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ORIGINAL ARTICLE

Predictors of response to cardiac resynchronization

therapy in chronic heart failure patients

Mohamed Loutfi

*

, Mostafa Nawar, Salah Eltahan, Aly Abo Elhoda

Cardiology Department, University of Alexandria, Egypt Received 12 December 2015; accepted 5 January 2016 Available online 21 January 2016

KEYWORDS

Cardiac resynchronization therapy;

Heart failure; CRT response

Abstract Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) is established in the management patients with moderate to severe symptoms due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction who present with signs of electrical dyssynchrony. There is wide variability in the clinical response and improvement in LVEF with CRT. Prediction of response to CRT is an important goal in order to tailor this therapy to patients most apt to derive benefit.Aim:The aim of the study was to assess and identify the best predictors of CRT response.Patients and methods:The study included 170 consecutive heart failure (HF) patients in New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class III or IV and LVEF

635%. Routine device and clinical follow-up, as well as CRT optimization, were performed at baseline and at 3-month intervals. Responders were defined as having an absolute reduction in left ventricular end-systolic diameter >15% and an improvement in LVEF >10%. Results: 170 patients were included [71.1% men; mean age 68.8 ± 9.7 years; 159 patients NYHA class III, 11 patients ambulatory NYHA class IV; 91 patients had non-ischemic cardiomyopathy (ICM) – 79 patients had ICM; 55.3% of patients had LBBB; mean QRS duration 145 ± 25 ms; left ventricular ejection fraction 28.38 ± 7.2]. CRT-P was implanted in 65 patients and CRT-D was implanted in 105 patients. CRT response was achieved in 114 patients (67.1%). Mean LVEF improved from 28.38 ± 7.2% to 35.46 ± 9.3% (p= 0.001), mean LV end-diastolic diameter reduced from 67.91 ± 8.7 to 64.95 ± 8.9 mm (p< 0.001), and mean LV end-systolic diameter reduced from 57.02 ± 8.8 to 52.42 ± 9.9 mm (p< 0.001). Responders had significantly wider baseline QRS duration, lower BMI, lower baseline serum creatinine level, smaller baseline RV diastolic dimension and significantly greater tricuspid annular peak systolic excursion (TAPSE) value. In multi-nominal regression analysis to identify the pre-implantation predictors of response, QRS duration >150 ms, non-ICM, TAPSE >15 mm, sinus rhythm, the absence of COPD and the absence of renal disease were the independent predictors of CRT response. We generated a new CRT score to predict responders to CRT. The score consists of maximum 9 points. The CRT response rate has been markedly different according to the CRT score: CRT response rate was 97.5% patients with CRT score >6 vs 40.7% if CRT score <6,p< 0.001.Conclusion:Only some of the commonly

* Corresponding author at: Faculty of Medicine, Cardiology Department, Al-Khartoum Square, Azarita, Alexandria, Egypt. E-mail address:drmloutfi@gmail.com(M. Loutfi).

Peer review under responsibility of Egyptian Society of Cardiology. H O S T E D BY

Egyptian Society of Cardiology

The Egyptian Heart Journal

www.elsevier.com/locate/ehj

www.sciencedirect.com

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ehj.2016.01.001

1110-2608Ó2016 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Egyptian Society of Cardiology. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

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used response criteria predict outcome in patients undergoing CRT. The newly generated CRT score may be used to improve the appropriate use of CRT, to increase the CRT response rate. This score needs to be validated on another population of patients.

Ó2016 The Authors. Production and hosting by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Egyptian Society of Cardiology. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).

1. Introduction

Heart failure (HF) is a major public health problem, with a prevalence of more than 23 million worldwide.1Trials of car-diac resynchronization therapy (CRT) have consistently shown improvement of HF morbidity, quality of life, and survival in patients with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), advanced HF symptoms, and increased QRS duration.2,3 Guidelines recommend CRT implantation in symptomatic HF patients with sinus rhythm, low LVEF, and a prolonged QRS duration.4,5Recent guidelines expanded the indications for CRT to include less severe symptoms (NYHA class I and II), and patients with non-LBBB only with a QRS P150 ms.6–9

Despite the majority of patients derive benefit from CRT, about two-third of the patients who meet the current guideli-nes criteria for this therapy responds to the therapy. It is gen-erally estimated that 30–35% of patients do not respond to CRT.9–11There is wide variability in the extent of LV remod-eling and improvement in LVEF with CRT.12 Lack of response to CRT may be attributed to current selection criteria including only functional class, LVEF, QRS duration, and QRS morphology.9 As a considerable proportion of eligible

patients still fail to benefit from this treatment, identification of potential responders to CRT is an important goal to recom-mend this therapy to patients most apt to derive benefit.13

2. Aim

The aim of the study was to assess and identify the best predic-tors of CRT response and to generate a new simple score to predict the response to CRT in order to improve patient selec-tion for CRT implantaselec-tion.

