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R E S E A R C H

Open Access

Uniform convergence of estimator for

nonparametric regression with dependent

data

Xiaoqin Li, Wenzhi Yang

*

and Shuhe Hu

*Correspondence:

[email protected] School of Mathematical Science, Anhui University, Hefei, 230601, China

Abstract

In this paper, the authors investigate the internal estimator of nonparametric regression with dependent data such as

α

-mixing. Under suitable conditions such as the arithmetically

α

-mixing andE|Y1|s<∞(s> 2), the convergence rate

|mn(x) –m(x)|=OP(an) +O(h2) and uniform convergence rate

supxS

f|mn(x) –m(x)|=Op(an) +O(h

2) are presented, ifa

n=

lnn

nhd →0. We generalize

some results in Shen and Xie (Stat. Probab. Lett. 83:1915-1925, 2013).

MSC: 62G05; 62G08

Keywords: nonparametric regression; internal estimator; arithmetically

α

-mixing; uniform convergence rate

1 Introduction

Kernel-type estimators of the regression function are widely various situations because of their flexibility and efficiency, in the dependent cases as well as in the independent data case. This paper is concerned with the nonparametric regression model

Yi=m(Xi) +Ui, ≤in,n≥, (.)

where (Xi,Yi)∈Rd×R, ≤in,Uiis random variable such thatE(Ui|Xi) = , ≤in.

Then one has

E(Yi|Xi=x) =m(x), ≤in,n≥.

The most popular nonparametric estimators of the unknown function m(x) is the Nadaraya-Watson estimatormNW(x) given below and the local polynomials fitting. Let

K(x) be a kernel function. DefineKh(x) =hdK(x/h), whereh=hnis a sequence of positive

bandwidths tending to zero asn→ ∞. Kernel-type estimators of the regression function are widely various situations because of their flexibility and efficiency, in the dependent data case as well as the independent data case. For the independent data, Nadaraya [] and Watson [] gave the most popular nonparametric estimators of the unknown

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tionm(x), named the Nadaraya-Watson estimatormNW(x),i.e.

mNW(x) =

n

i=YiKh(xXi)

n

i=Kh(xXi)

. (.)

Joneset al.[] considered various versions of kernel-type regression estimators such as the Nadaraya-Watson estimator (.) and the local linear estimator. They also investigated the following internal estimator:

mn(x) =

n

n

i=

YiKh(xXi)

f(Xi)

(.)

for known densityf(·). The term ‘internal’ stands for the fact that the factor 

f(Xi) is in-ternal to the summation, while the estimatormNW(x) has the factorf(x) =

n–n i=Kh(xXi) externally to the summation.

The internal estimator was first proposed by Mack and Müller []. Joneset al.[] stud-ied various kernel-type regression estimators, including introduced the internal estimator (.). Linton and Nielsen [] introduced ‘integration method’, based on direct integration of initial pilot estimator (.). Linton and Jacho-Chávez [] studied the two internal non-parametric estimators with the estimator similar to estimator (.) but in place of an un-known densityf(·), a classical kernel estimatorf(x) =n–ni=Kh(xXi) is used. Much

work has been done for the kernel density estimation. For example, Masry [] gave the recursive probability density estimation for a mixing dependent sample, Roussaset al.[] and Tranet al.[] investigated the fixed design regression for dependent data, Liebscher [] studied the strong convergence of sums ofα-mixing random variables and gave its application to density estimation, Hansen [] obtained the uniform convergence rates for kernel estimation with dependent data, and so on. For more work as regards kernel estimation, we can also refer to [–] and the references therein.

Let (,F,P) be a fixed probability space. DenoteN={, , . . . ,n, . . .}. LetFn

m=σ(Xi,m

in,iN) be theσ-field generated by random variablesXm,Xm+, . . . ,Xn, ≤mn. For

n≥, we define

α(n) =sup mN

sup AFm,BFm+n

P(AB) –P(A)P(B).

Definition . Ifα(n)↓ asn→ ∞, then{Xn,n≥}is called a strong mixing orα-mixing

sequence.

