Slide 1
Microwave observations in the presence of
cloud and precipitation
Alan Geer
Thanks to: Bill Bell, Peter Bauer, Fabrizio Baordo,
Niels Bormann
Slide 2
Overview
Clear-sky microwave (yesterday)
- The microwave spectrum - Microwave instruments
- Imager channels and the surface - Temperature sounding channels - AMSU-A channel 5 at ECMWF
All-sky microwave (today)
- Interaction of particles with microwave radiation - Solving the scattering radiative transfer equation - Cloud screening for clear-sky assimilation
Slide 3
Size parameter
Atmospheric particles and microwave radiation
30 GHz frequency ↔ 10mm wavelength (λ)
Particle type Size range, r Size parameter, x Scattering solution
Cloud droplets 5 – 50 μm 0.003 – 0.03 Rayleigh
Drizzle ~100 μm 0.06 Rayleigh
Rain drop 0.1 – 3 mm 0.06 – 1.8 Mie
Ice crystals 10 – 100 μm 0.006 – 0.06 Rayleigh, DDA
Snow 1 – 10 mm 0.6 – 6 Mie, DDA
Hailstone ~10 mm 6 Mie, DDA
r
Slide 4
Spherical particles interacting with radiation
Negligible scattering (x < 0.002):
- at low microwave frequencies, liquid water cloud acts like a gaseous absorber
Rayleigh scattering (0.002 < x < 0.2):
- an approximate solution for spherical particles much smaller than the wavelength
Mie scattering (0.2 < x < 2000):
- a complete solution for the interaction of a plane wave with a dielectric sphere
- valid for all x, but depends on a series
expansion in Legendre polynomials - can be slow to compute
Geometric optics (x > 2000):
Slide 5
Discrete dipole approximation (DDA):
Other solution methods exist, e.g. T-matrix
Non-spherical particles interacting with
radiation
1. Create a 3D model of a snow or ice particle
2. Discretise into many small polarisable points
(dipoles). Grid spacing << wavelength
Slide 6
Scattering properties – single particles
Scattering cross-section: [m
2]
- the amount of scattering as an equivalent “area”
Absorption cross-section: [m
2]
- particles can absorb as well as scatter radiation
Scattering phase function:
- the amount of scattering in a particular direction (expressed in
s
a
)
,
(
P
Slide 7
Sum or average over:
- Different orientations (or, in some ice clouds, a preferred orientation) - Size distribution
- Particle habits: snow and ice shapes, graupel, cloud drops, rain etc.
Extinction coefficient [1/km] :
Single scatter albedo:
- Ratio of scattering to extinction
Asymmetry parameter – the average scattering direction
- g = 1 → completely forward scattering (~ not scattered at all)
- g = 0 → as much forward as back scattering (not necessarily isotropic) - g = -1 → complete back-scattering (physically unlikely)
Scattering properties - bulk
s a e
s a s s
Slide 8
H() - radiative transfer model
Sensor
Given p,T, q, cloud and precipitation on
each atmospheric level, we can
compute:
• τ
- Layer optical depth
(absorption and scattering)
• ω
s- Single scattering albedo
•
- Scattering phase function
(usually represented only by g,
the asymmetry parameter)
=
direction vector in solid angleNow just solve the equation of radiative
transfer (discretized on the vertical grid):
ˆ 1 4 ( ˆ , ˆ ') ˆ ' ' ˆ d I P B I d dI s s ) ' ˆ , ˆ ( Pˆ
Slide 9
This can be complex to solve:
-
, the radiance in one direction, depends on radiance from
all other directions:
- and all levels depend on each other
But in non-scattering atmospheres (no cloud and
precipitation) it’s easier:
- ω
s= 0 , so
- we can do each layer sequentially
Radiative transfer solvers
Scattering phase
function
ˆ
1
4
4(
ˆ
,
ˆ
'
)
ˆ
'
'
ˆ
d
I
P
B
I
d
dI
s s
I
B
d
dI
ˆ
ˆ
ˆ I
ˆ ' ISlide 10
Scattering solvers
Reverse Monte-Carlo
- Great for understanding and visualisation - An easy way to do 3D radiative transfer
- Much too slow for operational use: many thousands of “photons” are required for convergence to a useful level of accuracy
Accurate but too slow for use in assimilation:
- DISORT (Discrete ordinates) – a generalisation of the two-stream approach
- Adding / doubling, SOI (Successive Orders of Interaction)
Two-stream and delta-Eddington approaches
- What we use operationally at ECMWF (in RTTOV-SCATT)
- Though quite crude methods, the accuracy is usually more than
Slide 11 Single
scatter albedo
Rain and snow flux [g m2 s-1]
Cloud mixing ratio [0.1 g kg-1] Extinction coefficient β[km-1] e Asymmetry
Snow
Rain Water cloud
Altitude [km]
Cloud and precipitation at 91 GHz
Slide 12
Cloud and precipitation at 91 GHz
Strong scattering in deep convection
R ai n S n o w C lo u d SSA [0-1] No. of emissions To sensor [km] [k m ]
Slide 13
Cloud screening
Use clear-sky radiative transfer but remove situations
where the observations are cloudy or precipitating
Cloud screening methods:
- FG departures in a window channel - Simple LWP or cloud retrieval
Sounders: Grody et al. (2001, JGR)
Imagers: Karstens et al. (1994, Met. Atmos. Phys.)
