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Derivatives:

Principles and

Practice

Rangarajan K. Sundaram

Stern School of Business New York University New York, NY 10012

Sanjiv R. Das

Leavey School of Business Santa Clara University Santa Clara, CA 95053

I McGraw-Hill I Irwin

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Contents

Author Biographies xv

Preface xvi

Acknowledgments xxi

Chapter 1

Introduction 1

1.1 Forward and Futures Contracts 5 1.2 Options 9

-1.3 Swaps 10

1.4 Using Derivatives: Some Comments

1.5 The Structure of this Book 14

1.6 Exercises 15

11

PART ONE

Futures and Forwards

17

Chapter 2

Futures Markets

19

2.1 Introduction 19

2.2 The Changing Face of Futures Markets 19 2.3 The Functioning of Futures Exchanges 21 2.4 The Standardization of Futures Contracts 30 2.5 Closing Out Positions 34

2.6 Margin Requirements and Default Risk 36 2.7 Case Studies in Futures Markets 39 2.8 Exercises 53

Appendix 2A Futures Trading and US Regulation:

A Brief History 57

Chapter 3

Pricing Forwards and Futures I: The Basic

Theory 60

3.1 Introduction 60

3.2 Pricing Forwards by Replication 61 3.3 Examples 63

3.4 Forward Pricing on Currencies and Related Assets 66

3.5 Forward-Rate Agreements 69 3.6 Concept Check 69

3.7 The Marked-to-Market Value of a Forward Contract 70

3.8 Futures Prices 72 3.9 Exercises 74

Appendix 3A Compounding Frequency 79 Appendix 3B Forward and Futures Prices with

Constant Interest Rates 81

Appendix 3C Rolling Over Futures Contracts 83

Chapter 4

Pricing Forwards and Futures II: Building on the Foundations 85

4.1 Introduction 85

4.2 From Theory to Reality 85 4.3 The Implied Repo Rate 89 4.4 Transactions Costs 92

4.5 Forward Prices and Future Spot Prices 92 4.6 Index Arbitrage 93

4.7 Exercises 97

Appendix 4A Forward Prices with Convenience

Yields 100

Chapter 5

Hedging with Futures and Forwards

101

5.1 Introduction 101

5.2 A Guide to the Main Results 103

5.3 The Cash Flow from a Hedged Position 104 5.4 The Case of No Basis Risk 105

5.5 The Minimum-Variance Hedge Ratio 106

5.6 Examples 109 5.7 Implementation 111

5.8 Further Issues in Implementation 112 5.9 Index Futures and Changing Equity Risk 114

5.10 Fixed-Income Futures and Duration-Based

Hedging 115

5.11 Exercises 115

Appendix 5A Derivation of the Optimal Tailed

Hedge Ratio h** 120

Chapter 6

Interest-Rate Forwards and Futures

6.1 Introduction 122

6.2 Eurodollars and Libor Rates 122 6.3 Forward-Rate Agreements 123 6.4 Eurodollar Futures 129

122

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Contents ix

6.5 Treasury Bond Futures 136 6.6 Treasury Note Futures 139 6.7 Treasury Bill Futures 139 6.8 Duration-Based Hedging 140 6.9 Exercises 143

Appendix 6A Deriving the Arbitrage-Free

FRA Rate 147

Appendix 6B PVBP-Based Hedging Using

Eurodollar Futures 148

Appendix 6C Calculating the Conversion

Factor 149

Appendix 6D Duration as a Sensitivity

Measure 150

Appendix 6E The Duration of a Futures

Contract 151

PART TWO

Options 153

Chapter 7

Options Markets

155

7.1 Introduction 155

7.2 Definitions and Terminology 155

7.3 Options as Financial Insurance 156 7.4 Naked Option Positions 158 7.5 Options as Views on Market Direction

and Volatility 162 7.6 Exercises 165

Appendix 7A Options Markets 167

Chapter 8

Options: Payoffs and Trading

Strategies 171

8.1 Introduction 171

8.2 Trading Strategies I: Covered Calls and Protective Puts 171

8.3 Trading Strategies II: Spreads 174 8.4 Trading Strategies III: Combinations 182 8.5 Trading Strategies IV: Other Strategies 185 8.6 Which Strategies Are the Most Widely