3. Patients and methods

One hundred and seventy patients were included in this study. All patients underwent successful implantation procedure at Alexandria Main University Hospital, Egypt/Zentraklinik Bad Berka, Germany, during 2010 and 2011. All patients pro-vided oral and written informed consent to device implanta-tion and agreed to data retrieval and analysis. All patients met the criteria for CRT implantation, including moderate and severe HF (NYHA II, III and ambulatory IV), persistent symptoms despite optimal medical treatment, severely depressed LVEF (635%) and QRS duration P120 ms (or echocardiographic evidence of LV dyssynchrony if QRS dura-tion <120 ms). Patients were classified as having HF of ischemic or non-ischemic etiology based on a history of

myocardial infarction or based on objective evidence of coro-nary artery disease as assessed with corocoro-nary angiography.

Exclusion criteria:

Patients with previously implanted pacemaker.

Patients with previous PCI or CABG 66 m before implantation.

ACS66 m before implantation.

Failed CRT implantation or lead dislocation in the 1st 6 months after implantation requiring re-implantation. 3.1. Procedure details

All leads were implanted transvenously, through the left-sided or right-sided cephalic or subclavian veins, connected to a biventricular pacemaker as described previously.14 The LV lead position was targeted to the lateral coronary vein; if unavailable, the posterolateral coronary vein, a posterior vein or anterior vein was used. When a conventional indication for an implantable cardioverter–defibrillator (ICD) existed, a combined device (CRT-D) was implanted.

3.2. Follow-up

Routine device and clinical follow-up, as well as CRT opti-mizations, were performed at baseline and at 3-month inter-vals. Patients were assessed for response after 6 months as follows:

Responders (combined clinical and echocardiographic): – Clinical response: Improvement in NYHA functional

class (at least one class) and increase of the 6 min walk distanceP10%.

– Echocardiographic response: absolute reduction in left ventricular end-systolic diameter >15% and or impro-vement in LVEF >10%.

Non-responders: Unchanged or worsening of the clinical or echocardiographic parameters, any hospitalization for unprovoked worsening of heart failure or cardiac mortality due to worsening heart failure during the first 6 months after implantation.

3.3. Statistical analysis

Results for continuous variables are presented as mean & SD and for discrete variables as frequency (%). Apvalue <0.05 was considered statistically significant and all tests were 2-sided. Differences between baseline and follow-up characteris-tics in the same patients were investigated by pairedttests for continuous variables. Differences between groups were tested

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by chi-square test for comparison of discrete variables and by analysis of variance for comparison of continuous variables. Univariate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated and multivariate stepwise nominal logis-tic regression analyses were used for identifying variables pre-dictive of response to CRT. In the stepwise procedure all variables significant at univariate analysis were entered. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS for Windows, version 20 (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL).

3.4. Ethics statement

This study was reviewed and approved by the Faculty of Med-icine, University of Alexandria review board. All patients were informed about the technique and we obtained an informed consent.

4. Results

170 patients were included [77.1% men; mean age 68.8 ± 9.7 years; 159 patients NYHA class III, 11 patients ambula-tory NYHA class IV; 91 patients had non-ischemic cardiomyopa-thy (ICM) – 79 patients had ICM; 55.3% of patients had LBBB; mean QRS duration 145 ± 25 ms; left ventricular ejection fraction 28.38 ± 7.2]. CRT-P was implanted in 65 patients and CRT-D was implanted in 105 patients. Baseline

characteristics; clinical data, baseline electocardiographic and echocardiographic characteristics are shown inTables (1–2).

CRT response was achieved in 114 patients (67.1%). Mean LVEF improved from 28.38 ± 7.2% to 35.46 ± 9.3% (p= 0.001), mean LVEDD reduced from 67.91 ± 8.7 to 64.95 ± 8.9 mm (p< 0.001), and mean LVESD reduced from 57.02 ± 8.8 to 52.42 ± 9.9 mm (p< 0.001). In univariate anal-ysis (Table 3) responders had significantly wider baseline QRS duration (QRS > 150 ms), LBBB pattern, sinus rhythm, female gender, non-ICM, lower baseline serum creatinine level, the absence of COPD, the absence of Grade III diastolic dysfunc-tion, PAP < 50 mmHg, smaller baseline RV diastolic dimen-sion and significantly greater tricuspid annular peak systolic excursion (TAPSE) value. In multi-nominal regression analysis

Table 1 Baseline characteristics; clinical data.

