2012 Technical Report per Activity

(1)

Communication products Improved blog 2012 Completed Select a format Capacity

2 or 3 research projects developed and disseminated to support studenships or thesis topics aiming to e.g carry out site similarity and GxE analysis, weather data

integration

2013 Partially completed Select a format

Other Proposals submitted to raise funds for further

development 2012 Completed Select a format

Data New trial data incorporated into the system

through establishment of new partnerships 2012 Completed Other

Model tools and software Solid integration with Monsanto, AgMIPS and

Cal-Riverside 2013 Partially completed Other

2012 Partially completed Other

Model tools and software

Improvements of the database search functionality ; Results integrated into the database (completed in the first quarter of 2012); System for acquiring weather data to

accompany trials data; Resource for identifying publically available soil profile

information for crop adaptation analysis

Insert a small remark to indicate the status of the activity.

(2-4 sentences required per activity)

The activity reached most of its 2012 objectives. Over the year the AgTrials platform included 2,524 new trials (from 126 new contributing institutions) reaching a total of 4,296 trials (from 186 institutions). The site showed a constant flow of traffic with a total of 6,227 visits registered from 95 different countries around the world. The system for acquiring weather data has finally been outcourced to our partners at AgMIP and should be available shortly. In terms of fund rasing a proposal was submitted to the RTB program (aiming to get new data for banana, plan came, potato, sweet potato, cassava and yam).

Deliverables status (You may add any unexpected deliverable)

Type Description Year Status Format

Agtrials interface linked to the AMKN and CCAFS data portals; Analogue tool incorporated into the Agtrials interface

Activity status Completed

To improve partnerships with CG centers, the private sector, initiatives such as AgMIPS, the CGIAR research programs (CRP’s).

Objective 4 To support and advance individual research projects utilizing AgTrials data

Objective 5 To support the integration of the evaluation data and climate related information resulting from the centers-led CRP7 related activities relevant to Agtrials Objective 6 To raise funds for further development

CCAFS Objective

(select from drop list) 1.1 Adapted farming systems

CCAFS Milestone No. (select from drop list / for further details go to CCAFS 2012 -

2015 LOGFRAME sheet)

1.1.1 2012 (1)

Activity objectives (what the activity aims to

achieve)

Objective 1 To increase the overall number of trials in the system.

Objective 2 To improve the trial site information, focusing on motivating involvement of people that work in these sites and advance the incorporation of weather data into the system Objective 3

2012 Technical Report per Activity

Each Program Participant must provide a small remark against each activity/deliverable to indicate the status of the activity (2-4 sentences required per activity) using the form below. Updated data from the current partners is also required.

CCAFS Theme Led Activities

Theme 1. Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change

Activity No. 280 Activity title Multi-site agricultural trial evaluation database for climate change analysis

(2)

Reports, publications

Report of any innovative options (tools or institutions) and their scope of application identified by stakeholders during the exchanges and reflections which combine

adaptation and mitigation benefits

2012 Completed Select a format

Other

Farms of the Future methodology to facilitate farmer-to-farmer exchanges , which includes

social and gender differentiation and innovative participatory approaches that promote knowledge sharing among farmers

communities, and which can be applied to different geographical regions with significant

cultural/agricultural differences

Other Tested methodology in two CCAFS regions 2012 Completed Select a format

Activity status Partially completed

The two pilots in Tanzania and Ghana were succesfully carried out, howere the final Synthesis report, draft paper and Policy brief have been delayed and are due by the End of March.

achieve)

Objective 1 This project will address the following working hypothesis: by identifying and connecting analogue sites, research can: 1) enable farmers to better envision how their site-specific agricultural future might look, and 2) permit targeted on-the-ground testing of cropping systems’/technologies’ climate resilience

Objective 2

To devise, test and validate the ‘Farms of the future’ approach built on farmer-to-farmer exchanges to analogue sites as a valuable option to improve adaptive capacity and support knowledge transfer.

This approach would specifically: a) Consist of novel social science approaches to understanding farmers’ reactions to experiencing their future climates b) Permit participatory diagnosis of capacities and needs, thus aiding in the design of community-appropriate adaptation strategies.

c) Build knowledge about how climate may change and what may be needed to adapt.

A crucial piece of this work will also involve how best to communicate uncertainty, given the uncertainty inherent in climate projections.

Objective 3 To improve understanding of local practices and available tools for enabling change, as well as cultural, economic, or institutional obstacles to such adaptive change (e.g., no existing market for cultivation of an otherwise promising substitution crop).