Imagers: 37 GHz polarisation difference, Petty and Katsaros
(1990, J. App. Met.)
- Scattering index (SI)
Over land, or in sounding channels affected by ice/snow
Slide 14
AMSU-A channel 3 departures for cloud screening
50.3 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess (bias corrected), ocean surfaces
K
Cloud shows up as a warm emitter over a
radiatively cold ocean surface
Slide 15
AMSU-A channel 3 departures for cloud screening
50.3 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess, ocean surfaces
FG departure [K]
3K limit
Warm tail = cloud
20% of observations
removed
Slide 16
AMSU-A channel 3 departures for cloud screening
50.3 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess (bias corrected), ocean surfaces
Slide 17
AMSU-A channel 4 departures for cloud screening
52.8 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess (bias corrected), land surfaces < 500m; sea-ice
K
Ice and snow hydrometeors show up as cold scatterers over
a radiatively warm land or ice surface
Slide 18
AMSU-A channel 4 departures for cloud screening
52.8 GHz observation minus clear-sky first guess, land surfaces < 500m
FG departure [K]
0.7K limit
Poor surface
emissivity
Cloud or poor
surface emissivity
35% of observations
removed
Slide 19
An approximate radiative transfer equation for
window channels (no scattering)
T
AT
S
T
AT
1
(
1
)
(
1
)
,
ST
AT
)
1
(
Surface temperature, emissivity AT
)
1
(
Upwelling atmospheric contribution Downwelling atmospheric contribution ST
Observed brightness temperature
1
(
1
)
T
A
Reflected downwelling radiation Surface emission
Atmospheric transmittance
Slide 20
LWP and cloud retrievals
Simplify further by assuming surface and effective
atmospheric temperature are identical
An even more approximate radiative transfer equation for
microwave imager channels:
1
2(
1
)
0
T
T
Observed TB at frequency ν Surface emissivity Atmospheric transmittanceSlide 21
Polarisation difference
Observe v and h polarisations separately:
Compute the difference in brightness temperature
1
2(
1
)
0 V VT
T
1
2(
1
)
0 H HT
T
V H
H VT
T
T
0
2
Slide 22
Polarisation difference at 37 GHz (SSMIS)
37v
[K]
37h
[K]
37v -37h
[K]
Slide 23
Approximate cloud and precipitation retrievals
Polarisation difference, e.g. 37v – 37h
- 40K threshold typically used to indicate precipitation - Petty and Katsaros (1990, J. App. Met.)
Simple LWP retrieval:
-- Imagers: Karstens et al. (1994, Met. Atmos. Phys.)
- Sounders (additional zenith angle dependence): Grody et al. (2001, JGR)
- Homework for the keen – derive this by assuming:
(where k=mass absorption coefficient [m-1 (kg m-3)-1]; θ=zenith angle, LWP, TCWV are
column integrated amounts of cloud and water vapour [kg m-2])
Scattering index (SI) – e.g. Grody (1991, JGR)
- Simple SI used at ECMWF for SSMIS over land: 90 GHz – 150 GHz
0 22v
3
0 37v
2 1c
ln
T
T
c
ln
T
T
c
LWP
Slide 24
Reasons to assimilate cloud and precipitation-related
observations in global NWP
Extending satellite coverage: to gain more information on
temperature and water vapour in cloudy regions
Improving cloud and precipitation analyses and
short-range forecasts: assimilating cloud and precipitation directly
Inferring wind information through 4D-Var
Validating and constraining the model: confronting the
Slide 25 Model Observations
Clear-sky assimilation
×
×
?