Baseline condition Mean/n(%)

Age (years) 68.8 ± 9.7

Male/female (n) 121/49

NYHA II (n) 23 (13.5%)

NYHA III (n) 136 (80%)

Ambulatory NYHA IV (n) 11 (6.5%)

6 min walk distance (m) 275 ± 105

NICM (n) 91 (53.5%)

ICM (n) 79 (46.5%)

Previous MI (n) 43 (25.3%)

Previous revascularization (n) 60 (35.3%)

BMI (kg/m2) 29.2 ± 5.1

Use of medications (% of patients)

B blockers 94% ACEi/ARB 95% MRA 64% Diuretics 92% Statins 69% Digoxin 41% Antiarrhythmic drugs 29% Comorbidities Hypertension (n) 139 (81.7%) Diabetes mellitus (n) 86 (50.5%) COPD (n) 44 (25.8%) BMI > 30 (n) 55 (32.3%)

History of renal disease (n) 56 (32.9%)

S. Creatinine (mg/dl) 1.2 ± 0.4

Blood urea nitrogen (mg/dl) 9.5 ± 6.4

eGFR (ml/min/1.73 m2) 53.7 ± 10.3

MRA: mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist, COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, BMI: body mass index, and eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate.

Table 2 Baseline ECG and echocardiographic characteristics. Mean/n(%) Baseline ECG QRS duration Mean (ms) 145 ± 26 P150 (ms) 89 (52.3%) QRS morphology LBBB 94 (55.3%) RBBB 4 (2.3%) IVCD 47 (27.6) Normal 25 (14.7%) Rhythm

Sinus rhythm at CRT implantation 147 (86.5%)

AF at CRT implantationa 23 (13.5%)

Baseline echocardiography LV dimensions, volumes and EF

LVIDd (mm) 67.58 ± 9.2 LVIDs (mm) 55.71 ± 10.3 LVEDV (ml) 205.72 ± 66.4 LVESV (ml) 148.30 ± 56 LVEF% 28.31 ± 7.2% Right ventricle TAPSE (mm) 17.9 ± 3.6 RVd (mm) 34.15 ± 5.9 PAP > 50 mmHg 43 (25.3%) Markers of dyssynchrony SPWMD (ms) 120.73 ± 63.3 LVFT/RR% 37.64 ± 8.3% LVPEI (ms) 128.50 ± 30.4 IVD (ms) 39.28 ± 25.9 Ts-sep-lat (ms) 63.22 ± 34.7 LVPEI (ms) 128.50 ± 30.4 IVD (ms) 39.28 ± 25.9 Ts- sep-lat (ms) 63.22 ± 34.7

IVCD: Intraventricular conduction delay.

a AV nodal ablation was done in 8 patients. LVIDd: left ven-tricular internal dimension at end diastole, LVIDS: left venven-tricular internal dimension at end systole, LVEDV: left ventricular end diastolic volume, LVESV: left ventricular end systolic volume, LVEF: left ventricular ejection fraction, TAPSE: tricuspid annular peak systolic excursion, RVd: right ventricular dimension, PAP: pulmonary artery pressure, SPWMD: septal-posterior wall motion delay, LV FT/RR: left ventricular filling time (LVFT) in relation to cardiac cycle length (RR) as measured by transmitral Doppler expressed as percentage, LVPEI: Left ventricular pre-ejection interval, IVD: interventricular delay, and Ts-sep-lat: delay between time to peak systolic velocity in ejection phase at basal septal and basal lateral segments.

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(Table 4) to identify the pre-implantation predictors of response, LBBB and QRS > 150 ms, sinus rhythm, female gender,

non-ICM, the absence of COPD, the absence of renal disease, TAP-SE > 15 mm, were the independent predictors of CRT.

Table 3 Univariate of CRT response with different parameters.

CRT response p Non-responder (n= 52) Responder (n= 118) Gender Female 5 (9.6%) 44 (37.3%) <0.001* Male 47 (90.4%) 74 (62.7%) HF etiology Ischemic 34 (65.4%) 45 (38.1%) 0.001* Non-ischemic 18 (34.6%) 73 (61.9%)

Renal disease Present 25 (48.1%) 31 (26.3%) 0.005*

Absent 27 (51.9%) 87 (73.7%)

