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10 1 Production Forecast EM

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(1)

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E tie n n e M O R E A U 

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• W h y ru n a flo w sim u la tio n ? • M a th e m a tic a l& N u m e ric a l co n sid e ra tio n s • E C LI P S E R e m in d e r

O

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D

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• S p a ce & T im e D is cr e tis a tio n • R e se rv o ir d e sc rip tio n • F lu id d e sc rip tio n • In it ia l S ta te • A q u ife r & W e ll re p re se n ta tio n • F lo w d e sc rip tio n • F lo w d e sc rip tio n 

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P

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-R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

(2)

 G o o d P ro d u ct io n fo re ca st s w ill d e p e n d o n • G o o d h ist o ry m a tc h • G o o d in te g ra tio n o f w e ll p e rf o rm a n ce a n d p ro d u ct io n co n st ra in ts  W e ll p e rf o rm a n ce

In

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io

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 W e ll p e rf o rm a n ce • In flo w cu rv e s − P ro d u ct iv it y in d e x o r co m p le te cu rv e • O u tf lo w cu rv e s − V F P ta b le s  P ro d u ct io n co n st ra in ts • C o n st ra in ts re la te d to flo w • C o n st ra in ts re la te d to flo w − M a x im u m w a te r-cu t o r m a x im u m G O R p e r w e ll − M a x im u m w a te r p ro d u ct io n o r g a s p ro d u ct io n fo r a g ro u p o f w e lls • C o n st ra in ts re la te d to p re ssu re − M in im u m b o tt o m h o le flo w in g p re ss u re − M in im u m w e ll h e a d p re ss u re -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M . G a s G as m et er in g O il m et er in g P se p . P = s ep ar at io n p re ss u re S u rfa ce ch o ke P t Surface facilities

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(1

)

O il m et er in g O il ch o ke Surface facilities Vertical lift S af et y v alv e F lu id p ro d u ce d Do w n h o le c h o ke W ell in flo w PR P W F -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

(3)

Bottom Hole Flowing Pressure (bar) 2 5 0 2 0 0

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(2

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Increasing Water cut

Increasing Well Head Pressure

Increasing GOR

Increasing Tubing Size Bottom Hole Flowing Pressure (bar)

2 0 0 1 5 0 1 5 0

Increasing Water cut

Increasing Well Head Pressure

Increasing GOR

Increasing Tubing Size Bottom Hole Flowing Pressure (bar)

5 0 0 0 4 0 0 8 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 0 L iq u id fl o w (m 3 /d ) -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

Bottom Hole Flowing Pressure (bar)

2 5 0 2 0 0 W e ll c a p a c ity 9 4 0 m 3 /d

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Bottom Hole Flowing Pressure (bar)

2 0 0 1 5 0 1 0 0 9 4 0 m /d

Bottom Hole Flowing Pressure (bar)

5 0 0 0 4 0 0 8 0 0 1 2 0 0 1 6 0 0 IP R: In flo w P er fo rm an ce Re la tio n sh ip L iq u id fl o w (m 3 /d ) V L P : V er tic al L ift P er fo rm an ce -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

(4)

 M a in co n tr o ls • Im p o se d Fl o w ra te − O il, W a te r, G a s, Li q u id , R e se rv o ir v o id a g e • Im p o se d p re ssu re − T u b in g H e a d F lo w in g p re ss u re

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− T u b in g H e a d F lo w in g p re ss u re − B o tt o m h o le flo w in g p re ss u re  S e co n d a ry co n tr o ls • Fl o w ra te s − E co n o m ic lim it s − R a te s u p p e r lim it p e r p h a se − M a x im u m ra tio s (W cu t, G O R , W G R ) • P re ssu re s • P re ssu re s − B H P a n d T H P lim it (lo w e r fo r a p ro d u ce r, u p p e r fo r a n in je ct o r) − M a x im u m d ra w d o w n  V F P ta b le s a re u se d to re la te b o tt o m h o le to w e ll h e a d p re ss u re s -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M . 

W

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• W C O N P R O D : C o n tr o l d a ta fo r p ro d u ct io n w e lls • W E C O N : E co n o m ic lim it d a ta fo r p ro d u ct io n w e lls • W E F A C : W e ll e ff ic ie n cy fa ct o rs (f o r d o w n tim e ) • W E LL D R A W : M a x im u m d ra w d o w n p e r p ro d u ce r

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• W E LL D R A W : M a x im u m d ra w d o w n p e r p ro d u ce r • W C O N IN JE : C o n tr o l d a ta fo r in je ct io n w e lls • W E C O N IN J : E co n o m ic lim it d a ta fo r in je ct io n w e lls 

V

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• V F P P R O D : V F P ta b le s p ro d u ct io n w e lls • V F P IN J : V F P ta b le s fo r in je ct io n w e lls 

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• V F P P D IM S : P ro d u ct io n w e lls V F P ta b le d im e n sio n s • V F P ID IM S : In je ct io n w e lls V F P ta b le d im e n sio n s -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

(5)



In

flo

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• P re ss u re d ro p b e tw e e n ce ll a n d b o tt o m h o le (s e ct io n 1 ) 

O

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• P re ss u re h e a d b e tw e e n co n n e ct io n a n d d a tu m o f V F P ta b le

