• No results found

Microwave observations in the presence of cloud and precipitation

N/A
N/A
Protected

Academic year: 2021

Share "Microwave observations in the presence of cloud and precipitation"

Copied!
41
0
0

Loading.... (view fulltext now)

Full text

(1)

Slide 1

Microwave observations in the presence of

cloud and precipitation

Alan Geer

Thanks to: Bill Bell, Peter Bauer, Fabrizio Baordo,

Niels Bormann

(2)

Slide 2

Overview

Clear-sky microwave (yesterday)

- The microwave spectrum - Microwave instruments

- Imager channels and the surface - Temperature sounding channels - AMSU-A channel 5 at ECMWF

All-sky microwave (today)

- Interaction of particles with microwave radiation - Solving the scattering radiative transfer equation - Cloud screening for clear-sky assimilation

(3)

Slide 3

Size parameter

Atmospheric particles and microwave radiation

30 GHz frequency ↔ 10mm wavelength (λ)

Particle type Size range, r Size parameter, x Scattering solution

Cloud droplets 5 – 50 μm 0.003 – 0.03 Rayleigh

Drizzle ~100 μm 0.06 Rayleigh

Rain drop 0.1 – 3 mm 0.06 – 1.8 Mie

Ice crystals 10 – 100 μm 0.006 – 0.06 Rayleigh, DDA

Snow 1 – 10 mm 0.6 – 6 Mie, DDA

Hailstone ~10 mm 6 Mie, DDA

r

(4)

Slide 4

Spherical particles interacting with radiation

Negligible scattering (x < 0.002):

- at low microwave frequencies, liquid water cloud acts like a gaseous absorber

Rayleigh scattering (0.002 < x < 0.2):

- an approximate solution for spherical particles much smaller than the wavelength

Mie scattering (0.2 < x < 2000):

- a complete solution for the interaction of a plane wave with a dielectric sphere

- valid for all x, but depends on a series

expansion in Legendre polynomials - can be slow to compute

Geometric optics (x > 2000):

(5)

Slide 5

Discrete dipole approximation (DDA):

Other solution methods exist, e.g. T-matrix

Non-spherical particles interacting with

radiation

1. Create a 3D model of a snow or ice particle

2. Discretise into many small polarisable points

(dipoles). Grid spacing << wavelength

(6)

Slide 6

Scattering properties – single particles

Scattering cross-section: [m

2

]

- the amount of scattering as an equivalent “area”

Absorption cross-section: [m

2

]

- particles can absorb as well as scatter radiation

Scattering phase function:

- the amount of scattering in a particular direction (expressed in

s

a

)

,

(

P

(7)

Slide 7

Sum or average over:

- Different orientations (or, in some ice clouds, a preferred orientation) - Size distribution

- Particle habits: snow and ice shapes, graupel, cloud drops, rain etc.

Extinction coefficient [1/km] :

Single scatter albedo:

- Ratio of scattering to extinction

Asymmetry parameter – the average scattering direction

- g = 1 → completely forward scattering (~ not scattered at all)

- g = 0 → as much forward as back scattering (not necessarily isotropic) - g = -1 → complete back-scattering (physically unlikely)

Scattering properties - bulk

s a e

s a s s

(8)

Slide 8

H() - radiative transfer model

Sensor

Given p,T, q, cloud and precipitation on

each atmospheric level, we can

compute:

• τ

- Layer optical depth

(absorption and scattering)

• ω

s

- Single scattering albedo

- Scattering phase function

(usually represented only by g,

the asymmetry parameter)

=

direction vector in solid angle

Now just solve the equation of radiative

transfer (discretized on the vertical grid):

   

   

 

 

      ˆ 1 4 ( ˆ , ˆ ') ˆ ' ' ˆ d I P B I d dI s s ) ' ˆ , ˆ (  P

ˆ

(9)

Slide 9

This can be complex to solve:

-

, the radiance in one direction, depends on radiance from

all other directions:

- and all levels depend on each other

But in non-scattering atmospheres (no cloud and

precipitation) it’s easier:

- ω

s

= 0 , so

- we can do each layer sequentially

Radiative transfer solvers

Scattering phase

function

   

 

ˆ

1

4

4

(

ˆ

,

ˆ

'

)

ˆ

'

'

ˆ

d

I

P

B

I

d

dI

s s

   

I

B

d

dI

ˆ

ˆ

 

ˆ I

 

ˆ ' I

(10)

Slide 10

Scattering solvers

Reverse Monte-Carlo

- Great for understanding and visualisation - An easy way to do 3D radiative transfer

- Much too slow for operational use: many thousands of “photons” are required for convergence to a useful level of accuracy

Accurate but too slow for use in assimilation:

- DISORT (Discrete ordinates) – a generalisation of the two-stream approach

- Adding / doubling, SOI (Successive Orders of Interaction)

Two-stream and delta-Eddington approaches

- What we use operationally at ECMWF (in RTTOV-SCATT)

- Though quite crude methods, the accuracy is usually more than

(11)

Slide 11 Single

scatter albedo

Rain and snow flux [g m2 s-1]