Lung disease Present 22 (42.3%) 22 (18.6%) 0.001*

Absent 30 (57.7%) 96 (81.4%) Anemia <11 g/dl 50 (96.2%) 111 (94.1%) 0.724 >11 g/dl 2 (3.8%) 7 (5.9%) Obesity <30 kg/m2 30 (57.7%) 71 (60.2%) 0.374 >30 kg/m2 19 (36.5%) 45 (38.1%) Electrocardiographic parameters Rhythm AF 12 (23.1%) 11 (9.3%) 0.016* Sinus 40 (76.9%) 107 (90.7%) QRS Morphology LBBB 16 (30.8%) 78 (66.1%) <0.001* Non-LBBB 36 (69.2%) 40 (33.9%) QRS duration <150 ms 38 (73.1%) 43 (36.4%) <0.001* >150 ms 14 (26.9%) 75 (63.6%)

Echocardiographic baseline parameters

LVEF >25% 33 (63.5%) 69 (58.5%) 0.541

<25% 19 (36.5%) 49 (41.5%)

Diastolic dysfunction grade III Absent 35 (67.3%) 98 (83.1%) 0.022*

Present 17 (32.7%) 20 (16.9%)

TAPSE <15 cm/s 30 (57.7%) 31 (26.3%) <0.001*

>15 cm/s 22 (42.3%) 87 (73.7%)

RV dimension <35 mm 24 (46.2%) 76 (64.4%) 0.026*

>35 mm 28 (53.8%) 42 (35.6%)

Pulmonary artery pressure <50 mmHg 39 (75.0%) 96 (81.4%) 0.345

>50 mmHg 13 (25.0%) 22 (18.6%) SPWD <130 ms 30 (44.8%) 37 (55.2%) 0.02 >130 ms 11 (21.2%) 41 (78.8%) LV FT/RR <40% 21 (29.6%) 50 (70.4%) 0.188 >40% 16 (42.1%) 22 (57.9%) LVPEI <140 ms 27 (36.5%) 47 (63.5%) 0.547 >140 ms 13 (31.0%) 29 (69.0%) IVD <40 ms 21 (36.8%) 36 (63.2%) 0.315 >40 ms 15 (25.4%) 44 (74.6%) Ts-sep-lat <60 ms 16 (35.6%) 29 (64.4%) 0.694 >60 ms 16 (28.6%) 40 (71.4%) SPWMD <130 ms 30 (44.8%) 37 (55.2%) 0.02 >130 ms 11 (21.2%) 41 (78.8%) MRPmoderate Absent 49 (94.2%) 109 (92.4%) 0.758 Present 3 (5.8%) 9 (7.6%)

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Table 3 (continued)

CRT response p

Non-responder (n= 52) Responder (n= 118)

TRPmoderate Absent 32 (61.5%) 77 (65.3%) 0.642

Present 20 (38.5%) 41 (34.7%)

Optimal LV lead position Non-optimal 11 (21.2%) 6 (5.1%) 0.001*

Optimal 41 (78.8%) 112 (94.9%)

Qualitative data were expressed using number and percent and were compared using Chi square or Fisher exact test.

TAPSE: tricuspid annular peak systolic excursion, RV: right ventricle, SPWMD: septal-posterior wall motion delay, LV FT/RR: left ventricular filling time (LVFT) in relation to cardiac cycle length (RR), LVPEI: left ventricular pre-ejection interval, IVD: interventricular delay, Ts-sep-lat: delay between time to peak systolic velocity in ejection phase at basal septal and basal lateral segments, SPWMD: septal-posterior wall motion delay, MR: mitral regurgitation, and TR: tricuspid regurgitation.

Table 4 Univariate and multivariate factors predicting response to CRT.

Univariate models Multivariate models

Total (n= 170) CRT response (n= 118) OR (95% CI) p OR (95% CI) p Gender (female) 49 (28.8%) 44 (37.3%) 5.59*(2.06–15.1) 0.001* 5.56 (1.63–19.02) 0.006* HF etiology (non-ischemic) 91 (53.5%) 73 (61.9%) 3.06*(1.55–6.05) 0.001* 2.57 (1.05–6.27) 0.038* Absent renal disease 114 (67.1%) 87 (73.7%) 2.59*(1.31–5.13) 0.006* 1.73 (0.71–4.23) 0.028* Absent lung disease 126 (74.1%) 96 (81.4%) 3.20*(1.55–6.59) 0.002* 3.30 (1.23–8.6) 0.015*

Anemia 161 (94.7%) 111 (94.1%) 0.634 (0.12–3.16) 0.576 Obesity 64 (37.6%) 45 (38.1%) 1.001 (0.50–1.98) 0.998 Electrocardiographic parameters Sinus rhythm 147 (86.5%) 107 (90.7%) 2.92*(1.19–7.14) 0.019* 1.95 (0.59–6.38) 0.026* LBBB morphology 94 (55.3%) 78 (66.1%) 4.38*(2.17-8.84) <0.001* 1.61 (0.64-4.09) 0.031* QRS > 150 ms 89 (52.4%) 75 (63.6%) 4.73*(2.30–9.71) <0.001* 4.10 (1.65–10.2) 0.002* Echocardiographic parameters TAPSE > 15 cm/s 109 (64.1%) 87 (73.7%) 3.83*(1.92–7.60) <0.001* 5.16 (2.1–12.63) <0.001* LVEF 68 (40.0%) 49 (41.5%) 1.233 (0.62–2.41) 0.541