Activity No. 281

Activity title Development of a method to study farmer’s social, cultural and gender specific barriers for enabling behavioral change and improve adaptive capacity, based on farmers’ exchanges between climatic analogues locations (Farms of the Future Africa)

CCAFS Objective

1.1.2 2012

CRP 3.4 CRP 3.4 Roots, Tubers, and Bananas

CRP - Challenge Research Program Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Graham Thiele [email protected]

AI - Academic Institution Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Lotte Klapwijk [email protected]

Acronym Name

Cheryl Porter [email protected]

Wageningen University

[email protected]

AgMIPS Agricultural Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project

Research_Network - Research network Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Current Partners

Monsanto

PRI - Private Research Institution Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

David Gustafson

(3)

Draft for peer-reviewable journal article on the farms of the future experience and

methodologies ready for submission

Select a format

Communication products

Visual outputs to be included in the CCAFS Adaptation and Mitigation Knowledge

Network online portal

Communication products

Policy brief targeted to national decision makers on community level adaptive capacity

and principle barriers to adapt effectively

2012 Uncompleted

Mr. Linus Kabo-Bah [email protected]

LACERD Langmaal Centre for Rural Development

NGO_DO - Non-governmental

organization/Development organization Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

CSIR The Council for Scientific and Industrial Research (Ghana) NARES - National agricultural research

and extension services Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Jesse Naab [email protected]

www.fnianzwe.com

Juma Wickama [email protected]

FNZ Federation NianZwe ( Leo, Burkina)

[email protected]

AHI African Highlands Initiative

NARES - National agricultural research

SARI Selian Agricultural Research Institute

George Sayula Reports, publications

Synthesis report including: a) analysis on the approach and recommendations for further

up scaling and implementation, b) documentation of the effects of socio-cultural

characteristics on the learning process, use and potential adoption of new mitigation and

adaptation practices

(4)

Other

Provide support and guidance in the implementation of CIAT’s CRP6 and CRP7 Gender Strategies related activities, their articulation with the CGIARs Gender Strategy

and in general seeking to create synergies with other CRPs’ Gender Strategies.

Reports, publications Annual report 2014 Uncompleted Select a format

Annual report including: Start consolidating a Faculty Research Network .Work with the Capacity Strengthening group to identify how

may gender differences influence the innovation strategies to reach intended beneficiary groups. Also, on how large scale

research-for development impacts can directly reach and benefit rural women.

Other

Provide support in bridging the gap between research and the implementation of projects and strategies that effectively address gender

issues.

Select a partner type. Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Other

Guide the implementation of the activities of the Gender Strategies of CRP 7 and CRP6, and their articulation with the strategies and

related activities of other CRPs

Select a format

Jointly develop and/or help in the articulation with the CGIAR Gender Strategy of CIATs CRP

6 and 7 Gender Strategies

Capacity Start consolidating a student research

network. 2012 Completed

1.1.2 2014 (2)

The specific objective for this period was for Prof. Deere to work with Dr. Twyman in developing a short- and medium-term strategy for gender research related to climate change. The initial activities included a desk review of CIAT/CCFAS materials; a visit by Deere to CIAT headquarters ; a visit by Useche to CIAT; and further review of draft CIAT/CCFAS materials Activity objectives

(what the activity aims to achieve)

Objective 1 Provide gender expertise to CIAT and CCAFS on an advisory basis and facilitate greater integration of gender research projects and proposals between CIAT and the University of Florida, focused primarily on climate change but also dealing with other areas requiring gender expertise within the context of CGIAR Research Programs.

Activity title Intelectual support and mentoring to strengthen capacity in gender analysis and research (UF)

CCAFS Objective

(5)

Data

A virtual library that catalogs research relevant to CSA that includes: a database and a compilation of literature (already in use by MSc student and a group of CGIAR (CIAT, ICRAF, IITA, and national research partners

(from the Philippines and Vietnam)

2012 Completed Other

Reports, publications Technical report 2012 Completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

Draft of peer-reviewed article based on the meta-analysis by December 2012. To be

submitted and delivered in 2013

2012 Partially completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

The activity was successfully carried out and the 2012 deliverables were achieved. Publication of the peer-reviewed articles has been agreed for 2013. This work will support further research efforts on CSA, upscalling opportunities and barriers to adoption.

achieve)

Objective 1 To build a library capable of informing decision making at multiple levels.

Objective 2 To carry out an on-line surveys and a formal meta-analysis to compile a database of research results, data, and scientists working in this area.

Activity No. 310 Activity title Best bets for climate-smart agriculture: The scientific basis

CCAFS Objective

1.1.2 2013 (1) Current Partners

Jacob Van Etten [email protected]

Bioversity

CG - CGIAR Center Contact Point Full Name

Other

Provide a link to Agtrials 2013 Partially completed Other

Workshops Regional training workshops Completed Select a format

Other

Completed

The objetives set for the year were succesfully accomplished. The activity will enter in a new phase in 2013.

Format

Year Status

Completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

Other

Contact Point Email Description

Other Training manual and tutorials 2012

2012 Type

design of the revamped platform 2012 Completed

achieve) Objective 2 To develop training material and tutorial Objective 3 To include new climatic data (and with higher resolution)

Objective 4 Improve the online portal and develop a proper platform with new sections

Activity status

Activity title Further development and improvement of the Analogue tool and linkage with other CCAFS platforms

CCAFS Objective

1.1.1 2012 (2)

Objective 1 To carry out a usability analysis and implement the identified/required improvements.

(6)

non available non available

ISPG Polytechnic University of Gaza

International Union for Conservation of Nature

CG - CGIAR Center Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Regina Cruz [email protected]

Reports, publications Progress technical report 2012 Completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

IUCN

2012 Completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

Review long-term climate change adaptation and short-term climate risk in the field of agriculture in studies already implemented

The activity was succesfully launched and the 2012 objectives reached. Partnership with IIAM and IUCN has proved very efficient.

