Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment

(1)

National Preparedness Directorate/National Integration Center

Threat and Hazard Identification and Risk Assessment

General Overview

(2)

2

Overview



Background on the Threat and Hazard Identification

and Risk Assessment (THIRA)



Explain the THIRA process and how it is part of the

overall National Preparedness System



Review the steps of the THIRA process

(3)

Presidential Policy Directive 8/PPD-8



“

Aimed at strengthening the security and resilience of the

United States through systematic preparation for the threats

that pose the greatest risk to the security of the nation.”



“National preparedness is the shared responsibility of all

levels of government”



“Aimed at facilitating an integrated, all-of-Nation,

capabilities-based approach to preparedness.”

National Preparedness Goal

A secure and resilient nation with the capabilities required

across the whole community to prevent, protect against,

mitigate, respond to, and recover from the threats and

hazards that pose the greatest risk

.

(4)

4

PPD-8 Links a Range of National Efforts



It is organized around key elements:

• National Preparedness Goal

The ends we wish to achieve

• National Preparedness System Description

The means to achieve it

• National Planning Frameworks

• Federal Interagency Operational Plans

The delivery; how we use what we build

• Annual National Preparedness Report

The reporting of our progress

• Build and sustain preparedness

(5)

(6)

6

National Preparedness System

Identifying and Assessing Risk and

Estimating Capability Requirements



Developing an understanding of its

risks from natural, technological,

and human-caused threats and

hazards, allows a community to

make informed decisions about

how to manage risk and develop

needed capabilities

.



The Threat and Hazard

Identification and Risk Assessment

(THIRA) process allows

jurisdictions to identify threats and

hazards of greatest concern;



Guidance is available online in

Comprehensive Preparedness

Guide 201-Second Edition

(7)

What is THIRA?



THIRA is four-step

common risk-assessment

process that:



Helps

whole community

members identify and

understand likely

vulnerabilities



Results in a set of

Capability Targets, and

resource requirements

which show where core

capabilities need to be

improved

The whole community is:



Individuals and families



Businesses



Faith-based and community

organizations



Nonprofit groups



Schools and academia



All levels of government

The THIRA process is applicable

to the whole community.

(8)

8

Threat and Hazard Identification and

Risk Assessment (THIRA) Process

(9)

Demonstration: Infrastructure Systems



Definition in the National Preparedness Goal:

• Stabilize critical infrastructure functions,

minimize health and safety threats, and efficiently

restore and revitalize systems and services to

support a viable, resilient community.

(10)

10

Demonstration: Infrastructure Systems

Threat/ Hazard

Earthquake

Context Description

A magnitude 6.8 earthquake along a fault line beneath Commerce City, CO occurring during weekday rush hour, midwinter. Ground shaking and damage expected in 10 counties, extending throughout the Denver Metro Area, affecting 2.6 million people and significant infrastructure.

(11)

Demonstration: Infrastructure Systems

Threat/ Hazard

Earthquake

A magnitude 6.8 earthquake along a fault line beneath Commerce City, CO occurring during weekday rush hour, midwinter. Ground shaking and damage expected in 10

counties, extending throughout the Denver Metro Area, affecting 2.6 million people and significant infrastructure

Estimated Impacts

1 million households without power, damaged water lines,

refinery, financial institutions, cyber infrastructure, roads and at least 2 major interstates. Public information systems inoperable, limited or no fuel, sanitation systems down, water boil orders. More than 20% of buildings moderately damaged with an additional 56,000 completely destroyed. 2,353 fatalities and

33,000 wounded, many of whom have access /functional needs.

Desired Outcomes

Within first 72 hours, conduct hazard assessments to determine what critical infrastructure must be stabilized to avoid further damage. Power distribution operations center restores and sustains essential services to both the public and private to maintain the community’s functionality. Within 60 days, assess, monitor and provide resources to re-establish CI.

(12)

12

Demonstration: Infrastructure Systems

Threat/ Hazard Earthquake

A magnitude 6.8 earthquake along a fault line beneath Commerce City, CO occurring during weekday rush hour, midwinter. Ground shaking and damage expected in 10 counties, extending throughout the Denver Metro Area, affecting 2.6 million people and significant infrastructure.

Estimated Impacts

1 million households without power, damaged water lines, refinery, financial institutions, cyber infrastructure, roads and at least 2 major interstates. Public information systems inoperable, limited or no fuel, sanitation systems down, water boil orders. More than 20% of buildings moderately damaged with an additional 56,000 completely destroyed. 2,353 fatalities and 33,000 wounded, many of whom have access /functional needs.

Desired Outcomes

Within first 72 hours, conduct hazard assessments to determine what critical infrastructure must be stabilized to avoid further damage. Within five days, power distribution operations center restores and sustains essential services to both the public and private to maintain the community’s functionality. Within 60 days, assess, monitor and provide resources to re-establish CI.

Core Capability: Infrastructure Systems

Capability Target

Within first 72 hours, conduct hazard assessments to determine what critical infrastructure must be stabilized to avoid further damage. Within five days, power distribution operations center restores and sustains essential services to 1 million households, industry and critical lifeline sectors to sustain essential services (both public and private) to maintain the community’s