Recently, Shen and Xie [] obtained the strong consistency of the internal estimator (.) underα-mixing data. In their paper, the process is assumed to be geometricallyα-mixing sequence,i.e.the mixing coefficientsα(n) satisfyα(n)≤βeβn, whereβ>  andβ> .

They also supposed that the sequence{Yn,n≥}is bounded, as well as the densityf(x)

ofX. Inspired by Hansen [], Shen and Xie [] and other papers above, we also

investi-gate the convergence of the internal estimator (.) underα-mixing data. The process is supposed to be an arithmeticallyα-mixing sequence,i.e.the mixing coefficientsα(n) sat-isfyα(n)≤Cnβ,C> , andβ> . Without the bounded conditions of{Y

n,n≥}and the

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internal estimator (.). For the details, please see our results in Section . The conclusion and the lemmas and proofs of the main results are presented in Section  and Section , respectively.

Regarding notation, forx= (x, . . . ,xd)∈Rd, set x =max(|x|, . . . ,|xd|). Throughout the

paper,C,C,C,C, . . . , denote some positive constants not depending onn, which may be

different in various places.xdenotes the largest integer not exceedingx.→means to take the limit asn→ ∞,−→P means to convergence in probability.X=dY means that the random variablesXandYhave the same distribution. A sequence{Xn,n≥}is said to be

of second-order stationarity if (X,X+k) d

= (Xi,Xi+k),i≥,k≥.

2 Results and discussion

2.1 Some assumptions

Assumption . We assume the data observed{(Xn,Yn),n≥}valued inRd×Rcomes

from a second-order stationary stochastic sequence. The sequence{(Xn,Yn),n≥}is also

assumed to be arithmeticallyα-mixing with mixing coefficientsα(n) such that

α(n)≤Anβ, (.)

whereA<∞and for somes> 

E|Y|s<∞ (.)

and

β≥s– 

s–  . (.)

The known densityf(·) ofX is upon its compact supportSf and it is also assumed that infxSf f(x) > . LetBbe a positive constant such as

sup xSf

E|Y|s|X=x

f(x)≤B. (.)

Also, there is aj∗<∞such that for alljj

sup x∈Sf,xj+Sf

E|YYj+||X=x,Xj+=xj+

fj(x,xj+)≤B, (.)

whereBis a positive constant andfj(x,xj+) denotes the joint density of (X,Xj+).

Assumption . There exist two positive constantsK¯ >  andμ>  such that

sup uRd

K(u)≤ ¯K and

Rd

K(u)du=μ. (.)

Assumption . Denote bySf the interior ofSf. ForxSf, the functionm(x) is twice

differentiable and there exists a positive constantbsuch that

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The kernel density functionK(·) is symmetrical and satisfies

Rd|vi||vj|K

(v)dv<∞, ∀i,j= , , . . . ,d.

Assumption . The kernel function satisfies the Lipschitz condition,i.e.

L> , K(u) –KuLuu, u,uRd.

Remark . Similar to Assumption  of Hansen [], Assumption . specifies that the serial dependence in the data is of strong mixing type, and equations (.)-(.) specify a required decay rate. Condition (.) controls the tail behavior of the conditional ex-pectationE(|Y|s|X=x), condition (.) places a similar bound on the joint density and

conditional expectation. Assumptions .-. are the conditions of kernel functionK(u), i.e., Assumption . is a general condition, Assumption . is used to estimate the con-vergence rate of|Emn(x) –m(x)|, and Assumption . is used to investigate the uniform

convergence rate of the internal estimatormn(x).

2.2 Main results

First, we investigate the variance bound of estimatormn(x). For ≤rsands> , denote ¯

μ(r,s) := (B)r/sK¯r–μ

(infxSff(x))r–+r/s, whereB,infxSf f(x),K¯, andμare defined in Assumptions . and ..

Theorem . Let Assumption. and Assumption. be fulfilled. Then there exists a

<∞such that for n sufficiently large and xSf

Varmn(x)

nhd, (.)

where:=μ¯(,s) + jμ¯(,s) + (μ¯(,s) + Bμ

(infxSff)) +

A–/sμ¯s(s,s) (s–)/s .

