February 1, 2016
ICICI Securities Ltd
|
Retail Equity ResearchResult Update
Closure of Oberoi Delhi to impact revenues…
•
EIH reported a mixed set of Q3FY16 numbers. While revenues were
in line with our estimate, EBITDA was below our estimate. However,
PAT was in line with our estimates due to lower-than-expected tax
expenses
•
Revenues increased 5.8% YoY to | 402.6 crore (in line with I-direct
estimate of | 398 crore) led by higher occupancy
•
On the margin front, the EBITDA margin declined 257.5 bps YoY to
25.7% (vs. I-direct estimate of 29.4%) led by an increase in employee
expenses (up 12.8% YoY) and other expenses (up 8.6% YoY)
•
PAT increased 8.6% YoY to | 47.4 crore led by 24.1% YoY decline in
interest expenses and higher other income of | 5.9 crore vs. | 19 lakh
in Q3FY15
Expect recovery in domestic demand with rebound in economy
With the redefined role of the new government (i.e. from regulator to a
catalyst), we expect integrated development of enabling infrastructure to
boost overall growth of the hotel industry. Growth in room demand has
consistently remained subdued in the past four years due to challenging
macroeconomic conditions with average margins touching as low as 15%
in FY14 from a peak of 31% in FY08 while it witnessed a dream run in
FY02-08 (coinciding with the economic boom). However, with improved
tourism measures, we expect the sector to get back on the growth
trajectory in the next three to four years.
Near term revenues, profitability to be hit by hotel closure
EIH will close The Oberoi, New Delhi from 1 April 2016 for renovation.
The hotel is expected to be ready for commercial operation by April 1,
2018. The hotel generated revenue of | 186.9 crore (contributed 13.7% of
total revenues of the company). Hence, the closure of Oberoi, Delhi will
lead to lower revenues and profitability over the next two years.
Sound balance sheet remains key positive for future expansion
The company has reduced its debt drastically through asset sale and
better working capital management. As a result, its D-E has come down to
0.1x in FY15 from 0.4x in FY11. With an improved economic environment,
we expect debt to decline gradually. This will place the company in a
better position on the balance sheet front, which can be useful in further
expansion. The company also has a strategic partner, Reliance Industries,
with an 18.5% stake in the company. This, we believe, would help the
company in growing faster with the rebound in the macro environment.
Long term fundamentals intact; near term concern prompts downgrade
With the high focus of the government on improving the sector along
with an economic revival, we expect the sector to return to a growth
trajectory over the next three years. Further, the company is in a better
position on the balance sheet front, which can be useful in further
expansion with the rebound in the macro environment. Despite long term
fundamentals being intact, we expect revenue and profits to be adversely
impacted led by closure of Oberoi Delhi. As a result, we have
downgraded the stock from BUY to HOLD. We have valued the stock at
18.3x FY17E EBITDA (i.e. at | 3.5 crore/room and 2.6x FY17E book value)
and arrived at a target price of | 124/share.
Rating matrix
Rating : Hold
Target : | 124
Target Period : 12-15 months Potential Upside : 8%
What’s Changed?
Target Changed from | 133 to | 124
EPS FY16E Unchanged
EPS FY17E Changed from | 2.8 to | 2.3
Rating Changed from Buy to Hold
Quarterly Performance
Q3FY16 Q3FY15 YoY (%) Q2FY16 QoQ (%)
Revenue 400.1 378.2 5.8 298.1 34.2
EBITDA 103.0 107.1 -3.8 38.1 170.7
EBITDA (%) 25.7 28.3 -257 bps 12.8 1298 bps
PAT 47.4 43.6 8.6 10.9 336.1
Key Financials
| Crore FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Net Sales 1,539.1 1,668.3 1,738.3 1,708.8
EBITDA 326.0 330.1 408.5 388.8
Net Profit 107.1 63.1 146.9 129.7
EPS (Rs) 1.9 1.1 2.6 2.3
Valuation summary
FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
P/E 60.8 103.2 44.3 50.2 Target P/E 66.2 112.3 48.3 54.6 EV / EBITDA 20.8 20.3 16.1 16.9 P/BV 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 RoNW 4.1 2.4 5.5 4.7 RoCE 6.2 5.3 7.5 6.9 Stock data Particulars Amount
Market Capitalization | 6513 crore
Total Debt (FY15) | 375 crore
Cash and Investments (FY15) | 198 crore
