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Prepared for:
Prepared for:
Committee on Investments
Committee on Investments
Presented by:
Presented by:
Gloria Gil
Gloria Gil
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Managing Director, Real Assets
Managing Director, Real Assets
September 11, 2007
September 11, 2007
Real Estate Program Review
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The Role of Real Estate
Enhances the diversification of the total UCRP and GEP portfolios
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Historically, real estate has a low (or even negative) correlation to other
financial asset classes
Income component of total return helps pay benefits and fund expenses
Provides competitive risk-adjusted returns relative to other asset classes
Can serve as a hedge against inflation in certain market and economic
conditions
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Primarily possible when supply and demand levels are in equilibrium
during times of greater-than-expected inflation
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Enhanced strategy attributes:
Moderately under-serviced assets with correctable flaws
Emphasis on growth in income and value
High Return strategy attributes:
Properties that require major – repositioning
– redevelopment
– financial restructuring Includes new development Emphasis on growth in value
Real Estate Investment Strategies
Core strategy attributes: Investment grade, income-producing properties – usually located in primary markets
– in good physical condition
– stabilized occupancy levels with credit-worthy tenants
Emphasis on stable income and modest value growth
Public REIT strategy attributes:
Investment grade, income-producing properties Emphasis on stable income and modest value
growth Core U.S. REITs -Enhanced Return
Global Real Estate Securities
-High Return
Risk
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Real Estate Allocation
Target Allocation: UCRP GEP
University Plan Assets (as of June 2007)*
$47.8 B $6.4 B
Real Estate Allocation $2.4 B (5.0%) $500 M **(7.5%)
Program Inception
October 2004
Currently Funded $490 M (0.9%) $177 M (0.3%)
Allocation as of June 2007
Number of Funds 24 21
Amount Committed $1.3 B (2.8%) $316 M (4.93%)
Unfunded Commitments $823 M (1.7%) $171 M (0.3%)
*One quarter lag
**GEP target allocation was increased from 5% to 7.5%, effective July 1, 2007. August 23,2007 Real Estate Program Review (I-4)
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Real Estate Performance Returns
UCRP GEP
Total Return (Net of Fees) 20.9 % 28.0%
NCREIF Benchmark 16.6% 16.6% Out performance
(Basis Points)
430 bps 1,220 bps
Annual Return as of 6/30/07 ( One Quarter Lag)
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Investment Strategy
Investment Strategy
How Managers Add Value:
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Significant off-market, direct deal flow
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Acquisition at discount to replacement cost
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Short-term lease rollover, ideally at below-market rents
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Lease-buyout potential reflecting change-of-use or tenancy
•
Significant disparity between market rents and new construction rents
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Growth locations with expanding demographic base, limited zoned land
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Investment Strategy
Investment Strategy
Create value through direct acquisition, hands-on management and disposition:
(Closed end funds unless indicated otherwise)
Fund Strategy
% of Committed Capital
Open-end, US Core - All Property Types 6%
Open- end, US Value Added (2 Funds) 14%
Closed-end, US Value Added –All Property Types 7% Closed-end, US Value Added – Office, Industrial, Retail 2%
Specific market and tenant knowledge
Closed-end, US, Europe (20%) Value Added – Office Focus 6%
Closed-end, US High Return – Hotel Focus 2%
Closed-end, US Value Added – Apartment Focus 3% Open-end, US Value Added – Industrial Focus (Warehouses near airports and seaports) 4%
Closed-end, US High Return – Senior Housing 3%
Closed-end, US, Europe (10-20%)- Public to Private, Finance Restructuring 11% All Property Types
Closed-end, Diversified Global – R.E. Operating Companies, Europe & Japan 3%
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Investment Strategy
Investment Strategy
Infill locations with barriers to competitive development
Fund Strategy
% of Committed Capital
Close-end, US Value Added – All Property Types 6%
Closed-end, US High Return – Office, Retail, Mixed-Use 2% (Low to middle income urban areas)
Closed-end, US High Return – Multi-family, Retail 4% Closed-end, Western US Value Added – Office, Industrial 3% Closed-end, US, Western Europe, Canada, Japan – All Property Types 3% Closed-end, Europe (50%-55%), Asia (20%-25%), Mexico(10%),US (15%) 4%
High Return – All Property Types
Underutilized assets, land expansion, under maintained assets
Closed-end, US, Mexico (10%) High Return – All Property Types 6% Closed-end, US High Return – Joint Ventures – All Property Types 3%
