Home Broker
Home Broker
Home Broker
Home Broker
Real
Real
Real
Real Estate
Estate
Estate Advisors
Estate
Advisors
Advisors
Advisors
Home BrokerHome Broker Home Broker Home Broker
Home Broker Real Home Broker Real Home Broker Real
Home Broker Real EstateEstateEstate AdvisorEstate AdvisorAdvisorAdvisor
• individual investment advisor
• focused on demanding clients’ needs
• reliable products and professional service • presenting complex effective solutions HOME BROKER ADVISOR
HOME BROKER ADVISOR HOME BROKER ADVISOR
• financial portfolio including real estate assets • apartment purchase advisory
• apartment investment advisory • land purchase advisory
• apartment finishing
• property management development
• real estates brokerage (selling, buying, letting)
Home Broker Home Broker Home Broker
Within 3 years we will build the widest net of real estates Within 3 years we will build the widest net of real estates Within 3 years we will build the widest net of real estates Within 3 years we will build the widest net of real estates advisory
advisory advisory advisory
Home Broker development Home Broker development Home Broker development Home Broker development
6 6 6 6 42 42 42 42 14 14 14 14 86 8686 86 22 22 22 22 130 130130 130 2 0 07 2 0 07 2 0 07 2 0 07 2 0 0 82 0 0 82 0 0 82 0 0 8 2 0 0 92 0 0 92 0 0 92 0 0 9 Office s Office sOffice s Office s Re a l E sta te Advisors Re a l E sta te AdvisorsRe a l E sta te Advisors Re a l E sta te Advisors
• Attractive location – 15 min away from the city centre
• One of the lowest prices in Warsaw at PLN 6,950/sqm gross
• Pre-market and fixed prices, best units selected for investors
• Attractive financing system: 10/90
Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw
• Łódź is the fastest growing second-tier city in Poland currently
experiencing rapid growth (4.1% per month)
• Prime location – 10 min away from the city centre
• One of the lowest prices in Łódź at PLN 6,150/sqm (Ł1,116) gross
• Pre-market and fixed prices, best units selected for investors
• Development has great transport links, close to huge corporate
investment and thousands of new jobs
Lodz Lodz Lodz
• Perfect location – 600 m from ski-lift
• Attractive financing system: 20/80 • Prices start at 6.427 PLN gross per
sqm
• High Return on Investment (ROI) • Attractive rental market
Krynica Krynica Krynica
Warsaw
Warsaw
Warsaw
Warsaw residential
residential
residential
residential market
market
market
market
June
June
June
June 2007
2007
2007
2007
Home Broker Home Broker Home Broker Home Broker• According to the report of Instytut Badań nad
Gospodarką Rynkową, mazowieckie voivodship was the second most
attractive region in Poland in 2006.
• The level of attractiveness
was estimated at 0,750,750,750,75
(maximum 1,00) Voivodship investment attractivness
the highest the lowest
Investment Investment Investment
• The highest quality of human resources in Poland – significant share of well educated
significant share of well educatedsignificant share of well educated
significant share of well educated people with high
qualifications (61% of Warsaw citizens have secondary or university education and students constitute 16,5% of whole Warsaw population)
• Very high market absorptionhigh market absorptionhigh market absorptionhigh market absorption – low unemployment rate and one of the highest average monthly remunerations • Good communicationGood communicationGood communication availability – favourableGood communication
geographical position and well organized transport infrastructure
Strength Strength Strength
Average Average Average
Average remunerationremunerationremuneration (PLN remuneration (PLN (PLN gross(PLN grossgross))))gross
Source: GUS 3 553 3 664 2 606 2 349 2 665 2 863 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 Warszawa Katowice Kraków Łódź Wrocław Poznań Trójmiasto 3 414 3 377 3 313 3 524 3 633 3 477 3 493 4 001 3 865 2 417 2 459 2 486 2 648 2 534 2 577 2 620 2 799 2 853 0 500 1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500 4 000 I kw 2005 II kw 2005 III kw 2005 IV kw 2005 I kw 2006 II kw 2006 III kw 2006 IV kw 2006 I kw 2007 [P L N ] Warszawa Polska
Unemployment Unemployment Unemployment
Unemployment raterateraterate
Source: GUS 4,4% 4,7% 4,9% 5,2% 5,5% 5,6% 5,9% 6,3% 6,6% 14,4% 14,9% 15,2% 15,9% 17,8% 17,6% 17,6% 18,0% 19,2% 2,0% 4,0% 6,0% 8,0% 10,0% 12,0% 14,0% 16,0% 18,0% 20,0% I kw 2005 II kw 2005 III kw 2005 IV kw 2005 I kw 2006 II kw 2006 III kw 2006 IV kw 2006 I kw 2007 Warszawa Polska 4,40% 5,30% 5,30% 11,90% 7,40% 4,60% 5,20% 0,00% 5,00% 10,00% 15,00% Warszawa Katowice Kraków Łódź* Wrocław Poznań Trójmiasto
The smallest one- and two-person households constitute 65% of whole households in Warsaw According to The National Census (2002): • 757.6 thousands of households • 648.6 thousands of units • shortage: 109 thousands of units 27% 19% 12% 4% 38%