EV | 6689 crore 52 week H/L 138/96 Equity capital 114.3 Face value | 2 Price performance (%) 1M 3M 6M 12M Indian Hotels -3.6 18.5 17.2 -5.6 Taj GVK -5.8 14.3 33.2 5.3 Hotel Leela -10.0 -2.3 -10.0 -17.1 EIH -6.1 6.5 2.0 4.2
East India Hotels (EIH)
| 114
Research Analyst
Rashesh Shah
[email protected] Devang Bhatt
Variance analysis
Q3FY16 Q3FY16E Q3FY15 YoY (%) Q2FY16 QoQ (%) Comments
Total Operating Income 400.1 393.6 378.2 5.8 298.1 34.2 Revenues increased 5.8% YoY led by better demand
Other Operating Income 2.5 4.4 2.1 16.4 4.4 -44.1
Raw Material Expenses 55.2 54.3 51.7 6.8 46.8 18.1
Employee Expenses 102.4 94.5 90.8 12.8 97.0 5.5
Other Exp 142.0 133.3 130.7 8.6 120.7 17.7
EBITDA 103.0 115.8 107.1 -3.8 38.1 170.7
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.7 29.4 28.3 -257.5 12.8 1,297.8 Higher employee cost during the quarter led to a decline in margins
Other Income 5.9 5.0 0.2 2,989.5 9.8 -39.8 Interest 6.3 6.1 8.3 -24.1 6.1 3.4 Depreciation 30.7 29.3 32.8 -6.3 29.3 4.8 PBT 71.9 85.4 66.2 8.6 12.4 479.9 Total Tax 24.5 38.8 22.6 8.6 1.5 1,500.7 PAT 47.4 46.6 43.6 8.6 10.9 336.1
Lower interest expenses and higher other income led to 8.6% YoY increase in PAT
EPS 0.8 0.81 0.76 9.2 0.2 336.8
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Change in estimates
(| Crore) Old New % Change Old New % Change Comments
Revenue 1,738.3 1,738.3 0.0 1,894.8 1,708.8 -9.8
We have revised our FY17E revenue estimates downwards due to closure of Oberoi, Delhi for renovation
EBITDA 408.5 408.5 0.0 445.3 388.8 -12.7
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.5 23.5 0 bps 23.5 22.8 -75 bps
We have revised our margin estimates downwards led by increase in operating expenses
PAT 146.9 146.9 0.0 157.2 129.7 -17.5
EPS (|) 2.6 2.6 0.0 2.8 2.3 -17.5
FY17E FY16E
ICICI Securities Ltd
|
Retail Equity Research Page 3Company Analysis
Business segment contributes more to topline
Majority of the company’s owned hotels are in the business segment. Out
of the total room inventory of 4752 with the company, EIH owns around
44% of rooms, of which, ~95% are at business locations. We expect
revenues from these business destinations to drive growth of the
company, going ahead, led by a revival in the economic environment.
Other than business segment properties, EIH has properties at leisure
destinations as well through JVs. JVs form ~29% of total rooms. Further,
international properties at Bali, Lambok, Mauritius and Egypt constitute
~20% of the total capacity of the company, which has increased sharply
from 8% in FY09.
Exhibit 1: Revenue CAGR of 9.6% during FY09-15
962.4 845.1 1126.3 1407.2 1468.5 1539.1 1668.3 0 500 1000 1500 2000
FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15
-20.0 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0
Revenue (| crore) - LHS Growth (%) - RHS
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 2: Hotel details
Location Number of Hotels Rooms
Owned Mumbai 3 1278 Delhi 2 338 Bengaluru 1 160 Kolkata 1 209 Udaipur 1 87 Ranthambhore 1 25 Total Owned 9 2097 JV 1376 Total Domestic 3473 International 941 Management Contract 338 All Total 4752
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 3: Trend of ARR, occupancies at business destinations
8417 8607 7577 7393 8867 8933 7600 7557 8504 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Q3F Y14 Q4F Y14 Q1F Y15 Q2F Y15 Q3F Y15 Q4F Y15 Q1F Y16 Q2F Y16 Q3F Y16 (| ) 0 20 40 60 80 (%) ARR (LHS) Occupancy (RHS) Source: Crisil, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 4: Trend of ARR, occupancies at leisure destinations
6706 6794 4656 4412 8172 6489 4717 4644 8372 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 Q3F Y14 Q4F Y14 Q1F Y15 Q2F Y15 Q3F Y15 Q4F Y15 Q1F Y16 Q2F Y16 Q3F Y16 (|) 0 20 40 60 80 (% ) ARR (LHS) Occupancy (RHS)
Source: Crisil, ICICIdirect.com Research ARRs of business destinations declined 4.1% YoY while
occupancy levels improved 391 bps to 72% during the same period
Leisure destinations witnessed an increase of 2.4% YoY in ARR while occupancy declined from 71% in Q3FY15 to 70% in Q3FY16
Expect revenue CAGR of 1.2% during FY15-17E
For FY15, revenues grew 8.4% YoY compared to historical high growth of
~30% in FY11. With the rebound in the economy coupled with strong
presence in business destinations, we expect growth to pick up from here
on. However, we expect revenue growth to be impacted by closure of
Oberoi Delhi. Hence, we expect revenues to grow at a modest CAGR of
1.2% during FY15-17E.
