1
Cattolica GroupCattolica Group:
Growth and Value Mix
Italian Investment Seminar
Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein
and Borsa Italiana
Frankfurt, 28 September 2005
2
Cattolica GroupAgenda
Cattolica Group at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H 2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
Attachments
Agenda
Cattolica Group at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H 2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
Attachments
4
Cattolica Group
The Parent Company is a co-operative legal-entity structure, operating in life
and non-life businesses
Today the Group is made by
22 companies,
among which there are
14
insurance companies
Insurance companies
, other than the Parent Company, are:
•
8 operating in life business
(Duomo Previdenza, Risparmio & Previdenza,
BPV Vita, Lombarda Vita, Eurosav, Axa-Cattolica Previdenza in Azienda,
San Miniato Previdenza, UniOne Vita)
•
5 operating in non-life business
(Il Duomo Assicurazioni, Verona
Assicurazioni, Cattolica Aziende, Tua Assicurazioni, UniOne Assicurazioni)
Other Group companies are
two real-estate companies, four service
companies, one asset management company and one retail-brokerage
(Fas) company
1896
1976
BIRTH
CONS.
GROUP DEVELOPMENT
1994
2000
2002 2003
2004
‘98
‘95 ‘97
Cattolica Group history’s key points
HISTORICAL PHASES
2001
Cattolica Group Evolution
2005
Listing
November6
Cattolica Group 525 756 1,053 1,267 1,392 917 2,012 2,298 2,464 2,820 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003Development of consolidated premiums
1,442
2,768
3,351
3,731
4,212
2004
1,420
3,197
4,617
Gross Consolidated Premiums
Direct and indirect business
(1999 - 2003; Euro mn)
2004 Result
73%
64%
69%
66%
67%
Non-life
Life
Breakdown27%
36%
31%
34%
33%
Life
Non-life
(*)69%
31%
CAGR
99/04
26%
26%
(*) With the inclusion of indirect business (**) Only direct business
2007E
2,010
3,499
5,510
64%
36%
2007 Target
28%
28%
22%
22%
CAGR
04/07
6%
6%
3%
3%
12%
12%
+9.6%
+9.6%
+13
.4%
+13
.4%
+2.5%
**+2.5%
** Change % 2004/ 2003 MKT10% MKT13% MKT6%Group Market Share trend
Group Market Share
(2002 - 2004; Italian direct business)Sources: Estimates on Cattolica Group reports and ANIA data
3.8%
4.0%
4.0%
4.5%
4.5%
4.9%
4.2%
4.3%
4.5%
2002 2003 2004Non-life Life Total market share
2004
•
FonSAI
•
Generali
•
Allianz
•
Unipol
•
Toro
•
R. Mutua
•
Cattolica
•
Zurich
•
Axa Italia
•
Sara
•
Generali
•
Allianz
•
AIP
•
Unipol
•
Poste V.
•
Cattolica
•
Aviva
•
FonSAI
•
MPS
•
Mediolan.
•
Generali
•
Allianz
•
Unipol
•
FonSAI
•
AIP
•
Cattolica
•
Poste V.
•
Aviva
•
Toro
•
MPS
Non-life
Life
Total
7
6
6
5 th
traditional
insurance
Italian Group
8
Cattolica Group
Business mix: Cattolica Group and the Market
MARKET 31.12.2004
CATTOLICA GROUP 31.12.2004
Non-Life
35%
Non-Life
30.4%
Life
65%
Life
69.6%
Total
Total
Non-Life
Life
Non-Life
Life
Motor
59.9%
Others
40.1%
Motor
60.1%
Others
39.9%
Index e Unit
37.7%
Traditional
62.3%
Traditional
43.3%
Index e Unit
56.7%
Technical profitability
Non-life combined ratio trend
(1999 - 2003; %)
2004 Result
2007 Target
94.5%
2007E
97.5%
2004
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
104.2%
98.9%
101.3%
98.5%
100.6%
10
Cattolica Group
Development of consolidated technical results
Non-life business
12
(Euro mn)30
Life business
2003
58
(Euro mn)59
Change % 2003-2004Total technical result
(Euro mn)
2003
2004
71
89
2003
2004
2007E
93
170
2003
2004
2007E
77
+24%
+24%
+46%
+46%
+9%
+9%
CAGR 04/072007E
+1
48
%
+1
48
%
+1%
+1%
+26
%
+26
%
Development of consolidated net profit
Consolidated net profit 1999-2003
( Euro mn)
26
47
53
63
125
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Group net profit (*)25
44
46
57
116
2004
150
136
2004 Result
CAGR
99/04
2007 Target
CAGR
04/07
2007E
176
162
42%
42%
5,5%
5,5%
+19
.6%
+19
.6%
40%
40%
6%
6%
+17.1%
+17.1%
12
Cattolica Group
Agenda
Cattolica Group at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H 2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
Market scenario
Integration (M&A)
processes and
rationalization
and
concentration
in holding structures
Financial market recovery
expectations, and the resulting impact on the companies’ asset and
financial management
Progressive
improvement of technical management
, through
cost reduction
and
portfolio
selection
policies
Strengthening existing channels
and consolidating new distribution models
Customer need for
simplicity
and
transparency
, and an increasing
demand for consultancy
General overview and trends
Increase
in the
Life market growth
rate
Finalisation of Italian
pension reform
Pressure for
greater transparency of life product costs
P&C
is set to remain a
low growth
but highly
profitable
business
Motor business
: flat or slightly increasing tariffs and stable claim frequency.
