New York City Office Market Report,
First Quarter 2013
©2013 NAI Global
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Q1 - 2013
New York City Office Market Report,
First Quarter 2013
OFFICE MARKET # BLDGS. TOTAL RBA DIRECT SUBLET TOTAL TOTAL AVERAGE UNDER (SF) AVAILABLE (%) AVAILABLE (%) AVAILABLE (%) RATE ($/SF/YR) CONSTRUCTION (SF)
MIDTOWN
Columbus Circle 88 31,272,819 6.7% 5.0% 11.7% $57.31 1,052,150
Grand Central 123 51,865,135 11.9% 3.2% 15.1% $60.78 -
Murray Hill 65 12,011,232 5.9% 2.0% 7.9% $41.62 -
Penn Plaza / Garment District 151 48,213,487 11.4% 1.9% 13.3% $44.53
Plaza District 313 82,830,967 9.7% 2.7% 12.4% $70.81 - Times Square 114 44,322,444 10.2% 2.0% 12.2% $63.37 717,000 UN Plaza 17 3,555,940 3.5% 0.1% 3.6% $50.79 -
MIDTOWN TOTAL
882 274,072,024 9.9% 2.7% 12.6% $60.01 1,769,150MIDTOWN SOUTH
Chelsea 156 23,449,265 8.0% 0.8% 8.8% $49.89 106,844 Gramercy Park 136 21,849,532 6.6% 1.0% 7.6% $54.66 -Greenwich Village 47 4,843,558 11.9% 3.3% 15.2% $51.32 400,000 Hudson Square 32 9,328,366 5.4% 1.6% 7.0% $52.69 - SoHo 120 6,500,671 5.7% 1.6% 7.3% $57.38 42,000MIDTOWN SOUTH
491 65,971,392 7.2% 1.2% 8.5% $52.70 548,844TOTAL
DOWNTOWN
City Hall 61 6,029,622 4.7% 0.4% 5.1% $39.47 - Financial District 59 39,944,504 14.8% 1.8% 16.6% $40.16 - Insurance District 36 1,305,762 10.5% 0.7% 11.2% $37.18 - Tribeca 27 7,513,325 5.1% 3.0% 8.1% $47.49 -World Trade Center 34 24,533,674 20.7% 2.0% 22.7% $38.66 8,265,630
DOWNTOWN TOTAL
217 88,811,592 14.4% 1.7% 16.9% $39.25 8,265,630Midtown Total 882 274,072,024 9.9% 2.7% 12.6% $60.01 1,769,150
Midtown South Total 491 65,971,392 7.2% 1.2% 8.5% $52.70 548,844
Downtown Total 217 88,811,592 14.5% 1.7% 16.2% $39.85 8,265,630
In the first quarter of 2012, Manhattan was surprised to see the decline of overall asking rents in Midtown. A decline has not been seen since Q1 2010. Then Manhattan watched closely as the price rose from $58.97, ending the year at $59.79. Now, a year later, NYC ends Q1 with an average asking rent of $60.01.
Midtown leasing activity ended 2012 with a grave disappointment, having zero leases that were above 100,000 SF; however, 2013 started off with a boom. Midtown closed Q1 with the most lease trans-actions above 100,000 SF, totaling approximately 1.2 million SF. The largest lease for Midtown was a renewal for Macy’s at 11 Penn Plaza for 646,000 SF. The two largest to follow were for 230,000 SF of office space at 11 Times Square for Microsoft and 157,000 SF for Univision Communications Inc. at 605 Third Avenue.
The largest sale transaction in Midtown for Q1 was a Private Investor’s purchase of 232-236 East 59th Street for a total of $34 million. East End Capital and Kushner Companies’ transaction ranked as the second largest sale for Midtown. $95,000,000 was paid for the purchase of 321 West 44th Street. The next largest transaction to follow was a Private Investor’s purchase of 920 Broadway for 204,000 SF at the price of $87.5 million.
Significant Leasing Activity
Tenant: Address: Size: Submarket:
Macy’s (renewal) 11 Penn Plaza 646,000 SF Penn Plaza
Microsoft 11 Times Square 230,000 SF Times Square
Univision Communications Inc. 605 Third Avenue 157,000 SF Grand Central Jefferies Group Inc. 520 Madison Avenue 133,000 SF Plaza District Hp Girlswear/BB Active 100 West 33rd Street 61,916 SF Penn Plaza
Significant Building Sales
Address: Size: Price:* Price (PSF):* Buyer: Seller:
232-236 East 59th Street 47,000 $34,000,000 $723.40 Private Investor 232 Battaglia Realty, LLC 321 West 44th Street 228,268 $95,000,000 $416.20 East End Capital Kushner Companies
920 Broadway / 9 East 38th Street 204,000 $87,500,000 $429 Private Investor Yeshiva University
311-319 West 43rd Street N/A $62,400,000 N/A Atlas Capital Zubarry Associates
v
Manhattan
Overview
OVERVIEW:
The Manhattan office transaction volume for Q1 ended
with more than 3.6 million SF. After a dramatic decrease
in Q3 2012, NYC’s net absorption continued to stay
posi-tive throughout Q4 2012 and Q1 2013 at 702,647 SF. There
was a spike in construction from 10,445,280 ending Q1 at
10,583,624. Asking rents and overall vacancy continue to
remain consistent throughout Manhattan.