Cloud mixing ratio [0.1 g kg-1] Extinction coefficient β[km-1] e Asymmetry

Snow

Rain Water cloud

Altitude [km]

Cloud and precipitation at 91 GHz

(12)

Slide 12

Cloud and precipitation at 91 GHz

Strong scattering in deep convection

R ai n S n o w C lo u d SSA [0-1] No. of emissions To sensor [km] [k m ]

(13)

Slide 13

Cloud screening

Use clear-sky radiative transfer but remove situations

where the observations are cloudy or precipitating

Cloud screening methods:

- FG departures in a window channel - Simple LWP or cloud retrieval

Sounders: Grody et al. (2001, JGR)

Imagers: Karstens et al. (1994, Met. Atmos. Phys.)

Imagers: 37 GHz polarisation difference, Petty and Katsaros

(1990, J. App. Met.)

- Scattering index (SI)

Over land, or in sounding channels affected by ice/snow

(14)

Slide 14

AMSU-A channel 3 departures for cloud screening

50.3 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess (bias corrected), ocean surfaces

K

Cloud shows up as a warm emitter over a

radiatively cold ocean surface

(15)

Slide 15

AMSU-A channel 3 departures for cloud screening

50.3 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess, ocean surfaces

FG departure [K]

3K limit

Warm tail = cloud

20% of observations

removed

(16)

Slide 16

AMSU-A channel 3 departures for cloud screening

50.3 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess (bias corrected), ocean surfaces

(17)

Slide 17

AMSU-A channel 4 departures for cloud screening

52.8 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess (bias corrected), land surfaces < 500m; sea-ice

K

Ice and snow hydrometeors show up as cold scatterers over

a radiatively warm land or ice surface

(18)

Slide 18

AMSU-A channel 4 departures for cloud screening

52.8 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess, land surfaces < 500m

FG departure [K]

0.7K limit

Poor surface

emissivity

Cloud or poor

surface emissivity

35% of observations

removed

(19)

Slide 19

An approximate radiative transfer equation for

window channels (no scattering)

T

A

T

S

T

A

T

1

(

1

)

(

1

)

,

S

T

A

T

)

1

(

Surface temperature, emissivity A

T

)

1

(

Upwelling atmospheric contribution Downwelling atmospheric contribution S

T



Observed brightness temperature

1

(

1

)

T

A

Reflected downwelling radiation Surface emission

Atmospheric transmittance

(20)

Slide 20

LWP and cloud retrievals

Simplify further by assuming surface and effective

atmospheric temperature are identical

An even more approximate radiative transfer equation for

microwave imager channels:

1

2

(

1

)

0

 T

T

Observed TB at frequency ν Surface emissivity Atmospheric transmittance

(21)

Slide 21

Polarisation difference

Observe v and h polarisations separately:

Compute the difference in brightness temperature

1

2

(

1

)

0 V V

T

T

1

2

(

1

)

0 H H

T

T

V H

H V

T

T

T

0

2

(22)

Slide 22

Polarisation difference at 37 GHz (SSMIS)

37v

[K]

37h

[K]

37v -37h

[K]

(23)

Slide 23

Approximate cloud and precipitation retrievals

Polarisation difference, e.g. 37v – 37h

- 40K threshold typically used to indicate precipitation - Petty and Katsaros (1990, J. App. Met.)

Simple LWP retrieval:

-- Imagers: Karstens et al. (1994, Met. Atmos. Phys.)

- Sounders (additional zenith angle dependence): Grody et al. (2001, JGR)

- Homework for the keen – derive this by assuming:

(where k=mass absorption coefficient [m-1 (kg m-3)-1]; θ=zenith angle, LWP, TCWV are

column integrated amounts of cloud and water vapour [kg m-2])

Scattering index (SI) – e.g. Grody (1991, JGR)

- Simple SI used at ECMWF for SSMIS over land: 90 GHz – 150 GHz

0 22v

3

0 37v

2 1

c

ln

T

T

c

ln

T

T

c

LWP

(24)

Slide 24

Reasons to assimilate cloud and precipitation-related

observations in global NWP

Extending satellite coverage: to gain more information on

temperature and water vapour in cloudy regions

Improving cloud and precipitation analyses and

short-range forecasts: assimilating cloud and precipitation directly

Inferring wind information through 4D-Var

Validating and constraining the model: confronting the

(25)

Slide 25 Model Observations

Clear-sky assimilation

×

×

?