Non- motor segments
will sustain the overall growth of the P&C sector
Non-life business
14
Cattolica Group
Mission and strategic objectives continued
Architettura industriale focalizzata,
integrata e aperta
Crescita
organica
Crescita
per linee
esterne
sul core business assicurativo,
proseguendo nel consolidamento dei business
attuali ed avviando nuovi percorsi di crescita
Focus integrated, open
Industrial architecture
Crescita
organica
Organic
growth
Crescita
per linee
esterne
External
growth
STRATEGIC PATHS
MISSION
Consolidate the
insurance
business model
Integrated
development of
financial services
Service
centralisation and
cost optimization
Strengthen
controllership
Develop current
business
Develop new
markets, products,
channels
Accelerate
development
Strategic objectives
… focus on insurance core business, consolidating
current businesses and implementing new growth
strategies through flexible development methods
Organic growth:
multi-channel development
BUSINESS/SERVICE
LINES
Tied agents
Banks
Brokers
Other channels
CHANNELS
Non-Life
Life
Financial
services and
asset
management
• Agency
network
develop-ment
• Product
and
channel
innova-tion
(TUA)
• Retail
segment
• Selective
corporate
expansion
• Focus on
profitability
• Penetration
on preferred
segments
• Social
security
• Expansion of parent
company units for
direct assumption of
corporate risks
• Private retail segment
• Standard products
• JV with BPVN and other
business/ partnerships
agreements (
OnLine
Division)
• “Flexible” confirmation of
the JV model
• Protection/development
of strategic commercial
contracts
• Product and segment
innovation
• Re-launch of
Cattolica
Aziende
• Focus
and
selection
of middle
size,
high-
contribu-tion
brokers
•
Axa-Cattolica
• Middle
company
segment
(B2B2E)
• Direct channel for
corporate contracts
• Development of
“preferred
multi-mandatory” distribution
• FAs working inside
agencies: Cattolica
Investimenti SIM
• Cross-selling at sales
outlets
• Banking partnerships
to increase multi-bank
financial products with
specific proprietary
brands
• Development of Cattolica Investimenti SIM model
• Institutional Asset management: Verona Gestioni
16
Cattolica Group
Agenda
Cattolica at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H 2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
Development of dividend per share
2000 2001 2002 2003 Pay-out(Euro mln) Other indicators 30 43 480.70
1.00
1.00
1.02
Dividend per share
(1999-2003; Euro)
0.78
0.22
Dividend yield(*) 2.28% 3.60% 4.59% 3.50% 43(**) Extraordinary dividend1 free share for every 10 1999
0.62
17 n.a.Dividend 2004
2004
1.35
64.,0 3.75%(***)Cattolica dividend policy is consistent with the 3-year plan value creation program
+32
,4%
+32
,4%
CAGR
99/04
17%
17%
30%
30%
18
Cattolica Group
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Growth and Value Performance
Focus on
Growth
Focus on
Growth
Focus on
Value
Focus on
Value
Index value = 1
BUSINESS
PLAN 2005|2007
Business Plan
2005-2007 estimates a
balanced mix of growth
and value for the next
3 years
Index focused on growth and value performance
Index=Consolidated premiums/Group net profit (1995-2007E)
Listing
More focus on VALUE in combination with
Cattolica stock performance in 2005
PERFORMANCE 2005
as at 20 September 2005
Cattolica
+22.6%
MIB INS.