Exhibit 5: Q3FY16 revenue up 5.8% YoY with marginal pick-up in demand
355.6 280.9 287.8 378.2 384.1 299.4 298.1 400.1 3.7 5.2 10.3 8.5 8.0 6.6 3.6 5.8 0.0 100.0 200.0 300.0 400.0 500.0 Q4F Y14 Q1F Y15 Q2F Y15 Q3F Y15 Q4F Y15 Q1F Y16 Q2F Y16 Q3F Y16 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0
Quarterly sales (| crore) - LHS YoY Growth (%) - RHS Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 6: Expect revenue CAGR of 1.2% during FY15-17E
962 845 1126 1407 1468 1539 1668 1738 1709 50 450 850 1250 1650 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16E FY 17E -25 -15 -5 5 15 25 35
Revenue (| crore) - LHS Growth (%) - RHS
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
FY17E margins to decline led by higher operating expenses
EBITDA margins are expected to increase from 19.8% in FY15 to 23.5% in
FY16E led by an improvement in occupancies and ARRs. However, we
expect FY17E margins to decline to 22.8% led by higher operating
expenses and closure of Oberoi, Delhi.
Exhibit 7: Quarterly trend in margins
28.4 22.1 14.4 9.6 28.6 27.6 13.4 12.8 25.7 11.6 2.3 -0.5 11.5 12.2 2.9 3.6 11.8 10.1 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 Q3F Y14 Q4F Y14 Q1F Y15 Q2F Y15 Q3F Y15 Q4F Y15 Q1F Y16 Q2F Y16 Q3F Y16 (% )
Operating margin (%) PAT margin (%)
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 8: Annual trend in margins
20.8 28.4 22.4 18.9 21.2 19.8 17.4 6.4 -0.4 8.7 2.8 7.0 3.8 8.4 7.6 23.4 23.5 22.8 -10.0 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 FY 09 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16E FY 17E (% )
Operating margin PAT margin
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
ICICI Securities Ltd
|
Retail Equity Research Page 5Outlook and valuations
With the high focus of the government on improving the sector along
with an economic revival, we expect the sector to return to a growth
trajectory over the next three years. Further, the company is in a better
position on the balance sheet front, which can be useful in further
expansion with the rebound in the macro environment. Despite long term
fundamental being intact, near term concern due to closure of Oberoi
Delhi prompts us to downgrade the stock from BUY to HOLD. We have
valued the stock at 18.3x FY17E EBITDA (i.e. at | 3.5 crore/room and 2.6x
FY17E book value) and arrived at a target price of | 124/share.