The relative lack of leasing activity is largely a result of
finan-cial services firms delaying leasing decisions due to
continu-ing concerns over the European debt crisis and the U.S. tax,
deficit and regulatory policies. Hurricane Sandy has also
taken a huge plunge into NYC Real Estate. Many landlords
are facing challenges going forward to secure their
proper-ties and many of these changes may result in higher rents.
This sector comprises approximately a quarter of
Manhat-tan’s total office tenancy, and is the driving market force for
large blocks of space in Midtown and Downtown.
Leasing activity was dominated by a large lease renewal
tak-ing place in Midtown. This transaction was for 646,000 SF at
11 Penn Plaza. The Tenant involved in the renewal
was Macy’s. Larger leases to follow were well above 100,000
SF. These included a lease by Microsoft for 230,000 SF
lo-cated at 11 Times Square and a lease by Harper Collins for
180,000 SF located at 195 Broadway; both leases were for
office space.
New York City’s labor statistics present a mixed picture for
the city. The unemployment rate has slightly increased,
end-ing at 9.9% in Q1. However, the proposed expansion of
Chel-sea Market has been approved. This project is predicted to
create more than 1,200 long-term jobs as well as 600
con-struction jobs. This project will also allow for a positive
eco-nomic boost for NYC.
Manhattan is the toughest real estate market in the world
and a lot of it is from its retail success. The constant arrival
of tourists has pushed retail sales in the city far higher than in
the rest of the state and country. New York City has the
loca-tion and the drive to improve its economy. The market is and
will remain fiercely competitive for the next few years. This
is due to longer leases and not enough inventories to offer.
Investment sales activity was dominated by the Midtown
South market in Q1. Totaling well above $700 million in
sales, there were three in Midtown South that stood out; 450
West 15th Street, 550 Washington Street and 24 & 28 West
25th Street. Midtown and Downtown’s largest sales pulled a
combined total of approximately $400 million. From
watch-TRENDS:
Vacancy
Net Absorption
Construction
Asking Rents
Unemployment Rate
11% 12% 13% 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 Overall Vacancy (%)
Overall Vacanacy %
Total Avg Rate ($/SF/yr)
Net Absorption (in thousands SF)
NYC Unemployment Rate (%)
-1500 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 $48.00 $50.00 $52.00 $54.00 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Total Avg Rate ($/sf/yr)
6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 3Q11 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12
NYC Unemployment Rate
Midtown
Overview
Vacancy
Net Absorption
Construction
Asking Rents
Overall Vacanacy %
Net Absorption (in thousands SF)
Total Avg Rate ($/SF/yr)
11% 12% 13% 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 Overall Vacancy (%) -800 -600 -400 -200 0 200 400 600 800 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 $58.40 $58.60 $58.80 $59.00 $59.20 $59.40 $59.60 $59.80 $60.00 $60.20 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Downtown
Overview
24 & 28 West 25th Street 250,000 $115,000,000 $460 Private Investor Yeshiva University
6% 8% 10% 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 Overall Vacancy (%) -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 $40.00 $42.00 $44.00 $46.00 $48.00 $50.00 $52.00 $54.00 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Total Avg Rate ($/sf/yr)
Significant Leasing Activity
Tenant: Address: Size: Submarket:
Adidas 435 Hudson Street 152,200 SF Hudson Square
Google Chelsea Market 90,000 SF Chelsea
SAE Institute 218 West 18th Street 27,000 SF Chelsea
Michael Kors 520 Broadway 15,000 SF SoHo
Rebecca Minkoff 16 West 22nd Street 13,000 SF Chelsea
Significant Building Sales
Address: Size: Price:* Price (PSF):* Buyer: Seller:
450 West 15th Street 325,000 $284,000,000 $874 Jamestown Properties Stellar Management 550 Washington Street 1,281,000 $250,000,000 $195.16 Fortress Investment Group Eugene Grant
Midtown South, always finishing strong, has experienced a slight upsurge this
quarter with an overall market size of 65,971,392 SF. Net absorption has remained
the exact same since Q4 holding at (87,706) SF. The submarket’s overall vacancy
remained flat. Average asking rents continued to slightly rise, going from $52.01
to $52.70. The SoHo district still remains one of the more active districts in this
submarket; however, three of the largest lease deals took place in Chelsea.