As an application to Theorem ., we obtain the weak consistency of estimatormn(x).

Corollary . Let Assumption.and Assumption.be fulfilled and K(·)be a density function.For xSf,m(x)is supposed to be continuous at x.If nhd→ ∞as n→ ∞,then

mn(x)

P

m(x). (.)

Next, the convergence rate of estimatormn(x) is presented.

Theorem . For <θ< and s> ,let Assumptions.-.hold,where the mixing ex-ponentβsatisfies

β>max

 – θ+ θs ( –θ)(s– ),

s–  s– 

. (.)

Denote an=

lnn

nhd and take h=nθ/d.Then for xSf,one has

mn(x) –m(x)=OP(an) +O

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Third, we now investigate the uniform convergence rate of estimatormn(x) and its

con-vergence over a compact set. LetSfbe any compact set contained inS

f.

Theorem . For <θ< and s> ,let Assumptions.-.be fulfilled,where the mixing exponentβsatisfies

β>max

sθd+ θs+sd+s– θd– θ

( –θ)(s– ) , s– 

s– 

. (.)

Suppose that Assumption.is also fulfilled.Denote an=

lnn

nhd and take h=nθ/d.Then

sup xSf

mn(x) –m(x)=Op(an) +O

h. (.)

2.3 Discussion

The parametric θ in Theorem . and Theorem . plays the role of a bridge between the process (i.e.mixing exponent) and choice of positive bandwidthh. For example, if d= ,θ = , andβ>max{ss–+,ss––}, then we takeh=n–/ in Theorem . and obtain the convergence rate|mn(x) –m(x)|=OP((lnn)/n–/). Similarly, ifd= ,θ=, andβ>

s–

s–, then we chooseh=n–/in Theorem . and establish the uniform convergence rate

supxS

f |mn(x) –m(x)|=Op((lnn)

/n–/).

3 Conclusion

On the one hand, similar to Theorem ., Hansen [] investigated the kernel average estimator

(x) =  n

n

i=

YiKh(xXi),

and obtained the variance boundVar((x))≤nhd, whereis a positive constant. For the details, see Theorem  of Hansen []. Under some other conditions, Hansen [] also gave the uniform convergence rates such assupxc

n|(x) –E(x)|=OP(an), wherean=

lnn

nhd → and{cn}is a sequence of positive constant (see Theorems - of Hansen []). On the other hand, under the conditions such as the geometrically α-mixing and{Yn,

n≥}is bounded as well as the density functionf(x) ofX, Shen and Xie [] obtained the

complete convergence such as|mn(x) –m(x)| a.c.

−→, iflnnhdn→ (see Theorem . of Shen and Xie []), the uniform complete convergence such assupxS

f |mn(x) –m(x)|

a.c.

−→, if

lnn

nhd → (see Theorem . of Shen and Xie []). In this paper, we do not need the bounded conditions of{Yn,n≥} andf(x) ofX, and we also investigate the convergence of the

internal estimatormˆn(x). Under some weak conditions such as the arithmeticallyα-mixing

andE|Y|s<∞,s> , we establish the convergence rate in Theorem . such as|mn(x) –

m(x)|=OP(an) +O(h) ifan=

lnn

nhd →, and uniform convergence rate in Theorem .

such assupxS

f|mn(x) –m(x)|=Op(an) +O(h

) ifa

n=

lnn

nhd →. In Theorem . and Theorem ., we have|mn(x) –Emn(x)|=OP(an) andsupxSf|mn(x) –Emn(x)|=OP(an),

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4 Some lemmas and the proofs of the main results

Lemma .(Hall and Heyde, [], Corollary A.,i.e.Davydov’s lemma) Suppose that X and Y are random variables which areG-measurable andH-measurable,respectively, and E|X|p<,E|Y|q<,where p,q> ,p–+q–< .Then

E(XY) –EXEY≤E|X|p/pE|Y|q/(G,H)–p––q–.