Diastolic dysfunction G III 37 (21.8%) 20 (16.9%) 0.420 (0.19–0.89) 0.022* 1.134 (0.39–3.27) 0.817 RV dimension 70 (41.2%) 42 (35.6%) 0.474 (0.24–0.91) 0.026* 1.183 (0.42–3.32) 0.750 PAP > 50 mmHg 35 (20.6%) 22 (18.6%) 0.688 (0.31–1.50) 0.345

MRPmoderate 12 (7.1%) 9 (7.6%) 1.349 (0.35–5.19) 0.663

TRPmoderate 61 (35.9%) 41 (34.7%) 0.852 (0.43–1.67) 0.642

Optimal LV lead site 153 (90.0%) 112 (94.9%) 5.008 (1.74–14.41) 0.001* 6.985 (1.51–32.26) 0.013* Qualitative data were described using number and percent and were compared using Chi square test, while normally quantitative data were expressed in mean ± SD and were compared using studentt-test.

*Statistically significant atp60.05.

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4.1. New score to predict CRT response

We generated a new CRT score to predict responders to CRT. The score consists of maximum 9 points. All significant inde-pendent pre-implantation predictors of CRT response in multinominal logistic regression analysis were included in the CRT score according to their relative effect in the regression model to generate the CRT score. The CRT score includes QRS durationP150 ms, LBBB morphology of.

The QRS complex, and non-ICM, sinus rhythm at time of CRT implantation, preserved RV function with TAP-SEP15 mm, female gender, the absence of history of renal dis-ease and finally the absence of significant COPD (based on specialized respiratory assessment and use of specific medica-tions). Each parameter was assigned to a single point except QRS durationP150 ms was assigned to 2 points. The CRT score is the sum of all points. The CRT response rate has been mark-edly different according to the CRT score, and CRT response rate was 97.5% patients with CRT score >6 vs 40.7% if CRT score <6,p< 0.001. CRT score was in conjunction with current evidence about greater in patients with wider QRS complex, LBBB, female gender and non-ICM6(seeFig. 1,Table 5).

4.2. The CRT score in the scope of guidelines

According to the 2013 European Society of Cardiology guide-lines on cardiac pacing and CRT, 85 of our patients met class I

indication for CRT implantation, 34 met class IIa indication, 26 patients met class IIb and 25 met class III indication for CRT implantation6(seeFig. 2).

– Patients with class I indication for CRT implantation had a response rate of 88.2%. The CRT score was P6 in 66 patients (65 (98.5%) responders), while the CRT score was less than 6 in 18 patients (9 (50%) responders and, p< 0.0001).

– Patients with class IIa indication for CRT implantation had a response rate of 47.1%. The CRT score was >6 in 11 patients (11 (100%) responders), while the CRT score was less than 6 in 23 patients (5 (21.7%) responders),p= 0.007. – Patients who met class IIb/III indication for CRT implanta-tion had a response rate of 45.1%. The CRT score was >6 in 5 patients (all are responders), while the CRT score was less than 6 in 46 patients (18 (39.1%) responders), p= 0.014.

5. Discussion

Cardiac resynchronization therapy is an established treatment for HF patients with LV systolic dysfunction and wide QRS complex. However, approximately 30% of patients receiving CRT according to guidelines fail to benefit from this treatment. Lack of response to CRT may be attributed to inappropriate patient selection, currently based only on func-tional class, LVEF, QRS duration and QRS morphology.9–11

Accumulating data support that targeted patient selection, proper left ventricular lead implantation and optimal device programming may enhance patient response to CRT.15 In the present study, 114 patients (67.1%) responded to CRT implantation. At 6-month follow-up, there was improvement of P1 NYHA and 6 min walk distance. CRT implantation was associated with significant improvement in LV dimen-sions, LVEF, reduction of LVESV >15%, LV diastolic dys-function and the grade of mitral regurgitation. There were no significant effects on renal function and RV diastolic dimension and function. This beneficial effect of CRT was

Figure 2 Study population classified according to ESC guidelines class for indication of CRT implantation and CRT response.

Table 5 Points in the CRT score.

