1
Q
Q4 2012 Results
per segment
Consumer – slide 29 Enterprise – slide 36 SDE&W – slide 42 S&S – slide 43 BICS – slide 44Other topics
Shareholder structure – slide 46 Network & Spectrum – slide 47 Pricing – slide 53
New Telco Law – slide 58 Regulation & Legal – slide 59 Macro –slide 63
Belgacom Presentation
Q4 2012 results
March 2013
FY 2012 Overview
Executive summary – slide 3 Guidance’12– slide 4
Revenue – slide 5 Ebitda– slide 8 Capex– slide 9 FCF– slide 10
Shareholder return – slide 13 Outlook 2013 – slide 14
Q4 2012 Group
Highlights
P&L – slide 16
Q4 2012 Revenue – slide 17 Cost of Sales – slide 19 Non-HR expenses - slide 20 HR expenses – slide 21 EBITDA – slide 22 Operationals – slide 23
Cautionary Statement
“This communication might include some forward-looking statements, without limitation,
regarding Belgacom’s financial or operational results, certain strategic plans or
objectives, macro-economic trends, regulation, future market conditions and other risk
factors. These forward-looking statements rely on a number of assumptions
concerning future events and are subject to uncertainties and other factors, many of
which are outside Belgacom’s control. Therefore the actual future results may differ
materially from those expressed in or implied by the statements.
Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which
speak only of the date of this communication.
Belgacom disclaims any intention or obligation to update and revise any
Executive summary on FY 2012
Slide 3Belgacom
delivered on its
2012 financial
expectations
-
Group
revenue
grew versus 2011
-
EBITDA
as expected under pressure
-
Belgacom financially sound company
Competitive
dynamics
changed
Belgacom well
placed to face
the change
–
Convergence
strategy giving key support
–
Solid growth of
Fixed products
–
PACKS
increasingly with mobile
–
Mobile market
became more volatile in 2012
–
New Telecom law
accelerated customer rotation in Q4
–
Belgacom responded
to the new market conditions
+ 175,000 TV
+ 46,000 BB
+ 148,000 PACKS
+ 153,000 cards* - 196,000 cards*
*Excluding a cleaning of 19k internal cards as reported in the beginning of 2012
FY 2012 guidance achieved
Metrics
Revised Guidance FY’12
(excl. Telco Law)
Full-year 2012
(excl. Telco Law)
Group revenue
Up to +1%
+1.1%
Group EBITDA
Between
“-4% to -5% “
-4.9%
Capex/Revenue
Upper end of “10% to 12%”
11.6%
• The outlook did not take into
account the one-off accounting
adjustment on revenue (EUR -12
million) and EBITDA (EUR -34 million) recorded in the second quarter 2012 following the new Telecom Law that was passed on 28 June 2012.Revenue 6
6,462
12
6,474
EBITDA 1,784 34
1,819
FY 2012 reported
Acc impact new telco law
FY 2012 after adjustment for
FY 2012
Group revenue
grew, underlying
revenue up 1.9% YoY
Slide 5
Success of TV,
growth in Fixed and
Mobile data, solid
revenue Tango
ICT &
mobile
data
Voice
volumes,
destination
mix, data
growth,
dollar
-46 MTR -40 Roaming -4 other+0.9%
reported+1.9%
Under- lyingFY 2012
CBU revenue
supported by
convergence strategy
Solid growth of
Fixed & Mobile
Data, Belgacom
TV and TANGO
+1.4%
reported+1.5%
Under- lyingRevenue evolution – in million €
MTR and
Roaming
2,349
2,294
-46
-2
-17
10
2012
EBU revenue
, limited erosion in
challenging economic & competitive context
Slide 7
Organic revenue growth of mobile
data and growth ICT offsetting
pressure on voice, ex-regulation
-2.3%
reported
+0.4%
Under- lying
Revenue evolution – in million €
MTR and
Roaming
FY 2012
Group
ebitda
under pressure,
underlying 1.1% lower
-40m Roaming
-12m MTR
-3m other
-1.1%
Under- lying-6.7%
reportedInvest
in high-quality
fixed & mobile network
to maintain leadership in convergence
Accelerated
network
investments
- maintain network
superiority on
mobile speed and
coverage
,
- substantially
increase the
bandwidth on fixed
network via
vectoring
technology
- make operations
leaner through a
simplified network
Slide 9
734
777
753
11.1%
12 .1%
11.7%
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%2010
2011
2012
Outlook 2013
Group Capex
in € millio n / % of revenue
13%-14%
2012
Free Cash Flow
of € 691 million
FCF evolution – in million €
Sound financial position
Slide 11
-
Net financial debt at EUR 1,601 m
-
The outstanding long term financial gross debt amounted to € 1.9Bio
-
Credit ratings: Standard & Poor’s A; Moody’s A1 – both stable outlook
Debt maturing
2013 € 129m 2015 € 145m 2016 € 950m 2018 € 500m 2026 € 73mBelgacom consolidated
balance sheet
•
Shareholders’ equity decreased from
€ 3,078m end 2011 to € 3,016m in
December. This reflects the dividend
distribution as approved by the
General Meeting of April 2012 and
the interim dividend paid in
December 2012, which was higher
than the 2012 net income .
•
Goodwill of €2,339m , up as a result
of the acquisition of Wireless
Technologies BVBA (chain of The
Phone House stores
)31-Dec 31-Dec
(EUR million) 2011 2012
TOTAL ASSETS 8,312 8,211
Non-recurrent assets 6,217 6,160 Goodwill 2,323 2,339 Intangible assets with finite useful life 1,155 1,097 Property, plant and equipment 2,401 2,467 Investments in associates 3 1 Other participating interests 31 7 Deferred income tax assets 121 113 Pension and other non-current assets 182 136 Current assets 2,095 2,051 Inventories 116 133 Trade receivables 1,328 1,341 Current income tax assets & other current assets 295 292
Investments 36 83
Cash and cash equivalents 320 202
LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 8,312 8,211
Equity 3,303 3,228
Shareholders' equity 3,078 3,016 Minority interests 225 212 Non-current liabilities 2,749 2,512 Interest-bearing liabilities 1,931 1,761 Pensions and other post-employment benefits 479 402
Provisions 180 203
Deferred tax liabilities and other amounts payable 159 145 Current liabilities 2,260 2,472 Interest-bearing liabilities 41 215 Trade payables 1,343 1,310 Income tax payable 229 236 Other current payables 647 711
Belgacom intends to ensure its shareholders an
attractive return
Slide 13
A total gross normal dividend of EUR 1.68 per share
will be proposed to the Annual
Shareholders Meeting of 17 April 2013 . As a result, Belgacom exceptionally increased its
dividend to a total of EUR 2.49 gross per share for the 2012 full-year results. Key dates
for the normal dividend:
Ex-dividend date: 23/04/2013 - Record date: 25/04/2013 - Payment date: 26/04/2013
on
Result
2
2012
0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 150% 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 SBB Dividends % of FCFShareholder remuneration
Mio €on
Result
2013
0.29 0.50 0.50 0.40 0.50 0.50 0.50 0.55 0.31 1.38 1.52 1.60 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 1.68 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012*Interim dividend Extra dividend Normal dividend
Dividend per share
1.93
1.52 1.89
2.18 2.18 2.08 2.18 2.18 2.49
* Subject to approval an the Annual Shareholders Meeting of 17 April 2013
With the current limited visibility on the Belgian market due to competitive
pressure and the unfavourable economy, the Board of Directors agreed to
address shareholder return at a later stage, and consider returning a EUR 0.50
interim dividend per share in December 2013 if Belgacom’s financial performance
for the year 2013 at that time proves to be in line with its full-year outlook.