Exhibit 9: One year forward EV/EBITDA
0.0 2000.0 4000.0 6000.0 8000.0 10000.0 12000.0 14000.0 Jan-07 Jul-07 Jan-08 Jul-08 Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Exhibit 10: Valuation
Sales Growth EPS Growth PE EV/EBITDA RoNW RoCE
(Rs cr) (%) (Rs) (%) (x) (x) (%) (%)
FY14 1539.1 4.8 1.9 156.0 60.8 20.8 4.1 6.2
FY15 1668.3 8.4 1.1 -41.1 103.2 20.3 2.4 5.3
FY16E 1738.3 4.2 2.6 132.7 44.3 16.1 5.5 7.5
FY17E 1708.8 -1.7 2.3 -11.7 50.2 16.9 4.7 6.9
Company snapshot Target Price: | 124 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Au g-0 8 Nov -08 Fe b-09 May-09 Au g-0 9 Nov -09 Fe b-10 May-10 Au g-1 0 Nov -10 Fe b-11 May-11 Au g-1 1 Nov -11 Fe b-12 May-12 Au g-1 2 Nov -12 Fe b-13 May-13 Au g-1 3 Nov -13 Fe b-14 May-14 Au g-1 4 Nov -14 Fe b-15 May-15 Au g-1 5 Nov -15 Fe b-16 May-16 Au g-1 6 Nov -16
Source: Bloomberg, Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Key events
Date Event
Jul-07 EIH announces it has decided to terminate its strategic alliance for marketing and co-branding with Hilton International Co (Hilton) for the 'Trident Hilton' brand in India
May-10 Board of Directors of the company approves the acquisition of the 45.85% equity interest of Amex Investment Ltd, Hongkong (Amex) in its international hotel joint venture company. EIH Holdings Ltd British Virgin Islands for $45 million
Jul-10 EIH International, the wholly-owned subsidiary of the company. Completes the acquisition of the 49% equity interest of Amex Investment Ltd (Amex) in its international hotels joint venture company EIH Holdings for US$45 million as approved by the EIH Board. With this acquisition EIH Holdings becomes a wholly-owned subsidiary of EIH International. The acquisition includes equity investments in existing Oberoi Hotels in Mauritius, Bali Indonesia, Lombok Indonesia and Sal Hasheesh Egypt and hotel management contracts
Aug-10 Reliance Industries announces that it has acquired through its wholly-owned subsidiary Reliance Industries Investment and Holding Pvt Ltd, from Oberoi Hotels Pvt Ltd and certain other promoters of EIH Ltd, shares in EIH Ltd representing 14.12% of EIH Limited at a total cost of | 1,021 crore
Sep-12 Elephant Capital plc announces that on September 10, 2012 Elephant Capital disposed of its remaining investment of 5,744,000 EIH Ltd shares for the US$ equivalent of £4,712,000. The US$ proceeds are to be converted to GBP after the trade settlement date of September 17, 2012
Jan-16 Closure of Oberoi Delhi for renovation from 1April 2016 till 1 April 2018 Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Top 10 Shareholders Shareholding Pattern
Rank Name Latest Filing Date % O/S Position (m) Change (m)
1 Oberoi Group 30-Sep-15 29.62 169.27 2.34
2 Reliance Industries Ltd 30-Sep-15 18.53 105.91 0
3 ITC Ltd 30-Sep-15 16.13 92.18 6.56
4 Life Insurance Corporation of India 30-Sep-15 5.62 32.11 -0.33
5 Reliance Capital Asset Management Ltd. 30-Sep-15 2.73 15.61 1.71
6 The New India Assurance Co. Ltd. 30-Sep-15 1.85 10.59 0
7 General Insurance Corporation of India 30-Sep-15 1.75 10.02 0
8 Mukherji (Shib Sanker) 30-Sep-15 1.59 9.09 1.82
9 Madhok (Deepak) 30-Sep-15 1.58 9.01 1.82
10 Russell Credit, Ltd. 30-Jun-15 1.15 6.56 6.56
(in %) Dec-14 Mar-15 Jun-15 Sep-15 Dec-15
Promoter 35.24 35.25 35.25 35.25 35.27
FII 2.05 3.00 3.03 3.10 3.95
DII 12.90 12.93 13.14 13.42 12.95
Others 49.81 48.82 48.58 48.23 47.83
Source: Reuters, ICICIdirect.com Research
Recent Activity
Investor name Value Shares Investor name Value Shares
Russell Credit, Ltd. 10.15m 6.56m Life Insurance Corporation of India -0.49m -0.33m
ITC Ltd 9.79m 6.56m Royce & Associates, LLC -0.13m -0.07m
Oberoi Group 3.50m 2.34m
Madhok (Deepak) 2.72m 1.82m
Mukherji (Shib Sanker) 2.72m 1.82m
Investor name Investor name
ICICI Securities Ltd
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Retail Equity Research Page 7Financial summary
Profit and loss statement | Crore
(Year-end March) FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Total operating Income 1,539.1 1,668.3 1,738.3 1,708.8
Growth (%) 36.7 8.4 4.2 -1.7
Raw Material Expenses 218 221 226 222
Employee Expenses 410 426 443 436
Other Exp 585 691 661 662
Total Operating Expenditure 1,213.1 1,338.1 1,329.8 1,320.0
EBITDA 326.0 330.1 408.5 388.8 Growth (%) 8.2 1.3 23.7 -4.8 Depreciation 134.9 167.8 174.9 174.3 Interest 52.7 46.2 39.9 33.8 Other Income 38.7 28.9 29.8 30.7 PBT 177.1 145.1 223.5 211.4 Others -8.0 3.9 2.9 11.3 Total Tax 71.45 78.0 73.8 70.4 PAT 107.1 63.1 146.9 129.7 Growth (%) LP -41.1 132.7 -11.7 EPS (|) 1.9 1.1 2.6 2.3