Parameter Points QRSP150 ms 2 LBBB 1 NICM 1 Sinus rhythm 1 Female gender 1 TAPSEP15 mm 1

Absent renal disease 1

Absent lung disease 1

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mainly observed in patients with QRS duration >150 ms, typ-ical LBBB QRS morphology, non-ischemic cardiomyopathy and NYHA class II/III patients.

Trials of CRT have consistently shown improvement in symptoms, quality of life, LVEF and survival in selected patients with HF. QRS duration is the main pre-implantation factor which has been shown to have a major impact on the efficacy of CRT.15In the present study, respon-ders had significantly prolonged baseline QRS duration than non-responders (152 ± 24.9 ms vs. 130.7 ± 24 ms respec-tively, P< 0.0001). The results are consistent with previous data which showed significant CRT benefit in HF patients with QRSP150 ms.11,16 Cleland et al. conducted an individual patient meta-analysis of five randomized trials assessing the effects of CRT on morbidity and mortality in patients with symptomatic HF. Multivariate model includes the following baseline variables: age, sex, NYHA class, etiology, QRS mor-phology, QRS duration, LVEF% and systolic blood pressure, showed that only QRS duration predicted the magnitude of the effect of CRT on outcomes, with an increasing benefit with prolonged QRS duration (P140 ms).17

The COMPANION trial enrolled 1634 NYHA class III/IV HF patients with a QRS interval of >120 ms, PR interval >150 ms, and a left ventricular ejection fraction 635% who were treated with optimal pharmacologic therapy. The trial found that benefits in terms of reduction in mortality or hospi-talization were maximal in patients with QRS duration >168 ms.3 The CARE-HF study evaluated the effect of CRT on morbidity and mortality in 813 patients with NYHA class III or IV heart failure, and noted similar benefit of CRT in patients with QRS duration >150 ms.2The RAFT trial ran-domized 1798 patients with NYHA class II–III HF, LVEF 630%, and QRS durationP120 ms to receive either an ICD alone or an ICD plus CRT. The study recorded that the addi-tion of CRT to an ICD produced a 7% reducaddi-tion in the pri-mary outcome of death from any cause or hospitalization for HF.18 In contrast, Beshai et al. reported that CRT has not been shown to provide any benefit in patients with narrow QRS complex (<120 ms) and echocardiographic evidence of LV mechanical dyssynchrony.19 Also, the EchoCRT study showed that the use of CRT in NYHA class III–IV H patients (LVEF 635%) with QRS duration <130 ms was associated with no benefits and possible harm with significant increase in the rate of death from cardiovascular causes.20

The presence of LBBB-type morphology is related to greater likelihood of improvement after CRT.18,21 The MADIT–CRT trial enrolled 1820 patients in NYHA class I or II (85%) and with QRS P130 ms and LVEF 630%. Patients were randomized 3:2 to CRT with ICD or ICD alone and followed up for a mean of 2.4 years. The end point of the study was the reduction in all-cause mortality and/or hospital-izations for HF. The results showed that the primary clinical end point was reduced only in patients with LBBB receiving CRT, whereas the treatment in patients with RBBB or non-specific intra-ventricular conduction delay increased the risk of death compared with ICD only, regardless of QRS dura-tion.22The CARE-HF study evaluated the effect of CRT on

morbidity and mortality in 813 Patients with NYHA class III or IV heart failure. After a mean follow-up of 29.4 months, CRT reduced the primary end point (all-cause death or hospi-talization for MACE) by 37% compared with medical therapy, and only 35% of patients with RBBB morphology received

some benefit from CRT.23 Sipahi et al. conducted a recent meta-analysis of 4 large randomized trials, totaling 5356 patients, confirmed the effect of CRT in reducing adverse clin-ical events only inpatients with LBBB.21 Consistently, in the present study there were less responders to CRT in patients without LBBB.

In the present study, responders had significantly wider baseline QRS duration than non-responders (152 ± 24.9 ms vs. 130.7 ± 24 ms respectively,P< 0.0001). QRS duration is the main pre-implantation factor which has been shown to have a major impact on the efficacy of CRT. The results are consistent with previous several meta-analyses which showed significant CRT benefit in HF patients with QRS P150 ms.11,16

Cleland et al. conducted an individual patient meta-analysis of five randomized trials comparing CRT either with no active device or with a defibrillator including the fol-lowing baseline variables: age, sex, NYHA class, etiology, QRS morphology, QRS duration, LVEF% and systolic blood pressure. Multivariate model showed that only QRS duration predicted the magnitude of the effect of CRT on outcomes, with an increasing benefit with prolonged QRS duration. The authors reported that QRS durationP140 ms confers a high certainty of favorable response.17Beshai et al. reported that CRT has not been shown to provide any benefit in patients with narrow QRS complex (<120 ms) and echocar-diographic evidence of LV mechanical dyssynchrony.19 Fur-thermore, in the EchoCRT study, the use of CRT in NYHA class III–IV heart failure patients (LVEF635%) with QRS duration less than 130 ms was also associated with an excess mortality due to a significant increase in the rate of death from cardiovascular causes.24Therefore, based on the existing state of evidence patients with QRS duration <130 ms should not be considered for CRT implantation.