Outlook
for 2013
-
Current operating environment with lower visibility due to a more volatile competitive
landscape and an unfavourable economy.
-
The guidance takes into account an estimated negative impact from regulatory measures
of about € -93m on revenue and about € -53m on EBITDA.
-
Accelerated network investments to maintain network superiority
Metrics
Reported
FY 2012
Restated
FY 2012
(incl IAS19 revision)
Outlook
FY 2013
(vs restated 2012
)
Group revenue
6,462
6,462
between -1% and -2%
Group EBITDA
1,784
1,801
Between -4% and -6%
Group
Consumer
Business Unit
REMARK
Waiting for
other picture
from Marketing
REMAR
Waiting
other pict
from Mark
Quarterly
results
Group –
quarterly P&L
On reported basis, incl. one-off items
VAR VAR Q4/Q4 FY R Revenues (1) 1,5 8 3 1,6 12 1,5 9 6 1,6 16 6 ,406 1,5 8 8 1,6 11 1,6 20 1,6 44 6 ,46 2 1.7% 0.9 % T Total OPEX -1,103 -1,09 9 -1,123 -1,16 9 -4,49 4 -1,122 -1,176 -1,16 0 -1,219 -4,6 77 4.2% 4.1%
Cost of goods sold -609 -621 -633 -655 -2,517 -614 -667 -649 -680 -2,611 3.9% 3.7%
HR-costs -274 -282 -278 -283 -1,117 -282 -285 -294 -282 -1,141 -0.4% 2.2% Other expenses -220 -196 -2130 -232 -8600 -226 -224 -218 -257 -9250 10.9% 7.6% E EBITDA (1) 48 0 5 12 472 446 1,9 12 46 6 434 46 0 425 1,78 4 -4.8 % -6 .7% EBITDA margin (1) 30.3% 31.8% 29.6% 27.6% 29.8% 29.3% 27.0% 28.4% 25.9% 27.6% -1.8 pp -2.2 pp N
Non recurring items 0 -18 0 4 -15 0 -10 -3 -4 -18 -
-Depreciation -195 -199 -180 -182 -756 -181 -188 -185 -194 -748 6.5% -0.9%
EBIT (incl. NR) 28 6 29 5 29 2 26 8 1,141 28 4 236 271 227 1,018 -15 .4% -10.8 %
Financial result -30 -21 -31 -25 -106 -18 -22 -47 -24 -111 -3.1% 4.9%
Tax expense -61 -73 -59 -69 -262 -65 -48 -34 -30 -177 -57.0% -32.3%
Net income (Group) 19 4 19 9 19 5 16 9 75 6 19 9 16 1 18 4 16 8 711 -0.7% -6 .0%
Non-controlling interest 1 3 8 5 17 3 5 5 5 19 - -E Earnings/share in € 0.6 0 0.6 2 0.6 1 0.5 3 2.36 0.6 2 0.5 1 0.5 8 0.5 3 2.24 -0.4% -5 .3% Earnings/share in € (excl. NR) 0.60 0.68 0.61 0.52 2.39 0.62 0.56 0.59 0.54 2.29 4.1% -4.1% F FY 2012 Q Q412 FY 2011 Q211 Q112 (1)
before non-recurring items
Q312 Q311
1,583 1,612 1,596 1,616 1,588 1,611 1,620 1,644 1,2 80 1,3 30 1,3 80 1,4 30 1,4 80 1,5 30 1,5 80 1,6 30 1,6 80 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Solid Q4’12 Group revenue: +1.7% YoY
Reported Q4’12 revenue up 1.7% YoY.
Like-for-like, revenue +0.7% YoY
Incl € -23m impact regulation (-1.4%)
Underlying revenue growth +2.1%
+1.7%
Solid Q4’12 revenue contribution, reported revenue +1.5% yoy driven by
further improvement in Fixed products and revenue contribution from The
Phone House, compensating for the deteriorating Mobile revenues .
Stable, limited revenue erosion of 2.1% for Q4, in context of an
unfavourable economy and stiff competition on the professional market.
Further improvement in revenue trend, growing 7.3% in Q4, mainly
driven by a strong volume growth combined with a favourable
destination-mix and continued growth in Data revenue.
Consumer
Enterprise
BICS
Business Unit
Business Unit
Quarterly Group Revenue ( € million)
Slide 17
6,462
2012 – Positive revenue trend vs 2011
Sequential Group revenue growth throughout 2012
Full-year 2012 revenue up 0.9% vs 2011, +1.9%
underlying revenue growth
Q
Q4 2012 CBU growing on a reported and underlying level, like-for-like down, excl. M&A impact
BICS revenue trend continued improving YoY in Q4 2012 supported by strong volume growth & destination mix
Q4 2012 EBU underlying revenue down -0.3% with the ICT revenue contribution nearly offsetting the Voice erosion
-2.6% 0.3% -0.1% 1.5% 1.7% -1.6% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% -1.0% 1.0% 1.8% 2.7% 2.1% Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
Group revenue evolution
Revenue as reported Like-for-Like Underlyi ng
-4.6% 2.1% -0.7% 2.8% 1.5% -4.0% 0.5% -0.8% 0.3% -1.0% -3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
CBU revenue evolution
Revenue as reported Like-for-Lik e Underlyi ng
-2.4% -2.2% -2.9% -2.2% -2.1% -0.2% -1.0% -0.3% -2.5% -2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.8% 1.3% -0.3% Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
EBU revenue evolution
Revenue as reported Like-for-Like Underlyi ng
-0.3%
2.6%
5.5% 5.7% 7.3%
Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
BICS revenue evolution
609 621 633 655 614 667 649 680 480 530 580 630 680 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Q4 Cost of Sales up 3.9%, driven by BICS
+3.9%
CoS 1.5% lower yoy. The positive impact of the capitalization of modems,
regulation and lower acquisition costs more than offset the cost increase due
to The Phone House.
