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The place of High Speed Rail in intermodal

competition: Environmental and

socioeconomic issues

Towards intermodal symbiosis rather than

competition

TAIEX Workshop on Approaching a European High Speed Rail Network,

Kyiv, 19 - 20 May 2011.

Bo Larsson, Architect SAR/MSA MAA, Tech. Dr., Docent.

Centre of European Studies, Lund University, Lund, and Plan- och

Byggnadskonst i Lund AB

(2)

High speed rail in an overall context

!

Advantages of high-speed rail (HSR).

!

Sustainable development.

!

A holistic view on transportation.

!

To use the best of each transportation mode.

!

Highlighting inter-modality.

!

Urban and regional development co-ordonated with

devalopment of transportation infrastructure.

(3)

Why high-speed trains?

The climate, environment and energy issues extort a more

sustainable, energy efficient transportation system.

Train transport is in this sense supreme to air and road

transport.

Up to 1500 km high-speed trains (250 – 350 km/h) can

compete with flights in total travel time, comfort and use

of travel time.

Up to 3000 km night trains can compete with morning/

evening flights with extra hotel night.

The climate, environment and energy issues might

enforce business and tourist travellers to accept 8 – 10

hours of journey instead of 3 – 4 hours.

(4)

An integrated system is necessary

An effective integrated passenger transportation system

based on rail connections can make public surface

transport much more attractive than today, compared

with car and air traffic.

The rail system must be integrated on all levels, from the

inter-regional high-speed train to the regional and local

train system and the urban system of metro and

tramways and also buses.

Also freight transport must have a rail system of high

capacity and highest possible speed. The rail system can

partly be divided, partly common for passenger and

freight transport. The most effective total system, with

the least possible impact on the landscape must be

searched for.

(5)

The connection between rail systems at different levels is

crucial to the attraction of public transport. A very good

example is Andalucia in Spain, where the railway system is

completed by new tram and metro lines in several cities.

Public transportation has been very much upgraded, also in

the everyday mind of the people. To many persons, cars

(6)

What about the future development?

These diagrams were shown some years ago in the report

”Keep Europe moving” from the European Commission.

Is such a development acceptable?

(7)

A need for

long-sighted visions

Despite gradual

improvements of the

European rail system,

long-sighted visions for a

HSR network are only in

a beginning phase.

The TEN-T strategy in

2005 was mainly

additions of existing

plans, based on

transport policies with

limits tor visionary

thinking.

Several HSR proposals

were not integrated in

the strategy.

(8)

An important step: White Paper 2011;

Road-map to Single European Transport Area

!

Transport strategies must promote a sustainable environment

and climate policy and a strong societal and territorial unity.

!

More sustainable travel habits must be promoted.

!

Transport policy must be holistic and inter-modal.

!

Rail transport must be made more effective.

!

A basic European transport network must be defined.

!

Research and innovation in the transport area must be

promoted.

!

Urban planing must promote accessibility and make urban

transport more effective.

The last point is important: Urban sprawl should be

limited – this means decreasing shar of car traffic!

(9)

Several recent reports are positive to HSR

!

DG TREN 2010: High-speed Europe: Europe has today 10 000 km

HSR – it could be increased to 30 750 km in 2030. (10 % of the total

railway network.) Long-distance rail transport might increase with

120 % 1999 – 2020.

!

Swedish state HSR analysis 2009 (Gunnar Malm): The social benefit

of HSR Stockholm – Malmö will be at least 15 % higher than the

social costs.

!

Construction of new HSR lines will be better in Sweden than

upgrading existing lines.

!

Trafikverket, Sweden, 2010: In Japan each person travel average

2 000 km a year, in many European countries 1000 km / year and in

the USA only 29 km / year! The rail share of the total passenge

transport (incl. cars) in 29 % in Japan, around 10 % in several

European countries and 0,6 % in USA! (This could be increased to 30

– 50 % in Europe.)

(10)

HSR today

!

High-speed rail is now developing very fast.

!

Ideas and visions regarded as quite unrealistic

some years ago are now being develovep and

implemented.

!

Railways have been regarded as old-fashioned and

unflexible – only flights and cars have been

regarded as modern.

!

