Think Tank of Deutsche Bank Group
Project-economy approaches of
Higher Education Institutions…
… for more prosperous and purposeful regional development
Dr. Ingo Rollwagen
Senior Analyst
Higher Education in Regional and City Development:
For Fairer, Stronger and Cleaner regions
OECD Conference
February 10
th, 2011
We…
…provide foresight for Deutsche
Bank and its clients´ strategy
development and decision-making
…analyze the economic, social,
political & technological environments
– … with a long-term, “glocal” perspective
– … in an interdisciplinary manner
– … using a broad spectrum of concepts
and tools
…especially covering
knowledge-based and intellectual value-creation
activities – education & training as
emerging sectors of value creation
DB Research provides foresight
Directed prognoses
Alternative futures
Qualitative
analyses
Quantitative
analyses
Regression based forecasts Trend projection Scenario analysis GDP risk models Short-term GDP forecast tool Systematic societal analysis Long-term GDP forecast toolDBR’s dynamics map to understand structural changes
Opening of work and society Process virtuali- sation in net- works Global networking in business and politicsGrowing scarcity of natural resources Lengthening of life span Conquest of smallest structures Fragmentation in societies Growing strength of emerging markets
Change in business culture
and value creation patterns Differentiation in
consumption
Criminalisation Development of
the knowledge base
Shaping the politico-legal framework
Tapping the social potential
Dynamic (future development uncertain) Core dynamic (future development uncertain) Trend dynamic (future development predictable)
Structural change – Change of the nature of value-creation
processes & structures
Growing strength of emerging markets
China and India grow hugely in importance
Emerging markets gain increasing importance Growing international
economic imbalance Growing scarcity of
natural resources Climate change Environmental protection Environmental awareness Environmental services Shortage of high-quality water
From farmer to energy supplier Energy diversification Depletion of fossil fuels
Depletion of production-critical raw materials More regenerative energies Conquest of smallest structures
Convergence of R&D fields
Biotechnology Micro and nano technology
Global networking in business and politics
Services across borders
Stronger differentiation of international division of labour Presence of foreign service providers
Transnational companies gain increasing importance Concentration of companies
into global industries
Global institutions gain more influence More international
coordination Markets deregulated at the national level
Fragmentation in societies Pluralisation of values Diverging incomes Differentiation in mobility More flexible time management Changed lifestyles, family structures
Gulf in skill levels More religiosity Polarisation children vs. no children New affinities Lengthening Life span Health / body consciousness Sport a growth market Food quality
Healthcare sector grows Body tech
Economisation of the healthcare sector Medical care Ageing populations Opening of work and society Growing urbanisation
Labour migration increases
More flexible career paths
Women gain more importance in employment Process- virtuali- sation in net-works Rising interactivity in media consumption Spending on communication Virtualisation of organisational and market processes e-disintermediation Processor / memory capacity Integration of networks and databases Electronic networks more
pervasive and better
Grid computing Ambient intelligence Broadband infrastructures Always on
More risky
More ´glocal´
More specialized
& creative
More collaborative/
frequently with
customers/partners
Faster/temporally more
flexible
…more glocal
…smarter; more specialized
…be more open; intensify local and global
partnering
Value-creation activities
getting…
… develop a more broad temporal
repertoire with mid & long-term view
…collaboratively; more frequently
with partners, peers & citizens
…more temporally flexible/faster
… more risky
Regions/Cities should…
…foster smarter infrastructures concerning
information, mobility of goods and people,
health, buildings & creativity
… foster financial resilience, financial literacy
& entrepreneurship
…develop more open governance structures
for more open innovation with more
partners and innosumers
Page 5
…Higher Education Institutions (HEIs) also challenged
by structural change
Field
Dynamics
1. Institutional and regulatory
settings
Global reach and local requirements – Integration of
research activities and education of HEIs required
More autonomy for higher education institutions
More private institutions & universities of applied sciences
More structured governance parameters and institutions
Races to excellence on a regional, national and
international basis – other degree structures emerging
More diversified sources of income – third-party funds
more important
2. Faculty
More faculty and administrative personnel
to cope with the expansion in higher education
3. Learners/Students
More and other (adult) students
4. “Educational products”
Curricular changes – convergence and integration of more
specialized bodies of knowledge
Other, new forms of learning being developed – education
technology & software as an innovation field
If challenges are ahead, collaboration gains ground…
Project-economy approaches of Higher Education
Institutions & regions for more prosperous development
For regions/cities becoming… HEIs and regions together start to…
…fairer/more equitable
…build up more intellectual capital to counter the scarcity of
skilled personnel in innovative fields (like e-mobility, health)
…provide more personalization – improving access, equity and
quality for more and other (adult) prospective students
…more attractive
intensify networking to profile cities as “higher education cities”
