Supplemental material for
“Mountains of our Future Earth: Defining Priorities for Mountain Research—A Synthesis From the 2015 Perth III Conference”, by Erin
Gleeson, Susanne Wymann von Dach, Courtney G. Flint, Greg Greenwood, Martin F. Price, Jörg Balsiger, Anne Nolin, and Veerle Vanacker,
published in
Mountain Research and Development
36(4), 2016. (See http://www.bioone.org/toc/mred/36/4)
TABLE S1
Scores for all Future Earth priorities for all participants, as well as by biophysical science and social science/sustainable
development respondent groups
1In this table, mean values are based on a scale from 1 (“not a priority”) to 5 (“high priority”). Grey text indicates scores that are not
significantly different between the 2 groups of scientists (biophysical or social scientists / sustainable development scientists). Statistical
significance was assessed using ANOVA. NS refers to results that were not significant at the p < 0.05 level.
A Priorities: Dynamic Planet
A1: Observing & Attributing Change
Participants’ responses (mean)
Significant difference between biophysical and
social/sustainable development scientists Total number of responses All participants Biophysical scientists
Social/sustainable development
scientists A1.4 Trends of biodiversity, ecosystems and ecosystem
services 4.17 4.27 3.97 F = 6.796 p = 0.010 270
A1.1 Past changes and main patterns in regional and
global environmental and social systems 4.04 4.02 4.07 NS 271
A1.3 Models to link environmental and socio-economic data to support progress toward sustainable
development 3.98 3.87 4.17
F = 4.857
p = 0.028 270 A1.6 Developing a suite of early indicators of global
change 3.76 3.80 3.68 NS 269
A1.5 Trends in LUC, landscape urbanization or urban
sustainability; monitoring for decision making 3.70 3.65 3.81 NS 270
A1.2 Changes, trends, contributions and drivers of
pollutants and GHGs 3.40 3.43 3.36 NS 266
A1.7 Methods and technologies for dealing with large
datasets 3.32 3.33 3.30 NS 270
Average A1 Score 3.77 3.77 3.78 NS 274
1Future Earth 2014a.
A2: Understanding Processes, Interactions, Risks & Thresholds A2.1 Spatial and temporal interactions and cascading
effects 4.04 4.07 3.98 NS 267
A2.6 Creating and maintaining ecosystem services 3.95 4.01 3.82 NS 264
A2.5 Critical levels of biodiversity change that impact ecosystem goods and services; their drivers and
thresholds 3.91 3.94 3.85 NS 264
A2.10 Detecting and quantifying critical thresholds in
social, ecological and climate systems 3.90 3.89 3.91 NS 260
A2.3 Role of biodiversity in affecting/regulating global
changes in SES 3.89 3.87 3.91 NS 264
A2.2 Changes in atmospheric composition and their effect
on ecosystems, climate, nutrient flows, etc 3.69 3.76 3.56 NS 262
A1.7 Methods and technologies for dealing with large
datasets 3.56 3.45 3.77 F = 4.478 p = 0.035 264
A2.4 Effect of global environmental change on
evolutionary processes; feedbacks on human
well-being 3.15 3.08 3.28 NS 259
A2.9 Influence of environmental changes on health
3.11 2.99 3.34 F = 5.132 P = 0.024 258
A2.8 Patterns and drivers of urbanization; sustainability
of urban systems 2.92 2.84 3.09 NS 260
A2.7 Main drivers of human vulnerability in wetland and
coastal areas; factors for improving resilience 3.62 3.60 3.67 NS 271
Average A2 Score 4.04 4.07 3.98 NS 267
A3: Exploring & Predicting Futures
A3.3 Future scenarios of changes in biodiversity and
ecosystems and their potential social implications 4.11 4.19 3.98 NS 262 A3.2 Future changes in climate variability and their
impacts on vulnerability 4.11 4.19 3.93 F = 4.454 p = 0.036 265
A3.1 Improving Earth system models to capture
human-environment interactions 3.77 3.75 3.82 NS 262
A3.5 Socio-economic models for projecting scenarios of
sustainable production and consumption 3.66 3.44 4.07 F = 18.930 p = 0.000 261 A3.6 Integrating human behavior models into Earth
system models 3.61 3.45 3.92 F = 13.276 p = 0.002 262
A3.4 Predictive models of human threats and diseases
related to environmental change 3.23 3.25 3.18 NS 262
B Priorities: Global Sustainable Development
B1: Meeting Basic Needs and Overcoming Inequalities
Participants’ responses (mean)
Significant difference between biophysical and
social/sustainable development scientists
Total number of
responses All participants Biophysical scientists
Social/sustainable development
scientists B1.1 Water access and security; livelihood
implications 4.21 4.11 4.39 p = 0.044 F = 4.114 258
B1.5 Inequality, vulnerability and their implications
for sustainable development 3.79 3.56 4.21 F = 21.745 p = 0.000 257 B1.6 Economic growth strategies; influences on
society, economy and environment 3.60 3.36 4.03 F = 23.609 p = 0.000 254 B1.4 Meeting food security needs; implications and