The following pages will highlight some existing

(11)

Japan was pioneer and has the most efficient HSR network

in the world. The distance from south Kyushu to Hokkaido is

about 1 600 km. Only very few trains are not on time. It has

been proposed to build a rail tunnel to Korea.

(12)

China has the largest and fastest

expanding HSR system, completed

with several conventional, but fast

lines, e. g. to Lhasa in Tibet.

(13)

Turkey has a fast developing HSR system, that in few

years will connect EU (Bulgaria) with the Middle East

(Syria and possibly Iran).

(14)

India is modernising its railway system – including some

new HSR lines. This is an important base of developing a

modern society.

(15)

China is planning through HSR to St. Petersburg, Kiev,

London, New Delhi and Singapore with Astana in

Kazachstan as important node. Such plans would have

been regarded as quite unrealistic some years ago.

(Irrespective of special political ambitions.)

(16)

Future Asian HSR system?

A HSR system is also

Planned in Saudi-Arabia

(17)

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

USA: A railway

renaissance is planned

– as alternative to

flights.

Existing passenger

rail system

(AMTRAK).

Proposed HSR

system. It should

complete, not replace

the AMTRAK system.

(18)

Chicago can once more

be an important railway

node.

(19)

High-speed rails in

California and the New

York state.

(20)

South America has a large potential for high-speed rail.

(21)

Back to Europe:

Important west European metropoles are linked together

with HSR. Travel time by train has been reduced to 50 %

in many cases. In these relations HSR can compete with

flights very well.

(22)

TGV in France was the

European HSR pioneer. The

main TGV lines and more

regional lines are well linked

together. The HSR system will

also connect France with

Spain, Italy and south

Germany.

(23)

Spanish HSR is very successful.

Market share of train Madrid –

Sevilla increased from 14 % to 54

% 1991-2000. In the future 90 %

of the Spanish population will

have a HSR station within 50 km

from their home. A HSR tunnel to

Morocco has been discussed.

(24)

ICE in Germany combines

high-speed lines with

traditional lines.

There is a need for more

radical HSR development.

(25)

Italy’s HSR system is expaning.

Maybe it will have future

con-nections to Tunisia via Sicily?

(26)

The ”Nordic Triangle” will

connect Copenhagen,

Stockholm and Oslo. Future

connectiions to Helsinki and St.

Petersburg have been

discussed, as well as from

Helsinki to the the Baltic states

via Tallinn

.

An EU project works with a 350 km/h

HSR Oslo – Copenhagen. It will

reduce train travel time from 7:47 h

to 2:20 h. The total travel time from a

home in Oslo to a meeting in

Copenhagen will be 2 hours shorter

by train than by flight. To be at a

meeting in Coopenhagen at 10:00 you

can wake up at 7:00 instead of at

5:00 and have a more comfortable

journey. Million people will live within

the regions served by this line.

(27)

This is the forecasted HSR development in the EU countries

2010 – 2020.

(28)

UIC shows this HSR development from 2009 to 2025.

Still much is to be done in the eastern and south

estern parts of Europe.

There is a need of a HSR vision covering whole Europe.

On the following pages such a vision will be shown.

(29)

High-speed lines in 2020 according to UIC and Railteam information Additional high-speed lines 250-350 km/h, later development

Other lines of high standard ca 200 km/h Reykjavík Glasgow Edinburgh Dublin Belfast Manchester Birmingham London Bergen Oslo Stockholm Malmö Göteborg Brussel Bruxelles Amsterdam Köln Luxembourg Paris Frankfurt Nürnberg Stuttgart München Zürich Bern Dijon Lyon Bordeaux Toulouse Marseille Bilbao Porto Lisboa Hamburg Hannover Leipzig Berlin Riga Poznan Wroclaw Bucuresti Chisinau København Umeå Oulo Turku Helsinki S:t Petersburg Tallinn Kaliningrad Gdansk Kaunas Vilnius Minsk Smolensk Moskva Niznij Novgorod Kazan Perm Ufa Celjabinsk Jekaterinburg Samara Saratov Voronez Volgograd Astrachan Groznyj Rostov-na-Donu Doneck Char´kiv Kyjiv L´viv Odesa Dnipropetrovs´k Sevastopol´ Lódz Warszawa Kraków Wien Bratislava Budapest Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Podgorica Beograd Tirana Skopje Thessaloniki Athinai Sofija Istanbul Ankara Izmir Adana Aleppo (Haleb) Erzurum Tabriz Mosul Jerevan Tbilisi

