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AHML s role in housing market development and providing housing to low-income families in Russia. N.Yu. Koltsova, AHML Deputy CEO

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(1)

AHML’s role in housing market development and providing

housing to low-income families in Russia

2013

1

(2)

Russian mortgage market dynamics

Post-crisis recovery of the mortgage market

656 153 380 717 1.032 16,9% 11,9% 14,6% 17,6% 20,9% 0,0% 5,0% 10,0% 15,0% 20,0% 25,0% 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Объем выданных ипотечных кредитов, млрд руб. Доля сделок с ипотекой на рынке жилья, % (правая шкала)* 14,9% 11,4% 12,9% 10,5% 11,0% 11,5% 12,0% 12,5% 13,0% 13,5% 14,0% 14,5% 15,0% 15,5%

Monthly ruble mortgage loan rates, %

Mortgage loans issued, bln. RUR Share of deals in the housing market

involving mortgage loans, % (right scale)*

09 ar 09 ay 09 Jul 09 ep 09 ov 09 10 ar 10 ay 10 Jul 10 ep 10 ov 10 11 ar 11 ay 11 Jul 11 ep 11 ov 11 12 ar 12 ay 12 Jul 12 ep 12 ov 12 13 ar 13

(3)

Housing affordability

3

Housing market price index and inflation, %

Housing affordability index (2005=100%), % 144 139 135 131 116 117 117 115 105 101 98 97 96 96 98 98 104 105 105 106 109 110 110 110 109 148 145 139 134 119 120 121 120 106 100 96 95 93 95 97 98 106 106 107 108 109 111 113 115 110 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160

I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Inflation, YTD , % YOY

Primary market, YTD, % YOY Secondary market, YTD, % YOY

70% 80% 90% 100% 110% 120% 130% 140%

Primary market Secondary market

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2006

(4)

11% 13%

76%

Market demand

Need, but cannot buy

Do not plan to buy housing

72% 15%

10% 3%

Own housing

Municipal or state housing

Rent from an individual

Rent from a legal entity

Demand for housing over the next five years, as self-assessed by the population

Households distribution by type of tenure

(5)

Target groups of the housing policy

Development of subsidies for households of group 2 and development of lease (including social

lease) as an alternative to housing ownership for not solvent households of groups 3 and 4.

5 TARGET GROUP NEED % of total in need of housing under 13 sq.m. per person under 20 sq.m. per person

Group 1 - property is available for purchase on

the market with a mortgage loan 16,30% 4,60% 11,80%

Group 2 – the market provides for an extension

of living space with use of a mortgage loan 14,40% 4,90% 9,50%

Group 3 – no housing improvement is available on the market, even with a mortgage loan, but the households themselves do not belong to the lowest-income category

53,20% 20,20% 33,10%

Group 4 – the lowest-income households 16,00% 8,00% 8,00%

(6)

Main types of government housing subsidies

FEDERAL PROGRAMS

 In the framework of the Federal Target Program "Housing":

- Downpayment subsidies for young families, young teachers

- State Housing Certificates (discharged military personnel, firemen, migrants)

 Rental subsidies for certain categories of the population (military personnel,

employees of national security agencies, etc.)

 Maternal subsidy (for down payment, loan repayment)

REGIONAL PROGRAMS

 Interest rate subsidy programs (e.g. Kaliningrad – subsidy for house purchase in the

primary market granted to residents of the Kaliningrad Region in need of housing)

 Programs that take over a part of the rental payments (e.g. for health care workers,

(7)

AHML summary

 Providing liquidity to other market participants by purchasing of mortgage loans and mortgage-backed securities

 Providing targeted loans for housing

construction

 Increasing availability of mortgage loans for certain categories of citizens

 Credit support through provision of guarantees for issues of mortgage-backed securities

 Development of mortgage insurance market

Source : AHML IFRS

Key areas of activity

Structure of AHML Group

AHML OJSC Mortgage loans restructuring agency AHML Insurance Company Government

of the Russian Federation

7

 AHML was founded in 1997 by decision of the Government of the Russian Federation as a national institution for the housing mortgage market development

 Fully owned by the government

– Included in the list of strategic enterprises of the Russian Federation

 Sovereign investment ratings

– Moody’s: Baa1 (stable outlook)

– Standard & Poor’s: BBB (stable outlook)

Facts

Key financial indicators

bln. RUR 2010 2011 2012 Assets 197.5 268.9 295.8 - Mortgages 131.9 156.8 187.0 - Mortgage-backed securities 4.7 8.0 20.9 Equity 106.9 114.0 121.0 Net profit 7.3 8.0 8.3

(8)

AHML standards and programs for certain categories of

population

AHML standards

Key specialty products  Military mortgage loan

 Maternal subsidy loan  Newly built house loan  Low-rise housing loan  Loan for Young scientists  Loan for Young teachers

Loan granting Refinancing / mortgage pool formation Borrowers

Regional operators and Service agents Primary creditor Primary creditor Primary creditor

AHML refinancing system

Mutual funds Mutual funds Other sources of financing Mutual funds Mutual funds Securitization Mutual funds Mutual fundsBonds

Raising funds in the capital

markets

Currency Rubles

Down payment Min 30%

(min. 10% subject to mortgage insurance)

Maximum loan amount

Depends on the region and LTV

Maximum loan period 30 years (loan maturity date must occur no later than the borrower reaches the age of 65)

Payment-to-income ratio

Maximum 45% (the remaining borrower income shall be no less than one minimum living wage per person)

Documents Official confirmation of employment and income

Insurance Property insurance is obligatory, life insurance - optional

(9)

Key Principles of Military Mortgage Plan

9 Payments Mortgage holder

Federal budget

of the RF

AHML Management Company (individual savings accounts) Borrower

 Provision of savings contributions to military servicemen is governed by the corresponding Federal Law.

 The loan amount does not depend on the military serviceman income.

 The plan allows military servicemen to purchase housing with little or no involvement of own funds.

 Interest rates under the Military Mortgage Plan are lower than the market rates.

 The agency was the first to start implementing the program in 2007 as part of trial implementation. Then, market players – major state and private banks – followed.

Shares of market participants

(10)

Rental Housing, AHML’s new activity

MECHANISM:

 Long-term mortgage loans to legal entities (housing companies) for the purpose of purchasing rental property

TARGET GROUP:

 Governments of regions and towns of Russia, large enterprises, investors in rental housing GOAL:

 Creation/ enlargement of the housing rental market by housing companies/ legal entities  Increase housing construction volumes

 Defuse the housing "queue" problem, reduce social tensions

 Create conditions for growth of population migration activity and ensure influx of labor in cost-effective industries and regions

 Create conditions for the efficient management of an apartment house by a single owner of all the apartments.

FEATURES:

 The product can be combined with federal, regional and local programs for commercial housing development, including:

– preferential allocation of land plots

– financial participation of budgets of all levels

– compensation of interest on infrastructure and construction loans – legal entity mortgage guarantees

(11)

AHML Creditor bank

Borrower (lesser and

manager of the Rental Housing)

Real estate developer (with economy-class cost) Government of the territory/ municipality 11

(12)

Conclusion

Key drivers for improving the availability of mortgage loans:

 National currency

 Targeted subsidies

 Macroeconomic stability

 Funding cost reduction

 Lower operating and credit margins of market participants

 Assistance programs for borrowers

Key drivers of housing availability improvement:

 Macroeconomic stability

 Development of the rental housing sector and social rent

Lower developers’ costs at the stage of project registration

 Public-private partnership

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