Bundled Payment:
The Next Step in Improving Quality
and Reducing Cost
Rita E. Numerof, Ph.D. President
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
®
Overview
The U.S. healthcare industry is currently undergoing what will ultimately be a radical transformation, driven by unsustainable cost increases, increased regulation, and shifting power relationships among payers, providers, physicians, and patients. While virtually all stakeholders agree with the overall objective of healthcare reform -- achieving better health outcomes at lower cost -- there are many different views on how best to achieve it.
Bundled pricing is an innovation being implemented by market leaders that promises to address this dilemma. Deceptively simple sounding, this radically different approach to pricing and risk brings its own unique challenges. Organizations considering a bundled pricing approach will need to understand the requirements for successful implementation. As important, they'll need to start planning now to avoid the "stealth" downside risk of bundled
3
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Roadmap for Today’s Discussion
Context for Bundled Payment: An Industry in Transition Requirements for Success
1) Defining the Bundle
2) Developing Predictive Care Paths
3) Managing Variability in Cost and Quality
4) Defining Economic and Clinical Value
5) Collaborating with Payers Common Challenges/Pitfalls
Introduction to NAI
NAI is a strategy consulting firm with over 25 years experience
serving Fortune 500 companies, with a focus on industries in transition
Our work across the industry with healthcare delivery, payers,
and manufacturers is focused on redesigning and implementing new business models that sustain profitable growth under changing market conditions.
We have made the evolving requirements of “better care at lower
cost” a core part of our healthcare consulting practice.
NAI has been a pioneer in helping clients incorporate economic
and clinical value (ECV) as the basis for competitive differentiation and growth.
5
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Roadmap for Today’s Discussion
Context for Bundled Payment: An Industry in Transition
Characteristics of Transition
Regulatory Shifts Changing Market Expectations Technological Change Changes in the Competitive Landscape7
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Characteristics of Transition
(cont.)Times of transition are extraordinarily difficult
→
requires challenging fundamental business assumptions→
associated with enormous resistanceChanging the business model in flight
... Building the new and protecting the old
Most organizations focus on incremental product/service improvement within the current paradigm...
There are 3 parts to Healthcare Reform:
Insurance Reform (access) Delivery Reform
Payment Reform
Healthcare Reform in the U.S.
√
Objective: Better health outcomes at lower cost What this means depends on the viewer ... it will require a fundamentally different way of
9
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Healthcare is
BIG
BusinessD.
•Increased Cost
•Increased Utilization
•Questionable Value
Pharma DeviceMed Diagnostics Other
Manuf’s Clinical Societies Consumers Community Healthcare Delivery Government Policy Payers Employers
Large & Small
Practitioners Academic Medical Centers Government Regulatory Agencies CME Providers
. . . and everyone is to blame!
Industry Drivers of Bundled Pricing
11
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Industry Drivers of Bundled Pricing
Spiraling Healthcare Cost Inflation
Consumer/Employer Pushback on Rising Insurance Premiums
Industry Drivers of Bundled Pricing
Spiraling Healthcare Cost Inflation
Consumer/Employer Pushback on Rising Insurance Premiums
13
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Industry Drivers of Bundled Pricing
Spiraling Healthcare Cost Inflation
Consumer/Employer Pushback on Rising Insurance Premiums
Lagging Quality Indicators
Increasing Demand for Transparency and the Role of Social Media
Bottom Line: Better Quality at Lower Cost
Roadmap for Today’s Discussion
Context for Bundled Payment: An Industry in Transition
Requirements for Success 1) Defining the Bundle
2) Developing Predictive Care Paths
3) Managing Variability in Cost and Quality
4) Defining Economic and Clinical Value
15
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Defining Bundled Pricing
A defined set of services with a specified quality outcome delivered at a fixed price.
Providers Aligned to Manage Cost and Quality =
Standard Set of Services
Fixed Price Metrics/Quality Specific Guarantees
+ +
Requirements for Success
Bundled Pricing
17
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Requirements for Success -- ECV
Drive to
Commoditization
Requirements for Success -- ECV
How do you create meaningful difference in the services you provide?
Why should anyone come to your facility?
ECV as a source of competitive differentiation
ECV represents a core competency that needs to be embedded throughout the business!
19
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Requirements for Success -- Payer Collaboration
Developing the infrastructure first Defining the risk, ECV proposition
Managing a strategic relationship to demonstrate value Moving from CPT codes to real value
Roadmap for Today’s Discussion
Context for Bundled Payment: An Industry in Transition
Requirements for Success
1) Defining the Bundle
2) Developing Predictive Care Paths
3) Managing Variability in Cost and Quality
4) Defining Economic and Clinical Value
5) Collaborating with Payers Common Challenges/Pitfalls
21
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
Common Challenges and Pitfalls
1) Underestimating organizational resistance
2) Gaining consensus on predictive care paths
3) Managing comorbid conditions
4) Expanding the boundaries of the bundled price episode beyond acute care
5) Modeling costs, revenues, and margins based on a bundled price offering
6) Creating a conceptual framework for the ECV case that differentiates your offering from the one down the street (or across the country)
Solutions come from seeing opportunity . . .
what’s not there. . .
23
Copyright 2011 Numerof & Associates, Inc., St. Louis, MO
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
NAI
Numerof & Associates, Inc.
HTTP://WWW.NAI-CONSULTING.COM (314) 997-1587