Adidas signed a lease in Midtown South allowing it to take on the largest
amount of SF for the quarter. The lease covers 152,200 SF at 435
Hudson Street in Hudson Square. Other significant leases were in
Chelsea, where Google signed a lease in the Chelsea
Market for 90,000 SF. SAE Institute, a school focusing on the
careers in the audio industry, signed a lease for 27,000 SF at 218
West 18th Street.
Midtown South’s largest sale transaction was completed by
Jamestown Properties in the purchase of 450 West 15th
Street, totaling 325,000 SF for the price of $284 million
or $874 PSF. Fortress Investment Group purchased
550 Washington Street for $250,000,000 or $195 PSF.
Another major deal for Midtown South includes the
purchase of 24 & 28 West 25th Street by a Private
Investor from Yeshiva University. This transaction
was for 250,000 SF for a total of $115 million or
$460 PSF.
Midtown South
Overview
Vacancy
Net Absorption
Construction
Asking Rents
Overall Vacanacy %
Overall Vacanacy %
Net Absorption (in thousands SF)
Net Absorption (in thousands
SF)
Total Avg Rate ($/SF/yr)
Total Avg Rate ($/SF/yr)
Significant Leasing Activity
Tenant: Address: Size: Submarket: Harper Collins 195 Broadway 180,000 SF World Trade Center Transatlantic Reinsurance Company 1 Liberty Plaza 134,000 SF World Trade Center Liberty Mutual 55 Water Street 120,000 SF Financial District GFK Market Research 1 World Financial Center 75,000 SF Financial District American Arbitration Associates 120 Broadway 53,514 SF Financial District
Significant Building Sales
Address: Size: Price:* Price (PSF):* Buyer: Seller: 13-17 Laight Street 80,000 $56,000,000 $700 Mazda Realty Associates Private Investor 26-130 Delancy Street 22,875 $21,000,000 $918 Private Investor Private Investor
Downtown’s average asking rent has continued to remain flat at $39.85,
keeping rents well above the $35.62 SF rate reported just three years
ago. The overall market size has remained steady as well at a total of
88,811,592 SF. Downtown’s net absorption continues to remain positive
going on for its seventh consecutive quarter.
The largest lease for this submarket was signed by Harper Collins of
180,000 SF at 195 Broadway. Other major leases included a signing by
Transatlantic Reinsurance Company for 1 Liberty Plaza for 134,000 SF of
space and Liberty Mutual for 55 Water Street for 120,000 SF of space.
Leases to follow involved a lease signed by GFK Market Research for 1
World Financial Center for 75,000 SF and American Arbitration Associates
for 120 Broadway for 53,514 SF. Three of the leases took place in the
Financial District.
Looking into the investment sales for Downtown, the largest transaction
that took place was for 13-17 Laight Street for 80,000 SF. This transaction
totaled $56,000,000 or $700 PSF. A Private Investor’s purchase of
126-130 Delancy Street was the second largest transaction in this submarket.
The property totaled 22,875 SF valued at $21 million or $918 PSF.
14% 16% 18% 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 Overall Vacancy (%) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 $37.00 $37.50 $38.00 $38.50 $39.00 $39.50 $40.00 4Q11 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13
Total Avg Rate ($/sf/yr)
Vacancy
Net Absorption
Construction
Over 350 Offices
Covering the World
Methodology
We have divided Manhattan into three markets: Midtown, Midtown South and Downtown. These markets
have been separated into the following submarkets: Columbus Circle, Murray Hill, UN Plaza, Times Square,
Grand Central, Greenwich Village, Hudson Square, Soho, Tribeca, Plaza, Penn Plaza, Chelsea, Gramercy
Park, Financial/World Trade Center and Insurance/City Hall.
Summary
Glossary
Average Asking Rental Rate –
Quoted asking rental
rates, given on a per-square-foot per-year basis and
provided as a weighted average by the amount of
square footage available for direct vacancy space.
Direct Vacancy –
Space currently available in the
market for lease directly with the landlord or building
owner.
Market Size –
Includes all existing and under
construction office buildings (office, office condo, office
loft, office medical, all classes and all sizes, both
multi-tenant and single-multi-tenant, including owner-occupied
buildings) within each market.
Net Absorption –
Net Absorption measures the total
amount of square feet leased over a period of time
minus the space that is vacated during the same period.
Overall Market Vacancy –
Direct and sublease space
available for lease in the market divided by the market
size.
Overall Vacancy –
All available lease space, either direct
or sublease.
SF/PSF –
Square foot/per square foot, used as a unit of
measurement.
Sublease –
Arrangement in which a tenant leases rental
property to another, and the tenant becomes the
landlord to the subtenant.
Sublease Vacancy –
Space currently available in the
market for sublease with an existing tenant within a
building acting as the landlord.
QTD –
Quarter to date. The latest information available.
YTD –
Year to Date. The latest information available.
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Midtown
•12.6% Vacancy Rate• $60.01 SF/YR Avg. Rental
Downtown
•16.1% Vacancy Rate
• $39.85 SF/YR Avg. Rental
Midtown South
•8.5% Vacancy Rate