Lemma .(Liebscher [], Proposition .) Let{Xn,n≥} be a stationary α-mixing

sequence with mixing coefficient α(k). Assume that EXi=  and|Xi| ≤S<∞,a.s., i=

, , . . . ,n.Then,for n,mN,  <mn/,and allε> ,

P

n

i=

Xi

>ε

≤exp

ε

(mnDm+εSm)

+ S

εnα(m),

where Dm=max≤j≤mVar(

j i=Xi).

Lemma .(Shen and Xie [], Lemma .) Under Assumption.,for xSf,one has

Emn(x) –m(x)=O

h.

Proof of Theorem. ForxSf, letZi:=YiKfh((Xxi)Xi), ≤in. Consider now

mn(x) =

n

n

i=

YiKh(xXi)

f(Xi)

= n

n

i=

Zi, n≥.

For any ≤rsands> , it follows from (.) and (.) that

hd(r–)E|Z|r=hd(r–)E

Kh(xX)Y

f(X)

r

=hd(r–)E

|Kh(xX)|r

fr(X

)

E|Y|r|X

=

Sf K

xu

h

rE|Y|r|X=u

hd

f(u) fr(u)du

Sf

K

xu

h

rE|Y|s|X=u

f(u)r/shd

fr–+r/s(u)du

≤ (B)r/sK¯r–μ

(infxSf f)r–+r/s:=μ¯(r,s) <∞. (.)

Forjj∗, by (.), one has

E|ZZj+|=E

Kh(xX)Kh(xXj+)YYj+

f(X)f(Xj+)

=E |

Kh(xX)Kh(xXj+)|

f(X)f(Xj+)

E|YYj+||X,Xj+

=

Sf Sf K

xu

h

K

xuj+

h

E|YYj+||X=u,Xj=uj+

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× 

hd

f(u)f(uj+)

fj(u,uj+)duduj+

B

(infxSf f) Rd Rd

K(u)K(uj+)duduj+ Bμ

(infxSf f)

<∞. (.)

Define the covariancesγj=Cov(Z,Zj+),j> . Assume thatnis sufficiently large so that

hdj. We now bound theγ

jseparately forjj∗,j∗<jhd, andhd<j<∞. First, for

≤jj∗, by the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality and (.) withr= ,

|γj| ≤

Var(Z)·Var(Zj+) =Var(Z)≤EZ≤ ¯μ(,s)hd. (.)

Second, forj∗<jhd, in view of (.) (r= ) and (.), we establish that

|γj| ≤E|ZZj+|+

E|Z|

Bμ

(infxSf f)

+μ¯(,s). (.)

Third, forj>hd, we apply Lemma ., (.) and (.) withr=s(s> ) and we thus obtain

|γj| ≤

α(j)–/sE|Z|s

/s

≤A––/sjβ(–/s)μ¯(s,s)hd(s–)/s

≤A––/¯s(s,s)j–(–/s)h–d(s–)/s. (.)

Consequently, in view of the property of second-order stationarity and (.)-(.), forn sufficiently large, we establish

Varmn(x)

= 

nVar

n

i=

Zi

= 

n

+ n

n–

j=

 – j

n

γj

≤ 

n

nh¯(,s) + n

≤jj

|γj|+ n

j∗<jh–d

|γj|+ n

h–d<j

|γj|

≤ 

¯(,s)h

d+

nj

μ¯(,s)hd+

n

hdjμ¯(,s) + Bμ

(infxSf f)

+ n

h–d<j<

A–/¯s(s,s)j–(–/s)h–d(s–)/s

¯

μ(,s) + jμ¯(,s) + 

¯

μ(,s) + Bμ

(infxSf f)

+A

–/sμ¯s(s,s)

(s– )/s

nhd

:=

nhd, (.)

where the final inequality uses the fact that ∞j=k+jδk x

δdx=k–δ

δ– forδ >  and

k≥.

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Proof of Corollary. It is easy to see that

mn(x) –m(x)≤mn(x) –Em(x)+Emn(x) –m(x),

which can be treated as ‘variance’ part and ‘bias’ part, respectively.

