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(1)

SESSION V

“PUBLIC CONCERNS AND

MARKET CHOICES ”

First Speaker:

Professor Gilles Bernier, Ph.D.

Industrial-Alliance Insurance Chairholder Department of finance and insurance

Laval University

C.D. Howe Institute Policy Seminar:

“P&C Insurance Policy: To What End? By What Means?

Toronto, Canada, December 12, 2003

(2)

QUESTIONS TO BE

ADDRESSED

Purpose

: Share some thoughts in order

to discuss these 2 questions.

1. IS THERE A «

BEST PRACTICE

» FOR

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD P&C

BUSINESS IN CANADA?

2. HOW TO

NEGOTIATE

THE POLITICAL

ECONOMY OF REGULATING P&C

BUSINESS IN CANADA?

(3)

« BEST PRACTICE »

A DEFINITION

– Not easy to define such a concept.

– Suggested definition:

Public policies in a given jurisdiction can

be considered to be « best practice »

policies if their performance is at least as

good as that of policies in other

jurisdictions with similar objectives and

priorities.

(4)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

BUSINESS: BACKGROUND

• Most public policies toward business are related to

the place of «

competition

» in a market

economy:

• Some policies promote competition;

• Others prevent it,

• Others supplant it by taking an activity « out

of the market place ».

• In practice, this subject is as much concerned with

issues of «

equity

» as with «

efficiency

».

(5)

THE POLITICAL ECONOMY

OF INTERVENTIONISM IN

CANADA

Green in his 1980 book

Canadian Industrial

Organization and Policy

discusses the case of

Canada in these terms:

– « interventionism has been considered the natural and necessary result of Canada’s peculiar geographic and demographic characteristics ».

– « much economic legislation is enacted at the

provincial level. Unfortunately, the provinces are much less likely to see the « national » implications of their economic legislation ».

(6)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

P&C BUSINESS IN CANADA

1. Competition policy

Easy entry

for both Canadian and Foreign

companies;

Prevents undue concentration in the industry:

P/C is a less concentrated market than L/H

and Banking;

Should be continued

, given that international

competition is likely to make domestic

(7)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

P&C BUSINESS IN CANADA

2. Public ownership

Arguments usually given:

• Incomplete coverage of needy users

• Theoretically lower administrative costs.

Choice belongs (by Constitution) to provinces

• Likely to reflect geographic variation in objectives and priorities.

Comes often with No-fault but not always.

(8)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

P&C BUSINESS IN CANADA

2. Public ownership (cont’)

Performance of provinces with public auto insurance – somewhat questionable:

– Evidence of higher average auto insurance costs (and for No-fault provinces) [Kleffner & Schmit (1999)]:

– Evidence of higher auto collision, death, injury and property damage rates in those provinces than those with market-based

insurance.[Fraser Institute (2003); Kovacs and Leabbetter (IBC,2003)]

(9)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

P&C BUSINESS IN CANADA

3. Regulation

P&C Insurers are

subject to regulation

of their

pricing (auto), distribution and investments

activities.

Regulation should bring welfare

benefits

to the

parties involved

Whether it does or not is a complex issue!

Regulation theories (1970’s) teach us that

regulation can be a “

trap

”, both economically

and politically.

(10)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

P&C BUSINESS IN CANADA

3. Regulation

(cont’)

Example of a possible “regulatory trap” for

consumers:

Rate regulation in automobile insurance

”.

– Strong evidence from the U.S. that, in the long run, rate regulation has not resulted in lower prices

[Cummins et al, (2001), Harrington (2001)];

– Also evidence (both in the U.S. and Canada) that rate regulation (prior approval) leads to greater volatility of automobile insurance premiums [e.g., Harrington (2001) and Leadbetter, Voll & Weider (IBC, 2003)]

(11)

PUBLIC POLICY TOWARD

P&C BUSINESS IN CANADA

3. Regulation

(cont’)

• Solvency regulation is an example where Canada seems to be doing relatively well !

Consistency of federal (solvency) regulation is a positive factor which should be maintained

• Kleffner and Jorgensen (1997): «… federal

regulation of insurers in Canada is more consistent than regulation of insurers on a state by state basis in the U.S.. Canadian regulation also appears to have been more timely and proactive than in the U.S., particularly with respect to risk-based capital standards… ».

• In regulating P&C insurers’ solvency, it is important to account for the interaction between investments,

(12)

HOW TO NEGOTIATE THE

POLITICAL ECONOMY OF

REGULATING P&C?

– By recognizing that ultimately,

choices belong

mostly to provinces

.

– Public policy toward P&C is

likely to continue

to vary

across Canada.

– Types of auto insurance reforms:

• One dealing with the

parameters

of the

current system (tort provinces) – short-time

• One proposing a

migration

to a new

(13)

HOW TO NEGOTIATE THE

POLITICAL ECONOMY OF

REGULATING P&C?

– Provincial auto insurance reforms must address

this key question:

• What is the primary purpose of automobile

insurance?

– Is it to

establish liability

?

or,

– Is it to

facilitate recovery

?

– Two different purposes are likely to lead to

different models.

(14)

HOW TO NEGOTIATE THE

POLITICAL ECONOMY OF

REGULATING P&C?

– Quebec picked « facilitate recovery » as an answer back in 1978 and migrated to an « hybrid » system designed as follows:

Pure No-fault for bodily injuries

Private insurance for liability and proprety damage with a « direct compensation agreement »

– Without being perfect, the Quebec model is certainly

worth analyzing by provinces with a similar objective. – It is functioning with a relatively high degree of

overall satisfaction to the different stakeholders. Something must be done right in that context!

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