Other House hold Baseline survey carried out in two sites. Site reports to be delivered in 2013.

achieve)

Objective 1 To enhanced livelihood resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change related risks in food insecure areas in Southern Mozambique.

Objective 2 To improve food security of rural families, in areas prone to the climate change impacts, by promoting the use of "climate-mart" technologies that encourage the balance between improved livelihoods and sustained biological and ecological integrity of the natural resources

Todd Rosenstock [email protected]

Activity title Managing climate related risks to improve livelihood resilience and adaptive capacity in agricultural ecosystems in Southern Mozambique

CCAFS Objective

1.1.2 2013 (1) Current Partners

[email protected]

ICRAF World Agroforestry Centre

Peter Laderach

CIAT Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical

A list of CSA practices and technologies that have been identified and assessed for their applicability under specific conditions

(7)

Workshops

Pest and Diseases modeling workshop held in Lima, Peru, in December 2012 including participants from each center (CIAT, BIOVERSITY,

CIMMYT, IITA and ICARDA, AfricaRice etc.).

Workshop report including Road map and detailed work plan with main expected products, milestones and outcomes for a three-year period.

* The developed sub-module called “Index interpolator” inputs daily min. and max. temperature data and simultaneously calculates the three risk indices (establishment index, ERI, generation index, GI, and activity index, AI) location by location, and applies the thin plate smoothing spline (Tps) algorithm for interpolation of the indices. The analyses of the indices is at high spatial (pixel size of 90 m) and temporal resolution (daily data) that enables capturing the insect population potential establishment, distribution and abundance on small regional scales at an altitude gradient. While the generation and activity indices produced reasonable results validated through field observations, the output of the establishment index is not fully conclusive and not yet satisfactory displaying well the pest potential establishment, which needs more research.

* Succesful workshop carried out in Lima from 10-14 December. The workshop successfully linked scientists from CG-Centers (Bioversity, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICRISAT, IITA, and IRRI) and other stakeholders (CABI, FAO, FERA, UC Davis, University of Leeds, University of Kansas, Ohio State University) working in pest and disease management. It focused on challenges and opportunities to synergize expertise towards improving risk assessments of pests and diseases under current and changing climates in order to target surveillance initiatives, as well as to share experiences and develop joint modeling approaches to better understand the effects of climate change on agricultural pests, diseases and crop losses.

achieve)

Objective 1

To organize and conduct a scientific review and planning workshop jointly with Kansas State University on pest and disease modeling to assemble and review (i) existing resources related to the main 5 results of the scoping study, and (ii) to plan for the development of new shared resources.

Objective 2 To initiate and conduct research and development activities in climate change related pest and disease assessments and modeling.

Objective 3

CIP has developed Insect Life Cycle Modeling (ILCYM) software which supports the development of process-based temperature-driven and age-stage structured insect phenology models and to apply these models for insect species distribution and risk mapping under different climate change scenarios. ILCYM is an open-source computer aided tool built on R-codes with a user friendly interface in Java computing language. It is linked to an uDig platform, which is a geographic information system (GIS), an application that contains basic tools for managing and mapping geographic information. To improve the software capacity in climate data interpolation and modeling and predicting changes in the regional distribution and abundance of insect pests’ new modules have to be integrated.

Activity No. 210 Activity title Pest and diseases modelling Workshop and insect pest research project (CIP)

CCAFS Objective

(select from drop list) 1.2 Breeding strategies

CCAFS Milestone No. (select from drop list / for further details go to CCAFS 2012 - 2015

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2) International Institute of Tropical Agriculture

Manuele Tamò [email protected]

Reports, publications Technical report 2012 Completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

IITA

Model tools and software R package on R-Forge with crop model

implementation 2012 Completed Other

Two phases of work were completed through the grant. In preparation for testing the ILCYM model on the effects of climate change on insect pests, life cycle parameters for the banana corm weevil were compiled and sensitivity testing was done with the model. This work will continue with the final version of the model which is recently available. In the second phase of work, the INFOCROP model was converted to R software in preparation for crop-pest linked models and for risk assessment and the role of agrobiodiversity.

• Complete data compilation for all the immature and mature stages of Cosmopolites sordidus and the effect of temperature on them. Our current student will continue her work for two more months (Until middle March 2013) to complete this task.

• Report on model co-validation using literature data as input. This task will be performed by the team located in Cali office by middle of March 2013.

Reports, publications Report on banana weevil population model.

To implement a basic mechanistic crop model in R based on InfoCrop.

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

achieve)

Objective 2 To develop a basic population model for banana weewil and its response to changes in temperature based on values from the literature.