Used? 189

8.7 The Barings Case 189 8.8 Exercises 192

Appendix 8A Asymmetric Butterfly

Spreads 195

Chapter 9

No-Arbitrage Restrictions on Option

Prices 196

9.1 Introduction 196

9.2 Motivating Examples 196

9.3 Notation and Other Preliminaries 198 9.4 Maximum and Minimum Prices for

Options 199

9.5 The Insurance Value of an Option 204

9.6 Option Prices and Contract Parameters 205

9.7 Numerical Examples 208

9.8 Exercises 210

Chapter 10

Early Exercise and Put-Call Parity

213

10.1 Introduction 213

10.2 A Decomposition of Option Prices 213

10.3 The Optimality of Early Exercise 216 10.4 Put-Call Parity. 220

10.5 Exercises 226

Chapter 11

Option Pricing: An Introduction

228

11.1 Overview 228

11.2 The Binomial Model 229

11.3 Pricing by Replication in a One-Period

Binomial Model 231

11.4 Comments 235

11.5 Riskless Hedge Portfolios 237 11.6 Pricing Using Risk-Neutral

Probabilities 238

11.7 The One-Period Model in General

Notation 242

11.8 The Delta of an Option 242

11.9 An Application: Portfolio Insurance 246 11.10 Exercises 248

Appendix 11A Riskless Hedge Portfolios

and Option Pricing 252

Appendix 11B Risk-Neutral Probabilities

and Arrow Security Prices 254

Appendix 11C The Risk-Neutral Probability,

No-Arbitrage, and Market Completeness 255

Appendix 11D Equivalent Martingale

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Chapter 12

Binomial Option Pricing

259

12.1 Introduction 259

12.2 The Two-Period Binomial Tree 261 12.3 Pricing Two-Period European Options 262 12.4 European Option Pricing in General w-Period

Trees 269

12.5 Pricing American Options: Preliminary Comments 269

12.6 American Puts on Non-Dividend-Paying Stocks 270

12.7 Cash Dividends in the Binomial Tree 272 12.8 An Alternative Approach to Cash

Dividends 275

12.9 Dividend Yields in Binomial Trees 279

12.10 Exercises 282

Appendix 12A A General Representation of

European Option Prices 286

Chapter 13

Implementing the Binomial Model 289

13.1 Introduction 289

13.2 The Lognormal Distribution 289 13.3 Binomial Approximations of the

Lognormal 294

13.4 Computer Implementation of the Binomial Model 298

13.5 Exercises 303

Appendix 13A Estimating Historical

Volatility 306

Chapter 14

The Black-Scholes Model

308

14.1 Introduction 308

14.2 Option Pricing in the Black-Scholes Setting 310

14.3 Remarks on the Formula 313

14.4 Working with the Formulae I: Plotting Option

Prices 314

14.5 Working with the Formulae II: Algebraic Manipulation 315

14.6 Dividends in the Black-Scholes Model 319

14.7 Options on Indices, Currencies,

and Futures 324

14.8 Testing the Black-Scholes Model: Implied

Volatility 327

14.9 The VIX and Its Derivatives 332

14.10 Exercises 335

Appendix 14A Further Properties of the

Black-Scholes Delta 338

Appendix 14B Variance and Volatility Swaps 339

Chapter 15

The Mathematics of Black-Scholes

344

344

15.1 Introduction 344

15.2 Geometric Brownian Motion Defined 15.3 The Black-Scholes Formula via

Replication 348

15.4 The Black-Scholes Formula via Risk-Neutral Pricing 351

15.5 The Black-Scholes Formula via CAPM 353 15.6 Exercises 354

Chapter 16

Options Modeling:

Beyond Black-Scholes

357 16.1 Introduction 357 16.2 Jump-Diffusion Models 358 16.3 Stochastic Volatility 368 16.4 GARCH Models 374 16.5 Other Approaches 378

16.6 Implied Binomial Trees/Local Volatility

Models 379

16.7 Summary 389 16.8 Exercises 389

Appendix 16A Program Code for

Jump-Diffusions 393

Appendix 16B Program Code for a Stochastic

Volatility Model 394

Appendix 16C Heuristic Comments on Option

Pricing under Stochastic Volatility 396

Appendix 16D Program Code for Simulating

GARCH Stock Prices Distributions 399

Appendix 16E Local Volatility Models: The Fourth

Period of the Example 400

Chapter 17

Sensitivity Analysis: The Option

"Greeks" 404

17.1 Introduction 404

17.2 Interpreting the Greeks: A Snapshot View 404

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Contents xi

17.3 The Option Delta 408

17.4 The Option Gamma 412 17.5 The Option Theta 418 17.6 The Option Vega 423 17.7 The Option Rho 426 17.8 Portfolio Greeks 429 17.9 Exercises 432

Appendix 17A Deriving the Black-Scholes

Option Greeks 436

Chapter 18

Exotic Options I: Path-Independent

Options 440

18.1 Introduction 440

18.2 Forward Start Options 442 18.3 Binary Options 445 18.4 Chooser Options 450 18.5 Compound Options 453 18.6 Exchange Options 458 18.7 Quanta Options 460