Teheran

Baku Damascus Beirouth Baghdad Murmansk Archangel´sk Milano Bologna Torino Genova Roma Napoli Palermo Madrid Zaragoza Barcelona Valencia Málaga Sevilla Casablanca Rabat Tanger Fès Oran Alger Tunis to Urengoj to Vladivostok and Beijing to Karaganda, Ürümqi and Beijing to Samarkand

to Aqaba and Mecca to Cairo

to Mashhad to Quetta

to Riyad Basra Valetta NicosiaLevkosa

to Tripoli and Cairo to Dakar

Outline of a vision of

a future main European

high standard rail network

Most of the proposed lines are upgraded existing lines, but there are also several new rail corridors Bo Larsson

15.08.2008

Strasbourg

Praha Additional high-speed lines

250-350 km/h, first priority

Bursa Dresden

The HSR network should connect all regions and capital cities

in Europe (except some island countries)

(30)

Höghastighetslinjer år 2020 enligt information från UIC och Railteam

Skiss till ytterligare höghastighetslinjer 250-350 km/h, senare utveckling

Andra linjer med hög standard, ca 200 km/h Reykjavík Glasgow Edinburgh Dublin Belfast M anchester Birmingham London Bergen Oslo Stockholm M almö Göteborg Brussel Bruxelles Amsterdam Köln Luxembourg Paris Frankfurt Nürnberg München Zürich Bern Dijon Lyon Bordeaux Toulouse M arseille Bilbao Porto Lisboa Hamburg Hannover Leipzig Berlin Riga Poznan W roclaw Bucuresti Chisinau København Umeå Uleåborg Åbo Helsingfors S:t Petersburg Tallinn Kaliningrad Gdansk Kaunas Vilnius M insk Smolensk M oskva Niznij Novgorod Kazan Perm Ufa Celjabinsk Jekaterinburg Samara Saratov Voronez Volgograd Astrachan Groznyj Rostov-na-Donu Doneck Char´kiv Kyjiv L´viv O desa Dnipropetrovs´k Sevastopol´ Lódz W arszaw a Kraków W ien Bratislava Budapest Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Podgorica Beograd Tirana Skopje Thessaloniki Athinai Sofija Istanbul Ankara Izmir Adana Aleppo (Haleb) Erzurum Tabriz M osul Jerevan Tbilisi

Teheran

Baku Damascus Beirouth Baghdad M urmansk Archangel´sk M ilano Bologna Torino Genova Roma Napoli Palermo M adrid Zaragoza Barcelona Valencia Málaga Sevilla Casablanca Rabat Tanger Fès Oran Alger Tunis mot Urengoj mot Vladivostok och Beijing mot Karaganda, Ürümqi och Beijing till Samarkand

mot Aqaba och M ecca mot Kairo

till M ashha

till Q uetta

mot Riyad Basra

Valetta NicosiaLevkosa

mot Tripoli och Kairo mot Dakar

Skiss till vision för ett

fram tida europeiskt huvudnät

av järnvägar med hög standard

De flesta av de föreslagna linjerna är förbättringar av befintliga linjer men det finns också flera nya

järnvägskorridorer Bo Larsson 23.11.2009

Strasbourg

Praha Skiss till ytterligare

höghastighets-linjer 250-350 km/h, högst prioritet Bursa Dresden Stuttgart !"#$%&’()* $+,-&".$!*.)".*/$+,-&".$*0$/1./),+%$ ,-%."//"$23.$."/’.$%,++$’(4$2.5-$/0".,6"

Streckade linjer: snabba tågfärjor; möjligheter till fast förbindelse (tunnel) kan utredas

Tromsø

(31)

