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What Controls Recent Changes in the Circulation of the Southern Hemisphere: Polar Stratospheric or Equatorial Surface Temperatures?

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Figure

Figure 1. The time series of zonal averaged temperatures, normalized by one standard deviation (STD)
Figure 2. ERA40, Surface wind U10 differences between 1982-1999 and 1964-1981 for the 6 months centered in the austral summer NDJFMA (color)
Figure 3. Zonal average of U10, for the summer period. The eighteen year difference (black) and both the regressions: with T_polar (in blue) and T_equator (in red)
Figure 4. The same as in Figure 2, but for the 6 months centered in the austral winter
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