Consumer
Lower CoS , 0.9% lower YoY, due to lower MTRs, more than offsetting the
unfavorable evolution of EBU’s product mix on the CoS.
Enterprise
Higher CoS ( +7.1 % ) linked to strong Q4 revenue growth
BICS
Business Unit
Business Unit
Quarterly Cost of Sales ( € million)
Slide 19
2,611 2,517 +3.7%
Q4’12 Cost of Sales at € 680m, + 3.9% YoY
driven by BICS, while Consumer & Business CoS
slightly down
220 196 213 232 226 224 218 257 15 0 16 0 17 0 18 0 19 0 20 0 21 0 22 0 23 0 24 0 25 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Higher non-HR expenses
Q4’12 non-HR expenses of € 257m, € 25m
higher YoY due to:
–
Unfavorable variance one-off expenses;
–
year-end review of bad debt;
–
costs related to The Phone House and
–
costs linked to Belgacom’s efficiency project
+10.9%
Non-HR expenses up, mainly driven the cost contribution of The Phone
House, partly offset by favorable change in cast-allocation (Group neutral)
Consumer
Negatively impacted by the change in cost allocation (Group neutral) and
YoY increase in bad debt versus low Q4’11 basis
Enterprise
Business Unit
Business Unit
Quarterly Non-HR expenses ( € million)
Yoy increase as variance was impacted by a one-off positive provision reversal
booked in Q4 2011
SDE & W
925
5000 10000 15000 20000 25000
YE96 YE98 YE00 YE02 YE04 YE06 YE08 YE10 Q4 12
Belgacom headcount in FTE
274 282 278 283 282 285 294 282 150 170 190 210 230 250 270 290 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Quarterly HR-expenses (€ million)
Q4’12 HR expenses nearly stable YoY
Positive effect of headcount restructuring
program ‘Tutorship’ and favorable yoy
comparison year-end provisions offset by:
Inflation-based salary indexations (March 2012)
and other wage drifts
M&A-driven and business critical additional
headcount
-0.4%
9 15,859 FTEs end December (+71 FTE YoY)
9 Civil Servants decreased to 34% of total headcount
Estimated cash-out for termination benefits EUR million 2013 79 2014 49 2015 21 2016 6 2017-2033 24* (* Cumulative for full period) PTS -6,300 FTE BeST -4,160 FTE 2006-2012 Tutorship & FMS -3,900 FTE Jan ‘12 : The Phone House +518 FTE Telindus +2,600 FTE 15,859 Slide 21 1,141 1,117 +2.2%
480
512
472
446
466
434
460
425
30.3% 31.8%
29.6%
27.6%
29.3% 27.0%
28.4%
25.9%
-3.0 % 2.0 % 7.0 % 12 .0% 17 .0% 22 .0% 27 .0% 32 .0% 0 10 0 20 0 30 0 40 0 50 0 60 0Q111
Q211
Q311
Q411
Q112
Q212
Q312
Q412
Q4’12 Group
EBITDA
* -4.8% YoY
Q4’12 Group EBITDA of €425 m, before non-recurring expenses
–
-4.8% lower vs 2011, with YoY variance complicated by:–
incidentals and M&A, with a total impact of € -13m–
regulatory measures impacted EBITDA by € -14m (-3.2%)
Underlying Belgacom Group EBITDA -0.9% YoY:
–
result of YoY improvement of underlying Consumer and SDE&W segment result–
offset by lower result for Business segment.-4.8%
Quarterly
Group EBITDA
( € million)
1,784
1,912 -6.7%
Solid performance
fixed
products
Belgian digital TV penetration @ 76%
Stable DTV market share of 32%
Total TV market** share of 25% ; +3pp YoYD
DTV market share
*Corresponds to the total settop boxes, including multi-stream ** Total TV market includes analog TV
Belgian Fixed internet market still growing, but at slower pace
Internet penetration @ 77%
Belgacom market share erosion limited to -0.3% YoYFixed Internet market share
Slide 23
Stable market, Fixed Voice penetration @ 73%
Belgacom stabilized its Fixed Voice line erosion
Fixed Voice line “upgraded” via:9
Flat rate calling “Happy Time XL” and “Happy Time International”9
Multi-play packaging 18 15 9 12 11 1,591 1,606 1,615 1,626 1,637 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 -2 3 8 13 18 23 28 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12Broadband customer evolution
net adds total
B
S
T 72 43 48 39 46 1,211 1,254 1,301 1,340 1,386 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 0 20 40 60 80 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 TV Lines evolution*net adds total
-35 -39 -37 -30 -33 3,225 3,186 3,149 3,119 3,085 2 ,5 00 2 ,7 00 2 ,9 00 3 ,1 00 3 ,3 00 3 ,5 00 -50 -30 -10 1 0 3 0 5 0 7 0 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
Fixed Voice customer evolution
net adds total
11 1,637 1,637 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 Q4'12 1 386
Customer acquisition via
convergent
Packs
– Mobile in Pack continues to increase
66 54 34 37 23 1,089,000 1,143,000 1,177,000 1,214,000 1,237,000 700,000 800,000 900,000 1,000,000 1,100,000 1,200,000 0 20 40 60 80 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Packs evolution
net adds total
11,237,000
PACKS
Revenues GGenerating UUnits* per residential households in Q4
9
Of the total number of residential Packs sold in 2012, 440% includes a mobile component9
Fixed ARPU per residential Household up from € 43 in Q4’11 to € 46 in Q4’12 driven by positive evolution of number of products per household+148k in 2012
2.55
43 € 46 €
Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 fixed ARPU per HH
New Telco law and competition impacted
the
mobile
subscriber base
Postpaid: - 16,000
Prepaid: -72,000
The new Telco law, in addition to aggressive competitive pricing impacted the mobile subscriber baseMobile market share
Change in customers’behaviour triggered by new law
(fixed term contract)
and new low price offers as from October.
