Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Conference
6.40p
Nigel Wilson
Chief Executive Officer
Urban Regeneration:
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Forward looking statements
This document may contain certain forward-looking statements relating to
Legal & General Group, its plans and its current goals and expectations
relating to future financial condition, performance and results. By their
nature, forward-looking statements involve uncertainty because they relate
to future events and circumstances which are beyond Legal &
General’s
control, including, among others, UK domestic and global economic and
business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations in interest
rates and exchange rates, the policies and actions of regulatory and
Governmental authorities, the impact of competition, the timing impact of
these events and other uncertainties of future acquisition or combinations
within relevant industries. As a result, Legal & General Group’s actual future
condition, performance and results may differ materially from the plans,
goals and expectations set out in these forward-looking statements and
persons reading this announcement should not place reliance on
forward-looking statements. These forward-forward-looking statements are made only as at
the date on which such statements are made and Legal & General Group
Plc. does not undertake to update forward-looking statements contained in
this document or any other forward-looking statement it may make.
Is the global macro economy moving to a digital world of zeros?
Downside Analogue Economy Paper Money % change Digital Economy Digital Money % change - Economic growth2 - 4
0
- Nominal interest rates
4 - 6
0
- Real interest rates
2 -3
0
- Inflation - Normal - Hyper
3 – 10
10 – 30
0
- Wages - Nominal - Real - Hyper4 – 6
2 – 3
10 – 30
0
- Currency
Fixed with
“crashes”
Volatile
“We cannot solve our
problems with the
same thinking we
used when we
created them.”
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Technology
– The implications of the Second Machine Age
(i)
(ii)
(iii)
(iv)
(v)
(vi)
(vii)
Hollowing out of middle management – business “distributes and downsizes”
Digital investment is dis-intermediating low paid jobs – higher paid jobs becoming more higher
paid
Increasing demand for clean energy – economics are improving and climate change is a real
concern
Digital Advice – financial services needs to step up and fill the void – “Robo advice” is key,
including welfare
Physical is being replaced by Digital
– FS industry likes to finance physical assets and
regulation prefers physical and analogue
Digital in healthcare will be transformative for our industry – we have to disrupt
The internet of things will be transformational – huge impact on GI business
Investment is required to deliver growth
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
DM economies have over-consumed and under-invested – EM economies have
under-consumed and over-invested
The tsunami of digital money is moving around the world’s asset markets, bidding up the price
of existing assets, then rapidly exiting, causing volatility to increase and returns to fall
Public and private investment is too low – we need a change in policy and approach
“Fed Watching” by the market is being replaced by “Market Watching” by the Fed
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
L&G – A clear and focused strategy for a divergent world
• The world is getting older, people live longer and have not saved enough for retirement • Over 60’s have c£1.3trn of housing equity, increasingly used to fill this savings gap • $10trn of defined benefit liabilities globally, with increasing demand for de-risking
solutions
GROWTH DRIVERS
AGEING
POPULATIONS
GLOBALISATION OF
ASSET MARKETS
WELFARE
REFORMS
DIGITAL
LIFESTYLES
BANK
RETRENCHMENT
• Asset markets around the world are becoming increasingly homogenous
• This creates attractive opportunities to grow and internationalise our successful investment management capabilities
• Pressure on public finances is moving the provision of welfare from the state to individuals and employers
• Shrinking state funding will drive demand for the private provision of protection products
• Changes in digital customer engagement are presenting both opportunities and challenges to all companies
• Using digital capabilities to generate scale and efficiency will be key
• Retrenching banks create opportunities for investors with long term investment horizons to invest in real assets
High performing businesses aligned to growth drivers
ASSET MANAGEMENT
Legal & General Investment Management
•
Legal & General Retirement
•
Legal & General Capital
•
TOTAL
INSURANCE
Legal & General Insurance
• • •
Legal & General America
• •
TOTAL
DIRECT INVESTMENTS
SAVINGS
Mature Savings • •Digital Savings • TOTAL
6.2
Group-wide direct investments H1 2015 (£bn)51
H1 2015192
40
H1 2015176
280
115
H1 2015571
• • • • • • •149
188
102
H1 2014439
Operating Profit (£m)179
43
H1 2014 Operating Profit (£m)55
H1 2014 Operating Profit (£m)232
222