On the one hand, by the proof of Theorem . of Shen and Xie [], one has|Emn(x) –

m(x)| →. On the other hand, we apply Theorem . and obtain that|mn(x) –Emn(x)| P − →

. So, (.) is proved finally.

Proof of Theorem. Letτn=a–/(n s–)and define

Rn=mn(x) –

n

n

i=

YiKh(xXi)

f(Xi)

I|Yi| ≤τn

=

n

n

i=

YiKh(xXi)

f(Xi)

I|Yi|>τn

.

Obviously, we have

E|Rn| ≤E

|Kh(xX)|

f(X)

E|Y|I

|Y|>τn

|X

≤ 

(infSff) Sf K

xu

h

E|Y|I

|Y|>τn

|X=u

f(u) hd du

= 

(infSff) Sf

K(u)E|Y|I

|Y|>τn

|X=xhu

f(xhu)du

≤ 

(infSff) 

τs–

n Sf

K(u)E|Y|s|X=xhu

f(xhu)du

≤ 

(infSff)

μB

τs–

n

. (.)

Combining Markov’s inequality with (.), one has

|RnERn|=OP

τn–(s–)=OP(an). (.)

Denote

mn(x) =

n

n

i=

YiKh(xXi)

f(Xi)

I|Yi| ≤τn

:= 

n

n

i=

˜

Zn, n≥. (.)

It can be seen that

mn(x) –m(x)≤mn(x) –Emn(x)+Emn(x) –m(x)

mn(x) –Emn(x)+|RnERn|+Emn(x) –m(x). (.)

Similar to the proof of (.), it can be argued that

Var

j

i=

˜

Zi

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which implies

Dm= max

≤j≤mVar

j

i=

˜

Zi

Cmhd.

Meanwhile, one has| ˜ZiEZ˜i| ≤ Chdτn, ≤in. Settingm=a–n τn–and using (.),h=

nθ/d, and Lemma . withε=a

nn, we obtain fornsufficiently large

Pmn(x) –Emn(x)>an

=P

n

i=

(Z˜iEZ˜i)

>nan

≤exp

na

n

(Chd+Chd)

+  Cτn annhd

nA(anτn)β

≤exp

– lnn (C+C)

+Chda

β(s–)–s s–

n

o() +Cnθn(

θ–)β(s–)–s(s–)

(lnn)β(s–)–s(s–)

=o() +Cn

β(θ–)(s–)+θs+s–θ

(s–) (lnn)

β(s–)–s

(s–) =o(), (.)

in view ofs> ,  <θ< ,β>max{(–θs+θ)(s–s–)θ ,ss––}, and β(θ–)(s(–)+s–)θs+s–θ< .

Consequently, by (.), (.), (.), and Lemma ., we establish the result of (.).

Proof of Theorem. We use some similar notation in the proof of Theorem .. Obvi-ously, one has

sup xSf

mn(x) –m(x)≤sup xSf

mn(x) –Emn(x)+sup xSf

Emn(x) –m(x). (.)

By the proof of (.) of Shen and Xie [], we establish that

Emn(x) –m(x)≤h

b

≤i,jd Rd

K(v)|vivj|dvCh,

which implies

sup xSf

Emn(x) –m(x)=O

h. (.)

Sincemˆn(x) =Rn(x) +m˜n(x),

sup xSf

mn(x) –Emn(x)≤sup xSf

mn(x) –Emn(x)+sup xSf

|RnERn|. (.)

It follows from the proof of (.) that

sup xSf

(10)

SinceSf is a compact set, there exists aξ>  such thatSfB:={x: xξ}. Letvnbe

a positive integer. Take an open coveringvdn

j=Bjn ofB, whereBjn⊂ {x: xxjnvξn},

j= , , . . . ,vdn, and their interiors are disjoint. So it follows that

sup xSf

mn(x) –Emn(x)

≤ max

≤jvdn

sup xBjnSf

mn(x) –Emn(x)

≤ max

≤jvdn

sup xBjnSf

mn(x) –mn(xjn)+ max

≤jvdn

mn(xjn) –Emn(xjn)

+ max

≤jvdn

sup xBjnSf

Emn(xjn) –Emn(x)

:=I+I+I. (.)