Source: ICICIdirect.com Research
Cash flow statement | Crore
(Year-end March) FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Profit after Tax 107.1 63.1 146.9 129.7
Add: Depreciation 134.9 167.8 174.9 174.3
(Inc)/dec in Current Assets 7.6 -26.0 18.3 39.4
Inc/(dec) in CL and Provisions 16.3 55.5 21.7 -19.6
CF from operating activities 266.0 260.4 361.7 323.9
(Inc)/dec in Investments 10.7 0.0 -5.0 -5.0
(Inc)/dec in Fixed Assets 135.7 -108.6 -200.0 -225.0
Others 27.7 16.4 12.0 11.3
CF from investing activities 174.1 -92.2 -193.0 -218.7
Issue/(Buy back) of Equity 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Inc/(dec) in loan funds -279.9 -63.1 -50.0 -50.0
Dividend paid & dividend tax -74.0 -74.0 -74.0 -74.0
Inc/(dec) in Sec. premium 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Others -19.2 11.6 0.0 0.0
CF from financing activities -373.0 -125.5 -124.0 -124.0
Net Cash flow 12.5 34.0 44.7 -18.9
Opening Cash 151.6 164.1 198.1 242.9
Closing Cash 164.1 198.1 242.9 224.0
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Balance sheet | Crore
(Year-end March) FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Liabilities
Equity Capital 114.3 114.3 114.3 114.3
Reserve and Surplus 2,495.0 2,495.7 2,568.6 2,624.3
Total Shareholders funds 2,609.3 2,610.0 2,682.9 2,738.6
Total Debt 437.7 374.6 324.6 274.6
Deferred Tax Liability 194.0 196.3 196.3 196.3
Minority Interest / Others 58.7 77.7 89.7 101.0
Total Liabilities 3,299.7 3,258.7 3,293.5 3,310.5
Assets
Gross Block 3,088.6 3,197.2 3,397.2 3,622.2
Less: Acc Depreciation 963.3 1,131.1 1,306.0 1,480.3
Net Block 2,125.3 2,066.1 2,091.2 2,141.9
Capital WIP 310.0 310.0 310.0 310.0
Total Fixed Assets 2,435.3 2,376.1 2,401.2 2,451.9
Goodwill on consolidation 326.5 331.5 331.5 331.5
Investments 245.5 254.1 259.1 264.1
Inventory 50.3 48.5 46.8 42.2
Debtors 202.1 223.1 223.8 215.4
Loans and Advances 279.9 286.6 269.7 242.9
Other Current Assets 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.6
Cash 164.1 198.1 242.9 224.0
Total Current Assets 696.8 756.9 783.3 725.0
Creditors 309.8 361.2 385.8 379.2
Provisions 95.1 99.3 96.4 83.4
Total Current Liabilities 405.0 460.5 482.2 462.6
Net Current Assets 291.8 296.4 301.1 262.4
Others Assets 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Application of Funds 3,299.7 3,258.7 3,293.5 3,310.5
Source: Company, ICICIdirect.com Research
Key ratios
(Year-end March) FY14 FY15 FY16E FY17E
Per share data (|)
EPS 1.9 1.1 2.6 2.3
Cash EPS 4.2 4.0 5.6 5.3
BV 45.7 45.7 46.9 47.9
DPS 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Cash Per Share 2.9 3.5 4.2 3.9
Operating Ratios (%)
EBITDA Margin 21.2 19.8 23.5 22.8
PBT / Total Operating income 7.0 3.8 8.4 7.6
PAT Margin 7.0 3.8 8.4 7.6 Inventory days 11.3 10.8 10.0 9.5 Debtor days 47.9 48.8 47.0 46.0 Creditor days 73.5 79.0 81.0 81.0 Return Ratios (%) RoE 4.1 2.4 5.5 4.7 RoCE 6.2 5.3 7.5 6.9 RoIC 6.8 5.9 8.5 7.8 Valuation Ratios (x) P/E 60.8 103.2 44.3 50.2 EV / EBITDA 20.8 20.3 16.1 16.9 EV / Net Sales 4.4 4.0 3.8 3.8
Market Cap / Sales 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.8
Price to Book Value 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4
Solvency Ratios
Debt/EBITDA 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.7
Debt / Equity 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Current Ratio 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6
Quick Ratio 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1
ICICIdirect.com coverage universe (Hotels)
CMP M Cap
(|) TP(|) Rating (| Cr) FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E FY15 FY16E FY17E
Indian Hotel (INDHOT) 108 115 HOLD 8681 -4.4 0.1 1.0 NA 1220.6 106.7 25.1 20.8 17.0 2.6 3.7 4.0 -15.8 0.3 3.6
EIH (EIH) 114 124 HOLD 6516 1.1 2.6 2.3 103.2 44.3 50.2 20.3 16.1 16.9 5.3 7.5 6.9 2.4 5.5 4.7
TajGVK Hotels (TAJGVK) 90 100 BUY 563 -0.3 0.4 1.4 N.A 219.9 64.2 16.7 15.2 12.4 4.4 5.7 7.0 N.A 0.7 2.5
Sector/Company
RoE (%)
EPS (|) P/E (X) EV/EBITDA (X) RoCE (%)
ICICI Securities Ltd
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Retail Equity Research Page 9RATING RATIONALE
ICICIdirect.com endeavours to provide objective opinions and recommendations. ICICIdirect.com assigns
ratings to its stocks according to their notional target price vs. current market price and then categorises them
as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold and Sell. The performance horizon is two years unless specified and the notional
target price is defined as the analysts' valuation for a stock.