(1)
(1)
50
54
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Improving efficiencies across our businesses
ASSET MANAGEMENT
Legal & General Investment Management
Legal & General Retirement Legal & General Capital TOTAL
INSURANCE
Legal & General Insurance Legal & General America TOTAL
SAVINGS
Legal & General Savings
2,041
Headcount
2,481
508
Headcount1,902
501
26
Headcount2,429
169
36
4
Costs (£m)209
H1 2015101
43
Costs (£m) H1 201589
Costs (£m) H1 20152,989
144
GROUP
Group1 Shared services TOTAL282
583
Headcount28
76
Costs (£m) H1 2015865
104
TOTAL
Legal & General
8,324
Headcount546
Costs (£m) H1 2015
L&G Retirement – Our vision and strategy
Individual Retirement Choices
Longevity guarantees
Investment guarantees Lifetime Mortgages
Global Pension Risk Transfer
UK Pension Risk Transfer International Reinsurance US Pension Risk Transfer
OUR VISION
Help 2 million people achieve financial security in retirement by the end of 2020
OUR STRATEGY
Deploy shareholder capital flexibly and dynamically across our chosen markets,
currently:
Manage our balance sheet efficiently by seeking to continually:
Improve risk adjusted return on assets for policyholders and shareholders
Reduce unit costs Actively manage longevity risk
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
L&G Retirement – eight sources of profit
BACK BOOK FOR CASH
• Existing £46bn annuity portfolio – expect to generate £340m of operational cash and higher net cash in 2015
• Asset strategy being optimised with direct Investments and lifetime mortgages
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
UK CAPITAL LITE FRONT
BOOK
US PENSION RISK
TRANSFER
LONGEVITY INSURANCE
SECONDARY ANNUITY
MARKET
LIFETIME MORTGAGES
INDIVIDUAL RETIREMENT
SOLUTIONS
• Evolving to meet anticipated demand with £1.8trh of DB liabilities in the UK
• Target entry in Q4 2015
• Utilising LGIMAs asset management and LGAs back office capabilities
• £6bn of 3rd party longevity reinsurance deals completed to date. E.g. British
Aerospace
• £1.3trn of housing equity owned by the over 60’s in the UK • Long term illiquid asset creation for our annuity fund • Entered market in Q2 2015
• Projected growth in DC will drive demand for simple tax efficient products “to and through” retirement.
• Entry expected in 2017
8
EUROPEAN PENSION
RISK TRANSFER
Profit Source 1: Back book for cash
EEV VIF Undiscounted
2014 Discounted 2014 LGR c£8 - 9bn £4bn £m 2014 20151 2016 Operational cash 292 340 Operating profit 428 - Direct investments - Lifetime mortgages - Default outperformance
• Significant upside from back book asset optimisation:
(a) reducing cash, sovereign and overseas debt (b) replacing with direct investments and lifetime
mortgages. 1. Guidance Equities: 0.3 Sovereigns, Supras and Sub-Sovereigns: 6.7 UK Corporate: 12.6 US Corporate: 8.7 Europe Corporate 3.2 Rest of world Corporate: 5.3 Hedges / Derivatives: 3.6
Cash: 0.5 investment: Direct 4.9
• High degree of predictability and visibility of monetisation of the back book.
• The £46bn back book will generate material levels of profit for around 15 years
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Profit Sources 2,3,4: UK, European and US pension risk transfer
Estimated private sector defined benefit liabilities (£trillion)
•
Markets at the very early stages of de-risking
Profit source 6: Successful low cost entry into lifetime mortgages
LIFETIME MORTGAGES
Applications
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Profit Sources 6, 7 and 8: Individual Retirement Solutions and
secondary annuity market
Post retirement flows (£m)
•
Freedom and choice brings unrestricted
choice and complexity
•
There is uncertainty about how the market
will evolve
L
ifetime mortgage market (£bn)
•
The number of people over 60 expected to
grow by 6.3m in next 20 years
•
£1.3trn of housing equity currently owned
by the over 60s in the UK.
£2.3bn
Legal & General Investment Management has less than 1% of the
global market
LGIM AUM ($bn)
•
LGIM - AUM has grown from $138bn in 1998 to
$1.1trn at June 2015 largely as a domestic UK
business.
•
There is significant potential for further growth –
particularly in international markets across DC
pensions, LDI, real assets and fixed income.
Private Financial Wealth ($ trillion)
$131 $147
$164
$222
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
LGIM – developing growth businesses
SOLUTIONS AUM (£bn)
REAL ASSETS AUM (£bn)
INTERNATIONAL AUM (£bn)
DC AUM (£bn)
169.4 115.8 31.5 16.7 8.8 42.8 23.6LGIM – Defined Contribution
• Auto-enrolment has been a big success in the UK with 90% of employees
choosing to stay in workplace schemes.
• Increase in DC savings driven by auto-enrolment, with 12 million individuals ultimately expected to be enrolled in workplace savings schemes, compared to c.5 million today.
• Currently we have 1.4 million customers and expect to add a further c700k new members by the end of 2016.
• Statutory minimum contribution rates will increase from 2% today to 5% in 2017 and up to 8% in 2018.
• Minimum contribution rates may have to be increased still further.