trade-offs 3.56 3.42 3.81 p = 0.012 F = 6.456 254
B1.8 Global extractive industries, improving sustainability of non-renewable resources,
renewable vs non-renewable 3.43 3.33 3.63 NS 253
B1.2 Lifecycle implications of different energy
sources 3.43 3.38 3.53 NS 252
B1.7 Measures and metrics for human well being
and progress per the UN post-2015 agenda 3.18 2.96 3.60 F = 20.571 p = 0.000 250 B1.3 Development pathways of cities
3.00 2.84 3.30 F = 10.270 p = 0.002 254
Average B1 Score
3.53 3.39 3.80 F = 14.444 p = 0.000 260
B2: Governing Sustainable Development B2.6 Community involvement in environmental
change activities 4.12 3.96 4.39 F=8.890 p=0.003 252
B2.1 Major environmental threats to global and
regional commons 3.98 3.93 4.06 NS 253
B2.3 Decision-making approaches for balancing
socio-environmental trade-offs 3.83 3.61 4.23 F=20.931 p=0.000 252 B2.2 Sustainable global and intergovernmental
governance mechanisms 3.70 3.40 4.09 F=20.953 p=0.000 253
B2.7 Sustainable development strategies in public
versus private contexts 3.52 3.26 3.98 F=27.219 p=0.000 250
B2.4 Mechanisms for improving transparency and accountability of governments, companies,
B2.5 Mechanisms for addressing market and policy
failures 3.18 3.26 3.98 F=19.926 p=.000 250
Average B2 Score
3.69 3.50 3.04 F=24.932 p=0.000 256
B3: Managing Growth, Synergies and Trade-Offs B3.6 Implications of different land-use changes on
biodiversity, ecosystems and their services 4.16 4.21 4.07 NS 251
B3.2 Identifying, mapping, predicting, managing
resource use conflicts 4.03 3.95 4.18 NS 251
B3.1 Meeting the growing demand for food, water,
energy 3.96 3.91 4.04 NS 253
B3.4 Long-term social and economic costs of
different adaptation/mitigation strategies 3.78 3.67 3.97 p = 0.037 F = 4.419 252 B3.8 Implications of demographic change for
sustainable development and human
well-being 3.73 3.53 4.10 F = 16.021 p = 0.000 252
B3.7 Impacts of urbanization on rural communities and ecosystems; effective and equitable
management strategies 3.67 3.52 3.96 p = 0.003 F = 9.004 252
B3.5 Mechanisms for addressing market and policy synergies and trade-offs among different
ecosystem services 3.42 3.33 3.59 NS 248
B3.3 Different pathways to decarbonization for
different contexts 3.17 3.16 3.20 NS 246
Average B3 Score 3.74 3.67 3.87 NS 256
C Priorities: Transformations Towards Sustainability
C1: Understanding and Evaluating Transformations
Participants’ responses (mean)
Significant difference between biophysical and
social/sustainable development scientists
Total number of
responses All participants Biophysical scientists
Social/sustainable development
scientists C1.5 Prioritizing the management of natural
resources 4.03 4.01 4.08 NS 240
C1.6 Influence of political economies on
transformations to sustainability 3.57 3.35 3.98 F = 18.187 p = 0.000 241 C1.3 How are transformations initiated in social
C1.1 Underlying assumptions of existing models and scenarios of energy and food
production/consumption 3.19 3.06 3.41 p = 0.021 F = 5.389 237
C1.4 Possible “withdrawal” strategies when limits of
adaptation are reached (and their implications) 3.13 3.00 3.39 p = 0.012 F = 6.370 238
C1.2 Opportunities and risks of new technology 3.12 3.12 3.12 NS 240
Average C1 Score
3.40 3.27 3.63 F = 9.454 p = 0.002 244
C2: Identifying and Promoting Sustainable Behaviors C2.3 Transferability of innovative and sustainable
practices in different socio-economic and
cultural contexts 3.64 3.44 4.02 F = 15.219 p = 0.000 242
C2.5 Facilitation of information exchange and collective action by communication and
networking technologies 3.59 3.50 3.76 NS 243
C2.2 Evolution and influence of cultural values, beliefs and world views and ethics in context of
global environmental change 3.58 3.36 3.99 F = 18.361 p = 0.000 243 C2.4 Perception of gradual and sudden
environmental changes and events in different
socio-economic and cultural contexts 3.57 3.42 3.85 p = 0.006 F = 7.840 242 C2.1 Defining and measuring sustainable
consumption in different contexts 3.25 3.15 3.44 NS 242
Average C2 Score
3.52 3.37 3.80 F = 12.943 p = 0.000 245
C3: Transforming Development Pathways C3.3 Influence of socio-economic conditions on
attitudes and actions toward the environment 3.74 3.59 4.00 p = 0.000 F = 9.169 240 C3.1 Valuation of biodiversity and ecosystem
services in macro-economic policies 3.66 3.62 3.73 NS 246
C3.5 New institutions and approaches to governance
for sustainable transformation 3.64 3.43 4.01 F = 14.686 p = 0.000 244 C3.4 Nature and role of narratives in driving human
behavior and social change 3.53 3.31 3.93 F = 19.487 p = 0.000 242 C3.2 Adapting and transforming infrastructure and
services 3.51 3.39 3.72 p = 0.017 F = 5.750 244
Average C3 Score
3.62 3.49 3.85 F = 11.842 p = 0.001 248