C
p> 0
Baseline Case: Symmetric Information
Both parties predict q equally well
Parties always settle
Nash bargaining: split total litigation cost
plaintiff’s expected compensation:
W/2 – C
p+ (C
d+ C
p)/2
defendant’s expected payment:
W/2 + C
d– (C
d+ C
p)/2
Asymmetric Information: Who Moves First?
Screening Model
Plaintiff moves first by demanding settlement S
“Provider is reactive”
Signaling Model
Defendant moves first by offering settlement S
“Provider is proactive”
Plaintiff screens for q
after injury W, plaintiff demands settlement S
if defendant accepts S, game over:
defendant pays S
plaintiff receives S
if defendant rejects S, plaintiff has 2 options:
LITIGATE: true q is revealed defendant pays qW + C
dplaintiff receives qW – C
p GIVE UP:
defendant pays 0 plaintiff receives 0
defendant accepts demand iff S ≤ p[qW + C
d]
ACCEPT REJECT
GIVE UP LITIGATE
PLAINTIFF
DEFENDANT
NATURE
PLAINTIFF
(–S , S)
( 0, 0) (– qW – Cd , qW – Cp)
Plaintiff screens for q
demand S
ACCEPT REJECT
GIVE UP LITIGATE
(–S , S)
( 0, 0) (– q’W – Cd , q’W – Cp)
q q’
Plaintiff screens for q – Equilibrium
plaintiff always demands W – C
p plaintiff always sues if defendant rejects demand
plaintiff’s expected compensation:
W/2 – C
p+ [(C
d+ C
p)/2][(C
d+ C
p)/W]
defendant’s expected payment:
W/2 + C
d- [(C
d+ C
p)/2][(C
d+ C
p)/W]
Defendant signals q
after injury W, defendant offers settlement S
if plaintiff accepts S, game over:
defendant pays S
plaintiff receives S
if plaintiff rejects S, trial: q is revealed and
defendant pays qW + C
d plaintiff receives qW – C
pACCEPT REJECT DEFENDANT
NATURE
PLAINTIFF
(–S , S) (– qW – Cd , qW – Cp)
Defendant signals q
offers S
q q’
offers S’
ACCEPT REJECT
(–S’ , S’) (– q’W – Cd , q’W – Cp)
Defendant signals q – Equilibrium
defendant always offers qW – C
p plaintiff indifferent between accept / reject
plaintiff more likely to reject lower offers (to keep defendant honest)
plaintiff’s expected compensation:
W/2 – C
p defendant’s expected payment:
W/2 + C
d- [(C
d+ C
p)/k][(C
d+ C
p)/W]
where k < 2.
Screening versus Signaling
17
model plaintiff’s expected compensation
symmetric
information W/2 – C
p+ (C
d+ C
p)/2 asymmetric
information
.. screening W/2 – C
p+ [(C
d+ C
p)/2][(C
d+ C
p)/W]
.. signaling W/2 – C
pScreening versus Signaling
18
model defendant’s expected payment
symmetric
information W/2 + C
d- (C
d+ C
p)/2 asymmetric
information
.. screening W/2 + C
d- [(C
d+ C
p)/2][(C
d+ C
p)/W]
.. signaling W/2 + C
d- [(C
d+ C
p)/k][(C
d+ C
p)/W]
where k < 2.
2001 Personnel changes in legal counsel office & in hospital leadership – biggest naysayer left UIMCC.
2003 Beginning of medical malpractice insurance crisis in Cook County, Illinois
Approval to craft a “full disclosure” process for presentation to the University’s Board of Trustees
April 2006 The Comprehensive Process for Responding to Patient Safety Incidents at UIMCC goes live
Error disclosure at UIMCC: the timetable
Claims against UIMCC (preliminary)
Fiscal Year
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
reported patient safety
incidents 2,127 2,152 1,892 1,669 1,823 2,069 2,353
confirmed Sentinel
Events1 6 8 5 4
lawsuits filed against
UIMCC2 32 20 16 21 22 19 3
… closed 27 12 9 9 4 1 0
… dropped 18 5 7 6 2 1 0
… settled 6 5 1 2 2 0 0
… defendant won 1 2 1 1 0 0 0
… plaintiff won 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
discharges – UIMCC only 17,642 18,387 18,458 18,533 19,255 20,838
… high-risk3 472 508 497 494 521 582
discharges – all Cook
County hospitals 841,654 772,060 801,990 809,180 803,617 806,871
1 “unexpected occurrence involving death or serious physical or psychological injury, or the risk thereof” (Joint Commission 2007).
2 as of December 2008.
3 any of 40 DRGs that were found most likely to be associated with an adverse event in the HMPS (1990).
Conclusions
voluntary disclosure does not begin or end with mere provider-patient communication
requires comprehensive process
key element: shift from reactive to proactive management of error
make asymmetric information about liability work in favor of defendant
retain positive probability of trial to keep defendant honest
externality of cases that go to trial on future settlements
works within given system of med mal dispute resolution
won’t change accuracy of determining true negligence
particularly beneficial for hospitals with sharp improvements in their patient safety performance record