PA Resources
AGM 2012
Annual General Meeting
Bo Askvik, President & CEO
PA Resources
where we are today
»
No value in the North Sea
asset portfolio
»
Marginal value recognised
in Block I, Equatorial Guinea
»
High investment level,
capex/produced barrel
equal to 80 USD
»
New play discoveries in
Denmark as operator
»
Aseng investments recovered
after 9 months - strong future
cashflow
»
Significantly lower investment
level, capex/produced barrel
equal to 6 USD in Q1 2012
Focusing on
Africa and North Sea
* Million barrels of oil equivalents, Working Interest figures per 31 Dec. 2011
KEY FACTS:
• Oil and gas company with operations and assets in nine countries
• Exploration, development and production portfolio - key infrastructure assets in Africa
• Oil production in Equatorial Guinea,
Republic of Congo (Brazzaville) and Tunisia
• Average production of 8,700 bopd in Q1 2012
• 60.2 million mmboe in 2P reserves and 145 mmboe in contingent resources*
• 130 employees in Tunisia, the UK and Sweden
25
oil and gas licences6
producing fields9
potential commercial discoveries Operator of12
licences Production Development ExplorationShareholder structure
per March 2012
Number of shares Capital/votesAVANZA PENSION 53,990,324 8.5% NORDNET PENSIONSFÖRSÄKRING 21,657,208 3.4% LÄNSFÖRSÄKRINGAR FONDER AB 17,270,874 2.7% CBNY-DFA-INT SML CAP V 15,454,377 2.4% ROBUR FÖRSÄKRING 10,883,241 1.7% AB TRACTION 10,778,014 1.7%
VOB & T HOLDING AB 10,000,000 1.6% SEB S.A., W8IMY 9,378,446 1.5% JP MORGAN BANK 7,765,220 1.2%
JPM CHASE NA 7,724,045 1.2%
Total - 10 largest shareholders 164,901,749 25.9%
Total - other shareholders 472,575,144 74.1%
Total number of shares 637,476,893 100%
• The share listed on NASDAQ OMX Stockholm (Mid Cap)
• Market capitalization of approx. SEK 920 million
• Enterprise value of approx. SEK 4.3 billion and
Nomination committee in 2011:
• Länsförsäkringar
• AB Traction
Financial
Review
Macro perspective
•
Geopolitical uncertainty continues•
European debt crisis and outlook of global economy coming year uncertain•
Lack of extra production capacity•
Demand still driven by growtheconomies such as China and India
•
Transport sector increasing in pace with population and GDP•
It is getting more difficult to find oil•
Existing producing fields have a natural decline rate of 4% a year•
+40 million barrels per day needed from new producing fields by 20300 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Brent price trend 2006 - 2012
Production trend
and update
CONGO: Azurite
• Marked decline in one well since February 2012, well flowing at minimal rate
• Technical and economic analysis of remedial options ongoing
• One week shutdown for annual field maintenance planned for in late May 2012
EG: Aseng
• Higher target level of around 60,000 boepd reached in early March 2012
• Fifth production well on stream - all wells contributing fully, gas re-injection fully commissioned
• Frequent liftings
EG: Alen
• Delopment project on plan for production start 2013, significant cost synergies reducing opex
Average production per country/bopd
0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Production
and sales
Average quarterly production/bopd bopd Full Year
2011 Q1 2012 APRIL 2012 West Africa 5,300 6,200 5,700 North Africa 3,300 2,500 2,700 Group Total 8,600 8,700 8,400
Average sales price USD/bbl LIFTINGS IN 2012: Q1 - EARLY APRIL
• 546,000 bbls from Aseng and Tunisia in Q1
• 520,000 bbls from Azurite on 4 April (Q2 2012) 71 78 72 82 97 109 106 104 120 77 79 78 85 106 117 113 109 119 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 PA Resources Brent 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 Q1 2012
Earnings and
key ratios
Q1 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2011 FY 2010
Production (bopd) 8,700 8,400 8,600 10,700 Oil price (USD/barrel) 120 104 103 76
Revenue (SEK million) 650 535 2,154 2,227 EBITDA (SEK million) 395 306 1,295 1,276 EBITDA margin 60.8% 57.2% 60.1% 57.3% Profit before tax (SEK million)* 68 11 158 179 Profit for the period
(SEK million)*
-31 -96 -326 -316
Earnings per share (SEK) -0.05 -2.91 -3.27 -0.61
* Figures for 2011 exclude non-cash, one-off costs of SEK 2,035 million before tax and SEK 1,758 million after tax.