Slide 26 Model Observations
All-sky assimilation
Slide 27
All-sky assimilation components in 4D-Var
Observation minus first-guess* departures in clear,
cloudy and precipitating conditions
Observation operator including cloud and
precipitation (RTTOV) - TL/Adjoint
Moist physics - TL/Adjoint
Forecast model - TL/Adjoint
Control variables (winds and mass at start of
assimilation window) optimised by 4D-Var
*FG, T+12, background…
Rest of the
global
observing
system
Background
constraint
Slide 28
All-sky 4D-Var SSM/I - example
First guess departures (observation minus model)
All-sky observations (37GHz v-pol )
Slide 29
Is the zero-gradient issue a problem? No
Cloud
Total moisture
Microwave
radiance
Total moisture
Cloud
Precipitation
Clear-sky
Model
Observation
Model
Observation
Slide 30
Mislocation between observations and model
is a problem
Observed TB [K]
First guess TB [K]
FG Departure [K]
(observation minus FG)
Slide 31
Clear-clear
Cloud-cloud
Obs Cloud- FG clear
Obs Clear- FG cloud
Watch out for sampling error
Observations
cloudy (47%):
biased sampling
Observations or FG
Cloudy (59%):
correct sampling
All-sky (100%)
Slide 32
Asymmetric and symmetric sampling
Cloud amount
Normalised 37GHz polarisation difference
as a function of mean of
observed and forecast
cloud
as a function of forecast
cloud
as a function of observed
cloud
Mean
channel 19v
departures
[K]
Slide 33
Observation errors as a function of
cloud amount
Mean of observed and FG cloud amount
derived from 37GHz radiances
Standard
deviation of
AMSR-E
channel 24h
departures
[K]
‘Symmetric’
observation
error model
Slide 34
Gaussian
Departures
4.3K
Non-Gaussianity
Departures
symmetric error
Slide 35
All-sky 4D-Var departures: Quality
Control
Slide 36
Assimilating observations in all-sky
conditions
Essentials
- (4D-Var) Tangent linear and adjoint moist physics model - Scattering radiative transfer code
Attention to “detail”: scattering parameters; cloud overlap
- Only assimilate in channels (and in areas) where the forecast model and the observation operator are accurate and are not affected by systematic errors
- Observation error model
smaller errors in clear skies and higher errors in cloudy and precipitating situations
- Symmetric treatment of biases, observation errors, quality control
Not essential, but still useful
Slide 37
Applications of all-sky assimilation
Imager channels (e.g. 19, 24, 37, 89 GHz)
- TMI, SSMIS and (AMSRE): all-sky assimilation operational at ECMWF since 2009 over ocean surfaces
Water vapour sounding channels (e.g. 183 GHz)
- Over ocean, land and sea-ice
- SSMIS and MHS 183 GHz all-sky assimilation - ATMS, MWHS-2 183 GHz all-sky in development
Temperature sounding channels (e.g. 50-60 GHz)
- Clear-sky approach remains the best for now
- AMSU-A channel 4 (52.8 GHz) is like an imager channel, with mainly a cloud sensitivity. Duplicates microwave imager information content.
- AMSU-A channel 5 (53.6 GHz) gained little benefit from all-sky assimilation in initial testing at ECMWF:
Not much additional coverage
Cross-talk between cloud and temperature signals
Slide 38
Impact of all-sky SSMIS and TMI on wind
4 months of forecast verification against own analysis
Increased size of wind increments – short range “noise”
Normalised
change in RMS
forecast error in
wind
Cross-hatching indicates statistical significance RMS error increased = bad (but not always!)RMS error decreased = good
Up to 2-3% improvement in wind scores in the midatitudes
Slide 39
Clear-sky
MHS
MHSbadMHS good
Slide 40
All-sky
MHS
MHSbadMHS good
Slide 41
Cloud and precipitation in the microwave
Interaction of particles with microwave radiation
- Compute optical properties using DDA or Mie theory
Cloud-clearing and simple retrievals
- Window channel FG departures, polarisation difference, scattering index or LWP retrieval
Scattering radiative transfer simulations
- RTTOV-SCATT
All-sky assimilation
- Applicable to all imager and moisture channels: cloud, precipitation and water-vapour information
- Benefits to dynamical forecasts through 4D-Var tracing effect
- Temperature channels are best assimilated using clear-sky approach for the moment