Objective 3

Activity No. 209 Activity title Modeling climate impacts on pests and diseases (Banana weevil)

(8)

Suresh Pande [email protected]

Adam Sparks [email protected]

ICRISAT International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics

IRRI International Rice Research Institute

CIAT International Cener for Tropical Agriculture

Soroush Parsa [email protected]

Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

CIMMYT International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center

Likhayo Paddy unavailable

Other regional risk maps 2012 Partially completed GIS raster (ESRI Grids, GeoTiff, etc)

Technical report on the new module created and outputs produced including regional risk maps and life table parameters in an altitude

gradient

2012 Completed

RTB Roots, Tubers and Bananas

CRP - Challenge Research Program Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Graham Thiele [email protected]

Corinne Valdivia [email protected]

Timothy Holmes [email protected]

University of Missouri

CABI CABI

Manuele Tamo [email protected]

Agustin Molina [email protected]

IITA International Institute of Tropical Agriculture [email protected]

BI Bioversity International

KSU Kansas State University

Karen Garret Model tools and software Available R-codes for climate data interpolation

from CIAT adapted to ILCYM platform 2012 Completed Other

Module created for the analysis of regional climate change patterns on pest establishment

and abundance with daily min. and max.

temperatures

(9)

Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email not available at the moment not available at the moment

UAC University of Abomey Calavi

AI - Academic Institution Insert a small remark to indicate the

status of the activity.

The stat of this activity was delayed and the sub-contract could only be signed by December 2012 (IITA's freezing period). A new date was approved. The final deliverables will be submitted by March 2013.

Technical report including: New knowledge about complex interactions between 1) two different and interacting beneficial soil microorganisms; 2) the cowpea plant; and 3) the legume pod borer, a cowpea pest, with regard to

changing and erratic rainfall pattern Activity No. 212

Activity title Pests and diseases research: interaction between soil beneficial microorganisms, mediating defense reactions to the attack of pod borers in cowpea, as influenced by a range of water supply regimes from flooding to drought.

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

achieve)

Objective 1 To investigate the interaction between soil beneficial microorganisms, mediating defense reactions to the attack of pod borers in cowpea, as influence by a range of water supply regimes from flooding to drought.

Objective 2 Specific objective is to quantify pod borer attack (damage and cowpea yield) as a function of the application of soil beneficial microorganisms influenced by varying water availability Kenya Agricultural Research Center

Paddy Likhayo [email protected]

Capacity Train a PhD student in phenology modeling and

risk mapping using ILCYM 2012 Completed Select a format

KARI Model tools and software

Review existing life table data of the larger grain borer (Prostephanus truncatus); fill data gaps

and conduct phenology modeling and risk mapping using ILCYM

Review existing life table data of the maize weevil (Sitophilus zeamais); fill data gaps and conduct phenology modeling and risk mapping

using ILCYM

The research work started with identifying available phenology data from publically available sources and identifying data gaps that need to be generated. The newly generated data would be used in phenology modeling and risk mapping using ILCYM

achieve)

Objective 1 To assess the effect of climate change on distribution, crop damage and loss in maize due to the larger grain borer (Prostephanus truncatus) and the maize weevil (Sitophilus zeamais) Objective 2 To participate in CCAFS scientific review and planning workshop on pest and disease modeling

Activity title Phenology modeling and climate change risk assessments for the larger grain borer (Prostephanus truncatus) and the maize weevil (Sitophilus zeamais)

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

(10)

Reports, publications Journal paper on CMIP5 climate model skill 2013 Partially completed Select a format

Reports, publications Journal paper on downscaling / bias-correction /

perfect sibling 2013 Partially completed Select a format

Data CMIP3 climate data fully available 2013 Partially completed Select a format

Data CMIP5 RCP4.5 data downscaled and provided

online 2014 Partially completed Select a format

Various changes to the portal have been implemented; Over the year the portal was fully updated including: new graphic design, improved functionality, php-oriented webpage structure, a form to capture and store user information, licensing, and detailed descriptions of all available datasets; The MarkSim downscaling tool and its related datasets were all added to the portal;

After an upgrade in the storage system at CIAT/DAPA, all data from DreamHost were migrated back to CIAT. During the next two years, IPCC 5AR data (i.e. CMIP5) will be downscaled and made available. Data for all RCPs and for as many models and ensemble members as possible will be processed and made available.

achieve)

Objective 1 Upgrade the portal to make the data-download more user friendly

Objective 2 Further download and downscale the CMIP5 climate change runs, and provide them online Objective 3 Perform analyses of bias-correction/downscaling, and sensitivities of crop models to these issues

Activity No. 214 Activity title Further development of CCAFS-climate portal

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

Reports, publications Report describing the evaluation of the potential

of index insurance for pests/diseases 2012 Partially completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

Format

Report describing current understanding of how farmers are likely to make decisions about pest/disease management under climate change

2012 Partially completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf) Build the concepts for use of core models of losses to pests/disease in understanding how farmers are likely to make decisions under climate change, and in evaluation of the potential for index insurance programs for pests/disease.

The basic frameworks for the project were developped and presented in the workshop held in December in Lima. Fruitful discussions on how best to integrate them with CGIAR research took place. There is ongoing work aiming to publish three manuscripts from the work, with complete simulations, in peer-reviewed journals (by May 2013).

Type Description Year Status

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

achieve)

Objective 1 To co-organize and conduct a scientific review and planning workshop on pest and disease modeling to assemble and review (i) existing resources related to the main 5 results of the scoping study, and (ii) to plan for the development of new shared resources.