In addition to QRS duration and morphology, several vari-ables have been related to a favorable response to CRT. In the present study, responders were more frequently females, have sinus rhythm, non-ischemic etiology, lower BMI, lower base-line serum creatinine level, smaller basebase-line RV diastolic dimension, and greater TAPSE value and were less likely to have PAP >50 mmhg at baseline than non-responders. There were no significant differences between responders and non-responders in echocardiographic measures of LV, echocardio-graphic markers of dyssynchrony nor baseline NYHA class. Similarly, secondary analyses from randomized trials have shown that the presence of non-ischemic cardiomyopathy,25 and female gender,26,27is predictors of significant clinical ben-efit from CRT. Comorbidities such as severe RV dysfunction, pulmonary hypertension, impaired renal function, and valvu-lar disease also appear to diminish response.28–30 In a sub-analysis of MADIT–CRT, Hsu et al. investigated predictors of LVEF super-response to CRT-D in 191 patients. Six base-line factors predicted LVEF super-response: female gender, no prior myocardial infarction, QRS duration P150 ms, LBBB on baseline ECG, body mass index <30 kg/m2, and smaller baseline left atrial volume index.31

The usual target for CRT lead placement is the lateral or posterolateral left ventricle.32 In the present study, optimal

short axis and long axis position of the LV lead was associated with improved response to CRT. Patients with LV leads in a lateral, posterior or posterolateral position compared to ante-rior and anterolateral sites were more likely to be responders (74.9% vs 53.3%,P= 0.005), and also they had better LVEF

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after 6 months (37.4 + 10.5 vs. 28.9 + 11.9, P= 0.002). Patients with LV leads in the apical position compared to basal and mid cavity sites had significantly higher heart failure related to mortality rates at 1 year (44.4% vs. 3.7%, P< 0.001, hazard ratio = 2.41; 95% confidence interval, 1.62–2.81;P= 0.001) and lower LVEF after 6 months (27.1 + 7.8 vs. 36.8 + 11, P= 0.007). Optimal LV lead position (combined optimal long axis and short axis position) was an independent predictor of CRT response (OR 11.3; 95% CI 2–63.8). The CRT response rate when optimal LV lead site achieved was 71.2% vs. 29.4% with non-optimal LV lead site, P< 0.0001.

Previous studies have suggested that LV lead placement in a posterolateral or lateral coronary sinus branch is associated with significantly increased CRT benefit as compared to ante-rior lead location.33,34In secondary analyses of the

COMPA-NION and MADIT–CRT trials, LV lead location along the short axis (anterior vs lateral vs posterior wall) had no signif-icant effect on the rate of heart failure hospitalization or mor-tality.35,36 However, in practice, positioning the LV lead transvenously is limited by the accessibility of suitable epicar-dial coronary veins and of an individualized approach in selec-tion of the optimal pacing site by targeting the most delayed segment, and avoiding areas of myocardial scar is recom-mended.37,38 Device optimization using device based

auto-mated algorithms was performed at the same implantation day in 57.6% of our patients. There was no significant differ-ence in CRT response rate between patients underwent device optimization and others who didn’t undergo device optimiza-tion (69.4% vs. 63.9% respectively,P= 0.09). The SMART-AV trial, a multicentre double-blind study in 980 patients ran-domized to either empirical AV delay of 120 ms, to AV delay optimized according to the mitral inflow pattern (iterative method) or to the Smart Delay algorithm. The results showed that neither echocardiographically optimized AV delay, nor AV delay optimized by the algorithm SmartDelay provided incremental benefit in CRT patients.39

We developed a new simple CRT score based on pre-implantation date to predict CRT response. The CRT score consists of maximum 9 point. Initially all significant indepen-dent pre-implantation predictors of CRT response in multi-nominal logistic regression analysis were included in the CRT score according to their relative effect in the regression model to generate an initial CRT score. When LBBB and female gender were added to other variables, the statistical power of the score much increased, so they were included in the final CRT score. The CRT score includes QRS duration P150 ms, LBBB morphology of the QRS complex, non-ischemic etiology of cardiomyopathy, sinus rhythm at time of implantation, preserved RV function with TAPSE >15 mm, female gender, the absence of history of renal disease and finally the absence of significant COPD (based on specialized respiratory assessment and use of specific medications). Each parameter was assigned to a single point except QRS duration >150 ms was assigned to 2 points. The CRT score is the sum of all points. The CRT response rate has been markedly different according to the CRT score. Patients with CRT score >6 had CRT response rate of 97.5% vs only 40.7% if CRT score <6, P< 0.001.