Impacting the Residential and SME mobile market1 Active mobile cards
2 Mobile active customers including mobile customers Luxembourg, and including mobile data cards. 18k inactive cards cleaned from total Mobile customer base end 2011 3 Sum in absolute amounts of both the weekly port-in and the weekly port-out
1 Slide 25 64 39 45 -39 -88 5,458 5,498 5,543 5,504 5,416 4,000 4,200 4,400 4,600 4,800 5,000 5,200 5,400 5,600 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12
Mobile customer evolution2
net adds total
addition ve obile
Mobile market share1
w1 w11 w21 w31 w41 w51
Weekly port-in + port- out CBU postpaid in 2012
new FTC law
Mobile postpaid market volatility amplified as from Q4’12
New market conditions led to more value
included in Belgacom’s
new mobile offers
-15 €
Data x 5 +
(4G included)-5 €
Data x 4 +
(4G option)+40 Min
Data included
Voice :
SMS :
Data :
1 Gb
Unlimited
Unlimited
90€
(75€)5Gb
Unlimited
Unlimited
75€
(60€)Q4-11
Q4-12
250 Mb
120 Min
Unlimited
25€
(20€)1 Gb
120 Min
Unlimited
20€
(15€)Q4-11
Q4-12
/
60 Min
Unlimited
15€
(10€)500 Mb
100 Min
Unlimited
15€
(10€)Q4-11
Q4-12
Comfort 90
Comfort 25
Generation MTV 15
Tariffs : stand-alone (in pack)Smart 20
Smart 75
All assets in hands
to cope with changing
telecom market
Slide 27
99.85% DSL
(among world leaders)
85% VDSL
(2nd in Europe)> 92% TV
coverage
DSL
4G
FON
Largest WiFi
network in
Belgium
650,000 FON spots in Belgium7 million throughout the world
First to launch in
November ‘12
2G
99.98%
coverage
Belgacom has extensive service coverage and state of the art
service platforms
enabling true service convergence
3G
97%
coverage
g
g
Source: IDATE – June 2011FTTx homes passed per country
0% 25% 50% 75% 100% SW I PO R BE UK DE FR NL FTTH/B VDSL BE
28
Belgacom
Company presentation
Investor Relations
Consumer Business Unit (CBU)
Enterprise Business Unit (EBU)
Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W)
Staff and Support (S&S)
Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS)
Q4 2012 results per business unit
Consumer Business Unit (CBU)
Enterprise Business Unit (EBU)
Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W)
Staff and Support (S&S)
264 271 257 233 251 232 261 241 46.7% 46.8% 45.0% 40.8%43.5% 40.4% 44.5% 41.6% 30 .0% 35 .0% 40 .0% 45 .0% 50 .0% 18 0 20 0 22 0 24 0 26 0 28 0 30 0 32 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
CBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin
83 85 86 87 90 88 92 88 70 74 71 84 74 73 77 86 0 20 40 60 80 10 0 12 0 14 0 16 0 18 0 20 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Personnel Non- HR
CBU Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio)
149 149 158 168 162 182 157 166 90 11 0 13 0 15 0 17 0 19 0 21 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
CBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio)
565 579 571 572 577 575 587 581 51 0 53 0 55 0 57 0 59 0 61 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
CBU revenue (EUR mio)
Consumer - P&L
Limited increase in HR expenses, up 0.9% ; driven by The Phone House acquisition (partly divested Mid-November) & wage indexation. This was nearly offset by favorable YoYcomparison of year-end HR provisions.
Non-HR expenses 2.3% up, mainly driven by contribution from The Phone House and an update of year-end provisions
Segment result Q4 ’12 +3.5% YoY. Better Gross Margin as revenuetrend improved & Cost of Sales remained controlled while HR-expenses showed a limited increase due to a favorable YoY comparison of year-end HR-provisions
–
Regulation impact of € -5 m (-2.3%)–
Contribution margin of 41.6%, i.e. +0.8 p.p. YoY
Solid revenue growth from TV and Fixed Internet, Fixed voice decline slowed. All supported by Packs.–
Reported revenue includes M&A; like-for-like revenue -1.0%–
Regulation impact of €-10m (-1.7%)–
Underlying revenue +0.7% YoY+1.5%
-1.5%
+1.6%
+3.5%
Improved Direct Margin driven by both higher revenue & lower Cost of Sales
Slide 29
Q4’ 12 Cost of Sales 1.5% lower YoY–
Positive impact of the capitalization of modems, regulationand lower acquisition costs
–
More than offset cost increase due to The Phone House2,321 2,288 666 624 359 340 986 1,025 310 299 +1.4% +6.8% +3.7% +5.5% -3.8%
1,061
977 936 1,036 1,086 1,027 965 1,060
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Traffic (mio min)
20.2 20.0 19.7 19.8 20.2 19.7 19.7 20.0
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month)
-37 -26 -31 -21 -20 -22 -21 -18 1,896 1,870 1,839 1,818 1,780 1,758 1,737 1,718 30 53 0 1,0 30 1,5 30 2,0 30 -50 -30 -10 10 30 50 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Voice line loss & EOP (000)
118 115 111 110 110 105 105 105 80 90 10 0 11 0 12 0 13 0 14 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio)
Consumer -
Fixed voice
F
Fixed Voice line erosion stable; revenue decline continued to persist
*
*i.e. real line loss, differs from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012
Fixed Voice customer base of 1,718,000 end Q4’12
–
Continued relief on line erosion by the Happy Time XL pricingplan and Packs
Total traffic in minutes up 2.3% YoY
–
Positive trend driven by an uptake in Happy Time XL, allowingfree off-peak calls
FY ’12 Fixed Voice traffic usage was 3.2% higher YoY
Fixed Voice ARPU slightly up to EUR 20.0
FY’12 ARPU of € 19.9 was 0.2% lower YoY
Fixed Voice revenue erosion limited to -4.3% YoY
–
maintained lower level of line erosion showing its benefit–
the positive impact of the price indexation of Jan’12 offset thecut in fixed-to-mobile rates (Jan’12)
-4.3%
+1.0%
+2.3%
Improved Fixed Voice line erosion confirmed; declining revenue trend further
slowed
Slide 30
425
140 147 143 136 130 123 133 120 90 10 0 11 0 12 0 13 0 14 0 15 0 16 0 17 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio)
102.2 106.6 103.6 103.8 101.5 104.7 100.5 101.7 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 MoU(min/month) 12.7 13.4 12.9 12.2 11.6 11.1 12.0 11.1 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Blended net voice ARPU (EUR/month)
Blended net voice ARPU (EUR/month) -47 3 48 32 10 5 -62 -105 3,723 3,726 3,774 3,805 3,805 3,811 3,748 3,643 3,3 50 3,4 50 3,5 50 3,6 50 3,7 50 3,8 50 -11 0 -60 -10 40 90 14 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Mobile growth & EOP (000)
Consumer –
Mobile Voice
Augmented pressure on Mobile Voice revenue; new telecom law and
competition leading to peak in subscriber churn despite growing Mobile in Pack
*
*i.e. Mobile net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012
End Q4’12 Mobile customer base of 3,643,000 cards
–
Postpaid -37,000 due to the new telecom law & aggressivecompetition. Packs including mobile and Internet Everywhere offer continued their strong traction
–
Prepaid -68,000
Net Voice ARPU at € 11.1, or -9.2% YoY
–
Customer migration to lower or more abundant tariff plansstarting to show
For FY’12 ARPU of € 11.5, or 10.4% lower YoY
MoU slightly down to down 2.1% to 101.7
minutes/user/month
FY’12 average usage -2.1% YoY, from 104.3 MoU to 102.1
MoU
Q4’12 Mobile Voice revenue -12.1% YoY.