one-person two-person three-person
four-person five-person and more
Households Households Households
Households structurestructurestructurestructure
• Huge economic potentialeconomic potentialeconomic potential – 1/8 of average country GDP is economic potential produced in Warsaw
• GDP per capita in Warsaw is 3333 times highertimes highertimes highertimes higher than average in
Poland
• 1/3 1/3 1/3 of science and technical resources is located in the city 1/3
• ConcentrationConcentrationConcentration of the most important metropolitan functionsConcentration metropolitan functionsmetropolitan functionsmetropolitan functions connected with the control of national and regional
economy
• Increase of international positioninternational positioninternational positioninternational position as a regional financial centre in CEE
• Very highhighhigh dynamichigh dynamicdynamic of prices in residential real estate market dynamic
with high acceptance of rising prices by prospectors (attractive payment system for investors ie. 10/90)
Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw
16 618 14 408 14 928 16 202 10 914 13 070 6 849 12 335 12 233 10 300 13 036 14 434 18 334 13 543 8 007 3 714 8 177 3 708 3 624 2 152 7 477 4 447 5 714 4 136 6 249 4 981 12 516 3 141 0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000 25 000 30 000 building permits units completed building permits units completed building permits units completed building permits units completed buildin g permits units completed building permits units completed building permits units completed 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Warsaw Warsaw agglomeration (without Warsaw)
Scale of construction Scale of construction Scale of construction
Scale of construction ---- number of building permits and units number of building permits and units number of building permits and units number of building permits and units completed
completed completed
completed ininin Warsaw and Warsaw agglomeration in Warsaw and Warsaw agglomeration Warsaw and Warsaw agglomeration Warsaw and Warsaw agglomeration
Number Number Number
Number ofofof buildingof buildingbuilding permitsbuilding permits inpermitspermits ininin WarsawWarsawWarsawWarsaw////PolandPolandPolandPoland
Source: GUS 10,19% 72,38% 4,35% 0,83% 1,83% 4,05% 0,62% 5,75% Warszawa Łódź Poznań
Trójmiasto Katowice Kraków W rocław pozostałe miasta
16 618 14 928 10 914 6 849 12 233 13 036 18 334 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000 18 000 20 000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Units completed Units completed Units completed
Units completed ininin Warsawin WarsawWarsaw////PolandWarsaw PolandPolandPoland
Source: GUS 11,76% 70,59% 3,80% 1,03% 2,37% 4,33% 0,38% 5,74% Warszawa Łódź Poznań
Trójmiasto Katowice Kraków W rocław pozostałe miasta
14 408 16 202 13 070 12 335 10 300 14 434 13 543 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
444 436 397 385 424 316 387 337 498 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500
Warszawa Łódź Poznań Trójmiasto Katowice Kraków Wrocław Polska średnia dla UE
Number Number Number
7,98 1,6 4,8 6,6 1,4 8,7 7 3,1 4,7 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Warszawa Łódź Poznań Trójmiasto Katowice Kraków Wrocław Polska średnia dla
UE
Number Number Number
Current zoning plans cover approxapproxapproxapprox. 17% . 17% . 17% . 17% of
ofof
of thethethe city the city city areacity areaareaarea
Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw
14,7% 24,0% 8,5% 6,5% 3,5% 10,0% 4,0% 38,5% 2,0% 2,5% 4,5% 56,5% 1,0% 21,0% 0,0% 10,0% 20,0% 30,0% 40,0% 50,0% 60,0% Bem ow o Bia łołę ka Bie lany Mok otów Pra ga P ołud nie Rem bert ów Śró dm ieś cie Tar gów ek Urs ynów Waw er Wes oła Wila nów Wło chy śol ibor z
Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw districts Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw districts Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw districts Covering of zoning plans in Warsaw districts
Source: tabelaofert.pl
Level of average prices per 1m2 of flat Level of average prices per 1m2 of flat Level of average prices per 1m2 of flat
Level of average prices per 1m2 of flat betweenbetweenbetweenbetween 2004200420042004----2007200720072007
Source: GUS 7 932 zł 7 354 zł 6 561 zł 6 045 zł 5 415 zł 4 879 zł 4 590 zł 4 288 zł 4 365 zł 4 341 zł 4 193 zł 4 031 zł 3 892 zł 2 500 3 500 4 500 5 500 6 500 7 500 I KW ART AŁ 2004 II K WA RTA Ł 20 04 III K WA RTA Ł 20 04 IV K WA RTA Ł 20 04 I KW ART AŁ 2005 II K WA RTA Ł 20 05 III K WA RTA Ł 20 05 IV K WA RTA Ł 20 05 I KW ART AŁ 2006 II K WA RTA Ł 20 06 III K WA RTA Ł 20 06 IV k w 2 006 I kw 200 7r.