In a previous scoring model, factors that are associated with favorable reserve remodeling were used to predict CRT

responders in the MADIT-CRT trial.22Using regression anal-ysis in the CRT with ICD (CRT-D) arm of the trial, 7 factors associated with a favorable echocardiographic response (defined as a 10% reduction in left ventricular end-diastolic volume at 1 year) to CRT-D therapy were first identified: female sex, non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, QRS duration >150 ms, the presence of left bundle branch block on baseline ECG, hospitalization for HF at any time before enrollment, baseline left ventricular end-diastolic volume >125 ml/m2, and baseline left atrial volume >40 ml/m2. Each of the 7 fac-tors was assigned a numerical score on the basis of its relative effect in the regression model. The factor with the lowest effect, prior HF hospitalization, was assigned the lowest score of 1; the intermediate factors, which included female sex, non-ischemic cardiomyopathy, left bundle branch block, QRS interval >150 ms, and left ventricular end diastolic volume, were assigned a score of 2; the highest factor, left atrial vol-ume, was assigned a score of 3. A response score was con-structed by adding the number values of the factors identified in each patient. Four patient groups were created on the basis of the response scores. Group 1, the lowest score quartile, had a score of 0–4, Group 2 had a score of 5–6, Group 3 had a score of 7–8, and Group 4, the highest quartile, had a score of 9–14. Cox proportional hazards regression mod-eling showed that when compared to the ICD-only arm, CRT-D patients in Group 2 and higher showed a significant reduc-tion in the risk of HF or death, whereas Group 1 patients derived no benefit. The degree of reduction was incremental between groups with a 33% (p= 0.04), 36% (p= 0.03), and 69% (p= 0.001) risk reduction for Groups 2, 3, and 4, respec-tively. Kang et al. established a 4-point score system derived from clinical, echocardiographic and electrocardiographic indexes including tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), longitudinal strain (LS), and complete LBBB com-bined with a wide QRS duration. The authors concluded that a CRT score >2 can help to predict positive response to CRT effectively and reliably.40 Shen et al. generated a 7-point patient selection score (PSS) based on six variables aiming to improve patient selection for CRT. Patients with a PSS >4 are the most likely to respond to CRT. Using this score system, a PSS score >4 can predict the probability of a CRT response up to 88% in patients with heart failure and a wide QRS dura-tion.41Brunet-Bernard et al. evaluated a scoring system

inte-grating clinical, electrocardiographic, and echocardiographic measurements to predict left ventricular reverse remodeling after CRT. A new 7-point CRT response score termed L2 -ANDS2 includes Left bundle branch block (2 points), Age >70 years, non-end-diastolic diameter <40 mm/m2, and sep-tal flash (2 points). A score >5 had a high positive likelihood ratio (+LR = 5.64), whereas a score <2 had a high negative likelihood ratio ( LR = 0.19).42 The newly generated CRT score in the present study may be used to improve patient selection for CRT implantation.

6. Study limitations

The study sample was relatively small and the short duration of follow-up in this study should be considered a limitation of the present analysis. Therefore, our results did not provide data on the predictive characteristics of various criteria in the longer perspective. Our trial was not designed to assess

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different response criteria, and is based on a group of patients included in two centers. Therefore, the studied population may differ from the population treated with CRT in everyday prac-tice. However, the advantage of such studies is the generation of a new CRT score which may help to identify patients who derive clinical benefit from CRT. Taking into account aforementioned limitations, our study does not provide a definitive solution of the problem, but should be considered as hypothesis generating and indicating the need for further research.

7. Conclusion

CRT is an effective treatment for selected patients with chronic HF and a prolonged QRS interval. Only some of the com-monly used response criteria predict outcome in patients undergoing CRT. The newly generated CRT score may be used to improve the appropriate use of CRT, to increase the CRT response rate. This score needs to be validated on another population of patients in conjunction with ongoing and future research which investigate ways to reduce the fre-quency of non-response to CRT and to improve selection of patients for treatment with CRT for the prevention of HF or death.

Disclosure

All authors have nothing to disclose as regards this study.

Conflict of interest

Authors disclose no potential conflicts of interest.

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Figure

Table 2 Baseline ECG and echocardiographic characteristics.
Table 3 Univariate of CRT response with different parameters.
Figure 1 CRT response according to the CRT score.
Figure 2 Study population classified according to ESC guidelines class for indication of CRT implantation and CRT response.

References

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