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Planned UC Real Estate Strategy Mix as of December 2007
Planned UC Real Estate Strategy Mix as of December 2007
August 23,2007 Real Estate Program Review (I-4)
HIGH RETURN Commingled $890 Million 29% ENHANCED Separate Accts $300 Million 10% "BUILD TO CORE " Separate Accts $600 Million 19% REITs $300 Million 10% CORE Commingled $100 Million 3% ENHANCED Commingled $895 Million 29%
10 Apartm ent 11% Office 40% Industrial 20% Retail 8% Hotel 6% Other 15%
Property Type Diversification
Property Type Diversification
UCRP
Office 55% Industrial 15% Retail 4% Hotel 8% Other 10% Apartment 8%GEP
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US Domestic
* Asia Europe South America North AmericaInternational*
Africa AustraliaReal Estate Geographic Diversification
UCRP - $498 Million GEP - $175 Million
UCRP - $29 Million GEP - $10 Million
August 23,2007 Real Estate Program Review (I-4)
12 Pacific Mountain West North Central East North Central Southwest Northeast Mideast WEST* Pacific $64 Mountain $6 MIDWEST* WN Central $4 EN Central $16 SOUTH* Southwest $13 Southeast $21 EAST* Mideast $17 Northeast $34 Southeast
Total Amount of Equity Invested $175 million
GEP US Domestic Investments
August 23,2007 Real Estate Program Review (I-4)
13 Pacific Mountain West North Central East North Central Southwest Northeast Mideast WEST* Pacific $175 Mountain $22 MIDWEST* WN Central $11 EN Central $46 SOUTH* Southwest $30 Southeast $74 EAST* Mideast $54 Northeast $86 Southeast
Total Amount of Equity Invested $498 million
UCRP US Domestic Investments
August 23,2007 Real Estate Program Review (I-4)
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Team Overseeing Real Estate Portfolio
Gloria Gil Managing Director Real Assets Rebecca Stafford Investment Officer Real Assets
The Townsend Group
Institutional Real Estate Consultants
Headquartered in Cleveland, with satellite offices in San
Francisco and Denver
Advises 80+ clients with aggregate real estate allocations in excess of $70
billion
32 professionals dedicated to real estate research, fund due
diligence and performance measurement
Marie Berggren CIO
Cay Sison
Senior Investment Analyst Real Assets
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Real Estate Activities and Goals
As of September 2007: Committed the following funds: 15- High Return $ 840 million 11 - Enhanced $ 845 million 1 - Core $ 100 million Total 27 Funds $1,785 million
Medium-term goals:
Implement Board approved changes (Aug. 2006 & May 2007) to policy guidelines to: - permit investment in separate accounts
– broaden allowable strategy allocation ranges – increase international exposure
Conduct searches for: (To be completed by March 2008)
– REIT separate account managers - (US and International mandates) – Core separate account managers - (“Build to Core” mandate)
– Enhanced separate account managers – (“Value Added” mandate)
– Real Estate Consultant – contract expired June 30, 2007 –now on month-to-month contact
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• 280-unit garden style apartment complex
• Approximately $46 million
($164,000/unit).
• Equity Invested - $14 million
• Construction started in April 2005
Closed - April 2007
• 61% Leased as of 7/31/07
• The average unit size is almost 1,000
square feet and residents will enjoy a modern clubhouse/fitness center
• Located in a major NE City
Strategy: New Development
Sample Apartment Investment
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• 140,467 square feet
• Approximately $27.8 million ($198/sq.ft)
Acquired on an all-cash basis
• Closed in August 2007
• 93% leased to 25 tenants, anchored by
Wild Oats, Marshals and Target
• Stabilized retail center with limited
near-term rollover and currently leased to a diverse group of national, regional, and local retailers
• Current rents 15% below market • Center underwent significant
redevelopment in 2003
• Well-located in an affluent, infill
submarket in the Midwest
Strategy –Stabilized Core Property
Sample Retail Investment
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• 54- story high-rise under construction in
downtown metropolitan area on the West Coast
• Approximately $936 million total cost
• Equity commitment $134 million
• 1,001 hotel rooms
• 224 for-sale condominiums – 75% reserved
• 215,400 square feet of conference center
space
• $2.5 billion sports, residential and
entertainment district being developed
• Designed to be the region’s most
in-demand hospitality location
Strategy: New Development/Condo Sales
Sample Hotel Investment
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• Largest office REIT acquisition in the
US.
• All-in cost of $38.7 billion,
Equity invested - $6 Billion
• 89% of real estate located in top-tier,
supply constrained coastal markets
• 75% of portfolio sold in 4 months –
Deal generated - 2.5x to 3x multiple
• Majority of the assets are Class A
Central Business District (CBD) towers
• Significant potential for operational
improvements corporate/property level
Sample Office Investments
August 23,2007 Real Estate Program Review (I-4)
Strategy : Public to Private
Acquisition
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