Linjer, längs vilka restiden beräknats Andra linjer av särskild relevans för svenska resenärer Reykjavík Glasgow Edinburgh Dublin Belfast M anchester Birmingham London Bergen Oslo Stockholm M almö Göteborg Brussel Bruxelles Amsterdam Köln Luxembourg Paris Frankfurt Nürnberg München Zürich Bern Dijon Lyon Bordeaux Toulouse M arseille Bilbao Porto Lisboa Hamburg Hannover Leipzig Berlin Riga Poznan W roclaw Bucuresti Chisinau København Umeå Uleåborg Åbo Helsingfors S:t Petersburg Tallinn Kaliningrad Gdansk Kaunas Vilnius M insk Smolensk M oskva Niznij Novgorod Kazan Perm Ufa Celjabinsk Jekaterinburg Samara Saratov Voronez Volgograd Astrachan Groznyj Rostov-na-Donu Doneck Char´kiv Kyjiv L´viv O desa Dnipropetrovs´k Sevastopol´ Lódz W arszaw a Kraków W ien Bratislava Budapest Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Podgorica Beograd Tirana Skopje Thessaloniki Athinai Sofija Istanbul Ankara Izmir Adana Aleppo (Haleb) Erzurum Tabriz M osul Jerevan Tbilisi

Teheran

Baku Damascus Beirouth Baghdad M urmansk Archangel´sk M ilano Bologna Torino Genova Roma Napoli Palermo M adrid Zaragoza Barcelona Valencia Málaga Sevilla Casablanca Rabat Tanger Fès Oran Alger Tunis mot Urengoj mot Vladivostok och Beijing mot Karaganda, Ürümqi och Beijing till Samarkand

mot Aqaba och M ecca mot Kairo

till M ashha till Q uetta

mot Riyad Basra Valetta NicosiaLevkosa

mot Tripoli och Kairo mot Dakar

Restid från Köpenhamn

längs ett urval befintliga eller

planerade europeiska

höghastighetslinjer

Bo Larsson 2.12.2009 Strasbourg Praha Bursa Dresden Stuttgart Tromsø

1 tim

2 tim

3 tim

2 tim

3 tim

4 tim

5 tim

6 tim

7 tim

8 tim

9 tim

10 tim

10 tim

10 tim

11 tim

11 tim

12 tim

12 tim

13 tim

13 tim

Isokronlinjer: restid från Köpenhamn

(32)

Linjer längs vilka restiden beräknats Andra linjer av särskild relevans för svenska resenärer Reykjavík Glasgow Edinburgh Dublin Belfast M anchester Birmingham London Bergen Oslo Stockholm M almö Göteborg Brussel Bruxelles Amsterdam Köln Luxembourg Paris Frankfurt Nürnberg München Zürich Bern Dijon Lyon Bordeaux Toulouse M arseille Bilbao Porto Lisboa Hamburg Hannover Leipzig Berlin Riga Poznan W roclaw Bucuresti Chisinau København Umeå Uleåborg Åbo Helsingfors S:t Petersburg Tallinn Kaliningrad Gdansk Kaunas Vilnius M insk Smolensk M oskva Niznij Novgorod Kazan Perm Ufa Celjabinsk Jekaterinburg Samara Saratov Voronez Volgograd Astrachan Groznyj Rostov-na-Donu Doneck Char´kiv Kyjiv L´viv O desa Dnipropetrovs´k Sevastopol´ Lódz W arszaw a Kraków W ien Bratislava Budapest Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Podgorica Beograd Tirana Skopje Thessaloniki Athinai Sofija Istanbul Ankara Izmir Adana Aleppo (Haleb) Erzurum Tabriz M osul Jerevan Tbilisi

Teheran

Baku Damascus Beirouth Baghdad M urmansk Archangel´sk M ilano Bologna Torino Genova Roma Napoli Palermo M adrid Zaragoza Barcelona Valencia Málaga Sevilla Casablanca Rabat Tanger Fès Oran Alger Tunis mot Urengoj mot Vladivostok och Beijing mot Karaganda, Ürümqi och Beijing till Samarkand

mot Aqaba och M ecca mot Kairo

till M ashha till Q uetta

mot Riyad Basra Valetta NicosiaLevkosa

mot Tripoli och Kairo mot Dakar

Restid från Köpenhamn

vid ett välutvecklat

europeiskt nät av

höghastighetståg

Bo Larsson 02.12.2009 Strasbourg Praha Bursa Dresden Stuttgart Tromsø

Isokronlinjer; restid från Köpenhamn. M ycket ungefärliga restider.