making them more attractive (e.g. German National Association
for Student Affairs, German association of cities and German
Rectors conference)
…smarter
…more sustainable/greener
..more innovative, explorative
…form consortia, develop business models and engage in
third-party research and application projects for field testing new
mobility solutions integrating lead users (innosumers) and
facilitating social acceptance by service learning activities
enhance the potential of educational processes with integrated
educational products based on the development of electric
mobility-solutions and more campus-management (e.g. smart
wheels project)
The complementarities of challenges and the definition of goals and time
horizons have been important to form `expeditions` of heterogeneous actors:
Cities challenged to be more sustainable – economically and ecologically; HEIs challenged to develop
new knowledge and curricula; companies anticipating skilled personnel shortages
Project-economy approaches have been driven by pioneers and peers,
companies as promoters and financiers have been important
The local context, social capital and the embeddedness matters
The set-up of consortia for projects, partnerships, platforms and alliances and
the definition of legal and operational details as well as the task division within
these have been facilitated by peer-effects
HEIs are mainly in the role of the supplier of knowledge and research-based
consulting for other players
The nature of third-party and project funding for HEIs tends to behold
relatively short-term orientations, continuity still lacks in many projects
Reflections on existing initiatives of project-economy
approaches for more prosperous regions
Project-economy approaches of Higher Education
Institutions & regions for more prosperous
development…still a frontier/room for improvement
For regions/cities becoming… HEIs and regions together could think of…
…more prosperous
(economically)
…setting up more local interregional/international projects
…partnering for using synergies of research organizations & HEIs
…consistently profiling their regions with peers from industry
…providing more perspectives with new forms of science-industry
collaboration, venturing activities and employment (e.g. MaRS
discovery centre Toronto)
…stronger/more financially
resilient
…experimenting with new financial solutions for integrating more
different actors leveraging investments & sharing financial burden
experimenting with new forms of taxation, technology transfer and
entrepreneurship schemes
…smarter
…supporting and professionalizing the development of local
governance structures and local decision-making by training
(learning journeys)
…more innovative,
explorative
co-developing of new technologies and new applications and
solutions in sustained partnerships
Outlook – Challenges to make regions and HEIs more prosperous (1)
Products
– More differentiated “products” – more combinations of tangible goods and intangible products,
so-called hybrid products and integrated service solutions of regions and HEIs needed especially
when it is about smarter infrastructures
Paradigms
– More work on paradigms and the standardization of technologies and practices, platforms &
applications needed
Pricing
– More differentiated pricing and gain-sharing arrangements and forms of employment needed
Persons
– More subtle educational products and courses needed to re- and up-skill more people in coming to
grips with innovative solutions; more projects for integrating consumers needed transforming them
into “innosumers” who co-create & use services also for conspicuous consumption
Pioneers and promoters
– More support and new forms of employment and institutional schemes needed for pioneers and
promoters/entrepreneurs in HEIs and regional settings
Outlook – Challenges to make regions and HEIs more prosperous (1)
Projects/Partnerships/ Peers/Partners and Platforms
– Many more explorative development & implementation projects needed
– More structured partnerships with more heterogeneous partners and peers from industry needed
– Management of multi-project setting, programs, partnerships and platforms, also in modified forms
of sustained collaboration (alliances, joint ventures...) needed
– Platforms and other forms of institutionalization needed — not always centers instituted
IN
the HEI,
but structures with an own business model and sound structures for managing projects providing a
platform, finance, contacts, centers (e.g. MaRS)
Processes
– More continuous processes with follow-up projects and sustained impetus needed
– More open processes, more integration of other communities needed
– More accountability measures and efficiency considerations needed in processes
Purposes/Parameters/
P
erformance (Indication/measurement)
– Non-profit, not-for-profit, for-profit activities need to be increasingly mixed to diversify revenue
streams in regional project settings
Thank you for your attention!
Looking forward to your remarks and questions!
Further questions:
ingo.rollwagen@db.com
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Cases
Smart wheels project for developing
intelligent electro-mobility solutions for the
model region Aachen
: consortium of
FEV Motorentechnik GmbH, RWTH
Aachen (Forschungsinstitut für Rationalisierung (FIR),
Forschungsgemeinschaft für Elektrische Anlagen und Stromwirtschaft e.V.
(FGH), Institut für Hochspannungstechnik (IFHT), Institut für Kraftfahrzeuge
(ika), Institut für Stromrichtertechnik und Elektrische Antriebe (ISEA), Lehrstuhl
für Verbrennungskraftmaschinen (VKA)), MENNEKES Elektrotechnik GmbH &
Co KG, regio iT aachen Gesellschaft für Informationstechnologie mbH,
Stadtwerke Aachen Aktiengesellschaft
, InnoZ
TU (Technical University of Berlin) for field tests of electromobility solutions
„Higher education Cities“ of the
German National Association for Student
Affairs, German association of cities and German Rectors conference