Mibtel
S&P/MIB
+12.6%
+11.5%
+7.5%
Change % 01/01/2005-20/09/2005 01/01/2005 Cattolica S&P/MIB MIB INS. MIBTEL20/09/2005
Stock performance in comparison
with the main indexes
20
Cattolica Group
Agenda
Cattolica at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
1H 2005 Results at a glance
All figures compare 1H 2005 with 1H 2004
The validity of Cattolica 3-year-plan strategy is confirmed
b y 1
st
half 2005 results:
Increase of
consolidated net profit
up 11.9% to
€
66 million
and of
Group net profit
up 3.7% to
€
56 million
Premiums growth
up 14.7% to
€
2,768 million; significant
development in life premiums: + 21% to
€
2.015 million
Continued core business profitability:
technical
performance
+ 30.8% to
€
51 million; non-life technical result
up 240% to
€
17 million; consolidation of life technical result
Group
combined ratio
down from 99.28% in 1H 2004 to
97.41%
22
Cattolica Group
1H 2005 Key numbers
(1) Net of taxes and minority interests
Legend:
Technical Result
Technical Result
5 17 34 34 1H 2004 1H 2005 39 30.8% 30.8% 51 Non-life Life Figures in€ mln Change 1H04-1H 05 54 56 1H 2004 1H 2005 3.7% 3.7%Net profit
(1)Net profit
(1) 14,432 17,157 1H 2004 1H 2005 18.9% 18.9%Technical Reserves
Technical Reserves
Gross Premiums
Gross Premiums
1.666 753 748 2,015 1H 2004 1H 2005 2,414 2,768 14.7% 14.7% Non-life Life 99.28% 97.41% 1H 2004 1H 2005Non-life combined ratio
Non-life combined ratio
Net ordinary result
Net ordinary result
64
94
1H 2004 1H 2005
46,9%
Development of Group’s multichannel network
Agencies
n. 546 918 974 1,024 1,049 1,092 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 30/06/051,270
FAs
n. 337 511 613 895 1,212 1,138 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 30/06/051,069
With the inclusion of 138
Eurosav multi-mandatory
agencies
Other 164 FAs of
Cattolica Investimenti
SIM network
Bank branches
n. 2,066 2,653 2,7172,748 3,053 2,702 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 30/06/052,955
The additional 198
branches are Eurosav
24
Cattolica Group
Non-life business
Premiums
726
(Direct business - Euro mn)735
2003
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
1,398
+1.2%
+1.2%
Agents
90.3%
Other 6.8% Broker 1.5% Banks 1.4%Growth in agency networK
−
1,132
proprietary agencies
−
138
Eurosav multi-mandatory agencies
New structures for selecting and
supporting new agents
Special projects
−
Agency segmentation based on performance
−
Service Partners and Club Best agencies
−
Regional and local projects
Premiums breakdown by channel
Premiums growth by channel
(Direct business - Euro mn)
1H2004
1H2005
Agencies - 1.8% Broker + 22.2% Banks + 100% Other + 38.9%676
664
9 5 36 11 10 50A
gencies network development
Proprietary agency network
(number of agencies)
Eurosav network
1H 2005 premiums collection:
€
275 million
(through banks and
agencies)
TARGET
Improve the multi-mandatory
agency network and set up our
Pole
for
“preferred
multi-mandatory”
distribution
UniOne network
1H 2005 premiums collection:
€
123 million
They will be included in Cattolica
Group agency network in 2H2005:
an integration plan with Duomo
has been approved
1,070
1,092
705
709
359
364
1H2004 FY20046
1H20051,132
719
374
31.8. 20051,325
Multi-mandatory agency network
(number of agencies)
138
Eurosav multi-mandatory agencies as at
1H2005, which sell
life products
from the
beginning of this year.
19
39
188
45
372
26
Cattolica Group
Life business
Premiums
1,666
(Direct business - Euro mn)2,015
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
3,197
+21%
+21%
Banks
85.6%
Agencies 6 % Other 6.1% FAs 1.1% Broker 1.2%Premiums growth by channel
(Direct business - Euro mn)1H2004
1H2005
Index- and unit-linked products
grew by
12% from
€
905 million to
€
1,014 million.