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• P re ss u re h e a d b e tw e e n co n n e ct io n a n d d a tu m o f V F P ta b le (s e ct io n 2 ) • H e a d lo ss e s in tu b in g (s e ct io n 3 ) H e a d L T u b in g 2 3 3 2 I -1 , j D e v ia te d w e ll I+ 1 , j I, j H o riz o n ta l w e ll R e s e rv o ir 1 2 2 -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .  In flo w p e rf o rm a n ce re la tio n sh ip (se ct io n 1 )

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 W e llb o re p re ssu re h e a d (se ct io n 2 ) • V e rt ic a l w e ll: h y d ro st a tic h e a d b e tw e e n th e co n n e ct io n i a n d th e w e ll’ s d a tu m + (c o rr e ct io n u p to V F P d a tu m d e p th ) • h o riz o n ta l w e ll : h y d ro st a tic h e a d + fr ic tio n if W F R IC o r M S W  P re ssu re d ro p in tu b in g (se ct io n 3 ) • u se o f V e rt ic a l F lo w P e rf o rm a n ce (V F P ) ta b le s p ro v id e d in th e d a ta se t ∆ z g ρ • B H P = f (Q , T H P , W cu t, G O R , Q lif t)  R e m in d e r • it is im p o rt a n t to d e fin e a cc u ra te ly th e V F P ta b le s w h e n th e in flo w d ra w d o w n is lo w -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

(6)

 V F P ta b le s a re g e n e ra lly g e n e ra te d b y w e ll d e p a rt m e n t  It is re co m m e n d e d • T o u se th e P V T co rr e sp o n d in g to p ro d u ce d flu id s • T o g e n e ra te o n e ta b le fo r e a ch v a lu e o f tu b in g d ia m e te r

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• T o g e n e ra te o n e ta b le fo r e a ch v a lu e o f tu b in g d ia m e te r • T o g ro u p w e lls a cc o rd in g to th e ir d e v ia tio n , co m p le tio n a n d p ro d u ce d flu id  T h e p a ra m e te rs m u st co v e r th e ra n g e o f v a lu e s w h ic h w ill b e re a ch e d d u rin g th e fo re ca st sim u la tio n s: N O E X T R A P O LA T IO N S !  S o m e B H P m a y co rr e sp o n d to a co m b in a tio n o f p a ra m e te rs  S o m e B H P m a y co rr e sp o n d to a co m b in a tio n o f p a ra m e te rs p h y sic a lly im p o ss ib le . • V a lu e s h ig h e r th a n th e m a x re se rv o ir p re ss u re sh o u ld b e g iv e n to e n su re th a t th e w e ll flo w in g co n d it io n s w ill n o t e n te r th e fo rb id d e n re g io n -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M . 

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• n o t u se d d u rin g h is to ry m a tc h (W e lls a re co n tr o lle d in flo w ra te ) • u se d d u rin g p ro d u ct io n fo re ca st s (W e ll flo w ra te s a re d ir e ct ly lin k e d to w e ll p e rf o rm a n ce )

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lin k e d to w e ll p e rf o rm a n ce ) 

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• It is p o in tle ss to tr y to m a tc h B H P a n d T H P a s lo n g a s re se rv o ir p re ss u re is n o t m a tc h e d • It is h ig h ly re co m m e n d e d to m a tc h B H P a n d T H P a s so o n a s re se rv o ir p re ss u re is m a tc h e d b y in tr o d u ci n g th e V F P ta b le s a n d a d ju st in g P I.

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• B H P a n d T H P m u st b e m a tc h e d p e r w e ll to e n su re th e co n tin u it y fr o m b o u n d a ry co n d it io n s in flo w (H M ) to B C in p re ss u re (f o re ca st ) -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

(7)



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• T u n in g o f C o n n e ct io n fa ct o rs • In tr o d u ct io n o f p ro d u ct io n u p tim e s − u se o b se rv e d d a ily Q + W E FA C in st e a d o f m o n th ly a v e ra g e d Q • u se o f W P IM U LT o r m o d ifi ca tio n o f th e sk in

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• u se o f W P IM U LT o r m o d ifi ca tio n o f th e sk in 

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• th e in fo rm a tio n p ro v id e d b y th e P LT (a llo ca tio n o f flo w p e r la y e r) m u st b e ta k e n in to a cc o u n t sin ce th e m a tc h in P (K p e r la y e r) • It is re co m m e n d e d to a d ju st th e sk in p e r (g ro u p o f) la y e rs • It is re co m m e n d e d to a d ju st th e sk in p e r (g ro u p o f) la y e rs • U se in st a n ta n e o u s ra te s (n o t m o n th ly a v e ra g e d ) a n d b e su re th a t e v e ry th in g (P , m e a su re co n d it io n s) is co n sis te n t -R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M . 

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• M o d ifi ca tio n o f p re ss u re h e a d b e tw e e n co n n e ct io n a n d d a tu m o f V F P ta b le • M o d ifi ca tio n o f V F P ta b le

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• Li n e a r p o rt io n o f V F P ta b le a t flo w in g co n d it io n s (G O R a n d W C U T ) • Lo ca l IP R : B H P = P r -(Q /I P ) 

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-R es er voi r S im ul at ion -P roduc tion F or ec as t -E .M .

References

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