–
Driven by regulatory impacts,–
in addition to lower customer base and resulting lower usage-12.1% -2.1% -9.2% 12.0 Slide 31 505 565 -10.5%
27.6 27.0 26.7 26.1 26.9 26.4 26.5 26.1
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Broadband ARPU (EUR/month)
8 5 1 18 15 10 13 12 1,131 1,136 1,138 1,156 1,159 1,169 1,181 1,193 10 21 0 41 0 61 0 81 0 1,0 10 1 21 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Broadband growth & EOP (000)
Broadband growth & EOP (000)
Broadband growth & EOP (000)
Broadband growth & EOP (000)
85 83 82 82 85 84 85 85 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Fixed data revenue (EUR mio)
Consumer -
Fixed Data
Continued Fixed Internet revenue growth driven by growing customer base
*
*i.e. Fixed Internet net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation of customers
Q4’12 revenue up 4.1% YoY
–
Positively impacted by price indexation Jan’12–
Continued YoY customer growth
CBU ended Q4’12 with 1,193,000 Fixed Internet customers
–
+12,000 net-adds, supported by the “Internet Everywhere”offer, mainly bought in Pack
ARPU Q4’12 of € 26.1; i.e. +0.3% YoY
–
ARPU stable YoY, compared to a 5.5% decline for the sameperiod of 2011.
FY’12 ARPU of €26.5 or -1.3% vs € 26.8 for 2011
*
+4.1%
Stable 339
77 80 79 85 85 87 84 87 10 10 14 13 12 15 15 13 0 30 60 90 12 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 SMS Adv Data
Mobile data revenue (EUR mio)
87 92 93 97 97 98 100 102 7.8 8.2 8.2 8.5 8.5 9.0 8.7 9.0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Blended net data ARPU (EUR/month)
239 254 235 273 280 291 262
294
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
SMS (units/month)
Consumer -
Mobile Data
Mobile data revenue growth trend impacted by regulation; sustained growth in
SMS usage
a
age
SMS usage growing with 7.7% YoY to 294
SMS/Month
Mobile Data ARPU up 6.1% to € 9.0
–
Resulting from growing SMS and Advanced Mobile Datarevenue
–
Growth impacted by Roaming regulation
ARPU FY’12 of € 8.8vs € 8.2 for 2011; i.e. +7.9% YoY
Mobile Data rev up by 2.7% YoY
–
Revenue growth restrained by regulation–
SMS revenue was up by 2.4% for Q4–
Advanced Mobile Data +4.9% . Lower growth vs first half ofthe year due to regulated price cap on retail Data roaming.
+2.7% +7.7% +6.1% Slide 33 342 320 +6.9% 56 49 +14.3%
19.4 19.2 17.8 17.5 17.6 17.6 18.1 18.2 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 TV ARPU (EUR/month) 51 53 51 53 55 57 61 62 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
TV revenue (EUR mio)
TV revenue (EUR mio)
Belgacom
TV
Solid Q4 TV revenue, up 18.1% YoY; TV customer base continues to grow
Strong net adds of 46k
–
Driven by year-end campaigns–
Total customer base of 1,386,000; +14% YoY–
Total includes 230,000 multiple streams
Q4 TV ARPU of EUR 18.2 , a 3.9% growth YoY
–
Supported by the price increase for rented settop boxes
TV revenue +18.1% YoY driven by
–
Continued growth of subscribers–
Price increase of rented settop box+18.1% +3.9% 54 59 52 72 43 48 39 46 1,029 1,087 1,139 1,211 1,254 1,301 1,340 1,386 0 20 0 40 0 60 0 80 0 1,0 00 1,2 00 1,4 00 8 28 48 68 88 10 8 12 8 14 8 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
TV growth & EOP (000)
235 208 +13.5%
25 26 28 28 27 28
28 30
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
Tango revenue (EUR mio)
28
26.6 28.1 29.3 29.1 28.4 29.2 29.5
30.7
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Blended mobile net ARPU (EUR/month)
Tango
Luxembourg
Q4 revenue +8.8% YoY
–
success of the iPhone and Samsung offer–
the ongoing migration of prepaid towards postpaid offers.
Tango acquired 1,000 new Mobile customers in the fourth
quarter 2012.
In Q4, Tango launched a Quadplay offer and was the first
to offer a full 4G coverage in Luxembourg
The ARPU increased to EUR 30.7, i.e. 5.7% year-over-year.
–
Partly offset by a decline in roaming revenues due to the EUregulation +8.8% +5.7% Slide 35 254 256 260 264 266 268 270 271 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Tango mobile customers EOP (000)
114
300 298 291 296 289 277 267 274 50.6% 50.3% 50.9% 50.0% 50.0% 48.1% 47.8% 47.4% 15 .0% 20 .0% 25 .0% 30 .0% 35 .0% 40 .0% 45 .0% 50 .0% 55 .0% -5 45 95 14 5 19 5 24 5 29 5 34 5 39 5 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
EBU EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin
94 98 93 96 100 103 103 101 37 37 34 36 40 39 39 41 0 20 40 60 80 10 0 12 0 14 0 16 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Personnel Non- HR
EBU Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio)
162 160 154 164 149 157 150 163 12 0 13 0 14 0 15 0 16 0 17 0 18 0 19 0 20 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
EBU Cost of Sales (EUR mio)
593 593 572 591 579 576 560 579 52 0 54 0 56 0 58 0 60 0 62 0 64 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
EBU revenue (EUR mio)
Enterprise – quarterly
P&L
Q4’12 CoS 0.9% lower YoY
–
positive effect from lower MTRs, more than offsetting–
the unfavorable evolution of EBU’s overall product mix on theCost of Sales.
FY’12 CoS 3.1% lower YoY, incl Telindus Spain divestment
Lower Q4’12 segment result due:
–
lower Direct margin (regulation & product mix)–
higher expenses (including some group neutral changes in costallocation).