18.8 Variants on the Exchange Option Theme 462

18.9 Exercises 465

Chapter 19

Exotic Options II: Path-Dependent

Options 470

19.1 Path-Dependent Exotic Options 470 _ 19.2 Barrier Options 470 19.3 Asian Options 479 19.4 Lookback Options 485 19.5 Cliquets 488 19.6 Shout Options 490 19.7 Exercises 492

Appendix 19A Barrier Option Pricing

Formulae 496

Chapter 20

Value-at-Risk

498

20.1 Introduction 498 20.2 Value-at-Risk 498 20.3 Risk Decomposition 505 20.4 Coherent Risk Measures 511 20.5 Exercises 515

Chapter 21

Convertible Bonds

519

21.1 Introduction 519

21.2 Convertible Bond Terminology 519 21.3 Main Features of Convertible Bonds 520 21.4 Breakeven Analysis 522

21.5 Pricing Convertibles: A First Pass 523 21.6 Incorporating Credit Risk 530 21.7 Convertible Greeks 534 21.8 Convertible Arbitrage 542 21.9 Summary 542

21.10 Exercises 543

Appendix 21A Octave Code for the Blended

Discount Rate Valuation Tree 545

Appendix 21B Octave Code for the Simplified

Das-Sundaram Model 546

Chapter 22

Real Options

548

22.1 Introduction 548

22.2 Preliminary Analysis and Examples 22.3 A Real Options "Case Study" 554 22.4 Creating the State Space 560 22.5 Applications of Real Options 563 22.6 Summary 564

22.7 Exercises 564

550

Appendix 22A Derivation of Cash-Flow Value in the "Waiting-to-Invest" Example 568

PART THREE

Swaps 569

Chapter 23

Interest Rate Swaps and Floating-Rate

Products 571

23.1 Introduction 571 23.2 Floating-Rate Notes 571 23.3 Interest Rate Swaps 575 23.4 Uses of Swaps 576 23.5 Swap Payoffs 579

23.6 Valuing and Pricing Swaps 582 23.7 Extending the Pricing Arguments 586 23.8 Case Study: The Procter & Gamble-Bankers

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23.9 Case Study: A Long-Term Capital

Management "Convergence Trade" 593

23.10 Credit Risk and Credit Exposure 596 23.11 Hedging Swaps 597

23.12 Caps, Floors, and Swaptions 599 23.13 The Black Model for Pricing Caps, Floors,

and Swaptions 604 23.14 Summary 609 23.15 Exercises 609

Chapter 24

Equity Swaps

613

24.1 Introduction 613

24.2 Uses of Equity Swaps 614 24.3 Payoffs from Equity Swaps 616 24.4 Valuation and Pricing of Equity Swaps 24.5 Summary 628

24.6 Exercises 628

622

Chapter 25

Currency and Commodity Swaps

25.1 Introduction 631 25.2 Currency Swaps 631 25.3 Commodity Swaps 639 25.4 Summary 643 25.5 Exercises 644

631

PART FOUR

Interest Rate Modeling

647

Chapter 26

The Term Structure of Interest Rates:

Concepts 649

26.1 Introduction 649

26.2 The Yield-to-Maturity 649

26.3 The Term Structure of Interest Rates 651 26.4 Discount Functions 652

26.5 Zero-Coupon Rates 653

26.6 Forward Rates 654

26.7 Yield-to-Maturity, Zero-Coupon Rates,

and Forward Rates 656

26.8 Constructing the Yield-to-Maturity Curve:

An Empirical Illustration 657

26.9 Summary 661 26.10 Exercises 662

Appendix 26A The Raw YTM Data 664

Chapter 27

Estimating the Yield Curve

667

27.1 Introduction 667 27.2 Bootstrapping 667 27.3 Splines 669

27.4 Polynomial Splines 670 27.5 Exponential Splines 673

27.6 Implementation Issues with Splines 674 27.7 The Nelson-Siegel-Svensson Approach 674 27.8 Summary 676

27.9 Exercises 676

Appendix 27A Bootstrapping by Matrix

Inversion 680

Appendix 27B Implementation with Exponential

Splines 681

Chapter 28

Modeling Term-Structure Movements 684

28.1 Introduction 684

28.2 Interest-Rate Modeling versus Equity

Modeling 684

28.3 Arbitrage Violations: A Simple

Example 685

28.4 A Gentle Introduction to No-Arbitrage

Modeling 687

28.5 "No-Arbitrage" and "Equilibrium"