Objective 3

Activity No. 213 Activity title Pest and diseases modelling Workshop and insect pest research project (KSU)

(11)

[email protected] Current Partners

Global Crop Diversity Trust

Donors - Donors Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Hannes Dempewolf Reports, publications Journal article with main results and impact

assessment 2013 Partially completed Select a format

Reports, publications Journal article for research investment targeting 2013 Partially completed Select a format

Data Crop vulnerability analyses plugged into AMKN 2013 Partially completed Select a format

Reports, publications CCAFS working paper with results of vulnerability

analysis 2014 Partially completed Select a format

Analysis (and reports) performed for 20 of the 31 crops. Final deliverables expeted in 2013 and 2014.

achieve)

Objective 1 Parameterise EcoCrop using observations, and further evaluate results with experts

Objective 2 Extensively assess predictive skill and future prediction uncertainty, including comparisons with other studies Objective 3 Analyse climate change impacts and future likely climate constraints and genotypic adaptation of these 26 food crops Activity title Collaborative project on vulnerability analysis with the Trust

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

Activity No. 215 Current Partners

Roberto Quiroz [email protected]

CIP Centro Internacional de la Papa

ILRI International Livestock Research Institute

Jawoo Koo [email protected]

(12)

[email protected]

Objective 3

To lead the development of models and scripts for defining TPEs, preferably using the R package of statistics to facilitate open access of methodologies

To carry out a Crop models analysis - Calibration and validation of models for improving rice and bean yield prediction (Latin America varieties); testing under different environmental conditions considering abiotic stresses (drought, heat) and different CO2 concentrations; Sensitivity analysis.

To lead the development of models and scripts for defining TPEs, preferably using the R package of statistics to facilitate open access of methodologies Apply the new TPE approach to rice and beans in Latin America as an initial trial

Objective 4

Objective 5

CIAT Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical

Andy Jarvis Reports, publications

Review of the methodologies to identify TPEs and evaluation of their strengths and weaknesses. Review of multiples case studies

and identification of possible partners

Reports, publications Initial methodological description for the TPEs

approach to be implemented (proof of concept). 2013 Partially completed Other

Workshops Meeting end of year 2012 – December (In Brazil). 2012 Completed Blogpost

Reports, publications Workshopof “Global TPEs Application 2013 Partially completed Other

Other

Protocol and script in R to estimate the effect of climatic variables on rice and calculate the crop models parameters for the crops. The script will have details on calibration runs, accuracy assessment results and improved parameter files.

Long term partnership established with Embrapa. All the activitites planned in this initial pahse were carried out succesfully thought a tight colaboration with the CIAT/CCAFS team.

Data

Operational databases in AgTrials & DSSAT of trial and multi-trial data for both crops, including

some descriptive statistics for both yields and climate data.

achieve)

Objective 1 To review approaches to target population environment identification and mapping and identify the most appropriate TPE approaches for defining breeding priorities under a changing climate.

Objective 7 Together with CCAFS and CIAT team members, support the application of the TPE approach globally for additional crop of importance, adjusting the methodology accordingly

Objective 6 Development of an online tool that will facilitate their identification.

Objective 2

Activity title A methodological development of an online tool for the identification of Target Population Environments: improving the predictions of agricultural production using crop models

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

(13)

non available non available

Manila Observatory

GO - Government office/department Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

International Rice Research Institute

Andrew Nelson [email protected]

Model tools and software Model RIDEV operational for CC scenarios

(Model SAMARA not yet fully ready) 2012 Partially completed Select a format

IRRI Other

Recruitment of a PhD student (Mr. Uttam Kumar) for research on modeling of crop adaptation to climate change; Recruitment on

project basis of a programmer (Mr. Richard Pasco) for crop model improvement, data management and model applications.

Other

Initiation of collaboration with the Manila Observatory on down-scaling of GCM scenarios to the scale relevant to crop models, for selected

regions (zoom-ins).

Adaptation of the newly development model RIDEV for bulk simulations (multi-scenario) of rice crop phenology and incidence of thermal

stresses.

- Research infrastructure in place (personnel, PhD student, partnerships for collaboration) - Model RIDEV operational for CC scenarios (Model SAMARA not yet fully ready) (not yet achieved: Downscaled GCM scenarios evaluated “thru eyes of the crop" = crop models)

Workshops

Implementation of a modeling training course (SAMARA model, CIRAD) at Montpellier for project collaborators and personnel (12 persons)

achieve)

Objective 1 To develop adaptation strategies for crops to climate change on the basis of a model-assisted analysis of climate change impacts on the performance of current and hypothetical varieties (ideotypes).

Activity No. 313 Activity title Adaptation strategies for crops to climate change (CIRAD)

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.2.1 2013 (2)

(14)

Communication products Policy briefs 2014 Partially completed Select a format Partially completed Select a format

Select a format Format 1.3 Policies and institutions for adaptation

To reveal implications for diagnosing and building resilience and adaptation through capacity development interventions

Four University of Oxford DPhil Theses; Academic publications, minimum four per field program and one synthesis paper; Book titled “Systemic Adaptation Planning: Integrating Social, Economic

and Environmental Dimensions of Adaptation to Climate Change in Food an Agricultural Systems

2014 Activity status

Objective 1 Objective 2 Objective 3

To clarify whether, and if so what, differences in meanings, principles, methods and tools are being realized in formal and informal adaptation practice and why.