Capitalization operations
rose from
€
181 million to
€
362 million
Cometa pension fund
collected
€
90
million premiums. In the first 4 months
Cometa registered a 4.5% (annualized)
performance
Banks + 13.2% FAs + 100% Agencies + 8.1% Other + 609.5%1.523
1.724
11 111 21 22 120 149Life new business premiums
Premiums
1,580
(Euro mn)1,835
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
2,981
+16.1%
+16.1%
Premiums mix by type of product
(Euro mn)
1H 2004
1H 2005
44.1%
12.8%
43.1%
Index
Unit
Traditional
39%
15.9%
12.8%
45.1%
Breakdown by channel
(Euro mn)+17.2%
+17.2%
+13.3%
+13.3%
75
1,683
64
1.485
75
44
44
44
Agents
1,485
Banks
FAs/other
77
31
+148.4
+148.4
1H 2004
1H 2004
1H 2004
1H 2005
1H 2005
1H 2005
28
Cattolica Group
Life technical reserves and segregated funds
Group Average yield
Segregated funds
Technical reserves breakdown
by financial guarantee
2003A
2004A
2005E
2007E
3.57%
3.65%
3.62%
3.44%
3.55%
2006E
<= 2.5%
> 2.5% e < 4%
>= 4%
Financial guarantee
6,058
5,202
(Euro mn)1H
2005
72.2%
56.6%
11.1%
14.2%
16.7%
29.2%
1H
2004
+ 48.2%
+ 48.2%
- 8.7%
- 8.7%
- 33.5%
- 33.5%
Core business: technical performance
Non-life business
Premiums stable; focus on profitability with a
record increase of
240%
Expense ratio
down to 20.67% from 20.83%
in 1H2004 and
claims ratio
decreases from
75.79% in 1H 2004 to 74.12% in 1H 2005
Life Business:
Strong premiums increase (+21%); technical
result stable; expense ratio down to 4.31%
from 4.49% in 1H2004
5
Non-Life technical result
(Euro mn)17
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
30
+240%
+240%
Combined ratio
99.28%
97.41%
1H2004
1H2005
2004
97.5%
34
Life technical result
(Euro mn)1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
59
30
Cattolica Group
Non-technical account
128
Net Investment income
(Euro mn)149
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
260
+16.4%
+16.4%
Financial performance increase despite
low interest rates environment
Lower incidence of extraordinary income
deriving from real estate reorganization,
even if property assets transfer is still
ongoing
Capital gains on property disposals
amounted to 19 million
64
Net ordinary result
(Euro mn)94
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
140
+46.9%
+46.9%
49
Net extraordinary result
(Euro mn)14
1H 2004
1H 2005
2004
80
-71.4%
-71.4%
Consolidated net profit
Other
Net
income
1H04
Change in
technical result
Change in
financial
management
12
59
(35)
Change in
income taxes
Change in net
extra ordinary
result
21
12
Net
income
1H05
(3)
66
32
Cattolica Group
Agenda
Cattolica at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
Transition to IAS IFRS and impacts of first time adoption
IAS IFRS application
Cattolica Group edited the consolidated
six-months report to 30 June 2005 in
accordance with Italian gaap principles
and the required prospects attachment in
compliance with CONSOB art. 81-bis n.
14990
It’s important to point out that the Group
has decided to apply IAS 39 and IFRS 4
as from 1st January 2005, in order to
better understand the impacts on
consolidated shareholders’ equity and on
consolidated net profit
All other IAS/IFRS principles were adopted
as from 1st January 2004
The prospects resulted to be a complete
IAS/IFRS application as far as it regards
1H2005 consolidated net profit and
consolidated net shareholders’ equity
The impact on Group shareholders’
equity will be positive
=
Analysis areas
Consolidation area
Technical reserves and
DAC
Financial investments
Business combinations
Land and buildings
Intangible assets
Group shareholders’ equity
Impacts
Impacts of first time adoption
IAS/IFRS application on net profit gives rise
to non-significant impacts
34
Cattolica Group
IAS/IFRS impact on shareholders’ equity
Net shareholder’s equity
(Euro mn)IT gaap as at 1st
January 2005
1,166
+3.7%
+3.7%
1,209
IAS/IFRS as at 1
stJanuary 2005
IT gaap as at 30
thJune 2005
IAS/IFRS as at 30th
June 2005
1,163
1,215
+4.5%
+4.5%
IAS/IFRS impact on shareholders’ equity
IT gaap as at
30
thJune 2005
IAS/IFRS as at
30
thJune 2005
1,163
1,215
- 22
Tangible and
intangible
assets
243
Financial assets
and liabilities
- 146
Insurance
contracts
3
Other
- 26
Fiscal
effect
Net shareholder’s equity
(Euro mn)+4.5%
+4.5%
36
Cattolica Group
IAS/IFRS impact on consolidated net profit and life premiums
150
Consolidated net profit
66
IAS/IFRS as at
31
stDecember 2004
66
163
IT gaap as at
31
stDecember 2004
IT gaap as at
30
thJune 2005
IAS/IFRS as at
30 June 2005
(Euro mn)+8.7%
+8.7%
Consolidated life premiums
1,777
2,015
IT gaap as at
30
thJune 2005
IAS/IFRS as at
30 June 2005
(Euro mn)-11.8%
-11.8%
Investment
contracts:
€
238 million
Agenda
Cattolica Group at a glance
Market scenario and Cattolica strategy
Focus on value creation
1H 2005 Results
IAS/IFRS adoption
38
Cattolica Group
Why UniOne?