(26)

Slide 26 Model Observations

All-sky assimilation

(27)

Slide 27

All-sky assimilation components in 4D-Var

Observation minus first-guess* departures in clear,

cloudy and precipitating conditions

Observation operator including cloud and

precipitation (RTTOV) - TL/Adjoint

Moist physics - TL/Adjoint

Forecast model - TL/Adjoint

Control variables (winds and mass at start of

assimilation window) optimised by 4D-Var

*FG, T+12, background…

Rest of the

global

observing

system

Background

constraint

(28)

Slide 28

All-sky 4D-Var SSM/I - example

First guess departures (observation minus model)

All-sky observations (37GHz v-pol )

(29)

Slide 29

Is the zero-gradient issue a problem? No

Cloud

Total moisture

Microwave

radiance

Total moisture

Cloud

Precipitation

Clear-sky

Model

Observation

Model

Observation

(30)

Slide 30

Mislocation between observations and model

is a problem

Observed TB [K]

First guess TB [K]

FG Departure [K]

(observation minus FG)

(31)

Slide 31

Clear-clear

Cloud-cloud

Obs Cloud- FG clear

Obs Clear- FG cloud

Watch out for sampling error

Observations

cloudy (47%):

biased sampling

Observations or FG

Cloudy (59%):

correct sampling

All-sky (100%)

(32)

Slide 32

Asymmetric and symmetric sampling

Cloud amount

Normalised 37GHz polarisation difference

as a function of mean of

observed and forecast

cloud

as a function of forecast

cloud

as a function of observed

cloud

Mean

channel 19v

departures

[K]

(33)

Slide 33

Observation errors as a function of

cloud amount

Mean of observed and FG cloud amount

derived from 37GHz radiances

Standard

deviation of

AMSR-E

channel 24h

departures

[K]

‘Symmetric’

observation

error model

(34)

Slide 34

Gaussian

Departures

4.3K

Non-Gaussianity

Departures

symmetric error

(35)

Slide 35

All-sky 4D-Var departures: Quality

Control

(36)

Slide 36

Assimilating observations in all-sky

conditions

Essentials

- (4D-Var) Tangent linear and adjoint moist physics model - Scattering radiative transfer code

 Attention to “detail”: scattering parameters; cloud overlap

- Only assimilate in channels (and in areas) where the forecast model and the observation operator are accurate and are not affected by systematic errors

- Observation error model

 smaller errors in clear skies and higher errors in cloudy and precipitating situations

- Symmetric treatment of biases, observation errors, quality control

Not essential, but still useful

(37)

Slide 37

Applications of all-sky assimilation

Imager channels (e.g. 19, 24, 37, 89 GHz)

- TMI, SSMIS and (AMSRE): all-sky assimilation operational at ECMWF since 2009 over ocean surfaces

Water vapour sounding channels (e.g. 183 GHz)

- Over ocean, land and sea-ice

- SSMIS and MHS 183 GHz all-sky assimilation - ATMS, MWHS-2 183 GHz all-sky in development

Temperature sounding channels (e.g. 50-60 GHz)

- Clear-sky approach remains the best for now

- AMSU-A channel 4 (52.8 GHz) is like an imager channel, with mainly a cloud sensitivity. Duplicates microwave imager information content.

- AMSU-A channel 5 (53.6 GHz) gained little benefit from all-sky assimilation in initial testing at ECMWF:

 Not much additional coverage

 Cross-talk between cloud and temperature signals

(38)

Slide 38

Impact of all-sky SSMIS and TMI on wind

4 months of forecast verification against own analysis

Increased size of wind increments – short range “noise”

Normalised

change in RMS

forecast error in

wind

Cross-hatching indicates statistical significance RMS error increased = bad (but not always!)

RMS error decreased = good

Up to 2-3% improvement in wind scores in the midatitudes

(39)

Slide 39

Clear-sky

MHS

MHSbad

MHS good

(40)

Slide 40

All-sky

MHS

MHSbad

MHS good

(41)

Slide 41

Cloud and precipitation in the microwave

Interaction of particles with microwave radiation

- Compute optical properties using DDA or Mie theory

Cloud-clearing and simple retrievals

- Window channel FG departures, polarisation difference, scattering index or LWP retrieval

Scattering radiative transfer simulations

- RTTOV-SCATT

All-sky assimilation

- Applicable to all imager and moisture channels: cloud, precipitation and water-vapour information

- Benefits to dynamical forecasts through 4D-Var tracing effect

- Temperature channels are best assimilated using clear-sky approach for the moment

References

Related documents

Methods: Preinterventional clinical measures (vital capacity, forced expiratory volume in 1 second, residual volume, total lung capacity, 6-minute walk test),

An Accumulator strategy focuses on providing employee skill development in an evolutionary fashion in accordance with the firm's slowly evolving human resource needs. Once

The contents cover defmitions and historical background to contemporary peacekeeping; future challenges; peace; support operations; prospects for peacekeeping in Africa;

Therefore, it is closely related to the review tasks in the Quality Management process of OUM’s Manage focus area and to the definition and refinement of requirements in the

On average, temporary workers have the shortest time in working life (average around 10-12 years 4 ) and longest in permanent and full-time jobs (average around 22 years). It

The installations and equipment controlled by the Ereğli Coal Exploita- tion may be divided into two groups : U n d e r g r o u n d , are coal extrac- tion machinery, belt and

natural normativity and necessity I derived from their work and to the use of the terms ‘ought’ and ‘flourishing’ within that design, and (ii) of concurrences of being good,

AICS - Australian Inventory of Chemical Substances; ASTM - American Society for the Testing of Materials; bw - Body weight; CERCLA - Comprehensive Environmental Response,