CCAFS Objective (select from drop list)

CCAFS Milestone No. (select from drop list / for further details go to CCAFS 2012 - 2015

LOGFRAME sheet)

[email protected]

[email protected] Friends Service Council

Name

Contact Point Email Prashant Singh

Contact Point Full Name Acronym

HCI Himalayan Climate Initiative

Select a format

Select a format Type

Annual progress report including operational, conceptual and methodological frameworks for

field research programs

Description Status

Working meta-theory and meta-methodological frameworks.

2012 Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

NGO_DO - Non-governmental organization/Development organization Deliverables status

(You may add any unexpected deliverable)

2012

Annual progress report inclusing East Africa Field

Reports 2013

Year

Thapa Surya Bahadur Final practitioner training packages for the

frameworks and toolkits

Activity title A Systemic Framework for Integrated Adaptation Planning

The overarching theoretical and methodological frameworks have been tested through the Nepal Field Research program and subsequent dialogue processes. Refinements have been made within each of the lenses and will be implemented and further tested and the entire approach refined and developed in Ghana and again in the third field site, most likely Brazil in 2013.

Specific milestones achieved during this reporting period include the completion of the Nepal Field Research, hosting a pluri-disciplinary dialogue, individual academic milestones of the researchers, the selection of Ghana as the second field site, a scoping trip to Ghana, and increased research collaboration.

Completed

1.3.1 2014 (1)

To identify implications for the development of meta-theory and meta-methodology for adaptation planning. The program will produce site specific contextual insights as well as draw out scalable and replicable features which can guide regional, national and international climate adaptation policy, planning and decision-making processes.

achieve)

Contact Point Email

Name Capacity

FSCN

Completed

Completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

Partially completed

organization/Development organization Contact Point Full Name

Partially completed Synthesis Report on all field programs and Final

meta-theory and meta-methodology

Acronym

2013

2014

(15)

Reports, publications Policy workshop report, related presentation and

documentation 2012 Partially completed Select a format

Reports, publications Report including the NAPA review and Climate

change Capacity Needs Assessment 2012 Completed Select a format

Workshops Policy workshop held in Maputo 2012 Completed Select a format

80% of the activity was accomplished by Dec 2012. The policy workshop was delayed to February 2013 and thus the final reports will be delivered by mid- March.

achieve)

Objective 1 Carrying out a review of the National Adaptation Program of Action (NAPA)

Objective 2 Performing a Climate change Capacity Needs Assessment, identifying research needs and priorities

Objective 3 Coordinating the organization of a one-day national planning workshop on climate change and agricultural research whose theme is “Climate Smart Agriculture: Research Needs and Priorities”; to be held in Maputo in the last week of November 2012.

Activity No. 207 Activity title NAPA review, capacity needs assessment and Policy workshop organization for Mozambique

CCAFS Objective

(select from drop list) 1.3 Policies and institutions for adaptation

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.3.2 2012 Stockholm Environment Institute

ARI - Advanced Research Institution Contact Point Full Name Contact Point Email

Lisa Schipper [email protected]

Communication products 2 page executive summary converted into a policy

brief 2012 Partially completed Select a format

SEI

Format

Discussion paper of maximum 25 pages intended to contribute to a more profound understanding of how local rural institutional actors respond to the upheavals in livelihood systems that are being

triggered by climate change.

And then identify:

• What is working where, how, and why;

• Arrangements that best assist resource-poor households in reducing their vulnerability to climate change, disaggregated by location, gender, and other socioeconomic categories.

Final manuscript delivered (to be published in 2013)

Type Description Year Status

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.3.1 2012 (1)

achieve)

Objective 1 This document will seek to fill this knowledge gap on how rural institutions locally mediate, enable, or obstruct adaptive change, and how

Objective 2

To build understanding of:

• How rural institutions respond to climate-related stress, shocks, and upheavals

• How do these institutions shape household decision-making processes and pathways to encouraging behavioural change

• How institutional arrangements can enhance (and reduce?) the adaptive capacity of households to adopt new farming practices

• What role rural institutions play in facilitating external support for adaptation – which institutions best leverage financial and technical support

• How rural institutions interface with national policy to effectively implement interventions at the local level

Objective 3

Activity title Discussion paper analyzing the role of rural institutions in enabling adaptation to climate change in the agricultural sector (SEI)

(16)

Due to delays in the finalization of the regional synthesis, we agreed on an additional delay to deliver the metasynthesis (Early Arpil 2013).

achieve)

Objective 1

To carry out a meta-synthesis of national adaptation plans and policies across CCAFS countries in West and East Africa and South Asia and produce a background document and policy brief for national policy makers and others working with them in the agricultural sector (e.g. NGOs, farmers organizations) for informing national adaptation planning and provide recommendations to CCAFS.

