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Chapter 3- Collecting Information and Forecasting Demand

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(1)

3

3

Collecting Information

Collecting Information

and

and

Forecasting Demand

Forecasting Demand

(2)

Chapter Questions

Chapter Questions

 What are the components of a modernWhat are the components of a modern

marketing information system? marketing information system?

 What are useful internal records?What are useful internal records? 

 What makes up a marketing intelligenceWhat makes up a marketing intelligence

system? system?

 What are some influential macroWhat are some influential macro

environment developments? environment developments?

How can companies accurately measure How can companies accurately measure

(3)

Chapter Questions

Chapter Questions

 What are the components of a modernWhat are the components of a modern

marketing information system? marketing information system?

 What are useful internal records?What are useful internal records? 

 What makes up a marketing intelligenceWhat makes up a marketing intelligence

system? system?

 What are some influential macroWhat are some influential macro

environment developments? environment developments?

How can companies accurately measure How can companies accurately measure

(4)

What is a

What is a

Marketing Information System?

Marketing Information System?

 A

 A marketing information system

marketing information system

consists of people, equipment, and

consists of people, equipment, and

procedures to gather, sort, analyze,

procedures to gather, sort, analyze,

evaluate, and distribute needed, timely,

evaluate, and distribute needed, timely,

and accurate information to

and accurate information to

marketing decision makers

marketing decision makers

..

(5)
(6)

Table 3.2 Information Needs Probes

 What decisions do you regularly make?

 What information do you need to make these

decisions?

 What information do you regularly get?

 What studies do you periodically request?

 What information would you want that you are

not getting now?

(7)

Internal Records and

Marketing Intelligence

Order-to-payment cycle

Sales information system

Databases, warehousing, data mining

Marketing intelligence system

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(9)

What is a

Marketing Intelligence System?

 A marketing intelligence system is

a set of procedures and sources that

managers use to obtain everyday

information about developments in

the marketing environment.

(10)

Steps to Quality Marketing Intelligence

 Train sales force to scan for new developments  Motivate channel members to share intelligence  Hire external experts to collect intelligence

 Network externally

 Utilize a customer advisory panel  Utilize government data sources

(11)

Sources of Competitive Information

 Independent customer goods and service

review forums

 Distributor or sales agent feedback sites

 Combination sites offering customer reviews

and expert opinions

 Customer complaint sites  Public blogs

(12)

Needs and Trends

Fad

Trend

(13)

Major Forces in the Environment

Demographic

Economic

Socio-cultural

Technological

Political-legal

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Population and Demographics

Population growth

Population age mix

Ethnic markets

Educational groups

Household patterns

(15)

Perspective on the Global

Demographic Environment

(16)

Economic Environment

Consumer Psychology

Income Distribution

(17)

Economic Environment and

Consumer Psychology

(18)

Income Distribution

Subsistence economies

Raw-material-exporting economies

Industrializing economies

(19)

Social-Cultural Environment

 Views of themselves  Views of others  Views of organizations  Views of society  Views of nature

(20)

Table 3.4 Most Popular 

American Leisure Activities

 Reading

 TV Watching

 Spending time with

family  Going to movies  Fishing  Computer activities  Gardening  Renting movies  Walking  Exercise

(21)
(22)

Natural Environment

 Shortage of raw materials  Increased energy costs   Anti-pollution pressures  Governmental protections

(23)

Keys to Avoiding

Green Marketing Myopia

 Consumer Value Positioning

 Calibration of Consumer Knowledge  Credibility of Product Claims

(24)

Consumer Environmental

Segments

 Genuine Greens  Not Me Greens  Go-with-the-Flow Greens  Dream Greens

 Business First Greens  Mean Greens

(25)

Technological Environment

 Pace of change

 Opportunities for innovation  Varying R&D budgets

(26)

The Political-Legal Environment

Business Legislation

(27)

Forecasting and

Demand Measurement

 How can we measure market demand?  Potential market

  Available market  Target market

(28)

A Vocabulary for 

Demand Measurement

Market Demand Market Forecast Market Potential Company Demand

(29)
(30)

Estimating Current Demand:

Total Market Potential

 Calculations

 Multiple potential

number of buyers by average quantity each purchases times price

(31)

Estimating Current Demand:

Area Market Potential

(32)

Estimating Current Demand:

Area Market Potential

(33)

Estimating Future Demand

 Survey of Buyers’ Intentions

 Composite of Sales Force Opinions  Expert Opinion

 Past-Sales Analysis  Market-Test Method

References

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