TUTTI
- ‘Systematic Product
Concept Generation’
A Joint Effort by:
• HUT – Helsinki University of Technology, Department of Machine Design
• ÅA - Åbo Akademi University, IAMSR – Institute for
Advanced Management Systems Research • UIAH – University of Industrial Arts Helsinki, Department of Industrial Design
‘Year 2020 –
Product concepts for different
An initiative in the ‘Masina’ technology
programme 2002 – 2007 coordinated by National
Technology Agency - TEKES
• Tekes, the National Technology Agency is the main public financing and expert organization for research and technological development in Finland. Tekes has a budget of 380 million euros, a source of funding for 2000 projects annually.
• MASINA is a national technology programme that advances the Finnish Mechanical Engineering's planning and research to answer to the challenges of the future.
• The Tutti research project funded by Tekes has started in August 2002 and continues until August 2004.
Aims of Tutti
• To produce (alternative) future scenarios
• To produce future product concept models and visualisations based on the scenarios
• To further develop methodologies associated with scenario and product concept generation
• To introduce (industrial) product development and associated research projects
Schedule
• year I: scenario generation • year II: product concept generation
Themes of Special Interest
• short distance mobility – within an urban environment • everyday user’s intimate technology – personal
assistants
• leisure, entertainment
• wood processing industry – machines
•
Asia-led scenario
•
USA -led scenario
•
EU -led scenario
•
Epidemic & sabotage
•
Changing values
•
Bio Boom
Scenarios
Society driven Market driven Technology drivenThe Companies in Steering Group:
• Wärtsilä Oyj • Metso Oyj • Piikkio Works
• Nokia Oyj, Nokia Research Center • Plustech Oy (John Deere)
• Kone Oyj
• Avant Tecno Oy
Tutti Research Team
HUT:
• professor Kalevi Ekman
• project manager Markku Kuuva • researcher Ville Lähteinen
• researcher Mikko Sääskilahti ÅA IAMSR:
• research director Tarja Meristö • researcher Sami Leppimäki
• researcher Jukka-Pekka Bergman /LUT/TBRC (associated member) UIAH:
• professor Turkka Keinonen • researcher Sampsa Piira • researcher Ville Kokkonen
Product concept development categories
FEASIBILITY ASSESSMENT BUSINESS CASE DEVELOPMENT DEFINING CONCEPT DEVELOPMENT BUSINESS SCANNING MARKET ANALYSIS BASIC RESEARCH TECHNOLOGY DEVELOPMENT VISIONING CONCEPT DEVELOPMENT EMERGING CONCEPT DEVELOPMENT 2 - 5 > 10 5 - 10 ENGINEERING DESIGN MARKETING PLANS SOLVING CONCEPT DEVELOPMENT 1 - 2TECHNOLOGY PRODUCT- CENTRIC MARKETING TIME APPROACH APPROACH APPROACH (YEARS)
TUTTI-project
Process
Process
Part 1: Future anticipation • Scenario study
• Technology study
• Definition of the line of the business and actor • Definition of characteristics of scenarios
• Futures table method • Creation of scenarios
• The extension of future table • Business-related scenarios
Part 2: Concept development • Idea generation
• Concept draft generation
• Design concept generation, technology and market study • Future product concept presentation
Part 1: Future anticipation
Scenario study• Main trends, existing scenarios
• Shell, CIA, WBCSD:n (World Business Council for Sustainable Development)
• Wide range of scenarios, different emphasis
Technology study
• Technology foresights, technology road maps, existing technology studies, scientific publications and news papers, patents, military and space research… • Key technologies should be defined
Part 1: Future anticipation
Definition of the line of the business and actor
• In which business the company is now and in which business it may be in the future
Definition of characteristics of scenarios
• The driving forces and factors in the operating environment are mapped by PESTE-analysis
• Also the quiet tacit knowledge within an organisation
• According to driving forces and existing scenarios it is possible to outline the characteristics of scenarios
Futures table method
• Tables are created by listing important factors of the future • PESTE-classification
• Global, block, industry -levels • Alternative future paths
Creation of scenarios
Futures table method Energiant uotannon painopist e Fossiilise t polttoain eet Vesivoim a Ydinvoi ma (fissio)
Aurinko Fuusio Tuulivoi ma yms. Energian tuotanto määrä + 0 -Hajautett u vs. keskitetty (poliittine n tuki) Keskitety mpi Nykyisell ään Hajautetu mpi Energianj akeluverk on ylläpito julkinen yksityine n yritykset Polttoain eenjakelu verkon ylläpito julkinen yksityine n yritykset Alueellin en tasa-arvo Syrjäseut uja tuetaan voimakka asti Syrjäseut uja tuetaan, mutta osa ei kehity kuitenkaa n Puhdas markkina ohjautuv uus
HAJAUTETUN ENERGIAN TUOTANNON JA VARASTOINNIN TEKNIIKKA
USA-vetoinen Big Mac P
Part 1: Future anticipation
The extension of futures table• Product level
• Parameters that describe consumers, living conditions, environment, preferences etc.
Business-related scenarios
• Short textual presentations • Bases for concept development
Part 2: Concept development
Product
Product concept/
Future product concept Design concept Concept draft Idea Future product concept presentation Design concept generation,
technology and market study
Concept draft generation
Idea generation
Two-by-two concept table
technology change market change 2020 2004 technology change, market remain technology change, market change technology remain, market remain technology remain, market changeSelected product concept groups
• (Industrial)robotics in every scenario
– Technology platform remain, market/business change • Short distance mobility in every scenario
– Technology platform vary, market/business remain • “Best concepts”, six pieces
Guard robot,
Robotics group,
Sabotage-scenario
• mobile, flying robot (cf. beetle, dragonfly)
• watch e.g. the house
• other functions: take fotos/video, scan the environment (air, objects etc.) and people (vital functions)
Black & Decker vs. 2020,
Robotics group,
USA –led Big Mac –scenario
• Record player-sized industrial robot for domestic use
• Body, far reaching arm and a changeable magazine for different tools
• From kitchen to gardening, mainly used in garage as a modern power tool.
• It learns tasks by mimicking and can repeat them faster than human
Stand up car,
short distance mobility –group,
Sabotage-scenario
• A safe option for pedestrians
• Works as an extension of ones domestic space by being able to park alongside corridors and living rooms if needed
• Protects the owner from pollution, street violence, and is fully car theft proof
• After use it sits down on its fender edge and locks down.
• The cart uses a spindle type of a mechanism, which enables tilting and turning into various directions
Shopping-Kart,
short distance mobility –group,
USA –led Big Mac –scenario
• Passenger transportation system for shopping centers • Steered by central traffic
control system
• Carts are ordered to the car park, customers scan their credit cards and decide where to go or accept the plan that the cart suggests