1,613 32 240 - 375 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 1 800 2011 2012 SE K m il li on
Significantly
lower capex in 2012
Actual Forecasted
Capex 2011 - 2012
Tunisia: Zarat Elyssa Q4 2012/2013 Appraisal/1
Tunisia: Makthar 2013 Exploration/1
EG: Block H Aleta Q4 2012/2013 Exploration/1
DK: 12/06 Lille John 2013 Appraisal/1 Drilling program/planned wells 2012-2013
KEY COMMENTS
• 2012 forecast of SEK 240-375 million
• Capex of SEK 32 million in Q1
Improved
cash flow
SEK million Q1 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2011 FY 2010Operating cash flow 175 -106 812 416 of which income
taxes paid
-3 -7 -45 -230
CAPEX -32 -135 -1,613 1,585 Financing activities -13 36 -408 2,321
Net cash flow 131 -204 -1,209 1,152
AZURITE LIFTING – Q2 2012
• Azurite lifting on 4 April adds SEK 400 million cash flow, and reduces net debt
• PA Resources’ next planned lifting from Azurite in early 2013
Refinancing
activities
•
5 year senior unsecured NOK 900 million bond loan issued in March 2011 to refinance maturing loans in 2011 and 2012•
Total amortizations of net SEK 408 million in 2011•
As per 25 April net debt reduced by SEK 580 million since year end amounting to SEK 3.4 billion•
Next maturity in October 20130 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 May - Dec. 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Maturity structure
Bonds and convertibels (SEK million)
Reduced
debt
KEY COMMENTS – Q4 2011
• Substantial reduction in 2P reserves on Azurite field
resulted in impairment of SEK 1,436 million
• Write-down of SEK 599 million related to Didon North and divestment of El Bibane and Ezzaouia fields in Tunisia
Balance Sheet (SEK million) 2011 2010
Non-current assets 7 910 8 952
Current assets 981 1 946
Total assets 8 892 10 898
Equity attributable to owners
of the parent 3 270 5 250
Non-current liabilities 4 031 3 606 Current liabilities 1 592 2 042
Total equity and liabilities 8 892 10 898
25 April* Q1 2012 Q4 2011 Covenant
Book Equity (SEK million) 2,994 2,994 3,270 >2,000
Book Equity to
Capital Employed 46% 43% 45% >40%
Operational
update
IMPORTANT EVENTS
Equatorial Guinea:
• Early production start at the Aseng field in November 2011, adding frequent cash flow from Q1 2012
• Alen development in progress adding significant cost synergies to PAR, production start in 2013
• New operator for Block H
Congo:
• Azurite development completed with lower production than expected, booked 2P reserves written down by 6 mmboe
• Exploration well on Marine XIV found non-commercial hydrocarbons
Highlights 2011:
West Africa
12.2 20 62 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2P Reserves Contingent Resources Risked Prospective Resources West Africa
Reserves and resources (mmboe)
SEK 780 million
in investmentsSEK 3,304 million
in non-current assetsIMPORTANT EVENTS
• Allocation of reserves and development planning of Zarat field in progress
• Production well on the satellite field Didon North failed
• No commercial discoveries found on Jelma
• Disposal of two small producing fields - El Bibane and Ezzaouia
• Political situation resulting in social instability affecting activities in the country
Highlights 2011:
North Africa
SEK 486 million
in investmentsSEK 3,848 million
in non-current assets3,300 barrels/day
in average production48 91 48 0 20 40 60 80 100 2P Reserves Contingent Resources Risked Prospective Resources North Africa:
IMPORTANT EVENTS
• Discovery of gas and condensate on Broder Tuck in Danish licence 12/06
• Oil discovery in the Miocene structure on Lille John in Danish licence 12/06
• Seismic analysis completed in Greenland resulting in a number of sizable prospects and leads
• Awarded new licence in Germany, adjacent to Danish 12/06
Highlights 2011:
North Sea and Greenland
SEK 347 million
in investmentsSEK 758 million
in non-current assets34 299 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 2P Reserves Contingent Resources Risked Prospective Resources
North Sea and Greenland:
Successful drilling campaign on 12/06 in Denmark
PA Resources 64% (Operator)
Background
• 12/06 licence located in the Danish part of North Sea
• Adjacent to existing oil and gas infrastructure
• Exploration well drilled in 1975 (Broder Tuck field today), encountered a gas column
• Awarded adjacent German licence in January 2011, before successful drilling
Denmark 12/06: Thorough geoscience analysis
PA Resources 64% (Operator)
Pre-drill perceptions
•
1975 well with small gas column in Middle Jurassic•
Industry perception of Chalk as only target in area, with high risk on oil chargeOur perceptions
•
Structures drilled historically on 2D data – 3D acquired in past but no subsequent exploration drilling•
Lies in Danish Central Graben – large fields nearbyWhat we did
•