1 tim 2 tim 3 tim 4 tim 5 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 10 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 2 tim 3 tim 4 tim 5 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 10 tim 11 tim 10 tim 11 tim 9 tim 10 tim 11 tim 12 tim 13 tim 14 tim 15 tim 10 tim 11 tim 12 tim 13 tim 14 tim 15 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 10 tim 9 tim 10 tim 11 tim 12 tim 13 tim

(33)

Reykjavík Glasgow Edinburgh Dublin Belfast M anchester Birmingham London Bergen Oslo Stockholm M almö Göteborg Brussel Bruxelles Amsterdam Köln Luxembourg Paris Frankfurt Nürnberg München Zürich Bern Dijon Lyon Bordeaux Toulouse M arseille Bilbao Porto Lisboa Hamburg Hannover Leipzig Berlin Riga Poznan W roclaw Bucuresti Chisinau København Umeå Uleåborg Åbo Helsingfors S:t Petersburg Tallinn Kaliningrad Gdansk Kaunas Vilnius M insk Smolensk M oskva Niznij Novgorod Kazan Perm Ufa Celjabinsk Jekaterinburg Samara Saratov Voronez Volgograd Astrachan Groznyj Rostov-na-Donu Doneck Char´kiv Kyjiv L´viv O desa Dnipropetrovs´k Sevastopol´ Lódz W arszaw a Kraków W ien Bratislava Budapest Ljubljana Zagreb Sarajevo Podgorica Beograd Tirana Skopje Thessaloniki Athinai Sofija Istanbul Ankara Izmir Adana Aleppo (Haleb) Erzurum Tabriz M osul Jerevan Tbilisi

Teheran

Baku Damascus Beirouth Baghdad M urmansk Archangel´sk M ilano Bologna Torino Genova Roma Napoli Palermo M adrid Zaragoza Barcelona Valencia Málaga Sevilla Casablanca Rabat Tanger Fès Oran Alger Tunis mot Urengoj mot Vladivostok och Beijing mot Karaganda, Ürümqi och Beijing till Samarkand

mot Aqaba och M ecca mot Kairo

till M ashha till Q uetta

mot Riyad Basra Valetta NicosiaLevkosa

mot Tripoli och Kairo mot Dakar

Restid från Köpenhamn

vid ett välutvecklat

europeiskt nät av

höghastighetståg

Bo Larsson 02.12.2009 Strasbourg Praha Bursa Dresden Stuttgart Tromsø

Isokronlinjer; restid från Köpenhamn. M ycket ungefärliga restider.

1 tim 2 tim 3 tim 4 tim 5 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 10 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 2 tim 3 tim 4 tim 5 tim 6 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 10 tim 11 tim 10 tim 11 tim 9 tim 10 tim 11 tim 12 tim 13 tim 14 tim 15 tim 10 tim 11 tim 12 tim 13 tim 14 tim 15 tim 7 tim 8 tim 9 tim 10 tim 9 tim 10 tim 11 tim 12 tim 13 tim 3 tim

(34)

Railway planning needs more long-sighted

visions

* A more far-sighted and conceivable vision could

highlight possibilities and limitations of a

pan-European high-speed rail network

* This vision, independent of short-sighted

promises and budget frames could inspire more

long-sighted transport policy discussions/

decisions.

* This vision should also include elimination of

all un-necessary administrative, prices policy and

technical obstacles.

* The present pricing system disfavours trains

compared with (low cost) flights. Travelling by

train travel should not cost more than by air.

(35)

The need of a long-time vision

A vision, not as a

realistic

plan or promise, but as a model, a

tool to discuss and assess future European high-speed rail

network systems, estimating long-term social and environmental

effects also on urban development.

A vision based on existing and planned high-speed lines, best

available knowledge and experience and an estimation of

possible new lines.

A vision based on includes assessment of existing high-speed

railways and ideas for a long-term network.

Three working levels:

(1) Theoretical and general discussions of rail structure,

integrated systems, connections railway/cities and economical

and ecological consequences.

(2) A preliminary outline of an optimal European high-speed rail

network.

(3) Case studies and illustration examples, with estimation of

long-time costs, share of transportation work and environmental

effects

.

(36)

The integration of HSR systems in urban regions and

connections to other modes of transport are crucial issues.

These will be highlighted in my next presentation, focosing

ion the Copoenhagen – Öresund region.

(37)

References

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