Q4’12 Non-HR increase YoY driven by: revised cost
allocation and bad debt comparing low Q4’11 basis
Q4’12 HR cost: negative impact from changed
cost-allocation, higher headcount and salary indexation
Q4 YoY decline limited to 2.1%, in context of unfavorable
economy and stiff competition
–
Regulation impact of € -12m (-2.1%) in Q4–
Q4 underlying revenue -0.3% YoY : ICT & mobile data nearlycompensated for eroding Fixed & Mobile Voice, ex-regulation
** like-for-like: adjusted for impact from divestures and acquisitions , customer re-segmentation
-2.1% -0.9% +8.0% -7.2% 2,294 2,349 -2.3% 619 639 -3.1% 407 381 6.7% 160 144 11.3% 1,108 1,185 -6.5%
782 732
672 716 754 699 636 686
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Traffic (mio min)
29.1 28.9 28.1 28.6 28.9 28.4 27.9 28.6
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Fixed voice ARPU (EUR/month)
-15 -13 -13 -14 -18 -15 -9 -14 1,425 1,412 1,400 1,385 1,394 1,379 1,370 1,356 -10 0 10 0 30 0 50 0 70 0 90 0 1,1 00 1,3 00 1,5 00 1,7 00 1,9 00 -20 0 20 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Voice line loss & EOP (000)
128 125 121 122 124 120 118 119 90 10 0 11 0 12 0 13 0 14 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Fixed voice revenue (EUR mio)
Enterprise -
Fixed Voice
Stable ARPU and contained Voice line erosion led to continued
improvement in the declining revenue trend
Fixed Line erosion Q4’12 of -14,000 lines, stable to Q4’11
Q4 Fixed Voice traffic was 4.2% lower YoY driven by:
–
fixed line erosion–
lower usage per line
FY ’12 Fixed Voice traffic usage was 4.3% lower YoY
Q4’12 ARPU stable YoY to € 28.6
–
Positive effect from price indexation (Jan ’12)–
Negative effect from reduced F2M (Jan’12)
FY’12 ARPU of € 28.5 was 0,8% lower YoY (€ 28.7)
Sequential improvement in declining revenue trend
Q4 revenue decline limited to -2.4% YoY vs. -7.6% for
same period of 2011
FY 2012 revenue of € 481m, -3.1% YoY, vs. -7.9% for FY 2011
*
**Fixed line loss differ s from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise at start of 2012 and inclusion of business trunking
-2.4% -0.1% -4.2% Slide 37 481 496 -3.1%
115 115 110 108 106 102 100 96 80 90 100 110 120 130 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Mobile voice revenue (EUR mio)
29.2 28.7 26.9 25.9 25.3 23.7
22.9 21.6
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Net voice ARPU (EUR/month)
317.1 328.3 305.0 322.8 327.8 326.6 293.3 314.3 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 MOU (min/month) 24 30 22 29 22 36 21 16 1,327 1,357 1,380 1,408 1,413 1,449 1,470 1,486 50 0 60 0 70 0 80 0 90 0 1,0 00 1,1 00 1,2 00 1,3 00 1,4 00 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Mobile growth & EOP (000)
Enterprise - Mobile Voice
S
Solid customer growth, revenue under pressure due to pricing and regulation
Solid Mobile customer growth in Q4’12 in spite of aggressive
competitor moves in the low-end of business market
–
16,000 net mobile cards added, incl Mobile Voice, Mobile Dataand M2M cards.
–
total Mobile customer base: 1,486,000 cards end 2012
Q4’12 Mobile Voice ARPU of €21.6, -16.5% YoY
–
Declining trend due to regulation and price competition
For FY’12 ARPU of € 23.3, or 15.5% lower YoY
Q4 shows somewhat lower usage YoY
–
Q4’12 MoU at 314 minutes/month, or 2.6% lower than for thesame period of 2011
FY’12 average usage -1.1% YoY, from 319 MoU to 315 MoU
Q4’12 Mobile voice revenue of € 96m, -10.9% YoY
–
regulated MTR and Voice Roaming prices–
Pricing plans and competitive mobile market.
FY € 403m revenue, 10% lower YoY
*
*i.e. Mobile net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation exercise and cleaning in-active cards at start of 2012
-10.9%
-2.6%
-16.5%
Enterprise -
Mobile Voice
Continued pressure on Mobile Voice revenue; growing Mobile customer
base
403 448 -10.0%
98 97 96 97 99 99 96 95 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Fixed data revenue (EUR mio)
39.6 39.3 39.1 38.9 39.5 39.0 39.1 38.8
Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Broadband ARPU (EUR/month)
2 0 -2 2 0 -2 -1 -1 436 436 434 434 446 445 444 443 30 80 130 180 230 280 330 380 430 -10 11 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Broadband growth & EOP (000)
Enterprise - Fixed Data
S
Slightly positive revenue trend continued; Internet customer base fairly stable
Q4’12 Fixed Data revenue €95 m, -2.3% vs 2011
–
Continued migration from older technologies to the BelgacomExplore platform, for which pricing is more favorable
Fixed Data revenue FY’12 of €388 m, -0.2% vs 2011
2012 ended with fairly stable Fixed Internet customer base
of 443,000, in spite of operating in a saturated and
increasingly competitive professional Fixed Internet market
Q4’12 ARPU of €38.8 nearly stable YoY
FY’12 ARPU of €39.1 or -0.4% vs € 39.2 for 2011
*
*i.e. Fixed Internet net adds differ from QoQ EOP difference due to re-segmentation of customers
*
-2.3%
-0.4%
Enterprise -
Fixed Data
Migrations to Explore platform slightly erodes Fixed Data revenue, while
Internet ARPU remains fairly stable
Slide 39
388
Enterprise –
Mobile Data
SMS continues growth, while advanced Mobile data revenue is pressured
by regulated price caps
23 24 24 26 26 27 27 28 27 28 32 31 30 31 28 26 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 SMS ADV Data
Mobile data revenue (EUR mio)
50 53 56 57 56 58 55 54 84 90 87 96 107 112 105 118 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 SMS (units/month) 12.6 13.2 13.8 13.7 13.5 13.5 12.6 12.2 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Net data ARPU (EUR/month)
Continued uptake in SMS usage, growing 24% YoY to 118
text messages per user per month
–
Success of MTV Generation pricing plans, including unlimitedSMS, continued to push the volume of both free and paying SMS
Mobile Data ARPU down 10.5% YoY to €12.2
–
Growth trend reversed since 1 July 2012 due to regulated pricecaps for Mobile Data roaming
–
aggressive competitor moves on low-end of business market
ARPU FY’12 of €12.9vs € 13.3 for 2011; i.e. -2.9% YoY
-4.9%
+24%
-10.5%
€ 54m Mobile Data revenue, i.e. -4.9% YoY
–
Q4’12 non-SMS Data revenue € 26m, -15.3% YoY dueto negative regulated price effect.