0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 5500 B u ild in g se ct or Se rv ic e fo r re al es ta te an d co m pa n ie s In d u st ry (in cl . C D E) Tr ad e an d re p ai r C o m m u n ity , so ci al p ri va te an d o th er se rv ic es , Tr an sp or ta tio n te le co m u n ic at io n, s to ra ge se rv ic es , H o te ls an d re st au ra n ts Warsaw (3 633,94 PLN) Mazowieckie Voivodship (3 388,79 PLN) Poland (2 687,48 PLN) PLN
Average monthly remuneration Average monthly remuneration Average monthly remuneration
Average monthly remuneration ---- company sectorcompany sectorcompany sectorcompany sector February 2007
February 2007 February 2007 February 2007
• Average employee of company sector in Warsaw could afford monthly less than 0,5mless than 0,5mless than 0,5mless than 0,5m2222 of flat in 2006, having in
mind that average price of 1m2 was 7.354 PLN
• In 2006, it would take 9,5 years9,5 years9,5 years9,5 years (!) for average employee
of company sector in Warsaw to earn enough to buy
54,7m2 flat costing 402.264 PLN, assuming that whole
income would be dedicated for flat purchase
• Taking into account the level of average monthly
remuneration, the minimum mortgage period for the flat described above is 35 years
Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens
Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens Purchasing power of Warsaw citizens
0,47 0,51 0,53 0,43 0,49 0,54 0,87 0,35 0,34 0,45 0,00 0,10 0,20 0,30 0,40 0,50 0,60 0,70 0,80 0,90 1,00 War szaw a Łód ź Pozn ań Ols ztyn Trój mia sto Bydg oszc z Lubl in Kato wic e Krak ów Wro claw
Warsaw Warsaw Warsaw
Warsaw districtsdistrictsdistrictsdistricts
Post-industrial area of
Praga Płd. śoliborz i Śródmieście:
bus terminal;
apartment area at Rydygiera St.
New estates in districts
5 380 zł 6 347 zł 7 217 zł 9 414 zł 5 416 zł 5 322 zł 6 026 zł 8 336 zł 8 574 zł 8 765 zł 12 501 zł 15 968 zł 14 019 zł 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 14 000 16 000
I Q 2004 II Q 2004 III Q 2004 IV Q 2004 I Q 2005 II Q 2005 III Q 2005 IvQ 2005r. I Q. 2006 II Q 2006 III Q 2006 IV Q 2006 I Q 2007
The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw ŚŚŚŚrrrróóóódmiedmiedmieśśśściedmie cieciecie
4 027 zł 4 317 zł 5 200 zł 5 431 zł 5 776 zł 5 771 zł 5 379 zł 5 702 zł 6 553 zł 6 957 zł 7 192 zł 8 900 zł 9 527 zł 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000 9 000
I Q 2004 II Q 2004 III Q 2004 IV Q 2004 I Q 2005 II Q 2005 III Q 2005 IvQ 2005r. I Q. 2006 II Q 2006 III Q 2006 IV Q 2006 I Q 2007
The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw Wola
Wola Wola Wola
3 242 zł 3 207 zł 3 621 zł 3 660 zł 3 575 zł 3 480 zł 3 634 zł 3 750 zł 3 800 zł 4 533 zł 5 300 zł 5 793 zł 7 203 zł 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000
I Q 2004 II Q 2004 III Q 2004 IV Q 2004 I Q 2005 II Q 2005 III Q 2005 IvQ 2005r. I Q. 2006 II Q 2006 III Q 2006 IV Q 2006 I Q 2007
The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw Targ
Targ Targ
Targóóóówekwekwekwek
4 157 zł 5 069 zł 4 947 zł 4 931 zł 4 957 zł 4 950 zł 4 938 zł 3 990 zł 4 490 zł 4 818 zł 7 743 zł 7 648 zł 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000
I Q 2004 II Q 2004 III Q 2004 IV Q 2004 I Q 2005 II Q 2005 III Q 2005 IvQ 2005r. I Q. 2006 II Q 2006 III Q 2006 IV Q 2006 I Q 2007
The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw Praga
Praga Praga
Praga PPPPóóóółłłłnocnocnocnoc
3 087 zł 3 596 zł 3 635 zł 3 197 zł 3 384 zł 3 297 zł 3 295 zł 3 386 zł 3 559 zł 3 731 zł 5 167 zł 4 969 zł 6 540 zł 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000
