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JTK FT UGM 2015
Cash flow diagram
Cash flow diagram
Operation
Operation
Revenue
Revenue Cash operatingCash operatingexpensesexpenses
Operating income Operating income Depreciation Depreciation Depletion Depletion Gross profit Gross profit Net profit Net profit Income tax Income tax Cash flow Cash flow
Profitability
The word profitability is used as the
general term for the measure of the
amount of profit that can be obtained from
a given situation.
Total profit alone cannot be used as the
deciding profitability factor in determining if
an investment should be made.
The profit goal of a company is to
maximize income above the cost of the
capital which must be invested to generate
the income.
Profitability Evaluation
1.
Rate of return on investment
2.Payout period
3.
Net present worth
4.
Discounted cash flow based on full-life
Rate of return on investment
% 100 % 100 WC
FC
profit
annual
ROI
investment
capital
total
profit
annual
ROI
A proposed manufacturing plant requires an initial
fixed-capital investment of $900,000 and $100,000 of working capital. It is estimated that the annual income will be $800,000 and the annual expenses including depreciation will be $520,000 before
income taxes. A minimum annual return of 15
percent before income taxes is required before the investment will be worthwhile. Income taxes
amount to 34 percent of all pre-tax profits.
Example 1 Determination of rate of return o
Example 1 Determination of rate of return on investment-consideration of income-tax effects
Determine the following:
(a) The annual percent return on the total initial investment before income taxes.
(b) The annual percent return on the total initial investment after income taxes.
(c) The annual percent return on the total initial investment before income taxes based on capital recovery with minimum profit.
(d) The annual percent return on the average investment before income taxes assuming straight-line depreciation and zero salvage value.
Example 1 Determination of rate of return on investment-consideration of income-tax effects
(a) Annual profit before income taxes = $800,000 -$520,000 = $280,000.
Annual percent return on the total initial investment before income taxes =
[280,000/(900,000 + 100,000)].(100) = 28 percent.
(b) Annual profit after income taxes = ($280,000)(0.66) = $184,800.
Annual percent return on the total initial investment after income taxes =
[184,800/(900,000 + 100,000)].(100) = 18.5 percent.
Example 1 Determination of rate of return on investment-consideration of income-tax effects
(c) Minimum profit required per year before income taxes = ($900,000 + $100,000).(0.15) = $150,000.
Fictitious expenses based on capital recovery with
minimum profit = $520,000 + $150,000 = $670,000/year. Annual percent return on the total investment based on
capital recovery with minimum annual rate of return of 15 percent before income taxes = [($800,000
-670,000)/(900,000 + 100,000)].(100) = 13 percent.
(d) Average investment assuming straight-line depreciation and zero salvage value = $900,000/2 + $100,000 =
$550,000.
Annual percent return on average investment before income taxes = (280,000/550,000).(100) = 51 percent.
Payout period
Other equivalent names are payback period, payback time, payoff period, payoff time, and cash recovery period
Example 2. POT
Use the data in example 1. In addition, it is estimated
that the salvage value at end of service life is $100,000. Use straight line depreciation. Determine the minimum pay-out-time without interest charge.
Solution:
Depreciable fixed-capital investment = FC – SV
= $900,000 - $100,000 = $800,000 Depreciation = $800,000 / 5 = $160,000
Profit before tax = $800,000 - $520,000 = $280,000 Profit after tax = ($280,000)(0.66) = $184,800
POT before tax = $800,000 / ($280,000 + $160,000) = 1.8 years
Net Present Worth (NPW)
The calculations may be made using discrete or
Rate of Return Based on
Discounted Cash Flow
Common names of methods of return calculations
related to the discounted-cash-flow approach are profitability index, interest rate of return, true rate
of return, and investor’s rate of return.
In principle, the technique is similar to the NPW
method.
NPW calculation uses interest rate set by the company. IRR is the calculated interest rate that will produce NPW
Example 3: DCFRR & NPW
Consider the case of a proposed project
for which the following data apply:
Initial fixed-capital investment = $100,000
Working-capital investment = $10,000
Service life = 5 years
Salvage value at end of service life =
$10,000
Example 3: DCFRR & NPW
Year Predicted after-tax cash flow to project based on total income minus all costs
except depreciation, $
(expressed as end-of-year situation)
0 - 110,000 1 30,000 2 31,000 3 36,000 4 40,000 5 43,000
Example 3: DCFRR & NPW
Determine:
a.
Net Present worth if the value of capital to
the company is at an interest rate of 15
percent
b.
Discounted-cash-flow rate of return with
discrete interest
c.
Discounted-cash-flow rate of return with
a. Computation of net present worth
Year Estimated cash flow, $
i = 0.15
Discount factor: Present value, $
0 - 110,000 1 30,000 0.8696 26.100 2 31,000 0.7561 23,400 3 36,000 0.6575 23,300 4 40,000 0.5718 22,900 5 43,000 + 20,000 0.4971 31,300 Total 127,000
n i 1 1NPW = $127,000
–$110,000 = $17,000
b. Computation of discounted-cash-flow rate of return with discrete interest
Year Estimated cash flow, $
Trial i = 0.15
Discount factor: Present value, $
0 - 110,000 1 30,000 0.8696 26.100 2 31,000 0.7561 23,400 3 36,000 0.6575 23,300 4 40,000 0.5718 22,900 5 43,000 + 20,000 0.4971 31,300 127,000 1,155
n i 1 1 investment total value present total Ratio Year Estimated cash flow, $
Trial i = 0.1763
Discount factor: Present value, $
0 - 110,000 1 30,000 0.8501 24852 2 31,000 0.7227 21273 3 36,000 0.6143 20465 4 40,000 0.5222 18837 5 43,000 + 20,000 0.4440 24577 110005 1,0000
n i 1 1 investment total value present total Ratio DCFRR with discrete interest = 17.63%
b. Computation of discounted-cash-flow rate of return with discrete interest
c. Cash flow for computation of discounted-cash-flow rate of return with continuous interest
Year Predicted after-tax cash flow to project
based on total income minus all costs except depreciation with cash flow occurring
continuously, S (total of
continuous cash flow for year indicated)
1 30,000
2 31,000
3 36,000
4 40,000
c. Computation of discounted-cash-flow rate of return with continuous interest
Year Estimated cash flow,
$
Trial i = 0.2249
Discount factor: Present value, $
Fb Fa 0 - 110,000 0 – 1 30,000 0.8955 26,866 1 – 2 31,000 0.7152 22,170 2 – 3 36,000 0.5711 20,561 3 – 4 40,000 0.4561 18,244 4 – 5 43,000 0.3642 15,663 5 + 20,000 0.3248 6,496 Total 110,000
DCFRR with continuous interest = 22.49%
c. Computation of discounted-cash-flow rate of return with continuous interest
Fa = Discount factor to give present worth for cash
flows which occur in an instant at a point in time after the reference point.
Fb = Discount factor to give present worth for cash
flows which occur uniformly over one-year periods after the reference point. (S is the total cash flow for the nth year.)
References
Peters, M.S., Timmerhaus, K.D., Plant
Design and Economics for Chemical
Engineers, 4
thed., McGraw Hill, New
York, 1991