–
SMS continued its revenue growth trend in Q4’12(+7.3%), in spite of regulated SMS roaming rates
FY’12l Mobile Data revenue of € 223m, +3.3% YoY
115
118 -2.5%
108
175 177 163 182 167 172 167 186 130 140 150 160 170 180 190 200 210 220 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
ICT revenue (EUR mio)
Enterprise – ICT
IICT revenue up by 6.1% on like-for-like basis
Q4’12 ICT revenue +2% YoY to €186m
–
Seasonally strong quarter ,–
Growth somewhat contained due to customersdelaying IT projects or opting for Cloud-based solutions, which triggers a shift from one-shot revenue to monthly services fees.
FY’12, € 692m ICT revenue -0.7% vs 2011.
–
M&A effects impacting variance–
Divesture of Telindus Spain since end June 2011and the acquisition of Eudasys by Telindus France.
–
On a like-for-like basis, EBU saw its ICT revenuegrowing by 2.8% in 2012.
+2.0%
Enterprise -
ICT
Q4’12 ICT revenue showing 2% growth in challenging economic
context
Slide 41
692
-29 -12 -30 -21 -23 -26 -21 -26 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 Q111 Q211** Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
SDE&W EBITDA (EUR mio)
49 50 50 50 43 44 47 43 52 33 48 42 48 50 41 48 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Q111 Q211** Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 Personnel Non-HR
SDE&W Personnel & Non-HR costs (EUR mio)
9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 8 8 9 9 10 10 11 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
SDE&W Cost of Sales (EUR mio)
81 80 77 80 78 76 75 76 53 58 63 68 73 78 83 88 93 98 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
SDE&W revenue (EUR mio)
livery & Wholesale - P&L
CoS slightly up
Operating expenses for Q4’12 -0.7% YoY
–
Q4 Non-HR 15% higher YoY, due to provision reversal in Q4’11–
Q4 HR expenses -14% YoY : lower headcount , limited positiveeffect of cost allocation change and HR provisions more than offset inflation-based salary increase of March 2012.
Q4 segment result YoY lower mainly due to l
ower Direct margin
Q4 revenue -5% YoY
–
Lower leased line and BB volumes, decreasing Roamingprices only partially offset by higher Roaming volumes.
–
Regulatory measures reduced the Q4 revenue by 1.3%.
FY’12 revenue -4.4%, incl -1.2% due to regulation
-5.0%
+11.2%
-0.7%
-20.4%
Service Delivery & Wholesale –
P&L
Slide 42 304 318 -4.4% 37 36 +3.3% 187 175 6.9% 177 199 -11.0% -97 -92 -5.6%
47 41 66 61 51 50 49 67 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
S&S Non-HR costs (EUR mio)
39 40 40 40 38 39 41 39 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
S&S Personnel costs (EUR mio)
8 7 25 8 9 7 7 11 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
S&S Revenue(EUR mio)
Staff & support - P&L
•
In Q4’12, Staff and Support recorded € 11m revenues. This
brings the FY’12 revenue for Staff and Support to € 34m.
The decrease compared to the previous year is mainly
explained by a positive one-off recorded in the third
quarter of 2011.
•
Q4’12 HR-expenses 4.8% lower YoY
–
Positive effect of decline in headcount more than offset thewage indexation impact
•
Q4’12 non-HR higher YoY
–
provision for environmentally driven soil works in Q4’12,–
a one-off capital loss–
and costs related to the cost-efficiency project.•
FY’12, S&S non-HR expenses up 1.3% to € 218m.
*
* Internal invoice; neutral on group level
+44.2%
-4.8%
+10.3%
Staff & Support –
P&L
Slide 43 34 47 -27.2% 218 215 +1.3% * 156 160 -2.1%
24 29 35 33 28 34 35 32 6.5% 7.5% 8.7% 8.3% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 7.3% 0.0 % 2.0 % 4.0 % 6.0 % 8.0 % 10 .0% 12 .0% 0 10 20 30 40 50 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
BICS EBITDA (EUR mio) & margin
29 29 31 31 31 32 32 34 23 26 28 27 25 30 31 29 0 20 40 60 80 10 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
Non- Voice Voice
BICS Gross margin (EUR mio)
372 388 401 401 382 409 424 430 34 0 35 0 36 0 37 0 38 0 39 0 40 0 41 0 42 0 43 0 44 0 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412
BICS Revenue (EUR mio)
International Carrier Services
P&L
•
Voice volumes: Q4 up 7.7%; FY up 3.4% YoY
•
Non-Voice volumes: Q4 up 41.2%; FY up 45% YoY
•
Q4 EBITDA 5.4% lower YoY. Higher Gross margin offset by
–
a reassessment of bad debt provisions, and -to a smallerextend- a negative YoY currency effect.
–
HR expenses impacted by inflation-based wage indexationsand variable performance-related compensation.
•
Gross margin Q4’12 up 7.9% YoY
–
Gross margin Voice + 9.0% YoY–
Gross margin non-Voice + 6.7% YoY•
Q4 revenue increase of 7.3% YoY
–
€ 20m more revenue from Voice traffic: strong traffic increaseto Asia & Africa, partly offset by Eu-wide MTR reduction.
–
Data revenue grew solidly, with revenue up nearly 21%–
Limited positive dollar impact+7.3%
+7.9%
-5.4%
International Carrier Services –
P&L
6,574 6,997 6,853 7,018 6,907 6,984 6,934 7,556 230 253 276 315 323 361 428 446 0 1,0 00 2,0 00 3,0 00 4,0 00 5,0 00 6,0 00 7,0 00 8,0 00 9,0 00 Q111 Q211 Q311 Q411 Q112 Q212 Q312 Q412 SMS/MMS Minutes
BICS Volumes (in mio)
1,645 1,562 +5.3% 115 104 10.2% 129 122 6.1% 130 120 8.4%
45
Belgacom
Company presentation
Investor Relations
Ytd September 2010 results in detail
•
Consumer Business Unit (CBU)
•
Enterprise Business Unit (EBU)
•
Service Delivery Engine &Wholesale (SDE&W)
•
Staff and Support (S&S)
•
Belgacom International Carries Services (BICS)
Other topics
Slide 45
Work In Progress
•
Shareholder structure – slide 46
•
Network & Spectrum – slide 47
•
Pricing – slide 53
Other topics
•
New Telco Law – slide 58
•
Regulation & legal – slide 59
Shareholder structure
Belgian state owns ~ 53.5%
Status 30 Sep 2012 Shares % shares % Voting % Dividend Belgian state 180,887,569 53.5% 56.8% 55.9% Free float 137,434,096 40.7% 43.2% 42.5% Own shares 19,703,470 5.8% - 1.6%
338,025,135 shares,
of which 318,321,665 Outstanding
•
Limited liability company under public law
- Belgian state main shareholder: 53.5%
- Legal obliged threshold: 50%+1 share
•
Free float 40.7%
•
Treasury shares 5.8%
- Under Belgian law, companies prohibited from owning >20% of outstanding share capital
- Part of own shares held for personnel incentives: Options and DSPP
Global
network strategy
Value enablers for a convergent interconnected world
Slide 47
47
Belgacom has all assets in hands to cope with a changing telecom ecosystem
Fiber speeds on copper with vectoring and
dynamic line management
Leaner operations through network simplification
3G+ upgrade for superior mobile data
experience
• Mobile network innovation driving leadership superiority
• Network simplification driving efficiency
• Fixed network innovation driving customer value • • • • • • • • • • • •••••••••••• ••••••
Mobile
network
Fixed
network
Network
simplification
Speed acceleration with FTTH in new zonings
4G roll out as important enabler of our
convergence strategy
Combined with strong product & process
Mobile
network
Slide 48
Ambition is to remain the best mobile operator for all type of customers on the Belgian market.