Strong Buy: >15%/20% for large caps/midcaps, respectively, with high conviction;
Buy: >10%/15% for large caps/midcaps, respectively;
Hold: Up to +/-10%;
Sell: -10% or more;
Pankaj Pandey
Head – Research
[email protected]
ICICIdirect.com Research Desk,
ICICI Securities Limited,
1st Floor, Akruti Trade Centre,
Road No 7, MIDC,
Andheri (East)
Mumbai – 400 093
[email protected]
ANALYST CERTIFICATION
We /I, Rashesh Shah, CA, and Devang Bhat, PGDBM, Research Analysts, authors and the names subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. We also certify that no part of our compensation was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report.
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ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is a SEBI registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000990.ICICI Securities Limited (ICICI Securities) is a full-service, integrated investment banking and is, inter alia, engaged in the business of stock brokering and distribution of financial products. ICICI Securities is a wholly-owned subsidiary of ICICI Bank which is India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries engaged in businesses of housing finance, asset management, life insurance, general insurance, venture capital fund management, etc. (“associates”), the details in respect of which are available on www.icicibank.com.
ICICI Securities is one of the leading merchant bankers/ underwriters of securities and participate in virtually all securities trading markets in India. We and our associates might have investment banking and other business relationship with a significant percentage of companies covered by our Investment Research Department. ICICI Securities generally prohibits its analysts, persons reporting to analysts and their relatives from maintaining a financial interest in the securities or derivatives of any companies that the analysts cover.
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ICICI Securities or its associates might have managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company or might have been mandated by the subject company for any other assignment in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report during the period preceding twelve months from the date of this report for services in respect of managing or co-managing public offerings, corporate finance, investment banking or merchant banking, brokerage services or other advisory service in a merger or specific transaction. ICICI Securities or its associates might have received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the companies mentioned in the report in the past twelve months.
ICICI Securities encourages independence in research report preparation and strives to minimize conflict in preparation of research report. ICICI Securities or its analysts did not receive any compensation or other benefits from the companies mentioned in the report or third party in connection with preparation of the research report. Accordingly, neither ICICI Securities nor Research Analysts have any material conflict of interest at the time of publication of this report.
It is confirmed that Rashesh Shah, CA, and Devang Bhatt, PGDBM, Research Analysts of this report have not received any compensation from the companies mentioned in the report in the preceding twelve months.
Compensation of our Research Analysts is not based on any specific merchant banking, investment banking or brokerage service transactions.
ICICI Securities or its subsidiaries collectively or Research Analysts do not own 1% or more of the equity securities of the Company mentioned in the report as of the last day of the month preceding the publication of the research report.
Since associates of ICICI Securities are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report.
It is confirmed that Rashesh Shah, CA, and Devang Bhatt, PGDBM, Research Analysts do not serve as an officer, director or employee of the companies mentioned in the report. ICICI Securities may have issued other reports that are inconsistent with and reach different conclusion from the information presented in this report.
Neither the Research Analysts nor ICICI Securities have been engaged in market making activity for the companies mentioned in the report.
We submit that no material disciplinary action has been taken on ICICI Securities by any Regulatory Authority impacting Equity Research Analysis activities.
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