Relative
young company
, born in
1984, from 2000 in Generali Group
Agency network focused on P&C
business
, based most of them in
middle and south Italy
Motor Transportation business is
86.3% of total premiums
Liquidators network
complementary to Cattolica
network
High potential in life business which
is a recent start-up
Before acquisition
100%
100%
UniOne: the key pionts
Economic/Financial information
(*) Before dividens and reserves pay back
PREMIUMS
(Euro millions)NET PROFIT
(Euro millions)Capital
(Euro miilions)ASSET
(Euro millions)1H 2005
2004
120.7
236.3
+16%
1.6
14.1
51.9
85.3
~ 401
~ 410
P&C LIFE2.5
5.4
TOTAL123.2
241.7
(*)
2003
204.4
+19%
9.3
71.2
~ 350
P&C LIFE3.2
TOTAL207.6
40
Cattolica Group
Agency network at the end of June 2005
14
74
19
157
4
171
68
66
23
29
164
8
65
11
65
33
38
69
UniOne
189
189
Number of agencies
N
: 29
C
: 70
S
: 90
3
14
8
1
3
11
9
23
11
2
14
27
5
21
22
15
14
74
19
157
4
171
68
66
23
29
164
8
65
11
65
33
38
69
Cattolica Group
1.132
1.132
Number of proprietary agencies
N
: 665
C
: 328
S
: 139
89
235
131
20
132
78
21
39
113
43
7
27
31
9
49
18
32
3
37
18
37%
48%
15%
29%
12%
59%
Embedded Value as at 31 December 2004
1,228
1,034
1,067
(33)
194
Group Embedded Value 2004
(Euro mn)Shareholders’
equity
Adjustments
N.A.V.
Embedded
Value
1,177
984
979
5
193
1,228
1,034
1,067
(33)
194
+ 51
+ 50
+ 88
(38)
+ 1
2003
2004
Delta
EV/Share
(
€
)
24.8
25.9
+ 1.1
Variazione 2004/ 2003
Value of life
in force
business
43
Cattolica Group
Embedded Value Assumptions
7.25%
4.5%
Variables
100% ISVAP Minimum
38.25%
Discount Rate
Life Products Investment Return
Solvency Margin
Taxation on Profit
Assumption
Definitions
Ratio
Calculation method
Claims incurred/Earned premiums, net of reinsurance
Claims Ratio
Operating expenses/ Earned premiums, net of reinsurance
Expense Ratio (non-life)
1 – (Non-life technical result/Net earned premiums)
Combined Ratio
Other administrative expenses/ Average Life Technical Reserves
Expense Ratio (Life)
Other operating expenses (life) / Earned premiums
Life G&A ratio
Acquisition expenses and commissions /Earned premiums ,net of reinsurance
Commision ratio (non-life)
45
Cattolica Group
This document has been prepared by Cattolica Assicurazioni – based on data from internal sources (year-end financial statements, consolidated group financial statements, internal reporting and other company documentation, etc.) – for the sole purpose of providing information on the group’s results and future operating strategies. Given this, it can in no way be used as a basis for possible investment decisions. It is not a solicitation to buy or sell shares. No part of the document can be taken to be the cause of or reason for agreements or commitments of any type or kind whatsoever, nor can it be relied upon for agreements and commitments.Information contained in the document concerning forecasts has been prepared according to various assumptions and/or elements that might ultimately materialise differently to present expectations. Results might therefore change. Cattolica therefore in no way provides any guarantee, either explicit or tacit, as regards the integrity or accuracy of the information or opinions contained in the document, nor can any degree of reliability be attributed to the same, inasmuch as it has not been subjected to independent verification. Responsibility for use of the information and opinions contained in the document lies solely with the user. In any case Cattolica, within legally admissible limits, will not consider itself liable for any damages, direct or indirect, that third parties might claim due to utilisation of incomplete or inaccurate information. For any further information concerning Cattolica Assicurazioni and its related group, reference must be made exclusively to the information given in the annual, quarterly, and interim reports and financial statements. The full versions of these documents, which constitute the factual basis and proof for all legal purposes, are lodged at the company’s registered offices and are available to anyone requesting them. Reproduction or full or partial publication and distribution of the information contained herein to third parties is prohibited. Acceptance of the present document automatically signifies recognition of the aforesaid constraints.
Cattolica Group:
Growth and Value Mix
Frankfurt, 28 September 2005