Use of 3D to define Lille John as multi-target prospect (Miocene, Chalk, Middle Jurassic)Denmark 12/06: Discoveries and way forward
PA Resources 64% (Operator)
Licence Group: Operator PA Resources (64%),
Danish North Sea Fund (20%), Spyker Energy (8%), Danoil (8%)
Lille John-1 Broder Tuck - 2
B20008-73 12/06
Broder Tuck
•
360m+ gas and condensate column proved by wells•
High quality Middle Jurassic reservoir•
Mid to high case assessment of c. 25-50 mmboe gross of contingent resources including liquids•
2012 work programme to progress development planning towards commercialisationLille John
•
Wells established 35 API oil in Miocene sandstone at c. 900m – exceptionally light oil for shallow depth•
Obvious seismic anomaly at Miocene•
Recognition of shallow light oil re-focussed work on developing a Miocene prospect inventory•
Likely to be remaining deeper potential – Chalk remains and well result upgrades Middle Jurassic•
2012 work programme to reprocess 3D to determine prospect inventory and appraisal well location,PA Resources’ operator with focus on HSE
Objective - safe drilling campaign with minimal impact
• Total working hours; 184,149 or 7,673 man days with an average of 72 personnel on board during operation
• Reportable incidents; 0 environmental incidents, 3 reportable incidents, 0 lost time incidents, 1 first aid case
• HSE audits; > 100 audits by PA Resources’ rig-based HSE supervisor
• Transportations; 6,698 tonnes of equipment moved to/from rig in 68 supply boat sailings
• Use of chemicals; 238.8 tonnes of chemicals discharged being 96.3% designated Green substances which pose little or no risk to environment
• Use of environmentally harmful substances; usage of only 15.6 tonnes of 221 tonnes in total that PA Resources was permitted to use, of which, zero tonnes discharged to the environment
Success factors and the 12/06 team
Key success factors
•
Careful, diligent work and formed own evidence-based views on prospectivity•
Conducted a safe drilling campaign with minimal impact to highest standards•
High degree transparency to joint venture partners and DEA•
Professional team and good communicationPA Resources UK – the 12/06 team
Fiona Goodfellow
Geoscience Project Leader
Dave Mackertich
Senior Geoscientist
Mark Attree
Exploration Manager
Jon Lucas
Geotechn. & HSE Manager
Graham Goffey
Regional Director
William Tyrell
Reserves and
valuation
2011
Reserves and resources
2P Reserves
• Aseng derisked – 6 months in production
• Alen production start in 2013 Contingent Resources
• Danish discoveries on 12/06 added 32 mmboe
Risked Prospective Resources
• Seismic analys of Greenland licence added significant volumes
• Danish 12/06 exploration potential
60.2 145 409 72.5 141 297 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 2P Reserves Contingent Resources Risked Prospective Resources 2011 2010
Overview:
Assets per classification
● Azurite ● Didon ● Tunisia onshore ● Zarat liquids ● Block I: ● Aseng ● Alen ● Didon ● Zarat gas ● Elyssa ● Zarat permit ● Didon North ● Denmark 12/06 ● Block I (other)● Mer Profonde Sud
● Marine XIV
● Netherlands
● Tunisia: Jelma, Makthar, Jenein Centre, Zarat permit
● UK
● Mer Profonde Sud (Miocene & Sendji)
● Marine XIV
● Block I and Block H
● Netherlands: Schagen, Q7 ● Denmark: 12/06, Gita/Maja ● Greenland, Block 8 60.2 mmboe 145 mmboe 409 mmboe
2P Reserves Contingent Resources
Risked
Current valuation
of
2P reserves
Peer group
2012
*
PAR
AGM 2012
PAR
AGM 2011
Market capitalisation 920 2,665 Net debt 3,400 3,280Enterprise value SEK million 4,320 5,945
Enterprise value USD million 1,124 640 950
2P boe million 77 60.2 72.5
Value/2P boe (USD) 14.60 10.60 13.10
PAR oil price (USD) 120 103
Indicative
valuation of selected assets
Producing: 17.2 18 - 28 310 - 482 North Africa: • Tunisia West Africa: • Congo (Azurite) • EG (Aseng) To be developed: 43.0 37.8 4.5 – 8.5 364 - 686• Tunisia: Zarat field
• EG: Block I
• Denmark: Broder Tuck
Total 674 – 1,168 Net debt -500 (Market) value 174 - 668 SEK/share *equivalent 1.85 – 7.00 60.2 mmboe 145 mmboe 2P Reserves Contingent
Strategic focus
update
Develop prioritised assets Increase reserves and resources Strengthen capital structureIncrease value from existing assets
•
Azurite and Aseng completed•
Alen production start in 2013Development of prioritised assets in Africa
Selective exploration activities
•
Discoveries on 12/06 in DenmarkStrengthen captital structure
•
Refinancing activities in 2011•
Net debt reduced by SEK 600 million in Jan. – April 2012•
Low capex – positive cash flow in 2012Outlook and
focus 2012
•
Technical and economic analysis of
remedial options for Azurite well
•
Appraisal drilling and development
planning of Danish discoveries towards
commercialisation
•
Selective appraisal and exploration
activity in EG: Block I and Block H
•
Progressing the Zarat field and Block I
development projects
Thank you!