By the definition ofmn(x) in (.) and the Lipschitz condition ofK,

mn(x) –mn(xjn)≤

inf Sf f

– τn

nhd n

i=

K

xXi

h

K

xjnXi

h

Lτn

hd+inf

Sff

xxjn , xSf.

Takingvn=hd+τna

n+ , we obtain

sup xBjnSf

mn(x) –mn(xjn)≤

infS

ff

an, ≤jvdn, (.)

and

I= max ≤jvdn

sup xBjnSf

mn(x) –mn(xjn)=O(an). (.)

In view of|Emn(xjn) –Emn(x)| ≤E|mn(xjn) –mn(x)|, we have by (.)

I= max ≤jvdn

sup xBjnSf

Emn(xjn) –Emn(x)≤

infS

ff

an=O(an). (.)

For ≤inand ≤jvdn, denoteZ˜i(j) =

YiKh(xjnXi)

f(Xi) I(|Yi| ≤τn). Then similar to the proof of (.), we obtain by Lemma . withm=a–

nτn–andε=Mnanfornsufficiently

large

P|I|>Man

=P

max

≤jvdn

mn(xjn) –Emn(xjn)>Man

vdn

j=

P

n

i=

˜

Zi(j) –EZ˜i(j)

>Mnan

(11)

≤vdnexp

M

na

n

(Chd+CMhd)

+ vdn Cτn Manhd

A(anτn)β

=I+I, (.)

where the value ofMwill be given in (.).

In view of  <θ< ,s> ,h=nθ/d, anda

n= (nhlnnd)/, one hashd(d+)=n

θ(d+)andas–sd

n =

(lnn)–(s–)sd n sd(–θ)

(s–). Therefore, byv

n=hd+τnan+  andτn=a

s–

n , we obtain fornsufficiently

large

I= vdnexp

M

na

n

(Chd+MChd)

Chd(d+)as–sd

n exp

M

lnn

(C+MC)

C(lnn)–

sd (s–)n

θ(d+)+sd(–(s–)θ)– M

(C+MC) =o(), (.)

whereMis sufficiently large such that

M

(C+MC)

θ(d+ ) +sd( –θ)

(s– ) . (.)

Meanwhile, by (.) andh=nθ/d, one has fornsufficiently large

I= vdn

Cτn

Manhd

A(anτn)β

C

M

τn

hd+a

n

d

a

β(s–)–s s–

n hd=

C

Ma

β(s–)–s(d+) s–

n hd(d+)

=CM(lnn)

β(s–)–s(d+) (s–) n

β(θ–)(s–)+sθd+θs+sd+s–θd–θ

(s–) =o(), (.)

in which is used the fact thats> ,  <θ< ,

β>max

sθd+ θs+sd+s– θd– θ

( –θ)(s– ) , s– 

s– 

,

and

β(θ– )(s– ) +sθd+ θs+sd+s– θd– θ

(s– ) < .

Thus, by (.)-(.), we establish that

|I|=Op(an). (.)

Finally, the result of (.) follows from (.)-(.), (.), (.), and (.)

immedi-ately.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Authors’ contributions

(12)

Acknowledgements

The authors are deeply grateful to the editors and the anonymous referees for their careful reading and insightful comments, which helped in improving the earlier version of this paper. This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (11171001, 11426032, 11501005), Natural Science Foundation of Anhui Province (1408085QA02, 1508085QA01, 1508085J06, 1608085QA02), the Provincial Natural Science Research Project of Anhui Colleges (KJ2014A010, KJ2014A020, KJ2015A065), Quality Engineering Project of Anhui Province (2015jyxm054), Applied Teaching Model Curriculum of Anhui University (XJYYKC1401, ZLTS2015053) and Doctoral Research Start-up Funds Projects of Anhui University.

Received: 28 January 2016 Accepted: 13 May 2016 References

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