Models 693

28.6 Summary 697 28.7 Exercises 697

Chapter 29

Factor Models of the Term Structure 700

29.1 Overview 700

29.2 The Black-Derman-Toy Model 701 29.3 The Ho-Lee Model 710

29.4 One-Factor Models in Continuous Time 714 29.5 Multifactor Models 720

29.6 Affine Factor Models 722 29.7 Summary 725

29.8 Exercises 726

Appendix 29A Deriving the Fundamental PDE

in Factor Models 729

Chapter 30

The Heath-Jarrow-Morton and Libor

Market Models 731

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Contents xiii 30.2 30.3 30.4 30.5 30.6 30.7 30.8 30.9 30.10 30.11 30.12 30.13 30.14 30.15

The HJM Framework: Preliminary Comments 731

A One-Factor HJM Model 733 A Two-Factor HJM Setting 742 The HJM Risk-Neutral Drifts: An Derivation 746

Libor Market Models 749 Mathematical Excursion: Marting; Libor Rates: Notation 751 Risk-Neutral Pricing in the LMM Simulation of the Market Model Calibration 757

Swap Market Models 758 Swaptions 760

Summary 761 Exercises 761

Appendix 30A Risk-Neutral Drifts

PART

Credit

and Volatilities in HJM

FIVE

Risk 769

Algebraic ales 750 753 757 765

Chapter 33

Reduced-Form Models of Default Risk

Chapter 31

Credit Derivative Products

771

779

31.1 Introduction 771 31.2 Total Return Swaps 775 31.3 Credit Spread Options/Forwards 31.4 Credit Default Swaps / 779

31.5 Credit-Linked Notes ' 788

31.6 Correlation Products 790 31.7 Summary 797

31.8 Exercises 797

Appendix 31A The CDS Big Bang 800

Chapter 32

Structural Models of Default Risk 802

32.1 32.2 32.3 32.4 32.5 32.6 32.7 32.8 Introduction 802 The Merton (1974) Model Issues in Implementation A Practitioner Model 817

803 812 Extensions of the Merton Model 819 Evaluation of the Structural

Approach 820 Summary 823 Exercises 824 Model 33.1 33.2 33.3 33.4 33.5 33.6 33.7 33.8 33.9 33.10 Introduction 829

Modeling Default I: Intensity Processes \ Modeling Default II: Recovery Rate Conventions 834

The Litterman-Iben Model 836 The Duffie-Singleton Result 841 Defaultable HJM Models 843 Ratings-Based Modeling: The JLT Model 845

An Application of Reduced-Form Models: Pricing CDS 853

Summary 855 Exercises 855

Appendix 33A Duffle-Singleton

in Discrete Time 859

Appendix 33B Derivation of the Drift-Volatility

Relationship 860

Chapter 34

Modeling Correlated Default 863

34.1 34.2 34.3 34.4 34.5 34.6 34.7 34.8 34.9 34.10 34.11 Introduction 863

Examples of Correlated Default Products 863

Simple Correlated Default Math 865 Structural Models Based on

Asset Values 868

Reduced-Form Models 874 Multiperiod Correlated Default 875 Fast Computation of Credit Portfolio Loss Distributions without Simulation 878 Copula Functions 881

Top-Down Modeling of Credit Portfolio Loss 893 Summary 897 Exercises 898

Bibliography B-l

Index

1-1

829

830

Appendix 32A The Delianedis-Geske

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The following Web chapters are

available at www.mhhe.com/sdle:

PART SIX

Computation 901

Chapter 35

Derivative Pricing with Finite

Differencing 903

35.1 Introduction 903

35.2 Solving Differential Equations 904 35.3 A First Approach to Pricing Equity

Options 907

35.4 Implicit Finite Differencing 913 35.5 The Crank-Nicholson Scheme 917 35.6 Finite Differencing for Term-Structure

Models 919

35.7 Summary 921 35.8 Exercises 922

Chapter 36

Derivative Pricing with Monte Carlo

Simulation 923

36.1 Introduction 923

36.2 Simulating Normal Random Variables 924 36.3 Bivariate Random Variables 925

36.4 Cholesky Decomposition 925

36.5 Stochastic Processes for Equity Prices 927 36.6 ARCH Models 929

36.7 Interest-Rate Processes 930 36.8 Estimating Historical Volatility for

Equities 932

36.9 Estimating Historical Volatility for Interest

Rates 932

36.10 Path-Dependent Options 933 36.11 Variance Reduction 935

36.12 Monte Carlo for American Options 938 36.13 Summary 942

36.14 Exercises 943

Chapter 37

Using Octave 945

37.1 Some Simple Commands 945 37.2 Regression and Integration 948

37.3 Reading in Data, Sorting, and Finding 950 37.4 Equation Solving 955

References

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