Activity title Meta Synthesis of National Adaptation Plans and Policies across West and East Africa and South Asia

CCAFS Objective

Dr. Thavone Inthavong, Acting Director [email protected] Acronym

and extension services Contact Point Email

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.3.2 2012 Name

AFPRC

Agriculture and Forestry Policy Research Center (AFPRC) within the National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute (NAFRI),

Contact Point Full Name

Vietnamese Academy of Agricultural Sciences

Mrs. Bui Huy Hop, Deputy Director of International Cooperation [email protected] Data Intervention input analysis and cost benefit results

of each priority intervention 2012 Partially completed Select a format

VAAS

Workshops Training the replicating agency in Vietnam and one

demonstration pilot 2012 Completed Select a format

Other Assist in the production of PSROI impact maps

resulting from each replication 2012 Partially completed Select a format

Partnerships were established with the Vietnam Academy of Agricultural Sciences and the Agriculture and Forestry Policy Research Center within the Lao PDR National Agriculture and Forestry Research Institute. PSROI project teams within these institutes were created and the originally planned coordination meetings were extended to include multiple formal and hands-on trainings on the components of the PSROI framework throughout the year, developing national capacity for utilizing and evaluating PSROI. Four community-based PSROI pilot studies were conducted, two in each country, which included community workshops, expert consultations, adaptation intervention selection and design, questionnaire development, national level interviews, community focus groups, and households interviews in each community on livelihoods and locally selected adaptation interventions. Results and lessons learned workshops were held in December in Vietnam and January in Lao PDR to allow for cross-level, village to national levels, and cross-sectoral evaluation of the framework and initial findings as presented jointly by CIAT and the national research teams. Both meetings were accompanied by national press coverage. The project is currently in the final stages, which includes strengthening and finalizing the economic analysis to accompany the field work and creating final outputs to disseminate findings from the case studies and evaluations of the PSROI framework in different formats for the donor, policy maker, and academic communities

achieve)

Objective 1

This activity seeks to test the PSROI framework and its potential for replicaiton by placing the framework in the hands of several governmental and NGO agencies in Viet Nam, to identify practical challenges to the framework's implementaiton. These PSROI replications by non-CCAFS staff will then feed in to a national level workshop in each country where the results of the pilots will be shared along with the adaptaiton measures identified in the communities where the framework was tested. The specific objectives of this activity are to support this initiative through four weeks of on-ground preparation and training of the replicating agencies in Vietnam and continued support in both Vietnam and Laos (CIAT activity) through skype and email exchanges when guidance is needed.

Activity title Support to Participatory Social Return on Investment (PSROI) pilot studies in Vietnam and Lao PDR.

CCAFS Objective

LOGFRAME sheet)

1.3.2 2013 Universidade Eduardo Mondlane

Antonio Queface [email protected]

UEM

(17)

Reports, publications CCAFS Policy Brief 2013 Partially completed Document (*.doc, *.odt, *.pdf)

Meta-synthesis of national adaptation plans and policies across West and East Africa and South Asia Deliverables status

(You may add any unexpected deliverable)

(18)

Prepare a succinct summary of activities and deliverables, organised by Output level of the CCAFS objectives

* The Climate Analogue tool and its online portal have been through a continous improvement supported by an iteractive validation process involving its application in the field (Thee "Farm of the Future" pilots implemented in Africa and Siuth asia) and the feedback from end- users and key stakeholders capacitated in the regional training workshops (Dakar and Nairobi).

* Improved Agtrial Platform and database for multi-location trials of technologies and genotypes for GxE interaction analysis, calibration and evaluation of crop models. 2,524 new trials uploaded (from 126 new contributing institutions) reaching a total of 4,296 trials (from 186 institutions). A total of 6,227 visits from 95 different countries were registered over the year.

* AMKN portal: Revamping of the website began in February/March of 2012 and is still ongoing (new design done, ongoing implementation work. See: test.amkn.org). New site- specific pages developped; wide range of information gathered and classified. Moving towards a 2013 version that will allow the syndication of a wide range of data (climate change impacts, linking to Analogues, Agtrials, etc).

* Three regional training workshops on the Use of Climate Analogue undertaken reaching 70 local researchers from 15 countries. engagement ok fey stakeholders, NARES and Universitites. Training material and Video developed (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZlWznCElKME).

* Development of a methodology to study farmer's social, cultural and gender specific barriers for enabling behavioura change and improve adaptive capcaity based on farmer to farmer exchanges between analogue locations ("Farms of the future" pilot projects succesfully carried out in Nepal, Tanzania and Ghana). Deliverables: Synthesis reports including: a) analysis on the approach and recommendations for further up scaling and implementation, b) documentation of the effects of socio-cultural characteristics on the learning process, use and potential adoption of new mitigation and adaptation practices; Policy advisory document targeted to national decision makers on community level adaptive capacity and principle barriers to adapt effectively.

* Cataloge of Climate Smart Agricultural practices and technologies -being examined under the CGIAR- developed (through a combination of on-line surveys and formal meta- analysis). Deliverables: Virtual library of 1270 peer-reviewed publications on widely promoted CSA practices. Draft Working Paper that will be developed into a peer-reviewed publication in 2013.

* Three years partnership consolidated with IIAM- Mozambique. Start of the project "Managing climate related risks to improve livelihood resilience and adaptive capacity in agricultural ecosystems" in collaboration with IUCN with the support of the EA CCAFs and the Reading team. Deliverables: Training on the methodology held for 14 students from the Polytechnic University of Gaza (ISPG); baseline survey carrid out in two sites int he Xai Xai and for Chicualacuala districts (280 hh surveyed). Analysis of the database in SPSS statistical analysis programme ongoing.