I Q 2004 II Q 2004 III Q 2004 IV Q 2004 I Q 2005 II Q 2005 III Q 2005 IvQ 2005r. I Q. 2006 II Q 2006 III Q 2006 IV Q 2006 I Q 2007
The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw Wawer
Wawer Wawer Wawer
5 969 zł 7 837 zł 5 061 zł 4 992 zł 5 026 zł 5 079 zł 5 383 zł 5 362 zł 5 795 zł 5 772 zł 6 647 zł 7 193 zł 8 042 zł 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 6 000 7 000 8 000
I Q 2004 II Q 2004 III Q 2004 IV Q 2004 I Q 2005 II Q 2005 III Q 2005 IvQ 2005r. I Q. 2006 II Q 2006 III Q 2006 IV Q 2006 I Q 2007
The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw The dynamic of prices in Warsaw Wilan
Wilan Wilan Wilanóóóówwww
• Higher standard of finishing reflected by using good quality materials and the newest technology
• Increasing number of offers „ready-to-move-in” • Tendency to offer some additional services for
residents
• Increasing of construction costs (materials and labour costs) caused by:
boom on the construction market
lack of both qualified and unqualified construction workers due to emigration to EU
Market Market Market
rises (+) and decreases (-) of prices 57,80% 0,10% 4,00% 23,50% 54,00% 24,10% 2,00% 2,30%--5,00% 5,00% 15,00% 25,00% 35,00% 45,00% 55,00% 2004 2005 2006 est. 2007
building materials labour costs
Market Market Market
Market trendstrendstrends –––– changestrends changeschanges ofchanges ofof constructionof constructionconstruction pricesconstruction pricespricesprices
The dynamic growth of prices causes:
• Increasing interest in cheaper units outside Warsaw located within 45 min. drive distance from the city centre
• Houses outside Warsaw become attractive alternative in comparison with apartments located in the most expensive districts
• Increasing interest in developing post-industrial areas (loft projects)
The most attractive loft locations: • Praga Północ • Praga Południe • Wola • Powiśle Market Market Market
• Increasing competitiveness of secondary market where prices have stabilized within last months achieving the level of
prices comparable to prices of primary market in similar locations
• Appearance of „new secondary market”
Market Market Market
• EURO 2012 is one of the indicators that will cause the further increase of building materials prices and labour costs
• Some of infrastructural investments planned in the city
modernization of Stadion X-lecia
II route of underground
2 new bridges
completion of planned ringroads
Conclusions Conclusions Conclusions Conclusions
Planned Planned Planned
Planned infrastructureinfrastructureinfrastructure investmentsinfrastructure investmentsinvestmentsinvestments
• It is expected that in 2007 the dynamic of prices compared to 2006 will be much lower with annual price increase at the level
of ca. 15%
• The next years with the scale of construction expected to be much higher should bring stabilization of prices
• The definition of social buildingdefinition of social buildingdefinition of social buildingdefinition of social building presented by the government in April 2007 defines “social” using the criteria of size. In the case of flats the limit is 120flats the limit is 120flats the limit is 120 mflats the limit is 120 mmm2222, while for houses this is 220 m, while for houses this is 220, while for houses this is 220, while for houses this is 220 mmm2222.
These limits should allow about 90% of new properties to fall within the 7% bracket.
• Each 1 m2 above the limit will be taxed 22% VAT
Conclusions Conclusions Conclusions Conclusions