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SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT PLANNING SERVICES

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SCHOOL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT

PLANNING SERVICES

Montgomery County

Planning Commission

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Planning for Your School’s Future

School districts must continually plan for the future, and the Montgomery County Planning Commission would like to assist in this planning. Recent fluctuations in the housing market and economy have presented districts with new challenges as they face tough decisions concerning facilities and the needs of their present and future students. We offer enrollment projection services that can help you plan for the future.

Souderton Boyertown North Penn Spring-Ford Methacton Colonial Upper Perkiomen Perkiomen Valley Wissahickon Lower Merion Abington Norristown Pottsgrove Upper Merion Upper Dublin Hatboro-Horsham Cheltenham Springfield Upper Moreland Pottstown Lower Moreland Jenkintown

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Philadelphia Schuylkill R iver ß® ¶476 ß® ¶276 ß® ¶76 £ §422 £ §202 ß® ¶476 309 611 100 663 29 73 29 73

Total Enrollment Percent Change

Less Than -5 % -5 % to 0 % 0 % to 5 % 5 % to 10 % Greater Than 10%

Percent Change in Enrollment by School District, 2009 - 2018

Percent Change in Enrollment by School District, 2009-2018

Abington School District Cheltenham School District Colonial School District

Hatboro-Horsham School District Lower Merion School District

Lower Moreland Township School District North Penn School District

Perkiomen Valley School District School District of Springfield Township Souderton Area School District Upper Dublin School District Upper Merion Area School District Upper Perkiomen School District Wissahickon School District

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Enrollment Projection Services

The best decisions can only be made using the best data and analysis. MCPC excels at this and can provide an in-depth analysis of the trends in specific populations that will affect future enrollment needs for your district. Areas of concentration for enrollment projections include:

X Population Characteristics—Age and Household Types

X Housing Activity—Proposals, Construction, and Sales Patterns

X Birth Patterns—By School Calendar Year

X Other Specific Impacts on Future Enrollments—Including Impacts from

Non-Public Schools, Multifamily Apartment Developments, Housing Sales Activity, Fertility Rates, and Migration

Front cover left to right: School Athletic Fields, Pottstown • Cole Manor Elementary School East Norriton • Lower Merion High School • Upper Dublin High School

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Comprehensive Report and Presentation

MCPC will produce a comprehensive report with recommended projections for district enrollments over the next ten years. The report will provide concise explanations of what is happening in the district’s communities and what it means for the future. We will utilize GIS mapping to provide locational context and neighborhood-level activity.

Each individual school within the district will be analyzed to help understand its needs and realities. MCPC’s unique position as a county agency, in conjunction with our continuing series of annual reports on housing and demographic changes, assures your study will be conducted using the most precise information available. As part of our professional services, we will present the study results to district board members and the public. MCPC also offers an update service, which revisits studies on an annual basis to identify shifting trends when they happen.

District wide Enrollment Projection Summary

Year

Option A Option B Total

Students ChangeAnnual StudentsTotal ChangeAnnual 2016-17 (Actual) 8,382 8,382   2017-18 8,552 170 8,520 138 2018-19 8,731 179 8,659 139 2019-20 8,839 108 8,724 65 2020-21 9,037 198 8,874 150 2021-22 9,209 172 9,003 129 2022-23 9,345 136 9,096 93 2023-24 9,388 43 9,092 -4 2024-25 9,412 24 9,072 -20 2025-26 9,415 3 9,033 -39 2026-27 9,424 9 8,999 -34 Total Change 2016-2026 1,042 617 

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Preserving our high quality of life

Contact: Daniel R. Farina Jr.

Senior County Planner 610-278-3728

[email protected]

Expertise

As a leader of planning in Montgomery County, we are committed to helping our communities build sustainable futures. We achieve this through our comprehensive understanding of the county and the extensive expertise of our accomplished staff. MCPC keeps its finger on the pulse of Montgomery County by conducting ongoing planning and data analysis activities. We study development trends at county and municipal levels through annual reports on housing construction, housing sales, and nonresidential construction. We review all development proposals submitted in the county. Our staff is highly experienced with detailed demographic analysis and the use of geographic information systems (GIS) to better understand and illustrate the changes occurring in our communities.

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Montgomery County Board of Commissioners

Valerie A. Arkoosh, MD, MPH, Chair Kenneth E. Lawrence, Jr., Vice Chair

Joseph C. Gale, Commissioner

Montgomery County Planning Commission Board Members

Steven Kline, Chair Dulcie F. Flaharty, Vice Chair

Obed Arango Robert E. Blue, Jr., P.E., P.L.S.

Jill Blumhardt John J. Ernst, AIA Nicole R. Kline-Elsier, P.E., PTOE

Jonathan E. Rinde, Esq. Charles J. Tornetta

Montgomery County Planning Commission Management

Scott France, AICP, Executive Director

Matthew Edmond, AICP, Section Chief: Transportation Planning Anne Leavitt-Gruberger, AICP, Section Chief: County Planning & GIS Pattie E. B. Guttenplan, RLA, AICP, Section Chief: Design Planning & Graphic Design

Bill Hartman, PLA, Section Chief: Trails & Open Space Planning R. Eric Jarrell, Section Chief: Community Planning Drew Shaw, AICP, Section Chief: Environmental Planning

www.montcopa.org/planning

PO Box 311 • Norristown, PA 19404-0311

References

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