* Intellectual support in gender analysis for Theme 1 ensured through a long term partnership established with the University of Florida (Prof. C.D. Deere) and the new position of J. Twyman at CIAT/CCAFS T1. Delivered activities: desk review of CIAT/CCFAS materials; a review of the instruments for the Impact Light Survey and the Women’s Empowerment in Agriculture Index (WEAI) developed by IFPRI to assess the extent to which either questionnaire or a reduced version could be added to the baseline surveys for LAC; Support provided to the IFPRI gender team developing the Gender Module to be applied as a follow-up in the baseline sites; Re-analysis of baseline

questionnaires/data for targetting adaptation measures; Development of a short- and medium-term strategy for gender research related to climate change; Visit by Deere and Useche to CIAT headquarters.

Theme 1. Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change

Objective 1.2 Develop breeding strategies for addressing abiotic and biotic stresses induced by future climatic conditions, variability and extremes, including novel climates

Output 1.1.2 Building of regional and national capacities to produce and communicate socially inclusive adaptation and mitigation strategies for progressive climate change at the national level (e.g. through NAPAs) Output 1.1.1 Development of farming systems and production technologies adapted to climate change conditions in time and space through design of tools for improving crops, livestock, agronomic and natural resource management practices

Outcome 1.1: Agricultural and food security strategies that are adapted towards predicted conditions of climate change promoted and communicated by the key development and funding agencies (national and international), civil society organizations and private sector in at least 20 countries

Objective 1.1 Analyze and design processes to support adaptation of farming systems in the face of future uncertainties of climate in space and time

2012 summary report of activities and deliverables by Output level

CCAFS Theme Led Activities

Theme 1. Adaptation to Progressive Climate Change

Each Program Participant must prepare a succinct summary of activities and deliverables, organised by Output level of the CCAFS objectives. Length is dependent on budget size so please refer to the table on the explanatory notes.

Outcome 1.2: Strategies for addressing abiotic and biotic stresses induced by future climate change, variability and extremes, including novel climates mainstreamed among the majority of the international research agencies who engage with CCAFS, and by national agencies in at least 12 countries

Output 1.2.1 Understanding and evaluating the response of different varieties/crops to climate change in time and space, and generating comprehensive strategies for crop improvement through a combination of modeling, expert consultation and stakeholder dialogue

*Collaborative inter center research carried out on addressing P&D impacts under Climate variability and change (Bioversity, CIP, IITA, CYMMIT and Kansas State University).

Deliverables: five technical reports (including Report on banana weewil population model; sub-module “Index interpolator” developed for ILCYM; New knowledge about complex interactions between interacting beneficial soil microorganisms, the cowpea plant; and the legume pod borer (a cowpea pest) with regard to changing and erratic rainfall pattern; and a draft report describing current understanding of how farmers are likely to make decisions about pest/disease management under climate change)

* Succesful workshop on "Management of critical pests and diseases through enhanced risk assessment and surveillance and understanding of climate impacts through enhanced modeling” conducted from the 10th-14th of December 2012 at the International Potato Center, (CIP) Lima, Peru ( co-funded by CCAFS and CRP 3.4-RTB). It successfully linked scientists from CG-Centers (Bioversity, CIAT, CIMMYT, CIP, ICRISAT, IITA, and IRRI) and other stakeholders (CABI, FAO, FERA, UC Davis, University of Leeds, University of Kansas, Ohio State University) working in pest and disease management. It focused on challenges and opportunities to synergize expertise towards improving risk assessments of pests and diseases under current and changing climates in order to target surveillance initiatives, as well as to share experiences and develop joint modeling approaches to better understand the effects of climate change on agricultural pests, diseases and crop losses. Deliverables: Workshop report including Road map and detailed work plan with main expected products, milestones and outcomes for a three-year period.

* PhD reserach initiated on the influence of climate change on the occurrence of crop pests and diseases (supervised by AC, Univ of Leeds).

* Long term partnership established with EMBRAPA focused on a methodological development of an online tool for the identification of Target Population Environments:

improving the predictions of agricultural production using crop models. Deliverables: First planning meeting held in Goiânia/Brazil (10-13 Dec); Data set from 12 field experiments for cultivar Perola organized for CROPGRO/DSSAT; Data set for 4 field experiments for cultivar BRSMG Curinga and BRS Primavera organized for ORYZA/DSSAT and uploaded in AgTrials; Crop model CROPGRO/DSSAT for cultivar Perola calibrated and evaluated; Crop model ORYZA/DSSAT for cultivars BRSMG Curinga and BRS Primavera calibrated.

* Sucesful second yera of CIRAD's partnership focused on developing adaptation strategies for crops to climate change on the basis of a model-assisted analysis of climate change impacts on the performance of current and hypothetical varieties (ideotypes) in rice and sorghum . Deliverables: Adaptation of the newly development model RIDEV for bulk simulations (multi-scenario) of rice crop phenology and incidence of thermal stresses; Implementation of a modeling training course; initiated collaboration with the Manila Observatory on down-scaling of GCM scenarios to the scale relevant to crop models, for selected regions (zoom-ins).