3G+ upgrade will bring 8 Mbps download and up-to-21 Mbps top speeds, 42 Mbps for dual carrier devices
Best
mobile 3G network
• Fastest down- and upload speed available in the market
• Significantly better 3G indoor coverage vs competitors
Further boost experience
for 3G customers
50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Mobistar Base Belgacom
% 3G indoor coverage1
1 Source: Factual coverage as measured by independent agency CommSquare during Q4 2012 drive tests at same reference level showing an important delta between operators. Delta is
• 70% increase of overall network capacity for data
• 30% average speed increase & top speed increase with HSPA+
1 2
1 2
Mobile data usage still in early stages with 35% of devices on our network being 3G compatible
Important market value with customers having devices not supporting 4G yet, both now and in future
Belgacom is determined to maintain its mobile leadership through investment in 4G roll-out
First to launch
4G
• 4G further improves mobile speed experience to average 20-30Mbps speed with peak speeds up to 50-60Mbps • 4G is deployed in existing 1800Mhz spectrum
• First Belgian operator to deploy 4G in 8 large cities in November 2012
• High speed backhauling deployed for fast data transmission
1 2
New 2600Mhz spectrum will be used for targeted capacity & performance
Only 4G deployment in Brussels if regulatory framework is changed
Further roll-out
of 4G
1
Spectrum
- Belgian situation
Slide 49 Proximus 2 x 12 Mobistar 2 x 12 Base 2 x 10.8 Proximus 2 x 20,8 Mobistar 2 x 20,8 Base 2 x 22 Unallocated 2 x 11.4 Unallocated 2 x 15800
MHz
900
MHz
1800
MHz
2100
MHz
2600
MHz
Proximus 2 x 15 Mobistar 2 x 15 Base 2 x 15 1x 5 1x5 1x5 Telenet / Voo 2 x 14.8 1x5 Proximus 2 x 20 Mobistar 2 x 20 Base 2 x 15 BUCD 1 x 45 • 900 MHz & 1800 MHz • Used for 2G, 3G and 4G • Belgian operators allowedto deploy UMTS in 900 MHz spectrum (more efficient in rural areas) and 4G in 1800 MHz
• Tacit extension: BGC has to pay €74m for 2010-2015; via annual payments. BGC filed annulment procedure.
900 MHz & 1800 MHz
• 900 MHz & 1800 MHz • Used for 3G
• Proximus, Mobistar & Base each have 1 UMTS license since 2001
• BGC paid € 150m
• 2 Aug ‘11, BIPT awarded 4th license to Telenet/Voo for an amount of € 71.5m (2X 14.8 MHz)
• all licenses expire in 2021
2100 MHz
• Will be used for 4G
• Out of 5 candidates, 4 have obtained spectrum in 2.6 GHz band
• Belgacom acquired 2x20 MHz for an amount of € 20.22 Mio.
• License is valid for 15 years as from July 2012
2600 MHz
DRAFT conditions: • Auction of 3 lots of 2x10 MHz • Minimum price of € 120m • License for 20 years• Spectrum cap of 2x10 MHz. • No spectrum reserved for
new entrants.
• Coverage obligations • National roaming may be
imposed by BIPT. • Process expected to be completed by end 2013.
800 MHz
Unallocated 2 x 10 Unallocated 2 x 10 Unallocated 2 x 10Mobile network
Fixed network
- Dynamic Line Management & Vectoring
To substantially increase bandwidth, Dynamic Line Management (DLM) & Vectoring will be deployed
DLM is an in-house developed technology and will improve the average speed experience with 30%
Fast-track
Dynamic Line Management
DLM monitors stability of lines and dynamically applies maximum possible speed when a line is sufficiently stable
• A speed profile is applied to a VDSL2 line in function of the line distance
• Line characteristics however often allow higher speeds
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2
Powerful
vectoring technology
Vectoring brings up-to-70 Mbps speeds and 15 Mbps upstream
• Crosstalk is interference between copper pairs in same cable
• Crosstalk limits the achievable speed on VDSL
1
2
Vectoring cancels crosstalk in the copper cables resulting in a significant bit rate increase of copper lines
How we are ahead
of other EU operators
Strong Regulatory Framework was negotiated, disentangling all blocking points required for full-fledged vectoring
• Belgacom is the first operator in the world to deploy vectoring on this scale
DLM will be applied on top of our Vectored lines to further increase speeds up-to-100 Mbps
1
How we will
further increase speed soon after
• Only operator with an in-house developed technology to bring speed at maximum line capabilities
2
Belgacom is in better position to increase speed then other EU peers thanks to our access strategy over past
years with a strong Fiber-The-The-Curb network topology and a dense 85% VDSL2 coverage
Pair Bonding brings speeds up-to-200 Mbps
Fixed network
- Speed acceleration in coming years
Slide 51
Speed evolution in Mbps
2013 to >2018
FTTH
in new zonings
FTTH offers speeds up-to-200 Mbps
• FTTH will be deployed in new
residential zonings as of S2 2013 • Fiber costs are comparable to copper
for new residential zonings
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• Pair bonding increases bit rate by
combining speed of 2 VDSL lines • Both lines will be vectored and
controlled by DLM
Pair Bonding
of VDSL lines
1 2
• G.fast technology is currently analysed by standardization bodies • Both evolutions aim at bringing fiber
distribution close to the customer
G.Fast & Fiber
evolution
Evolution brings speeds up-to-1000 Mbps
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