0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 £b n
DEFINED CONTRIBUTION SAVINGS
Similar opportunities in other markets including the
US and most emerging market countries.
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
International Expansion
• US continues to be the largest pensions
market with $25trn of assets.
• US clients grown to 124 from 20 in 2011. • Expanding LDI distribution to provide a full
spectrum of LDI solutions.
• First US Index win in H1 2015.
• Expanding distribution of US credit and 3
year track record established in high yield.
• Launched a range of passive collective
investment trusts to target US pension clients.
• 100% of US active fixed income composites
outperforming respective benchmarks over 1,3 and 5 years.
LGIMA AUM
* Includes £37.5bn of assets transferred to the US in Q3 2014.
25.4
118.5
(1) LGIM America – Rapid growth and strong momentum
(2) Entrance in Japan, Korea, Taiwan in last 6 months
China – first mandate in 2014
Japan – Meiji Yasuda distribution agreement announced in September 2015
Korea – first mandate in Q3 2015
Legal & General Capital: Bank retrenchment and welfare reform are
creating substantial growth opportunities for disruption.
Capital
‘Tomorrow’s Money’
Patient Capital
Essential ‘Capital
Heavy’ Industries
Housing
Pension Funds
Regeneration
Insurance Funds
‘Finance Gap’
Energy
Transport
Sovereign Wealth
Funds
SME Finance
‘Yesterdays Money’
Capital
‘Tomorrow’s Money’
Patient Capital
Essential ‘Capital
Heavy’ Industries
Housing
Pension Funds
Regeneration
Insurance Funds
‘Finance Gap’
Energy
Transport
Sovereign Wealth
Funds
SME Finance
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Legal & General Capital: Our strategic focus
UK REGENERATION
• UK Govt total debt is £1.56trn (82% of GDP); Liabilities of £3.3 trn• Private long term investment is required
CLEAN ENERGY
UK HOUSING
ALTERNATIVE FINANCE
1
• UK housing is lagging the requirement of 250k homes per annum
• The housing deficit can be met through increased capacity and private rental sector (PRS), entered the PRS in Q3 2015.
• LGC is developing a strategy focussing on long term clean electricity generation assets focussing on (a) onshore wind, (b) solar, and (c) offshore wind.
• EU banks remain constrained with many reverting to ‘core’ markets.
• LGC is committed to SME lending, e.g. Pemberton.
2
3
Long term direct investments
We continue to drive
risk-adjusted returns upwards
through direct investments in
long dated real assets where
the banks have left behind
‘white space’. Investment in
housing and regeneration are
economically useful for us, for
the broader economy and
socially useful too.”
LEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Legal & General Insurance
POSSESSIONS
Income Protection Health-care Long Term Care Warranty Critical Illness Pet Travel Mortgages Motor Home Term Assurance Whole of Life Over 50s (funeral plan) Will Writing/ Probate/Power of Attorney Funeral Provision Health & Wellbeing Access Building & Contents Supply Chain Rehabilitation Services Range of Info & Financial Services Guides Support Helpline (EAP) MAKING LIFE BETTER SERVICES PRODUCTSRadical simplification of the
quote and buy customer
journey for Core Direct
Expand product range and
develop broader propositions
Enhance marketing
campaigns
Increase product holding per
customer
Develop self-service
capabilities
POSSESSIONS
Income Protection Health-care Long Term Care Warranty Critical Illness Pet Travel Mortgages Motor Home Term Assurance Whole of Life Over 50s (funeral plan) Will Writing/ Probate/Power of Attorney Funeral Provision Health & Wellbeing Access Building & Contents Supply Chain Rehabilitation Services Range of Info & Financial Services Guides Support Helpline (EAP) MAKING LIFE BETTER SERVICES PRODUCTS Available todayProduct sold, but not underwritten
Not yet in portfolio Only available to some customers
Dividend
6.40p 7.65p 9.30pDIVIDEND
+19% NET CASH (£m)320
699
760
846
865
1,002
1,104
624
CASH RETAINED (£m)81
474
481
471
413
452
436
DIVIDEND (£m)239
225
279
375
452
550
668
205
DIVIDEND COVERAGE11.34
3.11
2.72
2.26
1.91
1.82
1.65
4.75pLEGAL & GENERAL GROUP PLC
Longer term ambition
Bolt-on M&A
Organic growth
Cash focus
•Doubling size of LGIMA assets
•Direct investments to exceed £15bn
•Establishing LGR’s international business
•Grow UK GWP at twice UK GDP
•Building market leading position in UK DC
•Creating new business segment in housing and urban regeneration
•Launching a mobile business to drive customer growth in UK and internationally (Africa and Asia)
•Leading welfare reform with new savings and insurance products
•Reducing operating costs in nominal terms