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Trading Lessons from the Intraday Frame (study)

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

We're seeing ongoing DOMINANT THESIS upside action off

the rising 20 day EMA - on higher bull/buy volume - toward

our first pivot target at 2,900 and now up toward/above the

prior high near 2,915. Look for consolidation tomorrow or

additional upside action should bulls again gain control

(gap) with early morning bullish price action tomorrow.

Major Companies Reporting Earnings

ORCL, FDX

Major Economic Reports for Tomorrow...

NONE

Quotes from Last Night's Planning

And bulls AGAIN did gain control early today with a gap up and morning REPEAT DAY to yesterday's similar activity. The first trade was simple but what happened next was not. A tweet and more tariff or TRADE WAR!! news instantly spooked the market, crashing it from the resistance highs back toward yesterday's low. Although the momentum and TICK

divergence DID NOT predict the tweet, it did strongly suggestion caution and a higher probability of a retracement rather than additional bullish action.

Once price broke lower and collapsed, we shorted the first pullback or 'flag' opportunity for the second trade. Note the reversal up off dual divergences again - both great lessons.

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Power Trending Strong Uptrending Stock Scan

We're seeing the NEW top twelve relative strength leaders (via algorithm) in trending markets and the general expectation is to buy retracements or breakouts in these strongly trending names. The logic is that what is strong tends to get stronger (stocks attracting money flow tend to continue attracting additional money flow). Right now these would be the names and thus candidates above for you to do additional research and add these to your stock-scan list for possible inclusion into a swing trading portfolio on pullbacks or outright breakouts.

HOW WE USE THESE STOCKS:

I write the Power-Trending Stock Section for Swing Traders looking for candidates that complex stock scans will likely miss. The scan targets strongly trending stocks and the expectation is that price will continue trending higher, though of course additional analysis is required rather than just buying these names collectively. To participate in these stocks, we typically wait for a pullback/retracement to a rising moving average or Fibonacci/Trendline level to put on a buy/retracement where the stop is trailed under the average. These would be similar to how I describe intraday 'flag' retracements on a developing Trend Day.

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

Tightly Compressed SP500 Stocks (Low ADX Scan)

Here are the top six "Compressed ADX" (lowest ADX) values from our simple scan of the S&P 500 (in Think or Swim).

The goal of this simple stock scan is to identify compressed or consolidating (RANGE) stocks and either:

A) Play the fades (like a Range Day) into the trendlines by shorting the high and buying the low or

B) Put these on a separate watch list and then WAIT for a breakout event to trigger a buy or sell-short swing trade to trade the RANGE EXPANSION play after the current CONTRACTION. Or, you could trade more complex strategies like butterflies, iron condors, or even prepare in advance for a possible breakout with straddles or strangles (advanced options traders).

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"S&P 500 Sector Performance" View

This chart and sector comparisons are useful two ways:

First, we get a broader sense of what's going on beneath the market subdivided into sectors. Second, if you trade beyond the S&P 500 or futures/ETFs, you can pinpoint bearish/weak stocks by starting with bearish/weak sectors.

The idea is out outperform the market via short- selling a weak stock(s) in weak/bearish sectors on a down trend day (or vice versa).

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

Planning the 30-min Intraday /ES Volume Profile

Price is now reaching upside targets into higher frame trendlines and the 2,915 prior high pivot.

We're going to be CAUTIOUS going into Monday with respect to the ongoing uptrend

(dominant thesis) pushing price higher yet we're currently above the VA Extreme suggesting caution again.

Continue using these pivots and the lower PoC near 2,895 as reference points to play toward or away from on future trades.

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

Planning the 30-min Intraday /NQ Volume Profile

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

Planning the Next Day (Daily S&P 500 Cash Index)

Additional bullish price action held us above 2,900 and kept us just shy of the 2,917 prior high target level. Bull volume diverged today so we add that as a CAUTION factor for the future. There's still more room to run but the easy money in the forecast - pushing up away from 2,870 toward 2,900 then 2,915 - has been made and it's more difficult for both sides now. Again, watch price closely, don't get overconfident, and stay safe with respect to the levels and the ongoing uptrend in motion.

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© 2018 TheoTrade LLC. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer:

Neither TheoTrade or any of its officers, directors, employees, other personnel, representatives, agents or independent contractors is, in such capacities, a licensed financial adviser, registered investment adviser, registered broker-dealer or FINRA|SIPC|NFA-member firm. TheoTrade does not provide investment or financial advice or make investment

recommendations. TheoTrade is not in the business of transacting trades, nor does TheoTrade agree to direct your brokerage accounts or give trading advice tailored to your particular situation. Nothing contained in our content constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, promotion, or endorsement of any particular security, other investment product, transaction or investment. Trading Futures, Options on Futures, and retail off-exchange foreign currency transactions involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You should carefully consider whether trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances, knowledge, and financial resources. You may lose all or more of your initial investment. Opinions, market data, and recommendations are subject to change at any time. Past

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