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The built environment : a policy framework for climate adaptation

The Hon. Tom Roper President,

Australian Sustainable Built Environment Council Board Member, Climate Institute

Thriving Neighbourhoods

Melbourne Convention Centre, November 2012

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Discussion points

• Mitigation and / or adaptation?

• What are the impacts?

• New build and changes for existing buildings

• Design for the future

• Sustainable neighbourhoods

• Our challenge

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• ASBEC’s Second Plank Report found that 23%

of Australia’s emissions are attributable to the built environment, growing 38% by 2030

• Energy consumption in buildings is a

fundamental source of emissions particularly because of our coal fired generation

• A price for carbon will reduce buildings emissions but is not sufficient –

complementary measures are essential

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Major risks to buildings and infrastructure

• Overheating – uncomfortable temperatures and increased cooling load

• Flooding – intense rainfall

• Subsidence and landslip

• Drought and water scarcity

• Coastal change

• Extreme events

Thredbo landslide

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Increased Radiation

Plastic, wood and surface coatings subject to greater degradation

Increased requirement for solar glare control

Increased cooling loads (and cooling costs)

Building envelope at increased risk of cracking / failure

Soil drying and movement

Increased thermal discomfort Increased Average Temperatures and More Extreme Temperature Events

Structural loading by pressure forces

Total building collapse and destruction

Impact damage from flying debris

Rain / moisture penetration leading to internal damage More Intense Tropical Cyclones and Storms

Water damage to buildings and contents

Contamination of building interior from sewage, soil and mud

Undermining and / or destruction of foundations

Salt spray (coastal) affecting durability of most materials

Coastal erosion resulting in loss or damage to property Sea-level rise, Coastal and Inland Flooding

Total or partial fire damage to building property and contents

Smoke and water damage to building property and contents

Health and safety of occupants at risk

Increased clearing of vegetation around housing, leading to decreased shading by the natural environment and green space Increased Risk of Bushfires

Source: Adapted from BRANZ (2007) - AECOM

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Superstorm Sandy

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Source: www.ozcoasts.org 7

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Source: Grungly.files 8

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Source: The Courier Mail 9

The Mirvac apartments at Tennyson succumbed to the river

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Increased Radiation

Plastic, wood and surface coatings subject to greater degradation

Increased requirement for solar glare control

Increased cooling loads (and cooling costs)

Building envelope at increased risk of cracking / failure

Soil drying and movement

Increased thermal discomfort Increased Average Temperatures and More Extreme Temperature Events

Structural loading by pressure forces

Total building collapse and destruction

Impact damage from flying debris

Rain / moisture penetration leading to internal damage More Intense Tropical Cyclones and Storms

Water damage to buildings and contents

Contamination of building interior from sewage, soil and mud

Undermining and / or destruction of foundations

Salt spray (coastal) affecting durability of most materials

Coastal erosion resulting in loss or damage to property Sea-level rise, Coastal and Inland Flooding

Total or partial fire damage to building property and contents

Smoke and water damage to building property and contents

Health and safety of occupants at risk

Increased clearing of vegetation around housing, leading to decreased shading by the natural environment and green space Increased Risk of Bushfires

Source: Adapted from BRANZ (2007) - AECOM

Heat Islands

Source: Coutts et al, Urban Policy & Research, March 2010

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It’s getting hotter

Source: J McDonald – Four Degrees, 2011

Present 2070

Adelaide 17 47

Brisbane 1 21

Canberra 5 26

Darwin 11 308

Melbourne 9 26

Perth 28 67

Sydney 3.5 12

Days > 35 C

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Heatwave impacts on residential building performance

12 Source: Nguyen, Wang & Chen

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Victoria – January 2009 Heatwave

Excess deaths – 347

25% increase in ambulance metropolitan case load

34 fold increase in cases with direct heat conditions

12% increase in emergency departments presentations

8 fold increase in direct heat related presentations

Major breakdown of a/c in hospitals

Source: Dept of Human Services, Victoria

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Transforming the planning & building process

Redesign planning and building tools to account for the impacts of climate change

Use and improve adaptive management process and contingency planning

Take predicted climates into account at the design stage of any new development, refurbishment or regeneration

programme

Incorporate climate change effects and impacts into new infrastructure initiatives

Create resilient outdoor spaces and buildings

Promote zero carbon

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Designing for the future

• Buildings designed today will need to operate through a period of significant climate change

• CIBSE’s “future weather years” enable designers to assess the impact of climate change using building energy and thermal simulation models

• Takes into account future climate scenarios for the UK over the 21st century

• The tool applies a morphing technique to the data based on anticipated climate changes

Source: The Chartered Institute of Buildings Services Engineers – TM48:2009

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500 Collins Street, Melbourne

• 5 Star Green Star

• Energy savings 52%

• Chilled beams

• Efficient lighting

• Solar hot water

• Water savings

• Recycled construction waste

• Waste wise certification

• Productivity improvements Source: Google Images

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A 1960’s office

• Improve building envelope by upgrading windows

• Increase fabric insulation and air tightness

• Solar shading

• Improve thermal mass

• Automatically controlled mechanical ventilation

• Water chilled beans

• Night cooling

Source: UKCIP

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Cool roofs

“Changing surface colors in 100 of the world’s

largest cities could save as much as 44 billion tons of carbon dioxide. This is the equivalent to the rise in global carbon emissions

anticipated by 2020.”

Stephen Chu – Secretary, US Department of Energy

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Sustainable precincts

Source: Japan for Sustainability, Feb 2011

Green roofs and walls

White roofs

Cool paving

Trees and green spaces Walking and riding

Urban drainage and rainwater harvesting

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Chicago Climate Action Plan

• “Adding green to urban design 2008” : 21 key actions including roofs, facades, landscaping around buildings

• Thermal radar mapping the city’s hottest spots to prioritise pavement removal, green roofing and tree planting

• 4 million sq. ft of green roofs, planned or completed since 2008

• 9,000 acres of tree canopy added since 1993

• Managing stormwater, including 150 green alleys

• Green permit acceleration

Source: Progress Report First Two Years

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The New York example

Source: plaNYC

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New York NPCC climate protection levels

Source: Annals of the New York Academy of Science www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/123443047/issue

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ASBEC’s Built Environment Adaptation Framework

Australian Governments & Industry must establish a National Built Environment Adaptation Council to:

• Report to the Minister for Climate Change

• Provide a platform for dialogue on adaptation

• Facilitate information exchange and sponsor research

• Encourage new design and construction practices

• Develop mechanisms for community engagement

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A program for joint action

• The 3 tiers of government should lead by example

• Sponsor applied research

• Provide better access to information and tools

• Invest in education

• Provide incentives and reform and improve regulation

• Review building codes and standards

• Improve planning systems and outcomes

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Our challenge

• We can no longer afford business as usual

• No reason for panic nor for complacency

• Buildings offer the largest and fastest cut in CO2

• Design and build for future climates and retrofit what we have

• Develop strategies to build resilience to

current variability and future uncertainties

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